Esteemed-Trader — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7.44K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.3%

Resolved

9,910

Trades

35,540

lifetime

Volume

$798.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 10-27 04:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 215 days

Categories

Other

51% 87% -$481

Politics

39% 87% -$7,250

Tech

6% 69% +$176

Sports

4% 95% +$3,733

Crypto

1% 78% -$3,621

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 763 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	597	$28.0K	20,351	24,033	-3,682	No	+$3,349	02-01 11:58
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	36	$27.6K	14,218	14,218	+0	Yes	-$208	02-05 19:12
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	56	$23.0K	11,793	11,793	+0	No	-$44	02-09 15:05
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	51	$22.4K	11,728	11,728	+0	No	+$605	02-01 04:24
elon musk of tweets february 21 february 23 65 89	70	$21.1K	11,448	11,448	+0	Yes	+$1,413	02-23 16:55
us x iran meeting by february 6 2026	119	$18.4K	12,832	12,632	+200	Yes	-$4,997	02-06 22:48
elon musk of tweets february 28 march 2 40 64	59	$14.2K	8,046	8,375	-329	Yes	+$1,569	03-02 17:17
elon musk of tweets february 23 february 25 90 114	74	$14.2K	11,272	11,272	+0	No	-$416	02-25 16:44
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	55	$11.8K	5,884	6,210	-326	No	+$220	02-06 22:34
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	32	$11.6K	6,199	6,299	-100	No	-$168	02-21 03:24
will claude 5 be released by february 6 2026 173 394	44	$10.2K	5,218	5,307	-89	No	+$261	02-06 22:34
elon musk of tweets february 26 february 28 40 64	47	$9.1K	5,831	4,461	+1,371	Yes	-$691	02-28 16:34
us strikes iran by february 7 2026	24	$8.9K	4,439	4,642	-203	No	+$117	02-07 21:48
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	15	$8.9K	10,005	12,705	-2,700	Yes	-$7,454	02-28 07:48
elon musk of tweets february 26 february 28 65 89	86	$8.3K	6,204	7,507	-1,303	No	+$1,804	02-28 16:33
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	142	$8.1K	4,423	5,093	-670	Yes	-$513	02-27 16:26
elon musk of tweets february 23 february 25 65 89	72	$8.0K	5,227	5,227	+0	Yes	+$416	02-25 16:43
us strikes iran by january 30 2026 273 584 555 114 476	26	$7.2K	3,749	3,749	+0	No	+$78	01-31 02:54
us strikes iran by february 3 2026	11	$6.6K	3,310	3,310	+0	No	+$42	02-04 00:41
elon musk of tweets february 23 february 25 40 64	32	$5.8K	3,090	3,090	+0	No	+$240	02-24 17:46
will claude 5 be released by february 14 2026 449	41	$5.5K	2,999	3,037	-38	No	+$244	02-08 18:58
will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	10	$5.4K	2,724	2,724	+0	No	+$51	02-03 21:30
us strikes iran by february 4 2026	7	$5.2K	2,615	2,615	+0	No	+$40	02-05 00:03
us strikes iran by february 5 2026	12	$5.0K	2,554	2,554	+0	No	+$34	02-05 14:49
elon musk of tweets february 16 february 18 65 89	20	$4.7K	2,344	2,444	-100	No	-$33	02-18 07:30
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	2	$4.7K	2,400	2,400	+0	No	+$41	02-26 18:09
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	22	$4.7K	2,381	2,381	+0	No	+$80	02-24 05:00
will trump meet with giorgia meloni in january 2026	45	$4.4K	2,263	2,263	+0	No	+$68	01-31 17:35
us strikes iran by february 10 2026	2	$4.4K	2,230	2,230	+0	No	+$20	02-11 06:54
elon musk of tweets february 21 february 23 115 139	14	$4.4K	2,366	2,384	-18	No	+$24	02-23 15:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 05:11:41	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 27?	No	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0xd3b37f…
10-27 04:16:30	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xd3d84f…
10-27 04:12:42	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x6169af…
10-27 04:11:12	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	0	46¢	$0	0xae49c0…
10-27 04:04:54	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 27?	No	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x1f4e04…
10-27 04:03:12	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x1f4dac…
10-27 03:36:12	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x9fec7e…
10-27 03:17:09	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 27?	No	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0x97fbf6…
10-27 03:06:21	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 27?	No	BUY	0	57¢	$0	0xd33572…
10-27 02:41:29	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x91e0b4…
10-27 02:35:54	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on October 28?	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0xba4cb1…
10-27 02:34:53	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	14	32¢	$5	0xc10913…
10-27 02:06:50	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on October 28?	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x30d74d…
10-27 01:54:08	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0xbf3098…
10-27 01:36:39	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x32d11f…
10-27 01:36:39	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on October 27?	No	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0x063a74…
10-27 01:22:27	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0x1a6aca…
10-27 01:01:24	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 27?	No	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0x74477d…
10-27 00:55:09	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0xfe190b…
10-27 00:55:09	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	16	44¢	$7	0xb66cf0…
10-27 00:55:09	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x87826e…
10-27 00:55:09	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0x6d2de3…
10-27 00:55:09	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x43184a…
10-27 00:55:09	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x196cdf…
10-27 00:55:08	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	3	26¢	$1	0x6547e0…
10-27 00:40:38	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xe12c22…
10-27 00:36:48	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 27?	No	BUY	9	62¢	$6	0xf80b91…
10-27 00:34:14	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0xf33d1d…
10-27 00:32:45	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x8aabfd…
10-27 00:30:30	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 28?	No	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x713a8b…
10-27 00:12:17	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0xef78bd…
10-26 23:58:56	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 28?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x32df10…
10-26 23:41:21	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	7	7¢	$0	0x01a2af…
10-26 23:29:42	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 27?	No	BUY	4	58¢	$2	0xbec462…
10-26 23:24:23	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	26	0¢	$0	0xf035d1…
10-26 23:24:11	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on October 27?	No	SELL	19	16¢	$3	0xaa3a66…
10-26 23:23:57	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on October 27?	No	SELL	24	11¢	$3	0x94157e…
10-26 23:23:30	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0xce7cf6…
10-26 23:23:23	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on October 27?	No	SELL	34	64¢	$22	0x849bdb…
10-26 23:23:15	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 27?	No	SELL	14	47¢	$7	0x1f2fd3…
10-26 23:23:06	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	11	16¢	$2	0x3d512c…
10-26 23:22:56	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	16	0¢	$0	0x09d494…
10-26 23:11:21	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xff3bc3…
10-26 22:37:45	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0xfbbf94…
10-26 22:31:18	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x4f0e44…
10-26 21:56:12	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 28?	No	BUY	2	85¢	$1	0x9ba0dd…
10-26 21:36:24	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 27?	No	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x661ee9…
10-26 21:34:42	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x4187a6…
10-26 21:13:53	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x2f95c5…
10-26 20:33:47	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x535ea6…
10-26 20:29:38	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C or higher on October 28?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xc0c4c7…
10-26 20:22:18	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xfa6a8b…
10-26 20:22:00	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on October 26?	No	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xeeb824…
10-26 20:11:38	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xff6dc6…
10-26 19:54:14	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 9°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0xfe657d…
10-26 19:54:14	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	13	51¢	$7	0xd94285…
10-26 19:54:14	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x8864d7…
10-26 19:54:14	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x49c4b0…
10-26 19:54:14	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x450758…
10-26 19:47:36	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0xb9ad7f…
10-26 19:47:35	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x9853cb…
10-26 19:42:57	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x8d5f27…
10-26 19:25:15	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on October 26?	No	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xf48c06…
10-26 19:19:03	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0xb5d9a2…
10-26 18:49:53	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x27d720…
10-26 18:31:15	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0xdb19a9…
10-26 18:23:33	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 28?	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x0550e0…
10-26 18:23:30	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 28?	No	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0xa89635…
10-26 18:23:26	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 28?	No	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0xca9b99…
10-26 18:06:41	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 27?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x0ed983…
10-26 18:03:35	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xf82f7f…
10-26 18:03:35	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	0	7¢	$0	0xd9c818…
10-26 18:03:35	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xa023a6…
10-26 18:03:35	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x9f3b9e…
10-26 17:53:17	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xf7451b…
10-26 17:47:42	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xf93f5a…
10-26 17:42:42	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 26?	No	BUY	0	74¢	$0	0x419be6…
10-26 17:28:38	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0xac21cd…
10-26 17:26:08	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0xc2afe4…
10-26 17:23:56	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0x4f2cc1…
10-26 17:22:29	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xf27118…
10-26 17:07:26	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xaf2f81…
10-26 17:07:26	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xaf00a3…
10-26 17:07:26	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x7480cf…
10-26 17:07:26	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	14	19¢	$3	0x0320e3…
10-26 17:02:24	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xa75454…
10-26 17:02:24	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x2dc6ab…
10-26 17:02:24	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x1a43bc…
10-26 16:47:02	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 28?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x9b0cda…
10-26 16:44:14	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x457fc1…
10-26 16:27:26	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x4fb95d…
10-26 16:24:44	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on October 26?	No	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xfbe67e…
10-26 16:20:50	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on October 26?	No	BUY	3	84¢	$2	0x1c2732…
10-26 16:17:14	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0xca7f68…
10-26 16:12:47	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	0	13¢	$0	0x8906c5…
10-26 16:12:47	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	9	13¢	$1	0x14775d…
10-26 16:12:45	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x69e0ac…
10-26 16:12:42	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on October 26?	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x4efa65…
10-26 16:10:12	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x4a2bf7…
10-26 16:09:20	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	16	35¢	$6	0x5e5e8d…