Realized P&L
+$0
Unrealized P&L
-$8
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
137
lifetime
Volume
$2.26K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$16
Open exposure
$473
18 positions
First seen
2026-05-12
last 06-01 06:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
45%
Other
35%
Crypto
20% 100% +$0
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
14 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No -351 $-197 56¢ $-197 $-0 06-01 06:30
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes -164 $-107 66¢ $-107 $-1 06-01 06:28
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -14 $-12 86¢ $-12 $-0 06-01 06:28
Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30? No -11 $-10 100¢ $-11 $-2 06-01 06:30
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30? No -11 $-10 99¢ $-11 $-1 06-01 06:30
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -12 $-10 90¢ $-11 $-1 06-01 06:30
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? No -11 $-10 99¢ $-11 $-1 06-01 06:29
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -11 $-10 96¢ $-11 $-0 06-01 06:29
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? No -11 $-10 94¢ $-10 $-0 06-01 06:29
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026? No -10 $-10 100¢ $-10 $-0 06-01 06:31
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -11 $-10 96¢ $-10 $-0 06-01 06:31
New pandemic in 2026? No -11 $-10 92¢ $-10 $-0 06-01 06:31
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? No -11 $-9 94¢ $-10 $-1 06-01 06:30
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -11 $-10 96¢ $-10 $-0 06-01 06:29
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? No -11 $-9 90¢ $-10 $-1 06-01 06:29
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? No -11 $-10 90¢ $-10 $-0 06-01 06:31
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? No -10 $-10 97¢ $-10 $-0 06-01 06:31
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes -10 $-10 94¢ $-10 +$0 06-01 06:31