Will the highest temperature in Denver be 84°F or higher on May 16?
open
Total volume
$351
Trades
45
Unique wallets
35
Liquidity
$115
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-16
First seen
2026-05-14
last 05-16 23:30
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $30 | $30 |
| 🐟 Fish | 7 | $2 | $90 | $88 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 27 | $7 | $222 | $215 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 7 | $3 | $72 | $69 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $1 | $25 | $24 |
| Median | 9 | $0 | $101 | $101 |
| Below median | 12 | $4 | $120 | $116 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $14 | $14 |
| unranked | 2 | — | $10 | $10 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metallic-Intelligence 0xbc80…56a7 | Yes | +100 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 12:51 |
| Incompatible-Odyssey 0x4620…fd87 | Yes | +94 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-15 23:14 |
| Shameful-Boxer 0xb8da…9d35 | No | +62 | $62 | $62 | 1 | 05-16 20:04 |
| Polished-Lumberman 0x492e…c50b | No | +38 | $38 | $38 | 1 | 05-16 12:10 |
| Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | Yes | +32 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 22:07 |
| Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-16 22:28 |
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-16 23:08 |
| Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | Yes | +29 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-15 14:06 |
| Fatal-Beck 0x4dab…e426 | No | +26 | $25 | $25 | 2 | 05-14 06:06 |
| Obvious-Artery 0xf329…7342 | No | +25 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-16 19:02 |
| Green-Birdwatcher 0x3458…b5a7 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-16 14:22 |
| Spirited-Priest 0xc518…2594 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-16 23:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x59be…9c3a | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 11:14 |
| Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | +17 | $17 | $17 | 4 | 05-16 17:21 |
| Vivacious-Manipulation 0x906f…371a | No | +14 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-15 19:09 |
| Bruised-Usual 0x01d9…acd0 | No | +14 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-15 19:10 |
| Likable-Congo 0x53d3…60ee | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-16 23:18 |
| Heavenly-Monocle 0x5616…61c1 | Yes | +8 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-15 23:45 |
| Elliptical-Foundation 0x131d…2a50 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-16 20:12 |
| Kooky-Barn 0xf075…3f43 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-15 19:10 |
| Tedious-Sneakers 0x9300…b42a | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-15 10:05 |
| French-Sweets-Right 0x153a…cb6c | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-16 21:37 |
| Qualified-Procurement 0x789a…c040 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-16 21:21 |
| Fine-Flanker 0x0e7f…2015 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-16 20:14 |
| Needy-Drawer 0x18f6…e980 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-15 19:09 |
| Gigantic-Bolt 0xeafd…6a5e | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 19:09 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-16 23:30:12 | Spirited-Priest 0xc518…2594 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x5a8646… |
| 05-16 23:18:04 | Likable-Congo 0x53d3…60ee | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xea3cbb… |
| 05-16 23:08:35 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x011a2a… |
| 05-16 23:08:35 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc38fa7… |
| 05-16 23:08:35 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x073cac… |
| 05-16 23:08:35 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x11b83e… |
| 05-16 23:08:35 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6dd9e9… |
| 05-16 23:08:35 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9d8ceb… |
| 05-16 23:08:35 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1d7ce0… |
| 05-16 23:08:35 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa692f7… |
| 05-16 23:08:35 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x1cf885… |
| 05-16 22:28:26 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xb3123f… |
| 05-16 21:37:37 | French-Sweets-Right 0x153a…cb6c | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x0330b7… |
| 05-16 21:21:54 | Qualified-Procurement 0x789a…c040 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x5da05d… |
| 05-16 21:21:54 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x93f010… |
| 05-16 20:14:24 | Fine-Flanker 0x0e7f…2015 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x44d428… |
| 05-16 20:12:15 | Elliptical-Foundation 0x131d…2a50 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x197f3a… |
| 05-16 20:04:03 | Shameful-Boxer 0xb8da…9d35 | No | BUY | 62 | 100¢ | $62 | 0x32ba79… |
| 05-16 19:02:04 | Obvious-Artery 0xf329…7342 | No | BUY | 25 | 100¢ | $25 | 0xd0162d… |
| 05-16 18:46:56 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfd08f1… |
| 05-16 18:46:56 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x72d233… |
| 05-16 18:46:56 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1f19ab… |
| 05-16 18:46:56 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5887e0… |
| 05-16 18:46:56 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbc0398… |
| 05-16 17:21:39 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x9d0967… |
| 05-16 17:21:25 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x2677bc… |
| 05-16 17:21:22 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xf3a8d8… |
| 05-16 17:01:28 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x953e08… |
| 05-16 14:22:27 | Green-Birdwatcher 0x3458…b5a7 | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x1faced… |
| 05-16 12:51:27 | Metallic-Intelligence 0xbc80…56a7 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x6172b9… |
| 05-16 12:10:44 | Polished-Lumberman 0x492e…c50b | No | BUY | 38 | 99¢ | $38 | 0x2909a6… |
| 05-15 23:45:37 | Heavenly-Monocle 0x5616…61c1 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xaa46ab… |
| 05-15 23:14:10 | Incompatible-Odyssey 0x4620…fd87 | Yes | BUY | 94 | 3¢ | $3 | 0x48201b… |
| 05-15 22:09:03 | Ripe-Chives 0x4ecd…36fd | Yes | SELL | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xbead7a… |
| 05-15 19:10:05 | Bruised-Usual 0x01d9…acd0 | No | BUY | 14 | 97¢ | $14 | 0xb772c2… |
| 05-15 19:10:05 | Kooky-Barn 0xf075…3f43 | No | BUY | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0x5acc8d… |
| 05-15 19:09:59 | Gigantic-Bolt 0xeafd…6a5e | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x9f8969… |
| 05-15 19:09:59 | Vivacious-Manipulation 0x906f…371a | No | BUY | 14 | 97¢ | $14 | 0x367a27… |
| 05-15 19:09:59 | Needy-Drawer 0x18f6…e980 | No | BUY | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x6bc982… |
| 05-15 14:06:52 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | Yes | BUY | 29 | 7¢ | $2 | 0xc33c57… |
| 05-15 10:05:22 | Tedious-Sneakers 0x9300…b42a | No | BUY | 6 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x197c2c… |
| 05-14 22:07:39 | Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | Yes | BUY | 32 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xd5d8b6… |
| 05-14 11:14:47 | (anonymous) 0x59be…9c3a | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x53b921… |
| 05-14 06:06:00 | Fatal-Beck 0x4dab…e426 | No | BUY | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0x6c7350… |
| 05-14 06:05:50 | Fatal-Beck 0x4dab…e426 | No | BUY | 19 | 96¢ | $18 | 0x759010… |