Elliptical-Foundation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$188

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

81.2%

Resolved

3,221

Trades

17,821

lifetime

Volume

$124.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$10

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-28

last 07-06 05:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 56 days

Categories

Other

100% 62% -$187

Politics

0% 0% -$1

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-06).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?	No		+11	$5	89¢	$10	+$5	05-14 10:22
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	No		+5	$3	12¢	$1	-$3	05-14 10:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on May 15?	5	$1.6K	1,575	0	+1,575	No	+$2	05-15 10:39
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C or higher on May 18?	2	$1.1K	1,075	0	+1,075	No	+$10	05-17 23:53
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 14?	3	$1.0K	1,017	0	+1,017	No	+$8	05-14 20:16
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on May 14?	1	$998	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$2	05-14 16:11
Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on May 17?	3	$998	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$2	05-17 21:41
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 16?	3	$943	945	0	+945	No	+$2	05-16 21:23
highest temperature in atlanta on march 18 2026 54 55f	92	$878	2,136	0	+2,136	No	+$204	03-18 22:55
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 84°F or higher on May 16?	8	$825	828	0	+828	No	+$3	05-16 21:24
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 18?	2	$753	758	0	+758	No	+$5	05-18 00:07
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on May 16?	3	$637	639	0	+639	No	+$2	05-16 21:35
highest temperature in nyc on march 13 2026 40 41f	41	$624	1,270	96	+1,174	No	-$32	03-14 02:51
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 8°C on May 14?	3	$610	613	0	+613	No	+$3	05-14 17:00
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on May 14?	29	$596	496	107	+389	No	+$5	05-14 21:26
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 55°F or below on May 14?	2	$558	560	0	+560	No	+$1	05-14 17:11
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 16?	1	$538	544	0	+544	No	+$6	05-16 15:42
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C or below on May 16?	9	$536	269	269	+0	No	+$0	05-15 09:13
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 37°C or higher on May 14?	1	$518	520	0	+520	No	+$2	05-14 16:14
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 17?	1	$504	505	0	+505	No	+$1	05-17 02:18
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 17?	1	$498	500	0	+500	No	+$2	05-17 21:47
highest temperature in shenzhen on march 22 2026 27c	58	$481	1,058	0	+1,058	Yes	+$16	03-22 07:23
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on May 15?	1	$478	478	0	+478	No	+$0	05-15 08:03
highest temperature in shanghai on march 17 2026 13c	40	$475	1,003	0	+1,003	No	+$24	03-17 14:21
highest temperature in seattle on march 16 2026 52 53f	33	$448	874	0	+874	No	+$49	03-17 00:55
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on May 17?	1	$429	430	0	+430	No	+$1	05-17 02:00
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 74°F or higher on May 15?	7	$420	420	0	+420	No	+$0	05-15 17:59
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C or higher on May 16?	2	$420	420	0	+420	No	+$0	05-16 01:17
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on May 16?	1	$420	420	0	+420	No	+$0	05-16 02:00
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 15?	1	$420	420	0	+420	No	+$0	05-15 14:24
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on May 15?	1	$420	420	0	+420	No	+$0	05-15 14:23
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 15°C or below on May 16?	1	$420	420	0	+420	No	+$0	05-16 10:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-06 05:51:59	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 6?	No	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0x908bce…
07-06 05:49:10	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 6?	No	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0x6be6c1…
07-06 00:57:29	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on July 6?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x929cac…
07-06 00:27:44	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C or below on July 6?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd02c12…
07-06 00:27:44	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on July 6?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xc14156…
07-06 00:27:44	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on July 6?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xbe35aa…
07-06 00:27:44	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on July 6?	No	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0xb58d5c…
07-06 00:27:44	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on July 6?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xae61be…
07-06 00:27:44	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 6?	No	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x61eea0…
07-06 00:27:44	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on July 6?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x52ac37…
07-06 00:27:44	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 6?	No	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x3d1e77…
07-06 00:27:44	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 6?	No	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x1813df…
07-06 00:27:44	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on July 6?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x10e111…
07-06 00:27:44	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 40°C on July 6?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x109c6d…
07-06 00:27:44	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 41°C on July 6?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x06ef23…
05-19 16:17:36	arch arch highest temperature in london on may 19 2026 13corbelow	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd848dd…
05-19 16:17:36	highest temperature in sao paulo on may 19 2026 12c	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x707e3d…
05-19 16:16:05	highest temperature in sao paulo on may 19 2026 14c	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xbbd4f0…
05-19 16:16:05	arch arch highest temperature in sao paulo on may 19 2026 11corbelow	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x46aa03…
05-18 01:00:08	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on May 18?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdad6f6…
05-18 00:37:13	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on May 18?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x7c1615…
05-18 00:24:33	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 17?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xd486bb…
05-18 00:13:53	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 17?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x37b461…
05-18 00:11:50	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 73°F or below on May 18?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xd83c2b…
05-18 00:07:35	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 18?	No	BUY	342	99¢	$340	0x3581b0…
05-18 00:06:55	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 74°F or higher on May 17?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xc40de1…
05-18 00:03:46	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 18?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x6725c4…
05-18 00:01:48	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 18?	No	BUY	416	99¢	$413	0x1c363b…
05-18 00:01:45	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on May 18?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x4116e5…
05-17 23:56:21	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 64°F or higher on May 17?	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x03a772…
05-17 23:53:54	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C or higher on May 18?	No	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0x30b9a9…
05-17 23:46:31	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 17?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x9bfaaf…
05-17 23:36:07	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on May 17?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x5f8833…
05-17 23:33:26	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on May 17?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xa1ae89…
05-17 23:18:45	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 78°F or higher on May 18?	Yes	SELL	22	72¢	$16	0xd10729…
05-17 23:17:35	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 74°F or higher on May 17?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x8a6ab0…
05-17 23:17:14	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 78°F or higher on May 18?	Yes	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0xddfe34…
05-17 23:17:06	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 78°F or higher on May 18?	Yes	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xa26420…
05-17 23:16:57	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 78°F or higher on May 18?	Yes	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x3f75a9…
05-17 23:16:48	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 78°F or higher on May 18?	Yes	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x11e012…
05-17 23:16:39	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 78°F or higher on May 18?	Yes	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x5c2f5d…
05-17 23:15:19	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on May 18?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xf82726…
05-17 23:15:19	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on May 18?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x79c707…
05-17 23:15:19	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on May 18?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x3174ad…
05-17 22:51:57	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on May 19?	Yes	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x3d1752…
05-17 22:51:41	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on May 19?	Yes	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0xec3e70…
05-17 22:51:41	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on May 19?	Yes	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0xc7592b…
05-17 22:51:41	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on May 19?	Yes	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x66cc6a…
05-17 22:51:31	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on May 19?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x858d60…
05-17 22:51:31	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on May 19?	Yes	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x2bba88…
05-17 22:51:31	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on May 19?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x14a01b…
05-17 22:51:17	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on May 18?	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0xd493b7…
05-17 22:51:17	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on May 18?	Yes	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0x781175…
05-17 22:51:17	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on May 18?	Yes	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x7396d6…
05-17 22:51:17	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on May 18?	Yes	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x50242f…
05-17 22:51:05	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on May 18?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xb557c4…
05-17 22:51:05	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on May 18?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x7c4ac1…
05-17 22:51:05	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on May 18?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x32a1e7…
05-17 22:51:05	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on May 18?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x1b5a09…
05-17 22:37:05	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C or higher on May 18?	No	BUY	1,000	99¢	$991	0x70c41f…
05-17 22:37:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on May 18?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xd7d249…
05-17 22:37:03	Will the lowest temperature in London be 4°C on May 18?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xac3aa6…
05-17 22:37:01	Will the lowest temperature in London be 2°C or below on May 18?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xa59aa0…
05-17 22:37:01	Will the lowest temperature in London be 3°C on May 18?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x0ecaf3…
05-17 22:35:51	Will the highest temperature in Miami be 75°F or below on May 17?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xc2b2ae…
05-17 22:24:50	Will the lowest temperature in London be 7°C on May 17?	No	BUY	65	99¢	$65	0x4ee46e…
05-17 22:24:32	Will the lowest temperature in London be 6°C on May 17?	No	BUY	240	100¢	$239	0xb521c0…
05-17 22:24:32	Will the lowest temperature in London be 5°C on May 17?	No	BUY	212	100¢	$211	0x9d9008…
05-17 22:24:30	Will the lowest temperature in London be 4°C on May 17?	No	BUY	105	99¢	$104	0x791e38…
05-17 22:24:30	Will the lowest temperature in London be 3°C on May 17?	No	BUY	220	100¢	$219	0x5bf30d…
05-17 21:48:29	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 92°F or higher on May 17?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xa8ab37…
05-17 21:47:09	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 17?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$498	0x89c907…
05-17 21:41:36	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 7°C on May 17?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x7daa9f…
05-17 21:41:34	Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on May 17?	No	BUY	370	100¢	$369	0x5d8d08…
05-17 21:40:31	Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on May 17?	No	BUY	240	100¢	$240	0x468274…
05-17 21:38:18	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 92°F or higher on May 17?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x54b180…
05-17 21:38:01	Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on May 17?	No	BUY	390	100¢	$389	0xa4f787…
05-17 21:38:01	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 6°C on May 17?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x575eac…
05-17 21:37:59	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 74°F or higher on May 17?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xb3ca2c…
05-17 21:36:35	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 6°C on May 17?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x7b291e…
05-17 21:35:34	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 6°C on May 17?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x567fa0…
05-17 21:35:32	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C or higher on May 18?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x86d146…
05-17 21:35:32	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 5°C on May 17?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x72829c…
05-17 21:35:32	Will the lowest temperature in London be 7°C on May 17?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x233088…
05-17 21:34:29	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C or higher on May 18?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x72b0a8…
05-17 21:34:27	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 2°C or below on May 17?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x58af39…
05-17 15:14:32	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 5°C on May 17?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3a7922…
05-17 15:13:31	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 5°C on May 17?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb43412…
05-17 15:12:49	Will the lowest temperature in London be 6°C on May 17?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x714d36…
05-17 15:11:28	Will the lowest temperature in London be 6°C on May 17?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x63731b…
05-17 15:11:26	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 4°C on May 17?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xe60fca…
05-17 15:11:26	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 3°C on May 17?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x10e6a5…
05-17 15:10:25	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 2°C or below on May 17?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x3ca06e…
05-17 15:08:21	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 2°C or below on May 17?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x82fd6d…
05-17 09:07:44	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 17?	No	BUY	250	100¢	$250	0x62f2ab…
05-17 09:07:42	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on May 17?	No	BUY	230	100¢	$230	0xfbab79…
05-17 09:07:42	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on May 17?	No	BUY	250	100¢	$250	0x3d27fe…
05-17 09:07:42	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on May 17?	No	BUY	210	100¢	$210	0x27900b…
05-17 09:07:42	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 17?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x04a649…
05-17 09:06:58	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on May 17?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xdaa363…