Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 15?
open
Total volume
$449
$1,380 in 24h
Trades
55
Unique wallets
27
Liquidity
$3,999
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-15
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-14 22:54
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $14 | $14 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $115 | $115 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 23 | $1 | $304 | $302 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | — | $14 | $14 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $0 | $215 | $215 |
| Median | 10 | — | $99 | $99 |
| Below median | 7 | — | $99 | $99 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $1 | $5 | $4 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 1 | — | — | +— |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Messy-Analysis 0x8645…0beb | No | +216 | $210 | $210 | 5 | 05-14 03:31 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +90 | $90 | $90 | 3 | 05-14 22:19 |
| Late-Shed 0x098a…8fc5 | No | +28 | $27 | $27 | 9 | 05-13 06:06 |
| Flat-Opponent 0xde2a…fac1 | No | +21 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-14 01:12 |
| Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 05-14 07:59 |
| Angry-Nobody 0xf5dc…dec3 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-14 06:05 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +14 | $14 | $14 | 3 | 05-14 19:24 |
| Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | Yes | +9 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-13 20:32 |
| Tired-Mastoid 0xc24f…81d3 | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-14 06:06 |
| Weird-Takeover 0xe4f3…9f84 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 23:07 |
| Simplistic-March 0x38f7…1c8f | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 01:16 |
| Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 20:24 |
| Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 13:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xb338…7a24 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-14 06:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-14 06:05 |
| Itchy-Extreme 0xb038…074b | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 00:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x23c6…88e7 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 06:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xb701…8c1b | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 06:05 |
| Husky-Minor 0x1799…3ca9 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 06:05 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 22:54:54 | Quick-Transport 0x1294…35bb | Yes | SELL | 19 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x69fd4c… |
| 05-14 22:19:54 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x726aff… |
| 05-14 22:19:54 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2099dc… |
| 05-14 22:19:54 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x7d1908… |
| 05-14 22:12:35 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x4c9ae9… |
| 05-14 21:56:52 | Quick-Transport 0x1294…35bb | Yes | SELL | 40 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2b9aac… |
| 05-14 20:24:19 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdbebf7… |
| 05-14 20:24:19 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf271aa… |
| 05-14 20:24:19 | Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x45bcdb… |
| 05-14 19:27:09 | Fearless-Penny 0x13e0…82f9 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xeff2a6… |
| 05-14 19:24:44 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x2dc756… |
| 05-14 18:01:21 | Fearless-Penny 0x13e0…82f9 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x083d00… |
| 05-14 18:01:21 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x27e32a… |
| 05-14 15:48:56 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x91242f… |
| 05-14 13:34:25 | Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x44ae91… |
| 05-14 12:00:45 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x4545fe… |
| 05-14 07:59:12 | Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xc7d8e1… |
| 05-14 06:14:50 | Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x3d18f9… |
| 05-14 06:06:16 | Tired-Mastoid 0xc24f…81d3 | No | BUY | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0xd30911… |
| 05-14 06:05:53 | (anonymous) 0xb338…7a24 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xffa1ca… |
| 05-14 06:05:51 | (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xa4ef39… |
| 05-14 06:05:50 | Angry-Nobody 0xf5dc…dec3 | No | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0x40199f… |
| 05-14 06:05:48 | Husky-Minor 0x1799…3ca9 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x09ae77… |
| 05-14 06:05:44 | (anonymous) 0xb701…8c1b | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x57d516… |
| 05-14 06:02:11 | (anonymous) 0xb338…7a24 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x9f7a23… |
| 05-14 06:02:09 | (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xcd769a… |
| 05-14 06:02:06 | (anonymous) 0x23c6…88e7 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xb9376c… |
| 05-14 03:31:30 | Messy-Analysis 0x8645…0beb | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xbeb109… |
| 05-14 03:31:02 | Messy-Analysis 0x8645…0beb | No | BUY | 51 | 98¢ | $50 | 0xf8f166… |
| 05-14 01:41:35 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 24 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x7fdd1b… |
| 05-14 01:16:31 | Simplistic-March 0x38f7…1c8f | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x474912… |
| 05-14 01:12:09 | Flat-Opponent 0xde2a…fac1 | No | BUY | 21 | 96¢ | $20 | 0x7e5442… |
| 05-14 00:19:06 | Webbed-Pilot 0x3209…0508 | Yes | SELL | 31 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x894d30… |
| 05-14 00:13:44 | Itchy-Extreme 0xb038…074b | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x125c1b… |
| 05-13 23:07:08 | Weird-Takeover 0xe4f3…9f84 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x24839b… |
| 05-13 22:21:52 | Elastic-Consist 0xa6c0…4606 | No | SELL | 10 | 94¢ | $10 | 0xcc979f… |
| 05-13 22:12:03 | Webbed-Pilot 0x3209…0508 | Yes | SELL | 62 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x1d06ec… |
| 05-13 22:09:06 | Webbed-Pilot 0x3209…0508 | Yes | BUY | 41 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x91e774… |
| 05-13 20:32:37 | Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x64218d… |
| 05-13 20:03:58 | Messy-Analysis 0x8645…0beb | No | BUY | 52 | 97¢ | $50 | 0x36c174… |
| 05-13 20:03:18 | Messy-Analysis 0x8645…0beb | No | BUY | 52 | 97¢ | $50 | 0x15668d… |
| 05-13 20:02:48 | Messy-Analysis 0x8645…0beb | No | BUY | 52 | 97¢ | $50 | 0x981231… |
| 05-13 17:37:44 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xd93cd1… |
| 05-13 17:37:44 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x5fcaf6… |
| 05-13 11:08:09 | Sandy-Driver 0x2dc3…19e0 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xd4295d… |
| 05-13 06:06:18 | Late-Shed 0x098a…8fc5 | No | BUY | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0xc15ae8… |
| 05-13 05:56:18 | Late-Shed 0x098a…8fc5 | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0xec9a6c… |
| 05-13 05:46:18 | Late-Shed 0x098a…8fc5 | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0xf0c9b5… |
| 05-13 05:36:18 | Late-Shed 0x098a…8fc5 | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0xe61206… |
| 05-13 05:26:17 | Late-Shed 0x098a…8fc5 | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x0261b8… |
| 05-13 05:16:17 | Late-Shed 0x098a…8fc5 | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x3cb22c… |
| 05-13 05:08:37 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x692104… |
| 05-13 05:06:17 | Late-Shed 0x098a…8fc5 | No | BUY | 3 | 90¢ | $3 | 0xbda33a… |
| 05-13 04:46:16 | Late-Shed 0x098a…8fc5 | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0xddca8a… |
| 05-13 04:36:18 | Late-Shed 0x098a…8fc5 | No | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x1f69e6… |