Watchful-Disguise — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$853

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

12.5%

Resolved

7,453

Trades

40,010

lifetime

Volume

$22.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-18

last 06-14 21:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 58 days

Categories

Other

100% 4% +$853

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-14).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on April 25?	20	$260	257	257	+0	Yes	+$243	04-25 16:06
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on May 4?	6	$247	244	244	+0	Yes	+$236	05-04 13:41
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 1?	5	$169	200	200	+0	Yes	+$165	05-01 15:13
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on May 12?	16	$166	167	167	+0	Yes	+$160	05-12 17:15
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on May 12?	7	$151	150	150	+0	Yes	+$146	05-12 09:46
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 29°C on May 8?	7	$96	150	150	+0	Yes	+$92	05-08 14:34
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on May 28?	3	$77	74	74	+0	Yes	+$71	05-28 23:32
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 28?	3	$77	74	74	+0	Yes	+$71	05-28 23:32
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C or higher on May 28?	4	$77	74	74	+0	Yes	+$71	05-28 23:33
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on May 28?	4	$77	74	74	+0	Yes	+$71	05-28 23:33
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on May 25?	9	$75	74	74	+0	Yes	+$69	05-25 12:55
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 15?	5	$73	74	74	+0	Yes	+$67	05-15 18:33
highest temperature in busan on april 22 2026 20c	2	$70	70	70	+0	Yes	+$65	04-22 05:36
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on April 29?	3	$62	62	62	+0	Yes	+$57	04-29 15:34
highest temperature in taipei on april 22 2026 33c	2	$56	60	60	+0	Yes	+$52	04-22 04:53
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on May 4?	4	$50	50	50	+0	Yes	+$46	05-04 21:30
highest temperature in busan on april 19 2026 24c	8	$46	85	85	+0	No	+$44	04-19 01:49
highest temperature in miami on april 20 2026 86 87f	6	$46	50	50	+0	Yes	+$42	04-20 16:59
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 24?	7	$40	74	74	+0	Yes	+$34	05-24 05:46
highest temperature in london on april 19 2026 14c	3	$37	50	50	+0	No	+$33	04-19 14:45
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 4°C on April 30?	4	$37	37	37	+0	Yes	+$35	04-30 15:55
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 26?	2	$34	18	36	-18	Yes	+$14	04-26 15:24
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on April 25?	23	$15	338	0	+338	No	-$15	04-25 01:12
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 14?	3	$14	100	100	+0	No	+$8	06-13 13:17
highest temperature in miami on april 19 2026 88 89f	3	$12	50	50	+0	Yes	+$8	04-19 17:48
highest temperature in chicago on april 20 2026 56 57f	5	$12	17	17	+0	Yes	+$10	04-20 20:37
highest temperature in seattle on april 24 2026 66forhigher	20	$11	288	400	-112	No	+$3	04-24 23:20
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 36°C on April 25?	25	$11	862	0	+862	No	-$11	04-25 09:12
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on April 25?	21	$11	250	0	+250	No	-$11	04-25 05:58
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on April 25?	42	$11	493	152	+341	No	$0	04-25 20:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 21:41:22	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on June 15?	Yes	SELL	41	2¢	$1	0x148e0f…
06-14 08:48:51	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on June 14?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x3d42b3…
06-14 08:48:46	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on June 14?	Yes	SELL	33	3¢	$1	0x648e5f…
06-14 07:33:06	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on June 14?	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0xe8e9ad…
06-14 05:04:10	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 14?	Yes	SELL	4	2¢	$0	0xac181d…
06-14 05:03:30	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 14?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0xf2182c…
06-14 03:49:55	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 14?	Yes	SELL	277	1¢	$2	0x0fd5e4…
06-13 23:53:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 14?	Yes	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0xccbec7…
06-13 22:10:54	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 8°C on June 14?	Yes	SELL	62	1¢	$1	0x563ad9…
06-13 22:10:48	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on June 14?	Yes	SELL	11	1¢	$0	0x0dc39a…
06-13 22:10:34	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 14?	Yes	SELL	70	1¢	$1	0x23246b…
06-13 22:10:19	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 15?	Yes	SELL	174	1¢	$1	0x7035c4…
06-13 22:10:06	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 15?	Yes	SELL	74	1¢	$1	0x570ede…
06-13 22:09:54	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 14?	Yes	SELL	47	4¢	$2	0x8dc6fe…
06-13 22:09:22	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on June 14?	Yes	SELL	236	1¢	$2	0xe8dcd0…
06-13 22:09:10	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 14?	Yes	SELL	126	2¢	$2	0x42f7da…
06-13 21:55:12	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 14?	Yes	SELL	19	2¢	$0	0x6cec78…
06-13 18:31:54	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on June 14?	Yes	SELL	31	4¢	$1	0x989d13…
06-13 18:29:01	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 14?	Yes	SELL	75	3¢	$2	0x02f2cc…
06-13 18:22:24	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on June 14?	Yes	SELL	23	2¢	$0	0x3f2739…
06-13 18:12:37	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on June 14?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x86b87f…
06-13 18:02:03	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on June 14?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x426ddd…
06-13 18:00:18	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 14?	Yes	SELL	30	2¢	$1	0xf50f4b…
06-13 17:44:40	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 14?	Yes	SELL	15	3¢	$1	0xa0a770…
06-13 17:41:15	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on June 14?	Yes	SELL	14	2¢	$0	0xc5b9e9…
06-13 17:40:57	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on June 14?	Yes	SELL	13	2¢	$0	0x6cd448…
06-13 17:17:09	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 14?	Yes	SELL	23	1¢	$0	0xc09bdb…
06-13 17:13:24	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on June 14?	Yes	SELL	145	1¢	$2	0x3135df…
06-13 16:49:54	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 14?	Yes	SELL	8	3¢	$0	0xf59aa1…
06-13 16:06:31	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on June 14?	Yes	SELL	38	4¢	$2	0x40816e…
06-13 16:00:03	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 14?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0x3b2d77…
06-13 15:57:37	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 14?	Yes	SELL	16	3¢	$1	0xe058d6…
06-13 15:32:58	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 14?	Yes	SELL	34	3¢	$1	0x2f827c…
06-13 15:31:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 14?	Yes	SELL	23	4¢	$1	0xed8b16…
06-13 15:24:57	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 14?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0xde6763…
06-13 15:03:22	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 15?	Yes	SELL	25	3¢	$1	0x75a0ae…
06-13 15:03:12	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 15?	Yes	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0xc517c0…
06-13 14:59:27	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xa36f5a…
06-13 14:59:22	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xa0d85a…
06-13 14:59:13	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xb24204…
06-13 14:59:03	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	74	1¢	$1	0x932a91…
06-13 14:49:34	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 14?	Yes	SELL	29	3¢	$1	0x4f380a…
06-13 14:05:48	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0xc704ea…
06-13 14:04:42	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on June 14?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xb5b678…
06-13 14:04:34	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on June 13?	Yes	SELL	89	3¢	$3	0x54fac4…
06-13 13:56:06	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	70	2¢	$1	0x4e0590…
06-13 13:47:40	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xfc6199…
06-13 13:42:34	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 15?	Yes	SELL	19	1¢	$0	0x56e9bb…
06-13 13:38:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 15?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x4b2cd7…
06-13 13:38:16	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 14?	Yes	SELL	150	2¢	$2	0x05972b…
06-13 13:37:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 14?	Yes	SELL	55	2¢	$1	0xb5555f…
06-13 13:33:01	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x2ff2f2…
06-13 13:32:52	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on June 13?	Yes	SELL	75	2¢	$2	0xb851cf…
06-13 13:30:06	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 14?	Yes	SELL	22	5¢	$1	0x609af9…
06-13 13:29:54	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on June 14?	Yes	SELL	56	2¢	$1	0xa4726b…
06-13 13:29:28	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 14?	Yes	SELL	42	3¢	$1	0x667bc5…
06-13 13:28:37	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on June 14?	Yes	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0x112824…
06-13 13:28:22	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	46	2¢	$1	0x22beb3…
06-13 13:26:34	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on June 14?	Yes	SELL	48	4¢	$2	0x283656…
06-13 13:26:22	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 14?	Yes	SELL	13	2¢	$0	0xbf0246…
06-13 13:24:09	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on June 14?	Yes	SELL	39	3¢	$1	0xd5b278…
06-13 13:22:48	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 15?	Yes	SELL	129	1¢	$1	0xa9fa59…
06-13 13:22:40	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 15?	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0xa6ea2a…
06-13 13:22:01	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 15?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x651e76…
06-13 13:21:03	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on June 14?	Yes	SELL	92	3¢	$3	0xf6a4d5…
06-13 13:20:46	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 14?	Yes	SELL	125	2¢	$3	0x5114de…
06-13 13:20:39	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 14?	Yes	SELL	29	4¢	$1	0x8f6cb4…
06-13 13:20:07	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 14?	Yes	SELL	197	2¢	$4	0x050282…
06-13 13:19:58	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C or higher on June 14?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0xf6b280…
06-13 13:19:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 15?	Yes	SELL	58	3¢	$2	0x343b3b…
06-13 13:19:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 14?	Yes	SELL	88	2¢	$2	0x3c9b1a…
06-13 13:18:52	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C or higher on June 15?	Yes	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0xbf4f39…
06-13 13:18:33	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on June 14?	Yes	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0x373619…
06-13 13:18:27	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 14?	Yes	SELL	34	16¢	$5	0x3524a3…
06-13 13:18:13	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 14?	Yes	SELL	0	12¢	$0	0x993ff6…
06-13 13:17:52	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 14?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x3f003a…
06-13 13:17:43	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 14?	Yes	SELL	100	11¢	$11	0x1dbf68…
06-13 13:11:04	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 14?	Yes	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0xfee6e4…
06-13 13:10:28	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C or higher on June 15?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x7fb212…
06-13 12:59:19	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x500f62…
06-13 12:48:28	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x28230e…
06-13 12:48:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	37	4¢	$1	0x5d87a4…
06-13 12:42:00	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C or higher on June 15?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xd7d6ac…
06-13 12:41:13	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	48	3¢	$1	0x63f110…
06-13 12:35:43	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on June 13?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x817837…
06-13 12:22:52	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x7cd4f6…
06-13 12:20:12	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	22	2¢	$0	0x97a680…
06-13 12:01:27	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x97174e…
06-13 12:01:25	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 14?	Yes	BUY	23	2¢	$0	0x0294a8…
06-13 12:01:15	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xe6a2bd…
06-13 12:01:12	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x22b916…
06-13 12:01:10	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xe3b8ee…
06-13 12:01:01	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x580262…
06-13 12:01:00	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xbf35ba…
06-13 12:01:00	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x7130f4…
06-13 11:58:30	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x2cf834…
06-13 11:56:33	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa2ce0e…
06-13 11:54:07	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on June 13?	Yes	SELL	87	1¢	$1	0x1d17c7…
06-13 11:47:19	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x48979a…
06-13 11:46:21	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x269b13…