Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on May 12?
Yes won
Total volume
$737
$8,338 in 24h
Trades
50
Unique wallets
44
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
100¢
Latest NO mid
0¢
End date
2026-05-12
First seen
2026-05-10
last 05-12 20:40
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $32 | $32 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 41 | $408 | $226 | +$181 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 9 | $20 | $32 | $11 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 8 | $56 | $38 | +$18 |
| Median | 6 | $251 | $5 | +$246 |
| Below median | 14 | $80 | $10 | +$70 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | — | $50 | $50 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $0 | $117 | $117 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $6 | $6 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mundane-Help 0xd1b3…b432 | Yes | +248 | $245 | $245 | 1 | 05-12 17:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x5470…0af7 | No | +116 | $115 | $115 | 1 | 05-11 14:09 |
| Impeccable-Room 0x4ce3…4291 | Yes | +58 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-12 07:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xe4f7…ced9 | No | +52 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-11 03:42 |
| Juicy-Turtle 0xebcd…d2ef | Yes | +51 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-12 17:27 |
| Elastic-Apricot 0x415e…8f12 | Yes | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-12 20:40 |
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +29 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 05-11 23:18 |
| Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | Yes | +26 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-12 13:27 |
| Mild-Embellishment 0x1e3e…ce36 | Yes | +25 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 05-12 15:03 |
| Esteemed-Trader 0x05e1…4c1e | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 2 | 05-12 06:15 |
| Extraneous-Truth 0x997e…7e58 | Yes | +19 | $18 | $18 | 2 | 05-12 16:27 |
| Voluminous-Laryngitis 0xccd0…7482 | Yes | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-12 16:51 |
| Modest-Quota 0xfdd4…6084 | Yes | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 13:02 |
| Entire-Hood 0xb40e…7cc9 | No | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 12:17 |
| Biodegradable-Belief 0x57c8…3d9b | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-11 14:13 |
| Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-10 21:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x9180…5b21 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 18:25 |
| Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 14:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xd568…2863 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 13:32 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 11:42 |
| Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 14:53 |
| Homely-Submarine 0x1ef6…1174 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-10 13:57 |
| Academic-Abbreviation 0x7f21…fd1c | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 13:14 |
| Forsaken-Bureau 0xaff7…fb8b | Yes | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 14:27 |
| Frayed-Centimeter-Logo 0x6bc5…e40e | Yes | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 16:01 |
| Rusty-Western 0x67bb…1c2b | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 06:16 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-12 20:40:37 | Elastic-Apricot 0x415e…8f12 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xec291c… |
| 05-12 18:21:37 | Disgusting-Assist 0xb15e…7c54 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x9f8cd6… |
| 05-12 17:36:42 | Ornery-Starboard 0x50b1…0793 | No | SELL | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x494a8d… |
| 05-12 17:36:19 | Mundane-Help 0xd1b3…b432 | Yes | BUY | 248 | 99¢ | $245 | 0xc854dd… |
| 05-12 17:27:22 | Juicy-Turtle 0xebcd…d2ef | Yes | BUY | 51 | 98¢ | $50 | 0xc610cc… |
| 05-12 16:56:30 | Useful-Can 0xd2bb…d53f | Yes | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xeca73f… |
| 05-12 16:56:30 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x324daf… |
| 05-12 16:51:34 | Voluminous-Laryngitis 0xccd0…7482 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x045711… |
| 05-12 16:47:08 | Required-Cover 0x6ad7…347a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x8f59b5… |
| 05-12 16:27:08 | Extraneous-Truth 0x997e…7e58 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x111322… |
| 05-12 16:22:05 | Willing-Drill 0x3024…8ece | Yes | SELL | 6 | 94¢ | $6 | 0xb2f686… |
| 05-12 16:21:28 | Willing-Drill 0x3024…8ece | Yes | SELL | 9 | 95¢ | $9 | 0xf752cc… |
| 05-12 16:17:13 | Extraneous-Truth 0x997e…7e58 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 95¢ | $13 | 0x6b5318… |
| 05-12 16:01:58 | Frayed-Centimeter-Logo 0x6bc5…e40e | Yes | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x34c67e… |
| 05-12 15:03:17 | Mild-Embellishment 0x1e3e…ce36 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 94¢ | $23 | 0x462a53… |
| 05-12 14:53:13 | Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | BUY | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x0ae065… |
| 05-12 14:53:13 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 82¢ | $4 | 0x80ee67… |
| 05-12 14:53:13 | Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | BUY | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0xb27872… |
| 05-12 14:38:05 | Wobbly-Expertise 0x0a59…8e5c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0xb45196… |
| 05-12 14:33:00 | Perky-Pantyhose 0xd1e9…62a2 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 85¢ | $4 | 0xa48ea1… |
| 05-12 14:27:56 | Forsaken-Bureau 0xaff7…fb8b | Yes | BUY | 2 | 87¢ | $2 | 0x413215… |
| 05-12 14:23:09 | Sane-Trance 0xd36d…0a31 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 85¢ | $14 | 0xfacee2… |
| 05-12 13:27:59 | Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 45¢ | $12 | 0x2aeb1f… |
| 05-12 13:14:22 | Academic-Abbreviation 0x7f21…fd1c | Yes | BUY | 3 | 45¢ | $1 | 0x1637d4… |
| 05-12 13:02:54 | Modest-Quota 0xfdd4…6084 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 60¢ | $5 | 0x1795ce… |
| 05-12 12:17:42 | Entire-Hood 0xb40e…7cc9 | No | BUY | 6 | 34¢ | $2 | 0x3d8c6b… |
| 05-12 12:17:42 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 66¢ | $3 | 0xca32f8… |
| 05-12 11:42:40 | Beloved-Zone 0x2754…1668 | No | SELL | 1 | 34¢ | $0 | 0xd82874… |
| 05-12 11:42:37 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 5 | 42¢ | $2 | 0x38b3b0… |
| 05-12 11:37:37 | Unwelcome-Ukulele 0xa1cb…af17 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x6a9024… |
| 05-12 07:51:21 | Impeccable-Room 0x4ce3…4291 | Yes | BUY | 58 | 15¢ | $9 | 0xf17550… |
| 05-12 06:16:07 | Rusty-Western 0x67bb…1c2b | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x038077… |
| 05-12 06:15:57 | Esteemed-Trader 0x05e1…4c1e | No | BUY | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0xda5ebb… |
| 05-12 06:10:56 | Esteemed-Trader 0x05e1…4c1e | No | BUY | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0x206a81… |
| 05-11 23:38:59 | Necessary-Tag 0x06f7…53e0 | No | SELL | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x6e89bb… |
| 05-11 23:18:43 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc94be9… |
| 05-11 23:18:43 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc479ff… |
| 05-11 23:18:43 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4d7559… |
| 05-11 23:18:43 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x394685… |
| 05-11 23:18:43 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8d9aff… |
| 05-11 23:18:18 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3f213b… |
| 05-11 23:18:18 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 29 | 99¢ | $29 | 0xc3b1b4… |
| 05-11 18:25:21 | Ornery-Starboard 0x50b1…0793 | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x2dd274… |
| 05-11 18:25:06 | (anonymous) 0x9180…5b21 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xf8dcd0… |
| 05-11 14:13:16 | Biodegradable-Belief 0x57c8…3d9b | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x277928… |
| 05-11 14:09:18 | (anonymous) 0x5470…0af7 | No | BUY | 116 | 99¢ | $115 | 0xf4d1ab… |
| 05-11 13:32:03 | (anonymous) 0xd568…2863 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xdb848d… |
| 05-11 03:42:38 | (anonymous) 0xe4f7…ced9 | No | BUY | 52 | 98¢ | $50 | 0x3a4955… |
| 05-10 21:26:26 | Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xe9ddbe… |
| 05-10 13:57:07 | Homely-Submarine 0x1ef6…1174 | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x7ee93f… |