Mild-Embellishment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$176

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.2%

Resolved

Trades

1,119

lifetime

Volume

$19.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 07-20 16:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

82% 44% +$176

Other

17% — —

Politics

2% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 123 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
starmer out by june 26 2026 959 792 935	10	$879	497	497	+0	open	—	06-22 08:47
starmer out by june 22 2026	13	$532	466	466	+0	open	—	06-22 08:48
starmer out by june 23 2026	7	$328	182	182	+0	open	—	06-22 08:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	4	$247	200	200	+0	open	—	05-16 01:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	10	$239	237	237	+0	open	—	05-20 21:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	2	$222	127	127	+0	open	—	05-14 13:48
btc updown 5m 1781190600	5	$207	198	186	+12	open	—	06-11 15:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	3	$202	173	158	+15	open	—	05-16 18:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	7	$201	177	177	+0	open	—	05-21 11:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	3	$198	207	119	+88	open	—	05-16 01:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	10	$193	198	198	+0	open	—	05-16 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	4	$192	205	205	+0	open	—	05-16 01:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	7	$189	197	197	+0	open	—	05-21 13:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	3	$187	192	153	+39	open	—	05-14 23:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	6	$184	210	79	+130	open	—	05-20 15:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	4	$183	185	185	+0	open	—	05-16 01:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	3	$179	153	153	+0	open	—	05-16 12:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	2	$170	139	139	+0	open	—	05-14 23:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	3	$166	166	82	+84	open	—	05-16 01:15
btc updown 5m 1782342600	20	$164	0	193	-193	open	—	06-24 23:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	2	$163	150	150	+0	open	—	05-14 23:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	4	$158	146	146	+0	open	—	05-15 02:04
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	5	$151	190	190	+0	open	—	06-08 13:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	2	$150	343	0	+343	Down	+$46	05-14 05:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	4	$145	127	127	+0	open	—	05-21 00:58
starmer out by june 24 2026	5	$144	83	83	+0	open	—	06-22 08:47
btc updown 5m 1782342300	10	$144	0	200	-200	open	—	06-24 23:07
btc updown 5m 1782390600	1	$141	0	150	-150	open	—	06-25 12:30
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	5	$141	120	120	+0	open	—	07-15 20:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	3	$138	193	93	+100	open	—	05-15 01:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 16:26:10	will trump say melania during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255822	Yes	BUY	75	60¢	$45	0xfe7f41…
07-20 13:48:12	will keir starmer be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533201	Yes	BUY	340	0¢	$1	0xb8d8a4…
07-19 21:42:30	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	40	24¢	$10	0xe6f2c6…
07-19 00:19:10	will trump say melania during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255822	Yes	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0xf4218f…
07-16 21:41:26	btc updown 15m 1784237400	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x96c443…
07-15 21:03:56	will starmer say ban during the next pmq 20260702155400732	Yes	BUY	12	23¢	$3	0x19b98a…
07-15 20:53:50	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	75	95¢	$72	0xcdd950…
07-15 20:53:50	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	35	95¢	$33	0x17fbb1…
07-15 20:53:49	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	9	95¢	$9	0xf1c1ed…
07-15 20:30:05	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0xd81505…
07-15 20:17:56	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0xc8999b…
07-15 12:02:34	will starmer say constituent or constituency during the next pmq 20260702155400716	Yes	SELL	66	61¢	$40	0x15bee7…
07-15 11:50:46	will starmer say million or billion or trillion 5 times during the next pmq 20260702155400706	Yes	SELL	22	46¢	$10	0x19409a…
07-15 11:50:22	will starmer say million or billion or trillion 5 times during the next pmq 20260702155400706	Yes	SELL	45	46¢	$21	0x4da081…
07-15 08:29:58	will starmer say crime or criminal during the next pmq 20260702155400709	Yes	BUY	40	33¢	$13	0xe1837e…
07-15 08:20:23	will starmer say million or billion or trillion 5 times during the next pmq 20260702155400706	Yes	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xa6bc1d…
07-15 08:07:11	will starmer say million or billion or trillion 5 times during the next pmq 20260702155400706	Yes	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xfedf64…
07-15 07:37:22	will starmer say scotland during the next pmq 20260702155400714	Yes	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x9c197f…
07-15 07:36:32	will starmer say constituent or constituency during the next pmq 20260702155400716	Yes	BUY	51	65¢	$33	0xa56297…
07-15 07:35:20	will starmer say poverty during the next pmq 20260702155400724	Yes	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0xd7830b…
07-15 07:32:19	will starmer say shadow during the next pmq 20260702155400717	Yes	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0x807f09…
07-14 20:31:14	will starmer say shadow during the next pmq 20260702155400717	Yes	BUY	60	17¢	$10	0x6e90f7…
07-14 20:14:41	will starmer say violent or violence during the next pmq 20260702155400711	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0xd947c4…
07-13 16:56:17	will starmer say poverty during the next pmq 20260702155400724	Yes	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x3839f5…
07-13 16:50:41	will starmer say constituent or constituency during the next pmq 20260702155400716	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xd8b4a0…
07-07 14:14:47	btc updown 15m 1783432800	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xb2c6a9…
07-07 14:09:58	btc updown 5m 1783433100	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xe0d97b…
07-07 14:07:53	btc updown 15m 1783432800	Down	SELL	100	36¢	$36	0x4991ec…
07-07 14:06:25	btc updown 15m 1783432800	Up	SELL	100	79¢	$79	0x16dba2…
07-07 13:59:26	btc updown 15m 1783431900	Up	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0x6edecd…
07-07 13:57:08	btc updown 15m 1783431900	Up	BUY	7	9¢	$1	0x5a012b…
07-07 13:57:02	btc updown 15m 1783431900	Up	BUY	3	9¢	$0	0x4d18ed…
07-07 13:54:40	btc updown 15m 1783431900	Down	SELL	50	69¢	$34	0xe6cf42…
07-07 13:54:02	btc updown 15m 1783431900	Down	SELL	12	30¢	$4	0x9d5288…
07-07 13:54:02	btc updown 15m 1783431900	Down	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x1c25fa…
07-07 13:54:02	btc updown 15m 1783431900	Down	SELL	33	30¢	$10	0x0ac55e…
07-07 13:47:32	btc updown 15m 1783431900	Up	SELL	100	73¢	$73	0x530223…
07-07 13:44:46	btc updown 15m 1783431000	Down	BUY	178	11¢	$20	0xbbbee3…
07-07 13:44:20	btc updown 5m 1783431600	Down	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xfef056…
07-07 13:24:52	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	Yes	BUY	41	26¢	$11	0x1e3f07…
07-07 13:24:44	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x26012a…
07-07 13:22:13	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xdaf579…
07-06 11:45:35	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	Yes	BUY	17	19¢	$3	0x546559…
07-06 06:00:17	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	Yes	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0xfdf74f…
07-06 02:58:37	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	Yes	SELL	14	14¢	$2	0x3830fb…
07-06 02:57:10	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	Yes	SELL	8	15¢	$1	0x61d1ba…
07-05 23:22:23	btc updown 5m 1783293600	Up	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x42f574…
07-05 23:19:02	btc updown 5m 1783293300	Up	BUY	3	9¢	$0	0xf46e98…
07-05 23:19:02	btc updown 5m 1783293300	Up	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xb1d16a…
07-05 23:19:02	btc updown 5m 1783293300	Up	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0x532ee9…
07-05 19:49:53	btc updown 5m 1783280700	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x303166…
07-05 03:15:02	btc updown 5m 1783221000	Down	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x943024…
07-05 03:13:38	btc updown 15m 1783220400	Down	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x214e8b…
07-05 03:12:05	btc updown 15m 1783220400	Down	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0x881b7b…
07-05 03:09:37	btc updown 5m 1783220700	Down	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xabefdb…
07-05 03:09:37	btc updown 5m 1783220700	Down	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x898bb0…
07-05 01:18:50	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	Yes	SELL	50	16¢	$8	0xd6478c…
06-30 22:39:55	btc updown 15m 1782858600	Up	BUY	109	9¢	$10	0xc8166d…
06-30 22:38:14	btc updown 5m 1782858900	Down	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x640a31…
06-30 22:31:47	btc updown 5m 1782858600	Up	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xe9903a…
06-30 22:26:13	btc updown 15m 1782857700	Up	BUY	46	4¢	$2	0xe37bef…
06-30 22:21:52	btc updown 5m 1782858000	Up	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xe7f560…
06-30 22:09:25	btc updown 5m 1782857100	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xccac8b…
06-30 22:08:17	btc updown 15m 1782856800	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x48ef3e…
06-30 22:07:10	btc updown 15m 1782856800	Down	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0xece407…
06-30 21:58:35	btc updown 5m 1782856500	Down	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0xa4da2e…
06-30 21:57:56	btc updown 15m 1782855900	Down	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0xea9360…
06-30 21:37:26	btc updown 15m 1782855000	Down	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0xc6cc1b…
06-30 21:34:22	btc updown 5m 1782855000	Down	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x741e2d…
06-30 21:28:25	btc updown 5m 1782854700	Down	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xd5add9…
06-30 21:23:26	btc updown 5m 1782854400	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x18ec9f…
06-30 20:44:31	btc updown 5m 1782852000	Up	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x347b21…
06-30 20:42:17	btc updown 15m 1782851400	Up	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xeed9ae…
06-30 20:39:37	btc updown 5m 1782851700	Up	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xaf6da6…
06-29 19:53:32	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	Yes	BUY	427	14¢	$60	0x07beea…
06-29 00:58:07	btc updown 5m 1782694500	Down	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x2aa0be…
06-29 00:55:28	btc updown 15m 1782693900	Down	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x2668aa…
06-29 00:51:46	btc updown 5m 1782694200	Down	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0xc0f601…
06-29 00:47:16	btc updown 5m 1782693900	Up	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0xef3c3e…
06-29 00:44:34	btc updown 15m 1782693000	Down	BUY	94	1¢	$1	0x984a62…
06-29 00:42:44	btc updown 15m 1782693000	Down	BUY	52	10¢	$5	0xa49478…
06-29 00:41:20	btc updown 5m 1782693600	Down	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0xa1b432…
06-29 00:37:07	btc updown 5m 1782693300	Up	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x57738e…
06-29 00:34:59	btc updown 5m 1782693000	Down	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x6a3465…
06-29 00:34:41	btc updown 5m 1782693000	Up	SELL	17	30¢	$5	0xe006ab…
06-29 00:34:41	btc updown 5m 1782693000	Up	SELL	23	30¢	$7	0xb28c11…
06-29 00:34:41	btc updown 5m 1782693000	Up	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0xa28f1c…
06-29 00:34:41	btc updown 5m 1782693000	Up	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x0dfb16…
06-29 00:31:17	btc updown 5m 1782693000	Down	SELL	50	80¢	$40	0x9d0c02…
06-29 00:28:59	btc updown 5m 1782692700	Down	SELL	42	85¢	$35	0x6cbfb7…
06-29 00:28:59	btc updown 5m 1782692700	Down	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x25b96f…
06-29 00:28:59	btc updown 5m 1782692700	Down	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0x05d3f9…
06-29 00:21:49	btc updown 5m 1782692400	Up	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0x8e335e…
06-29 00:20:17	btc updown 15m 1782692100	Up	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0x11a581…
06-29 00:17:28	btc updown 5m 1782692100	Up	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0xc04fb2…
06-29 00:17:26	btc updown 5m 1782692100	Up	SELL	17	8¢	$1	0xb53ba4…
06-29 00:16:46	btc updown 5m 1782692100	Up	BUY	75	4¢	$3	0x2e6065…
06-29 00:14:46	btc updown 15m 1782691200	Down	SELL	16	25¢	$4	0x478210…
06-29 00:14:14	btc updown 15m 1782691200	Down	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0x4ad27f…
06-29 00:13:59	btc updown 15m 1782691200	Down	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0x64891c…