Mild-Embellishment — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$85

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

59.5%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

21 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$162

$162 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-11

last 05-14 04:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

55% 42% +$36

Other

45% 50% +$48

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the lowest temperature in London be 7°C on May 17?	Yes		+50	$4	5¢	$2	$-1	05-13 23:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	2	$27	102	0	+102	Down	$-27	05-14 02:41
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C or higher on May 12?	1	$25	46	0	+46	Yes	+$21	05-11 04:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	1	$25	89	0	+89	Up	+$64	05-14 04:46
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on May 12?	1	$23	25	0	+25	Yes	+$2	05-12 15:03
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 11?	1	$11	35	0	+35	No	$-11	05-11 04:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	1	$10	14	0	+14	Down	+$4	05-13 13:28
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on May 11?	1	$6	60	0	+60	No	$-6	05-11 04:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	1	$5	0	10	-10	Up	$-5	05-11 06:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	1	$5	17	0	+17	Up	$-5	05-14 04:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	1	$5	29	0	+29	Up	$-5	05-14 02:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	1	$5	13	0	+13	Down	+$8	05-14 02:34
Will the lowest temperature in London be 7°C on May 17?	1	$4	50	0	+50	open	—	05-13 23:35
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 11?	1	$2	46	0	+46	Yes	+$44	05-11 04:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	2	$2	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	05-11 20:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	1	$2	18	0	+18	Up	$-2	05-14 04:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	1	$1	12	0	+12	Down	$-1	05-12 10:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	1	$1	5	0	+5	Up	$-1	05-11 14:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	1	$1	7	0	+7	Up	+$6	05-11 20:31
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 13?	1	$0	4	0	+4	No	$-0	05-13 18:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 04:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	89	28¢	$25	0x1f9452…
05-14 04:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xa94cd2…
05-14 04:28:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xecb509…
05-14 02:41:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x16a81e…
05-14 02:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x8c0857…
05-14 02:32:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0x4a0f52…
05-14 02:21:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xee742b…
05-13 23:35:00	Will the lowest temperature in London be 7°C on May 17?	Yes	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0x4c0138…
05-13 18:37:44	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 13?	Yes	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0x16f972…
05-13 13:28:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xef56e3…
05-12 15:03:17	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	25	94¢	$23	0x462a53…
05-12 10:32:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xe35f12…
05-11 20:31:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xe0fccb…
05-11 20:28:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0x7c97b4…
05-11 20:27:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x4feaca…
05-11 14:42:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xdf59c0…
05-11 06:54:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	10	54¢	$5	0x2444c8…
05-11 04:53:30	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	35	32¢	$11	0x81d682…
05-11 04:47:31	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C or higher on May 12?	Yes	BUY	46	55¢	$25	0xdcd80b…
05-11 04:42:30	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	60	11¢	$6	0xf6d074…
05-11 04:24:25	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 11?	Yes	BUY	46	5¢	$2	0x277cb9…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	10	$4.41K	52	05-14 04:56
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	9	$721	111	05-14 04:51
Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4	8	$2.52K	79	05-14 04:51
Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc	8	$2.04K	102	05-14 04:55
Mean-Melatonin 0xab03…4494	7	$560	16	05-14 04:41
Yawning-Diction 0x227d…69fc	5	$688	229	05-14 04:55
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	4	$1.83K	23	05-14 04:29
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	4	$592	53	05-12 10:32