Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 11?
open
Total volume
$236
$676 in 24h
Trades
39
Unique wallets
30
Liquidity
$1,855
Latest YES mid
38¢
Latest NO mid
62¢
End date
2026-05-11
First seen
2026-05-09
last 05-10 06:26
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-26.3¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $9
vs crowd: 26% YES on $203)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | $9 | $9 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 29 | $53 | $140 | $87 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $9 | $9 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 8 | $38 | $91 | $53 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | — | $3 | $3 |
| Median | 4 | $6 | $2 | +$5 |
| Below median | 7 | — | $36 | $36 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $4 | $4 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $3 | $3 |
| unranked | 5 | $9 | $1 | +$8 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | +97 | $62 | $62 | 2 | 05-10 06:26 |
| Dependable-Imitation 0x5425…4c65 | Yes | +66 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 05-10 05:02 |
| Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | No | +28 | $17 | $17 | 3 | 05-10 03:51 |
| Prime-Employer 0xc236…aba9 | Yes | +27 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-09 19:37 |
| Vivacious-Manipulation 0x906f…371a | No | +18 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-10 06:18 |
| Spherical-Fringe 0x04b3…1b7e | No | +16 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 06:18 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | +15 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-10 05:03 |
| Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | No | +15 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 03:07 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +13 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-09 18:20 |
| Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | +8 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-10 01:01 |
| Wee-Revitalisation 0xa1a2…dbdf | Yes | +8 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-09 14:48 |
| Quaint-Hash 0x76b3…7d44 | No | +6 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-10 04:03 |
| Competent-Detail 0x15e9…dacd | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 01:35 |
| (anonymous) 0xf21f…b62b | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 05-10 05:21 |
| Thankful-Irony 0xae47…638d | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-10 06:18 |
| Oval-Poor 0x7a1b…1c78 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 03:07 |
| Imperfect-Rubber 0xd660…865a | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 03:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c35…2aae | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-10 06:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x8ca2…1d74 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 06:26 |
| Dependable-Phrase 0x6464…a7c5 | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-09 11:35 |
| Verifiable-Symmetry 0xff2f…f102 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 21:35 |
| (anonymous) 0xf021…245e | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 06:18 |
| Political-Nasal 0x5a1a…2983 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 06:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x6eff…f370 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 06:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xbf61…21ab | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 06:18 |
| Sweet-Prior 0x73ee…2ac5 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 03:37 |
| Angry-Nobody 0xf5dc…dec3 | No | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-10 06:18 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 06:26:49 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | BUY | 58 | 64¢ | $37 | 0xf1b727… |
| 05-10 06:26:49 | (anonymous) 0x8ca2…1d74 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 36¢ | $2 | 0x3fb6ed… |
| 05-10 06:26:30 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | BUY | 39 | 64¢ | $25 | 0xc1980e… |
| 05-10 06:18:43 | Angry-Nobody 0xf5dc…dec3 | No | BUY | 1 | 61¢ | $0 | 0x7abfca… |
| 05-10 06:18:13 | (anonymous) 0x6eff…f370 | No | BUY | 2 | 61¢ | $1 | 0xf0de77… |
| 05-10 06:18:13 | (anonymous) 0x4c35…2aae | No | BUY | 5 | 61¢ | $3 | 0x3bcf8a… |
| 05-10 06:18:08 | (anonymous) 0xf021…245e | No | BUY | 3 | 61¢ | $2 | 0xc381c5… |
| 05-10 06:18:08 | Spherical-Fringe 0x04b3…1b7e | No | BUY | 16 | 61¢ | $10 | 0x0c9e6d… |
| 05-10 06:18:08 | Thankful-Irony 0xae47…638d | No | BUY | 5 | 61¢ | $3 | 0xa30b03… |
| 05-10 06:18:08 | Political-Nasal 0x5a1a…2983 | No | BUY | 2 | 61¢ | $1 | 0xd0e3c2… |
| 05-10 06:18:08 | (anonymous) 0xbf61…21ab | No | BUY | 2 | 61¢ | $1 | 0xf5364d… |
| 05-10 06:18:06 | Vivacious-Manipulation 0x906f…371a | No | BUY | 18 | 60¢ | $11 | 0xb17e1a… |
| 05-10 05:21:38 | (anonymous) 0xf21f…b62b | No | BUY | 3 | 58¢ | $2 | 0xd9382f… |
| 05-10 05:21:34 | (anonymous) 0xf21f…b62b | No | BUY | 2 | 58¢ | $1 | 0x698b89… |
| 05-10 05:03:21 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | BUY | 15 | 54¢ | $8 | 0x79bf13… |
| 05-10 05:02:04 | Dependable-Imitation 0x5425…4c65 | Yes | BUY | 66 | 43¢ | $28 | 0xccbd65… |
| 05-10 05:02:04 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 45¢ | $7 | 0xda42fd… |
| 05-10 05:02:04 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 45¢ | $7 | 0x1bc291… |
| 05-10 04:03:42 | Quaint-Hash 0x76b3…7d44 | No | BUY | 6 | 62¢ | $4 | 0xf7f880… |
| 05-10 03:51:01 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | No | BUY | 12 | 64¢ | $8 | 0x6798d5… |
| 05-10 03:50:31 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | No | BUY | 10 | 62¢ | $6 | 0x4dfd77… |
| 05-10 03:50:29 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 38¢ | $6 | 0x34ed6f… |
| 05-10 03:40:39 | Imperfect-Rubber 0xd660…865a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 40¢ | $2 | 0x56345e… |
| 05-10 03:37:06 | Sweet-Prior 0x73ee…2ac5 | No | BUY | 2 | 65¢ | $1 | 0xbd2ae8… |
| 05-10 03:07:21 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 36¢ | $2 | 0x1a07bc… |
| 05-10 03:07:21 | Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | No | BUY | 15 | 64¢ | $10 | 0xbcf3b6… |
| 05-10 03:07:10 | Oval-Poor 0x7a1b…1c78 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 35¢ | $2 | 0xc98836… |
| 05-10 01:51:52 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | No | BUY | 5 | 60¢ | $3 | 0x7ee9d0… |
| 05-10 01:51:50 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 40¢ | $4 | 0x1f7e8f… |
| 05-10 01:51:45 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 40¢ | $4 | 0x3f28db… |
| 05-10 01:35:13 | Competent-Detail 0x15e9…dacd | Yes | BUY | 6 | 42¢ | $2 | 0xcd2027… |
| 05-10 01:01:12 | Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 40¢ | $3 | 0x1f60e3… |
| 05-09 21:35:28 | Verifiable-Symmetry 0xff2f…f102 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 37¢ | $1 | 0x887693… |
| 05-09 19:37:18 | Prime-Employer 0xc236…aba9 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 37¢ | $10 | 0x4da601… |
| 05-09 18:20:22 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x8f7f67… |
| 05-09 18:20:22 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 13 | 69¢ | $9 | 0x23322d… |
| 05-09 18:20:22 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x12fb28… |
| 05-09 14:48:30 | Wee-Revitalisation 0xa1a2…dbdf | Yes | BUY | 8 | 37¢ | $3 | 0x55fd13… |
| 05-09 11:35:27 | Dependable-Phrase 0x6464…a7c5 | No | BUY | 4 | 70¢ | $3 | 0x368d4d… |