Realized P&L
-$934
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
73.1%
Resolved
8,339
Trades
16,190
lifetime
Volume
$150.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$189
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-15
last 11-02 18:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 270 days
Categories
Other
81% 79% +$649
Crypto
11% 75% -$793
Sports
6% 58% -$829
Politics
2% 62% +$59
Tech
0% 89% +$2
Pop-Culture
0% 33% -$21
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
73 active days in 12wk • peak 122 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? No +124 $100 89¢ $111 +$11 10-22 12:16
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -16 -$16 98¢ $-16 $0 10-05 06:26
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +18 $15 63¢ $11 -$3 09-10 18:33
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +12 $5 68¢ $8 +$3 09-11 07:19
Will the next elected US president be a woman? Yes +30 $5 27¢ $8 +$3 09-25 12:59
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +57 $5 10¢ $5 +$0 09-11 13:51
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 09-10 17:13
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +189 $5 2¢ $5 $0 09-11 03:15
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +37 $5 12¢ $4 -$1 09-10 00:44
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +7 $5 46¢ $3 -$2 09-11 14:43
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? Yes +40 $5 8¢ $3 -$2 09-14 06:09
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? Yes +96 $5 2¢ $2 -$2 09-23 20:57
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +34 $5 6¢ $2 -$3 09-12 14:09
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? Yes +24 $5 8¢ $2 -$3 09-10 17:58
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +80 $5 2¢ $1 -$3 09-13 15:01
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +41 $2 2¢ $1 -$1 09-11 01:57