Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 11?
open
Total volume
$266
$1,346 in 24h
Trades
38
Unique wallets
32
Liquidity
$2,846
Latest YES mid
23¢
Latest NO mid
77¢
End date
2026-05-11
First seen
2026-05-09
last 05-10 07:21
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🦐 Shrimp | 32 | $53 | $177 | $124 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | — | $45 | $45 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| Median | 11 | $7 | $123 | $116 |
| Below median | 9 | $22 | $10 | +$12 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $19 | — | +$19 |
| unranked | 3 | $2 | — | +$2 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x3507…71d7 | No | +94 | $75 | $75 | 1 | 05-10 02:00 |
| Far-Post 0xf787…1b63 | Yes | +71 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 05-10 05:02 |
| Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | +53 | $41 | $41 | 1 | 05-10 06:57 |
| Glossy-Tic 0x8e57…53b3 | Yes | +37 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 02:11 |
| Extra-Large-Principal 0x6adf…b216 | Yes | +31 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 02:28 |
| Kosher-Rebellion 0x885f…7bf9 | Yes | +21 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-10 04:56 |
| Illustrious-Purpose 0x0250…f273 | No | +14 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 01:45 |
| Icky-Bower 0x746d…2db5 | No | +13 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 02:01 |
| Unknown-Jeweller 0x9711…5d8b | No | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 04:07 |
| Lined-Disco 0x1cff…e0b6 | Yes | +12 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 03:16 |
| Fluid-Panel 0xa86d…0fd2 | Yes | +11 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-09 18:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x2930…3666 | No | +9 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-10 05:38 |
| Deserted-Menopause 0x6a49…59e0 | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 02:26 |
| Near-Science 0x2706…c6be | No | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 01:31 |
| Flawless-Brother-Crab 0xd092…a689 | Yes | +7 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 05:43 |
| Surprised-Chiffonier 0xe709…013a | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-10 02:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x10a1…7a23 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 03:16 |
| Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-10 02:05 |
| Teeming-Biplane 0x6a8d…50f9 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 05-10 03:18 |
| Zany-Clave 0xeff4…88d2 | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 07:21 |
| Attractive-Wasabi 0x4a8f…f793 | Yes | +4 | $1 | $3 | 2 | 05-10 02:11 |
| Instructive-Spec 0x6641…55d0 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 01:20 |
| Sharp-Offer 0x8f39…1617 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 01:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xe2a1…0455 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 05:02 |
| Swift-Hygienic 0xc8a4…fc0b | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 06:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xa12f…9f41 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 07:21 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 07:21:39 | (anonymous) 0xa12f…9f41 | No | BUY | 1 | 78¢ | $1 | 0xcc8e9c… |
| 05-10 07:21:37 | Zany-Clave 0xeff4…88d2 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 25¢ | $1 | 0xcc274a… |
| 05-10 06:57:28 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | BUY | 53 | 77¢ | $41 | 0x64c440… |
| 05-10 06:52:05 | Swift-Hygienic 0xc8a4…fc0b | No | BUY | 1 | 77¢ | $1 | 0x7a1157… |
| 05-10 06:16:51 | Fussy-Parsley-Definition 0x512c…17d5 | No | SELL | 5 | 75¢ | $4 | 0xe01253… |
| 05-10 05:43:43 | Flawless-Brother-Crab 0xd092…a689 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 27¢ | $2 | 0xffb039… |
| 05-10 05:38:22 | (anonymous) 0x2930…3666 | No | BUY | 9 | 75¢ | $7 | 0x75c136… |
| 05-10 05:02:37 | (anonymous) 0xe2a1…0455 | No | BUY | 1 | 76¢ | $1 | 0xe1b148… |
| 05-10 05:02:35 | Far-Post 0xf787…1b63 | Yes | BUY | 71 | 27¢ | $19 | 0x268c73… |
| 05-10 04:56:40 | Kosher-Rebellion 0x885f…7bf9 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 28¢ | $6 | 0x62cd1e… |
| 05-10 04:07:17 | Unknown-Jeweller 0x9711…5d8b | No | BUY | 12 | 80¢ | $10 | 0x7071a7… |
| 05-10 03:20:48 | Fussy-Parsley-Definition 0x512c…17d5 | No | BUY | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0xb2a6f5… |
| 05-10 03:18:56 | Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | Yes | SELL | 30 | 16¢ | $5 | 0x63cccd… |
| 05-10 03:18:54 | Teeming-Biplane 0x6a8d…50f9 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xb30d70… |
| 05-10 03:16:51 | (anonymous) 0x10a1…7a23 | No | BUY | 6 | 85¢ | $5 | 0xde15bc… |
| 05-10 03:16:25 | Lined-Disco 0x1cff…e0b6 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x44e4f9… |
| 05-10 02:28:32 | Extra-Large-Principal 0x6adf…b216 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 15¢ | $5 | 0xf7dc6b… |
| 05-10 02:26:03 | Deserted-Menopause 0x6a49…59e0 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x9b0b4d… |
| 05-10 02:17:11 | Repulsive-Compress 0x2510…b91b | Yes | SELL | 39 | 15¢ | $6 | 0xbba66c… |
| 05-10 02:11:09 | Attractive-Wasabi 0x4a8f…f793 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 26¢ | $1 | 0x9bac90… |
| 05-10 02:11:09 | Surprised-Chiffonier 0xe709…013a | Yes | SELL | 1 | 26¢ | $0 | 0x4b04d0… |
| 05-10 02:11:09 | Glossy-Tic 0x8e57…53b3 | Yes | BUY | 37 | 27¢ | $10 | 0x3965d9… |
| 05-10 02:11:09 | (anonymous) 0x97f1…a523 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 26¢ | $0 | 0xb7c481… |
| 05-10 02:11:09 | (anonymous) 0x0c35…2bab | Yes | SELL | 2 | 26¢ | $0 | 0x5b3c8d… |
| 05-10 02:05:26 | Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | BUY | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0xf4d3a4… |
| 05-10 02:01:36 | Icky-Bower 0x746d…2db5 | No | BUY | 13 | 74¢ | $10 | 0xf81ab5… |
| 05-10 02:00:49 | (anonymous) 0x3507…71d7 | No | BUY | 94 | 80¢ | $75 | 0xdc7506… |
| 05-10 01:46:35 | Attractive-Wasabi 0x4a8f…f793 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 30¢ | $2 | 0xeddeca… |
| 05-10 01:46:35 | (anonymous) 0x97f1…a523 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 24¢ | $0 | 0xb2da39… |
| 05-10 01:46:33 | Surprised-Chiffonier 0xe709…013a | Yes | BUY | 7 | 29¢ | $2 | 0x326cb2… |
| 05-10 01:46:33 | (anonymous) 0x97f1…a523 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 24¢ | $0 | 0x7349a5… |
| 05-10 01:46:32 | Teeming-Biplane 0x6a8d…50f9 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 30¢ | $0 | 0xc0a0f7… |
| 05-10 01:46:32 | (anonymous) 0x4c75…d40b | Yes | SELL | 75 | 26¢ | $19 | 0x7643b0… |
| 05-10 01:45:20 | Illustrious-Purpose 0x0250…f273 | No | BUY | 14 | 70¢ | $10 | 0xbfa817… |
| 05-10 01:43:30 | Sharp-Offer 0x8f39…1617 | No | BUY | 2 | 70¢ | $1 | 0xf81ccc… |
| 05-10 01:31:02 | Near-Science 0x2706…c6be | No | BUY | 8 | 68¢ | $5 | 0x989d95… |
| 05-10 01:20:38 | Instructive-Spec 0x6641…55d0 | No | BUY | 3 | 76¢ | $2 | 0x1b86f6… |
| 05-09 18:52:25 | Fluid-Panel 0xa86d…0fd2 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 29¢ | $3 | 0xc309af… |