Elliptical-Tofu — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$439

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

43.1%

Resolved

572

Trades

879

lifetime

Volume

$4.27K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-30

last 10-28 22:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 159 days

Categories

Other

82% 25% -$358

Sports

18% 53% -$88

Crypto

1% 80% +$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 15?	6	$73	130	0	+130	No	-$73	05-15 13:01
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on May 16?	11	$67	339	0	+339	No	-$67	05-16 13:00
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on May 5?	3	$62	141	141	+0	No	-$43	05-05 17:34
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on April 27?	2	$41	32	32	+1	Yes	+$5	04-27 19:42
highest temperature in nyc on april 24 2026 66forhigher	3	$40	138	132	+6	No	+$4	04-24 19:22
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on April 29?	3	$37	54	21	+33	Yes	+$15	04-29 13:38
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds	2	$37	41	41	+0	St. Louis Cardinals	-$3	05-27 13:15
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 12?	1	$35	69	0	+69	No	-$35	05-12 12:00
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on May 14?	7	$34	335	0	+335	No	-$34	05-14 12:35
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 25?	3	$34	31	31	+0	Yes	+$24	06-25 15:23
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on May 12?	1	$33	78	0	+78	No	-$33	05-12 13:00
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on August 9?	3	$33	28	28	+0	Yes	+$23	08-09 21:44
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees	2	$32	45	45	+0	New York Yankees	-$9	05-27 13:15
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 13?	6	$32	161	0	+161	Yes	+$129	05-13 13:31
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 8?	1	$31	67	0	+67	No	-$31	05-08 12:00
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on May 8?	5	$30	71	0	+71	No	-$30	05-08 13:11
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on April 28?	2	$29	60	58	+2	No	-$7	04-28 12:45
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on July 5?	4	$29	27	27	+0	Yes	+$21	07-05 15:42
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 11?	8	$29	127	0	+127	Yes	+$98	05-11 12:01
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 7?	1	$28	51	0	+51	Yes	+$23	05-07 12:00
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 9?	1	$28	53	0	+53	No	-$28	05-09 12:00
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on May 11?	3	$27	58	0	+58	Yes	+$31	05-11 13:31
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on May 7?	9	$27	59	0	+59	Yes	+$32	05-07 14:40
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 6?	2	$26	205	205	+0	No	-$5	05-06 13:18
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 10?	1	$26	68	0	+68	Yes	+$42	05-10 12:00
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on May 3?	1	$25	56	0	+56	No	-$25	05-03 12:00
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on July 29?	2	$25	22	22	+0	Yes	+$19	07-29 19:10
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 35°C on June 27?	4	$25	19	19	+0	Yes	-$2	06-27 14:32
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 20?	4	$24	20	20	+0	Yes	+$13	07-20 16:04
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 4?	1	$23	37	0	+37	No	-$23	05-04 12:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 22:40:17	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	12	11¢	$1	0x3b8730…
10-28 22:40:13	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xd97d5a…
10-28 22:40:10	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0xfad91f…
10-27 22:40:14	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x484c06…
10-27 22:40:09	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	16	8¢	$1	0x591720…
10-27 21:12:29	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	9	91¢	$8	0xf54ec2…
10-26 22:41:17	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	9	16¢	$1	0xc7248d…
10-26 22:40:18	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	18¢	$1	0x9c5feb…
10-26 22:40:14	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	18¢	$1	0xeb223c…
10-26 22:40:09	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	14	9¢	$1	0xd6e7ad…
10-25 22:40:17	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	14	11¢	$2	0xde08bd…
10-25 22:40:08	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0xc1cb15…
10-24 22:40:08	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	14	12¢	$2	0x4ec1e2…
09-20 22:40:14	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x183491…
09-20 22:40:10	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	22	8¢	$2	0xb7a79d…
09-19 22:41:18	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	26	7¢	$2	0x0ab43e…
09-19 22:41:07	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C or higher on September 20?	Yes	BUY	21	10¢	$2	0x06ee18…
09-19 22:40:15	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	15	15¢	$2	0xc14d2a…
09-19 22:40:10	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x412ea9…
09-19 14:40:23	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	17	14¢	$2	0x821a22…
09-18 22:40:19	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x3d5382…
09-18 22:40:10	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x733f76…
09-18 14:40:24	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	14	13¢	$2	0x8b65d9…
09-17 22:40:18	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x77e461…
09-17 22:40:10	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	11	20¢	$2	0xc91496…
09-16 22:40:13	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	32	7¢	$2	0x8eaf71…
09-15 22:41:16	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	13	20¢	$3	0xc26f2f…
09-15 22:40:13	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	26	9¢	$2	0x878bb8…
09-15 22:40:10	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	16	15¢	$2	0xdd2438…
09-14 22:40:18	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0x3f98ab…
09-14 22:40:12	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x160e4b…
09-10 22:41:16	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0xfd138d…
09-10 22:41:06	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	32	9¢	$3	0x75ad2e…
09-10 22:40:18	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x6bc918…
09-09 22:40:19	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	19	18¢	$3	0xe4e339…
09-09 22:40:09	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	39	7¢	$3	0x993b84…
09-09 14:40:19	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	26	13¢	$3	0x1764db…
09-08 22:40:16	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on September 9?	Yes	BUY	18	21¢	$4	0x065143…
09-08 14:40:24	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 9?	Yes	BUY	30	13¢	$4	0xc1c673…
09-08 11:24:54	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on September 8?	Yes	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0x843a4b…
09-08 11:01:12	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on September 8?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x2808c6…
09-08 10:58:25	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on September 8?	Yes	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0x2fddcb…
09-07 22:41:16	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 8?	Yes	BUY	19	22¢	$4	0x728469…
09-07 22:40:18	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on September 8?	Yes	BUY	11	12¢	$1	0xe9332b…
09-07 22:40:18	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on September 8?	Yes	BUY	26	11¢	$3	0xcdaea7…
09-07 09:35:24	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on September 7?	Yes	SELL	21	85¢	$18	0xcccd9b…
09-06 22:40:16	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	13	29¢	$4	0x0eac4a…
09-06 22:40:12	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	21	17¢	$4	0x6715ef…
09-06 14:40:19	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x572b92…
09-05 22:40:16	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	15	28¢	$4	0x266316…
09-05 14:40:22	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	34	10¢	$3	0xdec34d…
09-04 22:41:16	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	26	14¢	$4	0xcedae4…
09-04 22:40:18	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	26	15¢	$4	0x39dedf…
09-04 22:40:13	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	19	20¢	$4	0x9f4ba3…
09-04 22:40:09	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	39	10¢	$4	0x1fa3d1…
09-03 22:40:18	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	15	29¢	$4	0xd2f4de…
09-03 22:40:13	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	24	18¢	$4	0xef3546…
09-03 22:40:09	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	19	25¢	$5	0x4c61cc…
09-02 22:40:12	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x47b954…
08-31 22:41:15	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x6049be…
08-31 22:40:15	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0xe5f84e…
08-30 22:40:13	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on August 31?	Yes	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xa25a65…
08-30 22:40:09	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 31?	Yes	BUY	39	6¢	$2	0xa7060d…
08-29 22:41:15	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on August 30?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x22b4a5…
08-29 22:41:07	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on August 30?	Yes	BUY	16	12¢	$2	0x3a7610…
08-29 22:40:16	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on August 30?	Yes	BUY	28	7¢	$2	0x7c0a4f…
08-29 22:40:07	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 30?	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xb63ce7…
08-29 14:40:18	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 30?	Yes	BUY	19	10¢	$2	0x34e231…
08-28 22:41:16	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	27	9¢	$2	0xf7b34f…
08-28 22:41:07	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	31¢	$2	0x3e5a55…
08-28 22:40:09	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0x081fa7…
08-27 14:40:16	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	15	15¢	$2	0xb678b7…
08-26 22:40:16	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	28	9¢	$2	0x073707…
08-26 22:40:13	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x28c592…
08-26 22:40:07	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x8ab29f…
08-26 19:22:24	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 26?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x9bf3ce…
08-26 14:40:21	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0x8046d6…
08-26 14:40:16	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$3	0x8a7256…
08-25 22:41:15	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	19	14¢	$3	0x8c21db…
08-25 22:40:15	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	21	13¢	$3	0x265ca0…
08-25 22:40:12	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x15026c…
08-24 22:41:16	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	17	16¢	$3	0x14adbd…
08-24 22:40:16	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0xd2766f…
08-24 22:40:13	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0xe47649…
08-24 14:18:40	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 24?	Yes	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0xca3959…
08-24 14:18:21	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on August 24?	Yes	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x99cd0b…
08-23 22:42:12	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C or higher on August 24?	Yes	BUY	28	8¢	$2	0xb802cd…
08-23 22:41:16	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xe6bbbc…
08-23 22:40:18	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	15	19¢	$3	0x24508a…
08-23 22:40:13	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	15	19¢	$3	0x9c6787…
08-23 22:40:09	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0x3e16ed…
08-23 19:40:25	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 23?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xff0ab3…
08-22 22:40:16	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	39	7¢	$3	0xaa910c…
08-22 22:40:12	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	7	50¢	$3	0x5e1532…
08-22 08:23:22	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on August 22?	Yes	SELL	18	98¢	$18	0x1993f7…
08-21 22:41:15	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	17	14¢	$2	0x030c94…
08-21 22:40:16	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	18	15¢	$3	0x3b2a87…
08-21 22:40:12	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x2ee65a…
08-20 22:41:16	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	22	13¢	$3	0xdeb4bd…
08-20 22:40:16	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	26	11¢	$3	0x69b6a6…