Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 15?
open
Total volume
$267
$627 in 24h
Trades
49
Unique wallets
39
Liquidity
$1,627
Latest YES mid
32¢
Latest NO mid
68¢
End date
2026-05-15
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-14 17:18
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $12 | $12 |
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | $22 | $5 | +$17 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 36 | $78 | $119 | $41 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $28 | $12 | +$16 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $34 | $5 | +$30 |
| Median | 14 | $13 | $75 | $62 |
| Below median | 10 | $24 | $18 | +$7 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $10 | $10 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | $12 | $12 |
| unranked | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Upset-Potato 0x951c…d8c7 | Yes | +90 | $32 | $32 | 2 | 05-14 15:26 |
| Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | Yes | +68 | $22 | $22 | 2 | 05-14 11:29 |
| Tidy-Washtub 0x973e…15c2 | No | +40 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-14 13:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x62a8…2132 | No | +32 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 05-14 01:17 |
| Attractive-Arrogance 0xb1df…3d5d | Yes | +20 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-14 16:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x1df0…3938 | Yes | +20 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-14 03:00 |
| Formal-Wasabi 0xa9fd…1902 | Yes | +18 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-14 01:49 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +18 | $12 | $12 | 2 | 05-14 15:28 |
| Sophisticated-Continuity 0x3313…92ad | Yes | +18 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 13:05 |
| Mad-Beastie 0x9151…a93e | No | +16 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-14 15:34 |
| Spherical-Fringe 0x04b3…1b7e | No | +13 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 13:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x4624…d4bf | Yes | +10 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 05-14 01:17 |
| Outrageous-Kendo 0xf585…aae1 | Yes | +10 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-13 23:39 |
| Orderly-Headrest 0xa25f…127b | Yes | +10 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-13 21:34 |
| Flawless-Fool 0x444c…d440 | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-13 04:47 |
| Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | +9 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-14 02:57 |
| Angry-Nobody 0xf5dc…dec3 | No | +8 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-14 13:05 |
| Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | No | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 12:04 |
| Offbeat-Homonym 0x3edf…e863 | No | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 15:31 |
| Soggy-Crewmember 0x503f…9a8f | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 23:54 |
| Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 21:49 |
| Illustrious-Oxford 0x558b…f41b | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 12:24 |
| Natural-Oak 0xf9f0…fa62 | Yes | +7 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 13:04 |
| Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 13:10 |
| Roasted-Olive 0x5979…98b7 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 17:18 |
| Buoyant-Wrist 0xfb13…15f5 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 21:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x93a1…980e | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 17:42 |
| Political-Nasal 0x5a1a…2983 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 13:05 |
| Shady-Government 0x6fb2…bd2d | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 17:18 |
| Feline-Lamb 0xdff0…5865 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 13:05 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 17:18:56 | Shady-Government 0x6fb2…bd2d | No | BUY | 1 | 72¢ | $1 | 0x9890ec… |
| 05-14 17:18:54 | Roasted-Olive 0x5979…98b7 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 31¢ | $1 | 0x4cb49d… |
| 05-14 16:36:49 | Attractive-Arrogance 0xb1df…3d5d | Yes | BUY | 20 | 30¢ | $6 | 0x2995df… |
| 05-14 15:34:22 | Mad-Beastie 0x9151…a93e | No | BUY | 16 | 64¢ | $11 | 0xdaa8bb… |
| 05-14 15:31:20 | Offbeat-Homonym 0x3edf…e863 | No | BUY | 8 | 64¢ | $5 | 0x413584… |
| 05-14 15:28:55 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 8 | 64¢ | $5 | 0xa40d31… |
| 05-14 15:26:26 | Upset-Potato 0x951c…d8c7 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 37¢ | $15 | 0x6c3cc3… |
| 05-14 15:24:26 | Upset-Potato 0x951c…d8c7 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 35¢ | $18 | 0x004f59… |
| 05-14 14:26:18 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 10 | 69¢ | $7 | 0x5c9039… |
| 05-14 13:10:59 | (anonymous) 0x8ca2…1d74 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 25¢ | $2 | 0x664daa… |
| 05-14 13:10:58 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | Yes | BUY | 6 | 26¢ | $2 | 0x3cba36… |
| 05-14 13:05:58 | (anonymous) 0x8ca2…1d74 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 27¢ | $2 | 0xc8a8f3… |
| 05-14 13:05:58 | Angry-Nobody 0xf5dc…dec3 | No | BUY | 8 | 73¢ | $6 | 0x85b211… |
| 05-14 13:05:53 | (anonymous) 0xee41…3e9c | Yes | SELL | 4 | 26¢ | $1 | 0xe139e2… |
| 05-14 13:05:51 | (anonymous) 0xee41…3e9c | Yes | BUY | 4 | 28¢ | $1 | 0x5f776c… |
| 05-14 13:05:51 | Political-Nasal 0x5a1a…2983 | No | BUY | 3 | 73¢ | $2 | 0xf612a9… |
| 05-14 13:05:51 | Spherical-Fringe 0x04b3…1b7e | No | BUY | 13 | 75¢ | $10 | 0xa0176c… |
| 05-14 13:05:50 | Feline-Lamb 0xdff0…5865 | No | BUY | 1 | 73¢ | $1 | 0xe53cd0… |
| 05-14 13:05:50 | Sophisticated-Continuity 0x3313…92ad | Yes | BUY | 18 | 28¢ | $5 | 0x04f631… |
| 05-14 13:04:31 | Natural-Oak 0xf9f0…fa62 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 27¢ | $2 | 0xbd9e6f… |
| 05-14 13:04:26 | Tidy-Washtub 0x973e…15c2 | No | BUY | 40 | 76¢ | $30 | 0x77f12b… |
| 05-14 12:24:30 | Illustrious-Oxford 0x558b…f41b | No | BUY | 7 | 70¢ | $5 | 0x1f02e4… |
| 05-14 12:17:56 | Hurtful-Captain 0x2b13…62d3 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 27¢ | $4 | 0x2b8111… |
| 05-14 12:04:12 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 33¢ | $2 | 0x29c796… |
| 05-14 12:04:12 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 33¢ | $2 | 0x8fed87… |
| 05-14 12:04:12 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 32¢ | $2 | 0xba2b7c… |
| 05-14 12:04:12 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 33¢ | $2 | 0xad7e6b… |
| 05-14 12:04:10 | Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | No | BUY | 8 | 67¢ | $5 | 0x8df494… |
| 05-14 11:29:15 | (anonymous) 0x8ca2…1d74 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 33¢ | $3 | 0xa8cbbe… |
| 05-14 11:29:15 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 33¢ | $10 | 0xb1b050… |
| 05-14 11:20:32 | Witty-Disregard 0x0a0c…a853 | No | SELL | 13 | 67¢ | $8 | 0x85eb77… |
| 05-14 11:19:59 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | Yes | BUY | 39 | 32¢ | $12 | 0x206019… |
| 05-14 11:14:07 | Hurtful-Captain 0x2b13…62d3 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 30¢ | $3 | 0xb2f9dd… |
| 05-14 11:14:07 | (anonymous) 0x8ca2…1d74 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 30¢ | $3 | 0x726940… |
| 05-14 06:59:09 | Hurtful-Captain 0x2b13…62d3 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 30¢ | $3 | 0x1ce16a… |
| 05-14 03:00:46 | (anonymous) 0x1df0…3938 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 34¢ | $7 | 0x170455… |
| 05-14 02:57:11 | Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | BUY | 9 | 71¢ | $6 | 0x7589e6… |
| 05-14 01:49:45 | Formal-Wasabi 0xa9fd…1902 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 35¢ | $6 | 0x644019… |
| 05-14 01:17:17 | (anonymous) 0x4624…d4bf | Yes | BUY | 7 | 32¢ | $2 | 0xff3241… |
| 05-14 01:17:17 | (anonymous) 0x62a8…2132 | No | BUY | 32 | 68¢ | $22 | 0x33276a… |
| 05-13 23:54:34 | (anonymous) 0x4624…d4bf | Yes | BUY | 3 | 33¢ | $1 | 0x8460f1… |
| 05-13 23:54:32 | Soggy-Crewmember 0x503f…9a8f | No | BUY | 7 | 68¢ | $5 | 0x77f5cf… |
| 05-13 23:39:41 | Outrageous-Kendo 0xf585…aae1 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 35¢ | $4 | 0x2944c7… |
| 05-13 22:07:02 | (anonymous) 0x6ec3…e5e5 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 34¢ | $0 | 0x5fd48d… |
| 05-13 21:49:39 | Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | No | BUY | 7 | 66¢ | $5 | 0x7c1936… |
| 05-13 21:38:06 | Buoyant-Wrist 0xfb13…15f5 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 33¢ | $1 | 0xc6f382… |
| 05-13 21:34:06 | Orderly-Headrest 0xa25f…127b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 33¢ | $3 | 0x9b9a13… |
| 05-13 17:42:48 | (anonymous) 0x93a1…980e | No | BUY | 3 | 71¢ | $2 | 0x706b8c… |
| 05-13 04:47:30 | Flawless-Fool 0x444c…d440 | No | BUY | 10 | 84¢ | $8 | 0xf88a56… |