Hurtful-Captain — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$806

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

72.6%

Resolved

2,004

Trades

64,703

lifetime

Volume

$184.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-05

last 10-11 22:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 159 days

Categories

Other

94% 63% +$949

Crypto

6% 75% -$143

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 250 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Plague pandemic in 2026?	Yes		+114	$5	2¢	$2	-$3	10-08 11:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 15?	201	$1.1K	954	954	+0	Yes	+$9	05-15 02:27
highest temperature in seoul on april 24 2026 21corhigher	170	$941	644	642	+2	Yes	+$7	04-24 00:30
highest temperature in london on march 8 2026 11corbelow	157	$894	601	601	+0	Yes	+$7	03-08 16:21
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 18?	140	$891	594	590	+4	Yes	+$6	05-18 00:44
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 25?	137	$890	535	520	+15	No	-$10	04-25 03:12
highest temperature in london on march 7 2026 10c	273	$856	1,007	1,092	-85	No	+$71	03-07 13:02
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 16?	141	$834	661	661	+0	No	-$14	05-16 04:28
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or higher on April 26?	118	$827	516	516	+0	Yes	+$5	04-26 02:25
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 24?	113	$811	511	481	+30	No	-$22	05-24 03:13
highest temperature in paris on april 4 2026 17corhigher	124	$789	468	468	+0	Yes	+$2	04-04 11:22
highest temperature in nyc on march 4 2026 48forhigher	156	$776	574	574	+0	Yes	+$5	03-04 13:07
highest temperature in warsaw on april 15 2026 15corhigher	110	$757	434	434	+0	Yes	+$4	04-15 01:00
highest temperature in seoul on march 10 2026 8corhigher	108	$747	655	635	+20	No	-$23	03-10 08:25
highest temperature in london on april 1 2026 14c	187	$744	682	693	-11	Yes	+$2	04-01 13:02
highest temperature in london on february 19 2026 7c	187	$702	519	583	-64	Yes	-$16	02-19 13:07
highest temperature in nyc on march 1 2026 38 39f	186	$702	752	752	+1	No	+$11	03-01 18:23
highest temperature in london on march 27 2026 12c	186	$670	649	649	+0	Yes	+$6	03-27 13:02
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on May 23?	167	$661	580	580	+0	Yes	-$3	05-23 15:30
highest temperature in nyc on march 9 2026 66forhigher	121	$633	469	469	+0	Yes	+$7	03-09 15:17
highest temperature in london on march 26 2026 10c	185	$613	547	547	+0	Yes	+$7	03-26 13:08
highest temperature in nyc on march 10 2026 68forhigher	79	$609	332	373	-41	Yes	-$3	03-10 15:43
highest temperature in london on february 20 2026 11c	176	$598	695	739	-44	No	+$22	02-20 13:00
highest temperature in london on february 28 2026 10c	196	$597	654	747	-93	No	+$57	02-28 12:34
highest temperature in nyc on march 8 2026 60forhigher	103	$581	333	385	-52	Yes	-$9	03-08 16:19
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or higher on April 30?	114	$574	559	559	+0	No	+$5	04-30 04:08
highest temperature in london on march 29 2026 11c	162	$548	515	538	-22	Yes	-$4	03-29 12:54
highest temperature in london on april 5 2026 13c	138	$542	438	437	+1	No	+$5	04-05 11:22
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 7?	138	$540	513	513	+0	Yes	+$7	05-07 17:02
highest temperature in seoul on february 13 2026 9corhigher	122	$526	625	625	+0	Yes	+$16	02-13 04:03
highest temperature in nyc on march 24 2026 46 47f	149	$520	639	639	+0	No	+$9	03-24 18:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-11 22:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0xc71fea…
10-11 22:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x541c7f…
10-11 22:21:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x925df9…
10-11 22:12:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xe4f243…
10-11 22:01:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0xbdabb7…
10-11 22:01:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xee7b13…
10-11 21:41:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x3747cb…
10-11 21:23:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x9850f4…
10-11 21:22:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x732096…
10-11 21:02:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0xf378e1…
10-11 21:01:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xd799b5…
10-11 20:52:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x1d6483…
10-11 20:06:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x4380e9…
10-11 20:06:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x63c215…
10-11 20:02:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x3197e0…
10-11 19:31:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x01f1f8…
10-11 19:07:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x1a1208…
10-11 19:06:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x9e9538…
10-11 19:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x9797ed…
10-11 18:57:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x2b94aa…
10-11 18:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	10¢	$1	0x787456…
10-11 18:41:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xc5b195…
10-11 18:27:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0xccc292…
10-11 18:12:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x4028ed…
10-11 18:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xd15d80…
10-11 18:04:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x994022…
10-11 18:02:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x185502…
10-11 17:58:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x7dca18…
10-11 17:56:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xb117d6…
10-11 17:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x1246b1…
10-11 17:51:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$4	0x649e72…
10-11 16:38:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3f72d7…
10-11 16:18:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xcae529…
10-11 14:28:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x2a9f4c…
10-11 13:52:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x4dbd69…
10-11 12:43:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-11 12:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x71a87b…
10-11 12:13:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x0d471f…
10-11 11:23:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x6ba501…
10-11 11:21:21	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 11?	Yes	SELL	1	17¢	$0	0xa59fc4…
10-11 11:21:15	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 11?	Yes	SELL	39	1¢	$0	0x43b911…
10-11 11:21:09	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 11?	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x9e6954…
10-11 11:21:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 11?	Yes	SELL	11	17¢	$2	0x3b878a…
10-11 11:20:54	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 11?	Yes	SELL	7	60¢	$4	0x0674d4…
10-11 11:20:47	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 11?	Yes	SELL	8	66¢	$5	0x7f8577…
10-11 11:08:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xc399c4…
10-11 11:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x36adf3…
10-11 10:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x1b8f9a…
10-11 10:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xb2c4fe…
10-11 10:13:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x9ecb0f…
10-11 08:43:15	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x4c9cbc…
10-11 04:20:15	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x4e3f39…
10-11 00:33:12	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x32fd0b…
10-11 00:33:06	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xd03ebc…
10-10 23:16:22	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x397175…
10-10 23:00:13	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x2f0eb5…
10-10 22:40:15	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xa2d623…
10-10 22:13:37	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	2	30¢	$0	0xca9348…
10-10 22:00:46	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 11?	Yes	SELL	11	31¢	$3	0x9eff1b…
10-10 21:41:10	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$1	0x4b1f2c…
10-10 21:24:12	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x5edbc2…
10-10 21:24:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	0	57¢	$0	0x8855ed…
10-10 20:59:07	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 11?	Yes	SELL	8	47¢	$4	0x61db8b…
10-10 20:47:37	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0x54a969…
10-10 20:05:34	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 11?	Yes	SELL	14	58¢	$8	0xd949d6…
10-10 19:32:15	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 11?	Yes	SELL	27	32¢	$9	0x2785ab…
10-10 18:49:43	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 11?	Yes	SELL	29	42¢	$12	0xd43d4c…
10-10 18:23:57	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 11?	Yes	SELL	7	24¢	$2	0x2e5cef…
10-10 17:58:16	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 11?	Yes	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0xcc3808…
10-10 17:53:36	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x647e17…
10-10 17:53:36	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x0a2124…
10-10 17:36:24	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 10?	Yes	SELL	17	66¢	$11	0x5ca2c3…
10-10 17:11:06	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x6a0630…
10-10 17:09:03	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 10?	Yes	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x8a70cb…
10-10 17:00:27	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0x5c02c0…
10-10 16:59:15	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 10?	Yes	BUY	9	63¢	$6	0x9d696a…
10-10 16:55:39	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 10?	Yes	BUY	8	67¢	$5	0xc8a8e1…
10-10 16:46:21	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 10?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x53037d…
10-10 16:41:13	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 11?	Yes	SELL	7	60¢	$4	0x5958d5…
10-10 16:40:58	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0xf2a268…
10-10 16:40:24	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 11?	Yes	SELL	7	60¢	$4	0x076e3c…
10-10 16:37:07	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x3b1a1b…
10-10 16:06:04	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 11?	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x1f4fe8…
10-10 16:05:45	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 11?	Yes	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0xa19687…
10-10 16:00:52	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 11?	Yes	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0xd8738c…
10-10 16:00:52	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 11?	Yes	BUY	7	6¢	$0	0xa6bc0b…
10-10 15:40:18	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 10?	Yes	SELL	50	56¢	$28	0xd6b40c…
10-10 15:39:55	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 10?	Yes	BUY	12	33¢	$4	0x6ff42d…
10-10 15:33:39	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0x5a8c02…
10-10 15:31:58	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 10?	Yes	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0xd35d39…
10-10 15:31:58	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 10?	Yes	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x55d9d8…
10-10 15:16:51	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 10?	Yes	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x73e282…
10-10 15:04:48	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 10?	Yes	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0xd13b5f…
10-10 15:02:58	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 10?	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x3e66d6…
10-10 15:00:49	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x6e728c…
10-10 15:00:48	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	2	27¢	$1	0xeb1d95…
10-10 15:00:48	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	3	27¢	$1	0x7567c3…
10-10 15:00:42	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 10?	Yes	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x0f7062…
10-10 14:50:13	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 10?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xb9f977…
10-10 14:17:16	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 10?	Yes	BUY	0	41¢	$0	0x930ada…
10-10 14:09:42	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 10?	Yes	SELL	11	44¢	$5	0x6f0373…