Realized P&L
-$18
Unrealized P&L
+$7
Hit rate
33.8%
Resolved
40
Trades
2,508
lifetime
Volume
$9.41K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$155
7 positions
First seen
2026-03-30
last 07-01 16:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Other
44% 35% $-26
Politics
40% 25% +$1
Sports
15% 100% +$0
Crypto
1% 100% +$8
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 131 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +72 $50 76¢ $54 +$4 06-04 22:27
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +61 $42 76¢ $46 +$4 06-15 14:58
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +88 $38 40¢ $35 $-3 06-24 15:47
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +25 $13 58¢ $15 +$2 06-05 02:58
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +6 $4 57¢ $4 $-0 06-08 12:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -2 $-1 72¢ $-1 $-0 06-28 11:36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +8 $-0 $0 +$0 06-14 21:55