Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 12?
open
Total volume
$124
$424 in 24h
Trades
45
Unique wallets
28
Liquidity
$1,197
Latest YES mid
28¢
Latest NO mid
72¢
End date
2026-05-12
First seen
2026-05-10
last 05-11 13:37
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 27 | $51 | $71 | $20 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $2 | $15 | $13 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $16 | $21 | $5 |
| Median | 5 | $2 | $8 | $6 |
| Below median | 5 | $5 | $19 | $14 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $18 | $3 | +$15 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $6 | $5 | +$1 |
| unranked | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trusty-Compassionate-Plate 0x6b98…925e | Yes | +28 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-11 00:50 |
| Esteemed-Accelerant 0xb501…9a53 | Yes | +27 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-11 13:37 |
| Favorable-Place 0x6f0b…8202 | Yes | +19 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-10 20:00 |
| Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | No | +16 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-11 12:18 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | +16 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-11 12:18 |
| Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | Yes | +16 | $6 | $6 | 3 | 05-11 10:52 |
| Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | Yes | +15 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 11:39 |
| Thankful-Irony 0xae47…638d | No | +15 | $11 | $11 | 3 | 05-11 12:18 |
| Angry-Nobody 0xf5dc…dec3 | No | +13 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-11 12:03 |
| Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-11 12:24 |
| Extroverted-Sidewalk 0xcca3…7450 | No | +10 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-10 10:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x62a8…2132 | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-10 08:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xd56e…9457 | Yes | +9 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-11 12:18 |
| Delicious-Dysfunction 0x4254…1d02 | No | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 05:04 |
| Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 04:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x66c6…ffa9 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 4 | 05-11 12:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 4 | 05-11 12:18 |
| Fearless-Bitter 0x012e…7a33 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 05:36 |
| Oval-Poor 0x7a1b…1c78 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 12:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xf55f…8e92 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-10 11:39 |
| Fitting-Greens 0x6136…64f8 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 10:55 |
| Feline-Lamb 0xdff0…5865 | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 05-11 12:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x5243…e40e | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 05-11 12:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c35…2aae | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 11:39 |
| Worst-Veranda 0x2c5a…9b2d | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 10:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x60e8…fae4 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 10:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x46f7…5b54 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 12:16 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-11 13:37:10 | Esteemed-Accelerant 0xb501…9a53 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 27¢ | $7 | 0xcd788a… |
| 05-11 12:29:23 | Oval-Poor 0x7a1b…1c78 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x3537f0… |
| 05-11 12:29:23 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 23¢ | $0 | 0x2584f7… |
| 05-11 12:24:09 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x4270ae… |
| 05-11 12:18:58 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | BUY | 16 | 24¢ | $4 | 0x077e3a… |
| 05-11 12:18:30 | (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | No | BUY | 1 | 76¢ | $1 | 0x8d339c… |
| 05-11 12:18:30 | (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | No | BUY | 1 | 76¢ | $1 | 0xe3dd8a… |
| 05-11 12:18:30 | (anonymous) 0x66c6…ffa9 | No | BUY | 1 | 76¢ | $1 | 0xe2682a… |
| 05-11 12:18:28 | (anonymous) 0x66c6…ffa9 | No | BUY | 1 | 76¢ | $1 | 0x0f78e9… |
| 05-11 12:18:28 | (anonymous) 0x66c6…ffa9 | No | BUY | 1 | 76¢ | $1 | 0x64483d… |
| 05-11 12:18:28 | (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | No | BUY | 1 | 76¢ | $1 | 0x134a76… |
| 05-11 12:18:12 | Thankful-Irony 0xae47…638d | No | BUY | 5 | 76¢ | $4 | 0xe0e66a… |
| 05-11 12:18:12 | (anonymous) 0x5243…e40e | No | BUY | 1 | 77¢ | $1 | 0x09b0dd… |
| 05-11 12:18:12 | Feline-Lamb 0xdff0…5865 | No | BUY | 1 | 77¢ | $1 | 0xa8d7ab… |
| 05-11 12:18:12 | (anonymous) 0xd56e…9457 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0xcc4ec5… |
| 05-11 12:18:12 | Thankful-Irony 0xae47…638d | No | BUY | 5 | 77¢ | $4 | 0x544541… |
| 05-11 12:18:11 | (anonymous) 0xd56e…9457 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x5c213e… |
| 05-11 12:18:11 | (anonymous) 0x5243…e40e | No | BUY | 1 | 76¢ | $1 | 0x6905c5… |
| 05-11 12:18:11 | Feline-Lamb 0xdff0…5865 | No | BUY | 1 | 76¢ | $1 | 0xb3fd08… |
| 05-11 12:18:11 | Thankful-Irony 0xae47…638d | No | BUY | 5 | 76¢ | $4 | 0xde37b5… |
| 05-11 12:18:11 | Feline-Lamb 0xdff0…5865 | No | BUY | 1 | 76¢ | $1 | 0x69f18c… |
| 05-11 12:18:11 | (anonymous) 0x5243…e40e | No | BUY | 1 | 76¢ | $1 | 0xfb2846… |
| 05-11 12:18:09 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0xf1d4bd… |
| 05-11 12:18:02 | Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | No | BUY | 16 | 76¢ | $12 | 0x751f11… |
| 05-11 12:17:01 | (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | No | BUY | 1 | 75¢ | $1 | 0xb93a73… |
| 05-11 12:17:01 | (anonymous) 0x66c6…ffa9 | No | BUY | 1 | 75¢ | $1 | 0xb20f5b… |
| 05-11 12:16:59 | (anonymous) 0x46f7…5b54 | No | BUY | 1 | 75¢ | $1 | 0xacb305… |
| 05-11 12:03:25 | Angry-Nobody 0xf5dc…dec3 | No | BUY | 13 | 65¢ | $8 | 0x2a0e59… |
| 05-11 10:52:13 | Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 39¢ | $3 | 0x78537c… |
| 05-11 10:26:49 | (anonymous) 0x60e8…fae4 | No | BUY | 2 | 62¢ | $1 | 0x30dd64… |
| 05-11 10:21:48 | Worst-Veranda 0x2c5a…9b2d | Yes | BUY | 2 | 40¢ | $1 | 0x4abcae… |
| 05-11 05:04:14 | Delicious-Dysfunction 0x4254…1d02 | No | BUY | 8 | 61¢ | $5 | 0x8a0189… |
| 05-11 04:48:47 | Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 36¢ | $2 | 0x2cfa81… |
| 05-11 04:32:56 | Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 35¢ | $1 | 0xbc0b48… |
| 05-11 03:18:18 | Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 33¢ | $2 | 0x3d7299… |
| 05-11 00:50:12 | Trusty-Compassionate-Plate 0x6b98…925e | Yes | BUY | 28 | 37¢ | $10 | 0xacf797… |
| 05-10 20:00:27 | Favorable-Place 0x6f0b…8202 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 35¢ | $7 | 0x5367bd… |
| 05-10 11:39:38 | (anonymous) 0x4c35…2aae | Yes | BUY | 3 | 31¢ | $1 | 0x63a63f… |
| 05-10 11:39:33 | Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | Yes | BUY | 15 | 31¢ | $5 | 0x540c02… |
| 05-10 11:39:31 | (anonymous) 0xf55f…8e92 | No | BUY | 5 | 71¢ | $4 | 0x16d846… |
| 05-10 11:00:08 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | SELL | 5 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x512079… |
| 05-10 10:58:16 | Extroverted-Sidewalk 0xcca3…7450 | No | BUY | 10 | 70¢ | $7 | 0xfd24e9… |
| 05-10 10:55:07 | Fitting-Greens 0x6136…64f8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 33¢ | $1 | 0x8df8e4… |
| 05-10 08:38:48 | (anonymous) 0x62a8…2132 | No | BUY | 10 | 76¢ | $8 | 0xec8610… |
| 05-10 05:36:43 | Fearless-Bitter 0x012e…7a33 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x56797c… |