Sunny-Debate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.03K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.5%

Resolved

11,272

Trades

54,789

lifetime

Volume

$265.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-23

last 10-13 05:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 200 days

Categories

Other

100% 39% -$2,011

Politics

0% 36% -$76

Tech

0% 33% -$19

Crypto

0% 100% +$76

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on August 2?	32	$371	703	0	+703	Yes	-$20	08-02 17:10
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on August 3?	50	$344	600	75	+525	Yes	-$6	08-03 14:31
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 31?	28	$333	622	0	+622	No	-$29	07-31 08:00
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 4?	32	$320	562	48	+514	Yes	+$18	07-04 09:00
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on August 3?	35	$312	634	0	+634	No	+$2	08-03 14:31
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 29?	31	$304	611	0	+611	Yes	-$9	07-29 15:09
highest temperature in london on march 2 2026 16c	50	$297	615	0	+615	Yes	-$13	03-02 10:38
highest temperature in nyc on march 2 2026 32 33f	60	$296	627	0	+627	Yes	-$4	03-02 15:34
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 31?	46	$285	582	0	+582	Yes	+$5	07-31 00:16
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 27?	50	$271	521	0	+521	Yes	-$12	07-27 14:59
highest temperature in nyc on february 28 2026 48 49f	64	$269	638	0	+638	No	+$20	02-28 16:41
highest temperature in nyc on march 1 2026 38 39f	44	$266	646	0	+646	No	+$37	03-01 18:23
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 27?	43	$256	508	0	+508	Yes	-$1	07-27 14:55
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 2?	31	$252	454	0	+454	No	-$27	08-02 15:11
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 30?	24	$249	464	0	+464	No	-$17	07-30 05:02
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 28?	19	$248	544	12	+532	No	+$26	07-28 07:30
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on July 28?	23	$247	535	40	+495	No	-$23	07-28 07:40
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on August 3?	18	$247	379	54	+325	No	-$7	08-03 01:54
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 5?	29	$241	456	0	+456	Yes	-$15	08-05 14:13
highest temperature in seoul on march 2 2026 6c	38	$234	540	0	+540	Yes	+$35	03-02 01:06
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 29?	36	$233	470	0	+470	Yes	+$8	07-29 17:00
highest temperature in nyc on march 2 2026 30 31f	45	$229	468	0	+468	No	+$21	03-02 10:37
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 31?	41	$227	407	52	+355	Yes	+$0	07-31 14:54
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 28?	21	$227	432	0	+432	No	-$8	07-28 13:00
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 26?	32	$227	422	0	+422	No	-$15	07-26 14:49
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 28?	19	$226	397	0	+397	Yes	-$24	07-28 13:57
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 3?	26	$225	384	25	+359	Yes	-$11	08-03 14:09
highest temperature in nyc on march 3 2026 40 41f	61	$224	516	0	+516	No	-$14	03-03 16:46
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 28?	31	$221	429	0	+429	No	-$1	07-28 04:28
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 4?	19	$219	402	0	+402	Yes	-$3	08-03 13:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-13 05:18:27	Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	Yes	SELL	4	73¢	$3	0x9577ff…
10-13 05:18:21	Will Lebanon join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	0¢	$0	0x3b5bda…
10-13 05:18:15	Will Anthropic’s valuation be between $750B and $1.00T at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	0¢	$0	0xb05cd1…
10-13 05:18:09	Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $900B and $1.00T at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	152	19¢	$29	0xb65edb…
10-13 05:18:02	OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize Solution?	Anthropic	SELL	54	28¢	$15	0xa6e364…
10-13 05:17:54	Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?	No	SELL	123	25¢	$31	0x92d91a…
10-13 05:17:39	Will Oura's market cap be less than $7.5B at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x73e92c…
10-12 20:53:41	OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize Solution?	Anthropic	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0x4bedac…
09-24 13:56:31	Will Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian in September?	No	SELL	34	97¢	$33	0x8e57a3…
09-23 20:16:22	Will Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian in September?	No	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0xabbc7b…
09-22 15:25:09	Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $900B and $1.00T at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x8b7e03…
09-22 00:45:24	Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	36	85¢	$31	0xf99fe1…
09-18 19:46:36	Will AfD win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	SELL	23	38¢	$9	0x376a90…
09-18 04:49:13	Will BSW be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?	No	SELL	40	76¢	$30	0x1eb60c…
09-16 17:51:37	Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $900B and $1.00T at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0x8b53b2…
09-16 06:46:46	Will Changpeng Zhao (CZ) post about $LAPTOP by September 30?	No	SELL	10	94¢	$10	0xb2c676…
09-16 02:03:10	Will Changpeng Zhao (CZ) post about $LAPTOP by September 30?	No	SELL	29	94¢	$27	0xe74d56…
09-15 21:31:01	Will CDU win 35-39 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	SELL	1	35¢	$0	0x787a61…
09-15 21:26:55	Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	12	85¢	$10	0x8d6129…
09-15 09:34:19	Will Trump meet with Miguel Díaz-Canel in September 2026?	No	SELL	37	96¢	$35	0xa09e68…
09-15 01:30:48	Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	4	65¢	$2	0x041d65…
09-14 19:37:46	Will Grüne win between 17% and 20% of all valid second votes?	Yes	SELL	131	32¢	$42	0xc40584…
09-14 18:02:16	Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0xcc6dfd…
09-14 15:58:27	Will Linke win 40 or more seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	No	SELL	47	48¢	$23	0xe8db1a…
09-14 09:47:01	Will Yashar win 22-23 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	43	66¢	$29	0x95b5c6…
09-13 19:05:37	Will AfD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	No	SELL	47	69¢	$33	0x912db1…
09-13 18:03:55	Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 16% and 18% of all valid votes?	Yes	SELL	157	18¢	$28	0x68eb53…
09-13 17:01:16	Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	No	SELL	206	25¢	$51	0xf70b3d…
09-13 16:42:30	Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SD or M?	SD	SELL	33	77¢	$26	0xb92225…
09-13 15:44:37	James Comey charges dropped by December 31?	Yes	SELL	36	52¢	$19	0xb96705…
09-13 15:31:06	Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win 105-109 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	No	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0xfc3a48…
09-13 15:29:48	Will Left Party (V) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes?	Yes	SELL	30	45¢	$13	0x68d92f…
09-13 15:08:58	Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win 105-109 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	No	SELL	11	76¢	$8	0x9fa14b…
09-13 15:04:57	Will Green Party (MP) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes?	Yes	SELL	100	28¢	$28	0x51fbb3…
09-13 13:10:55	Will Grüne win 35-39 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	No	SELL	21	87¢	$19	0x9b7c2c…
09-13 09:41:37	Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?	No	SELL	40	90¢	$36	0xb9bcf4…
09-13 09:32:42	Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SD or M?	SD	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x65c02c…
09-13 09:24:40	Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $125B by December 31?	No	SELL	17	94¢	$16	0x9105a1…
09-13 07:25:49	Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SD or M?	SD	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0x7e2ba2…
09-13 02:22:57	Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?	No	SELL	53	78¢	$42	0xa59f61…
09-13 00:00:51	Will CDU win 35-39 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	SELL	56	35¢	$20	0x473f77…
09-12 21:59:39	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?	No	SELL	90	12¢	$11	0x0b779a…
09-12 21:49:46	SSI public model released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	13¢	$5	0xb2e52d…
09-12 21:12:00	Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 16% and 18% of all valid votes?	Yes	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0xef3b46…
09-12 20:08:39	Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win between 27% and 30% of all valid votes?	Yes	SELL	42	57¢	$24	0x709c37…
09-12 18:13:40	Will CDU win less than 8% of all valid second votes?	Yes	SELL	119	75¢	$89	0x87003e…
09-12 17:34:55	Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win between 27% and 30% of all valid votes?	Yes	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x7d589f…
09-12 17:04:04	Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	10	65¢	$6	0xef8c03…
09-12 17:04:04	Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0x8f046b…
09-12 16:18:48	Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win 105-109 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	No	SELL	19	76¢	$14	0x936938…
09-12 15:24:33	Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	SELL	11	20¢	$2	0x63f2e0…
09-12 13:43:01	Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	SELL	11	20¢	$2	0xa82faa…
09-12 12:52:15	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?	Yes	SELL	43	95¢	$41	0x72e2e1…
09-12 12:36:00	Will the Green Party (MP) win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	No	SELL	31	71¢	$22	0x2d7e9b…
09-12 12:09:48	Will Left Party (V) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes?	Yes	SELL	41	48¢	$20	0x3c2864…
09-12 11:38:18	Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	27	58¢	$16	0x36a130…
09-12 11:21:16	Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?	No	SELL	47	98¢	$46	0x2ad1a3…
09-12 10:57:42	James Comey charges dropped by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0x0abebb…
09-12 10:57:16	Will Left Party (V) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes?	Yes	SELL	22	45¢	$10	0x82c9e5…
09-12 10:34:22	Will the Green Party (MP) win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	No	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0x42393e…
09-12 10:31:19	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	39	4¢	$1	0xa65a6a…
09-12 10:04:19	US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by September 30?	Yes	SELL	479	18¢	$86	0x575a8c…
09-12 09:15:10	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	SELL	261	28¢	$73	0x31a1e6…
09-12 08:49:25	Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	3,452	1¢	$21	0x9ad1da…
09-12 08:36:13	Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?	No	SELL	56	73¢	$41	0xee370f…
09-12 07:18:25	Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	35	56¢	$20	0xb627ea…
09-12 06:48:15	Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: More Votes to CDU or Linke?	CDU	SELL	29	12¢	$4	0xe0a52e…
09-12 06:48:15	Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: More Votes to CDU or Linke?	CDU	SELL	94	12¢	$11	0x2361a8…
09-12 06:30:43	Sweden Parliamentary Election: Örebropartiet Win Seats?	No	SELL	45	78¢	$35	0x2bd18a…
09-12 06:26:57	Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xc73bfe…
09-12 06:09:21	Sweden Parliamentary Election: Örebropartiet Win Seats?	No	SELL	13	78¢	$10	0x45711e…
09-12 05:48:31	Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1520?	No	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0xa3323a…
09-12 05:26:09	Will Left Party (V) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes?	Yes	SELL	28	48¢	$13	0x824d49…
09-12 05:02:18	Will Grüne win 35-39 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x27ed6f…
09-12 03:59:13	Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	18	56¢	$10	0xc83bf1…
09-12 03:45:49	Will Kraken's valuation hit (LOW) $8B by September 30?	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x0d5e8c…
09-12 03:44:40	Will Kraken's valuation hit (LOW) $8B by September 30?	No	SELL	16	82¢	$13	0x630cc9…
09-11 16:59:07	Will Grüne win 35-39 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	No	BUY	23	90¢	$20	0x7df88a…
09-11 14:17:07	Will Left Party (V) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes?	Yes	BUY	52	40¢	$21	0x86c773…
09-11 12:52:18	Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win between 27% and 30% of all valid votes?	Yes	BUY	44	53¢	$23	0x90fed2…
09-10 18:07:28	OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize Solution?	Anthropic	BUY	56	40¢	$23	0x1dcb6c…
09-09 23:02:49	Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	27	86¢	$23	0x29974e…
09-09 21:09:37	Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 16% and 18% of all valid votes?	Yes	BUY	163	15¢	$25	0x47e06c…
09-09 13:43:46	James Comey charges dropped by December 31?	Yes	BUY	56	44¢	$25	0x1587c4…
09-08 12:09:36	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	BUY	406	9¢	$37	0x79d90c…
09-08 06:11:00	laptop airdrop by september 9	No	BUY	93	32¢	$30	0x4bc130…
09-08 00:21:13	will cz publicly reference laptop by september 30	No	BUY	39	90¢	$35	0x679aa7…
09-07 16:27:10	Will Yashar win 22-23 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x56b065…
09-07 16:25:16	Will Yashar win 22-23 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x531555…
09-07 16:23:27	Will Yashar win 22-23 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x7b76e5…
09-07 00:49:51	Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win 105-109 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	No	BUY	31	69¢	$21	0x555eff…
09-07 00:11:16	Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win 105-109 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	42	30¢	$13	0x1b247a…
09-06 16:31:27	Will CDU win less than 8% of all valid second votes?	Yes	BUY	119	30¢	$36	0x66e39f…
09-06 16:20:28	Will AfD win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	BUY	23	32¢	$7	0xc77e3e…
09-06 14:34:48	Will BSW be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$9	0x204028…
09-06 14:34:46	Will BSW be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x55dc27…
09-06 07:14:54	Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	39	65¢	$25	0xc4c144…
09-05 15:05:12	Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?	No	BUY	47	64¢	$30	0x0c197c…
09-05 13:07:16	Will OpenAI's Astra model debut as #1? (Text Arena)	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xc8b735…
09-05 05:00:33	US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by September 30?	Yes	BUY	479	8¢	$38	0xdb77e2…