Realized P&L
+$173
Unrealized P&L
+$230
Hit rate
80.2%
Resolved
39
Trades
13,642
lifetime
Volume
$284.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$21
Open exposure
$894
11 positions
First seen
2026-04-21
last 06-26 16:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Politics
59% 0% $-50
Crypto
19% 53% +$243
Other
14% 47% $-20
Tech
8%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
59 active days in 12wk • peak 1217 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? No +740 $514 94¢ $699 +$185 06-25 10:05
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes -82 $-11 100¢ $-82 $-71 06-20 20:06
Cambria FDV above $70M one day after launch? No +61 $46 74¢ $45 $-1 06-26 01:47
Anthropic acquired before 2027? Yes +740 $62 $23 $-39 06-25 10:05
Cambria FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes +61 $12 33¢ $20 +$9 06-26 01:47
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No -16 $-17 82¢ $-13 +$4 06-21 11:11
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch? No -8 $-7 98¢ $-8 $-1 06-16 00:08
Will Mathilde Panot be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +185 $7 $3 $-5 06-24 17:27
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes -8 $-1 $-1 +$1 06-16 00:08
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No +0 $-172 94¢ $0 +$172 06-07 23:52
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No +0 $23 30¢ $0 $-23 06-07 23:52