Vital-Smelting — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$450

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.5%

Resolved

377

Trades

1,178

lifetime

Volume

$21.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-02

last 08-14 07:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 32 days

Categories

Crypto

76% 49% -$10

Other

22% 57% -$272

Politics

1% 17% -$137

Tech

0% 0% -$30

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 10:50 UTC	5	$455	666	479	+187	Up	-$5	04-16 10:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 16:20 UTC	5	$357	218	186	+32	Down	+$7	04-23 16:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 16:05 UTC	3	$335	203	166	+37	Up	-$7	04-23 16:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 14:30 UTC	6	$295	215	187	+28	Down	+$18	03-06 14:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 12:20 UTC	6	$295	188	187	+2	Up	+$21	03-08 12:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 13:35 UTC	5	$282	209	183	+27	Down	+$42	03-06 13:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 12:05 UTC	4	$264	141	141	+0	Down	+$4	03-08 12:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 11:20 UTC	11	$256	219	217	+3	Up	+$7	03-08 11:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 09:40 UTC	4	$248	492	348	+144	Down	+$12	04-16 09:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 14:55 UTC	7	$248	216	213	+3	Up	+$71	03-06 14:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 11:55 UTC	10	$243	243	239	+4	Down	+$14	03-08 11:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 13:50 UTC	3	$236	226	185	+41	Up	+$6	03-06 13:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 12:25 UTC	8	$216	178	175	+3	Up	+$21	03-08 12:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 14:15 UTC	7	$213	250	181	+69	Up	-$7	03-06 14:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 15:05 UTC	3	$204	195	99	+95	Up	-$36	03-08 15:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 11:50 UTC	6	$204	163	161	+2	Up	+$26	03-08 11:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 18:35 UTC	8	$199	180	177	+3	Up	+$23	03-07 18:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 04:15 UTC	7	$193	197	186	+11	Up	+$116	04-16 04:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 13:15 UTC	4	$187	106	105	+0	Up	+$7	03-08 13:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 03:50 UTC	4	$185	171	160	+10	Up	+$144	04-16 03:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 14:25 UTC	7	$183	193	192	+1	Down	+$53	03-06 14:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 14:45 UTC	4	$183	137	136	+2	Down	+$24	03-06 14:48
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on July 5?	2	$171	115	115	+0	Yes	+$52	07-05 15:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 11:25 UTC	8	$163	139	137	+2	Down	+$4	03-08 11:29
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on July 18?	2	$158	211	211	+0	Yes	+$22	07-18 14:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 15:50 UTC	3	$158	101	98	+2	Down	+$22	04-23 15:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 01:45 UTC	4	$157	216	153	+63	Up	+$37	04-16 01:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 11:15 UTC	8	$155	127	126	+1	Up	-$4	03-08 11:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 18:50 UTC	4	$145	82	81	+0	Down	+$9	03-07 18:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 11:10 UTC	8	$145	119	117	+2	Up	+$8	03-08 11:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-14 07:12:10	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x505f85…
08-14 07:11:18	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	49	87¢	$43	0x77d29e…
08-12 23:03:54	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 12?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x551f01…
08-12 21:00:48	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 12?	Yes	BUY	13	90¢	$12	0x5164b7…
08-12 20:11:10	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on August 12?	Yes	BUY	2	74¢	$2	0x2077c7…
08-12 20:09:24	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on August 12?	Yes	BUY	57	75¢	$43	0xab63e7…
08-12 17:10:09	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 12?	Yes	SELL	53	100¢	$53	0x40b65a…
08-12 13:27:06	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	53	81¢	$43	0xb96202…
07-19 13:55:54	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on July 19?	Yes	SELL	35	18¢	$6	0xdd6521…
07-19 13:47:18	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	14	86¢	$12	0x6684c2…
07-19 13:38:13	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	58	88¢	$51	0x5ee453…
07-19 13:30:15	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	35	45¢	$16	0x3b291c…
07-18 22:48:22	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 18?	Yes	BUY	30	87¢	$26	0x29466a…
07-18 22:39:27	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on July 18?	Yes	SELL	71	98¢	$70	0x2db2db…
07-18 21:44:40	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on July 18?	Yes	BUY	71	87¢	$62	0xae87f9…
07-18 14:49:54	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on July 18?	Yes	SELL	211	43¢	$90	0xbc8818…
07-18 13:34:04	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	211	32¢	$68	0x3ba61b…
07-18 08:09:10	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on July 18?	Yes	SELL	85	98¢	$83	0xc349bd…
07-18 06:35:24	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	57	74¢	$42	0x788798…
07-18 06:34:37	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	18	69¢	$12	0x4fd777…
07-18 06:33:03	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x06c900…
07-17 23:49:00	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on July 17?	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xc3289d…
07-17 21:08:55	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on July 17?	Yes	SELL	46	97¢	$45	0x6f3a8d…
07-17 20:13:06	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	46	86¢	$40	0x42c31b…
07-16 23:41:46	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on July 16?	Yes	SELL	44	100¢	$43	0x164962…
07-16 22:38:32	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on July 16?	Yes	BUY	29	88¢	$25	0xa1ff45…
07-16 21:58:46	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on July 16?	Yes	BUY	12	87¢	$10	0xbb2a42…
07-16 21:09:38	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on July 16?	Yes	BUY	3	88¢	$2	0xbc5191…
07-16 20:36:37	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on July 16?	Yes	SELL	21	97¢	$21	0xc9f832…
07-16 20:28:34	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on July 16?	Yes	BUY	11	85¢	$10	0xa36b8d…
07-16 20:26:52	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on July 16?	Yes	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x9b70c9…
07-16 20:15:50	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on July 16?	Yes	SELL	45	98¢	$44	0x1721d2…
07-16 18:12:55	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	45	87¢	$39	0x2e71b2…
07-07 07:10:07	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on July 7?	Yes	BUY	55	87¢	$48	0xdc99f8…
07-07 06:13:52	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on July 7?	Yes	BUY	24	63¢	$15	0xb569af…
07-07 00:04:22	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 6?	Yes	SELL	49	100¢	$49	0x57f4a6…
07-06 23:08:50	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on July 6?	Yes	SELL	67	100¢	$67	0xa26c8b…
07-06 22:31:13	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on July 6?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xbf241a…
07-06 20:57:26	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on July 6?	Yes	BUY	67	79¢	$53	0x447f9d…
07-06 20:55:49	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 6?	Yes	BUY	49	90¢	$44	0x71f0ba…
07-06 19:57:40	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on July 6?	Yes	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0xb094c4…
07-06 12:02:05	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on July 6?	Yes	SELL	61	6¢	$4	0x353246…
07-06 11:35:34	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on July 6?	Yes	SELL	59	99¢	$58	0xbf58d3…
07-06 11:13:52	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	61	69¢	$42	0xce98cc…
07-06 08:39:35	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	59	84¢	$49	0xa8df4e…
07-06 07:25:20	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on July 6?	Yes	SELL	52	99¢	$52	0x32d7b4…
07-06 07:16:10	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	138	48¢	$66	0x901d2e…
07-06 05:07:53	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	52	89¢	$47	0xf7ff70…
07-05 23:54:16	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on July 5?	Yes	SELL	51	99¢	$50	0xcaa480…
07-05 22:34:59	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on July 5?	Yes	BUY	51	91¢	$46	0x9ecf88…
07-05 22:13:46	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on July 5?	Yes	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x6b55bf…
07-05 21:57:52	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on July 5?	Yes	SELL	67	98¢	$66	0x2d0f2e…
07-05 20:02:59	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on July 5?	Yes	BUY	67	79¢	$53	0xad96fa…
07-05 18:57:01	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on July 5?	Yes	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0xc19208…
07-05 17:06:26	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on July 5?	Yes	SELL	51	99¢	$50	0xb6e93f…
07-05 16:17:59	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 5?	Yes	SELL	57	98¢	$55	0x591e1f…
07-05 15:49:34	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on July 5?	Yes	SELL	115	98¢	$112	0x3eedd4…
07-05 15:03:59	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	57	86¢	$49	0xdc75a0…
07-05 14:55:19	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 5?	Yes	SELL	49	99¢	$49	0xe006c7…
07-05 14:51:31	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on July 5?	Yes	SELL	43	98¢	$42	0x5beb19…
07-05 14:27:28	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on July 5?	Yes	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xcf8c56…
07-05 14:25:25	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 5?	Yes	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x6bf701…
07-05 13:57:40	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	51	91¢	$46	0x1e21dd…
07-05 13:19:40	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	49	92¢	$45	0xe2eb59…
07-05 12:17:14	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0x559eec…
07-05 12:16:29	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0xdd0a1e…
07-05 12:03:58	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	57	82¢	$47	0x4dddc1…
07-05 11:59:49	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xc6cb0e…
07-05 11:58:50	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	56	86¢	$48	0x804570…
07-05 11:26:07	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	115	52¢	$60	0xef011d…
07-05 09:50:22	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on July 5?	Yes	SELL	49	99¢	$49	0xa0e239…
07-05 08:41:35	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 5?	Yes	SELL	32	97¢	$31	0x6d39b0…
07-05 08:13:55	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	49	92¢	$45	0xa24504…
07-05 06:10:05	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	17	67¢	$11	0x972145…
07-05 06:09:20	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xb8438f…
07-05 06:08:34	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xa8571b…
07-04 21:21:44	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 4?	Yes	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0xd4097d…
07-04 20:04:25	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 10°C on July 4?	Yes	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0x8efd83…
07-04 20:03:40	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 10°C on July 4?	Yes	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0xc0d607…
07-04 19:53:32	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on July 4?	Yes	SELL	51	99¢	$50	0xc83672…
07-04 19:24:22	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on July 4?	Yes	BUY	51	91¢	$46	0x9bf9da…
07-04 18:59:40	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 4?	Yes	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0xc99817…
07-04 18:04:13	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 10°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	52	90¢	$47	0x81746d…
05-12 23:42:37	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 12?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xf4e829…
05-12 21:49:34	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on May 12?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xb35b9a…
05-12 21:49:29	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C or higher on May 12?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xf231a2…
05-12 21:49:24	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on May 12?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xc1442a…
05-12 21:49:15	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on May 12?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x266346…
05-12 21:49:11	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 12?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x5044a4…
05-12 18:59:07	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on May 12?	No	BUY	12	69¢	$8	0x6ccb2f…
05-12 18:21:28	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 12?	No	SELL	15	2¢	$0	0x21799b…
05-12 18:21:16	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on May 12?	No	SELL	9	19¢	$2	0x9236fb…
05-12 18:15:12	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C or higher on May 12?	No	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x677574…
05-12 18:06:27	Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 34°C on May 12?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x4c8987…
05-12 17:39:17	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on May 12?	No	SELL	13	38¢	$5	0xda0953…
05-12 16:49:39	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on May 12?	No	SELL	13	98¢	$12	0x889d93…
05-12 16:30:34	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on May 12?	No	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x00f9d9…
05-12 16:19:56	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on May 12?	Yes	SELL	38	27¢	$10	0x8bc74c…
05-12 16:19:21	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on May 12?	No	SELL	14	70¢	$10	0xd32247…
05-12 16:00:07	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on May 12?	No	SELL	0	47¢	$0	0x825d31…