Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on May 12?
open
Total volume
$122
$1,350 in 24h
Trades
33
Unique wallets
30
Liquidity
$611
Latest YES mid
17¢
Latest NO mid
83¢
End date
2026-05-12
First seen
2026-05-10
last 05-12 05:14
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $8 | $8 |
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | $26 | $26 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 28 | $9 | $75 | $65 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $1 | $17 | $16 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | — | $6 | $6 |
| Median | 11 | $5 | $48 | $43 |
| Below median | 6 | $3 | $2 | +$1 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $8 | $8 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $0 | $26 | $26 |
| unranked | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xef6a…18e8 | No | +36 | $32 | $32 | 1 | 05-11 22:37 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +30 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 05-11 23:17 |
| Angry-Anywhere 0x724f…a426 | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 19:34 |
| Royal-Hazelnut 0xa542…3f6c | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 19:33 |
| Usable-Conifer 0x1753…cafd | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 02:35 |
| Back-Faculty 0x120f…d31f | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 23:09 |
| Fancy-Overexertion 0x3940…9807 | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 04:09 |
| Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 15:04 |
| Oblong-Adjustment 0x2f01…4c3a | No | +9 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-12 00:02 |
| Expert-Liquid 0xd564…58d0 | Yes | +9 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 00:11 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +9 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-11 23:08 |
| Ripe-Loss-Advancement 0xe12c…def5 | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 10:02 |
| Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 23:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xd568…2863 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 13:32 |
| Fearless-Bitter 0x012e…7a33 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 06:37 |
| (anonymous) 0xecd5…ebdc | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-12 05:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x2c9c…2476 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 21:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 05:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xb701…8c1b | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 05:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xb338…7a24 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 05:14 |
| Husky-Minor 0x1799…3ca9 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 05:14 |
| Radiant-Swimming 0xa6d4…2f1e | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 21:27 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-12 05:14:49 | (anonymous) 0xb338…7a24 | No | BUY | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x976539… |
| 05-12 05:14:49 | (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | No | BUY | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x10b27e… |
| 05-12 05:14:47 | Husky-Minor 0x1799…3ca9 | No | BUY | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0xee1522… |
| 05-12 05:14:45 | (anonymous) 0xb701…8c1b | No | BUY | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0xbc190f… |
| 05-12 05:14:43 | (anonymous) 0xecd5…ebdc | No | BUY | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0x944740… |
| 05-12 03:12:45 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xd82c57… |
| 05-12 00:11:46 | Expert-Liquid 0xd564…58d0 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 17¢ | $2 | 0xae21c1… |
| 05-12 00:02:44 | Oblong-Adjustment 0x2f01…4c3a | No | BUY | 9 | 84¢ | $8 | 0x435242… |
| 05-11 23:17:38 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xff337d… |
| 05-11 23:17:38 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x8b92df… |
| 05-11 23:17:38 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 30 | 86¢ | $26 | 0xd5e01f… |
| 05-11 23:17:38 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x29bd0f… |
| 05-11 23:17:38 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xc29334… |
| 05-11 23:17:38 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x7c322f… |
| 05-11 23:17:38 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xf65cde… |
| 05-11 23:17:38 | Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | No | BUY | 6 | 87¢ | $5 | 0x290da2… |
| 05-11 23:09:04 | Back-Faculty 0x120f…d31f | Yes | BUY | 10 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x0be729… |
| 05-11 23:08:41 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 9 | 86¢ | $8 | 0xb17c25… |
| 05-11 22:37:56 | (anonymous) 0xef6a…18e8 | No | BUY | 36 | 89¢ | $32 | 0xc91660… |
| 05-11 21:27:46 | (anonymous) 0x2c9c…2476 | No | BUY | 2 | 90¢ | $2 | 0x129897… |
| 05-11 21:27:39 | Radiant-Swimming 0xa6d4…2f1e | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x524b61… |
| 05-11 21:27:37 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | BUY | 0 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x219c15… |
| 05-11 13:32:09 | (anonymous) 0xd568…2863 | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x0bffd8… |
| 05-11 04:09:01 | Fancy-Overexertion 0x3940…9807 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x019ac6… |
| 05-11 02:35:22 | Usable-Conifer 0x1753…cafd | Yes | BUY | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x169a2a… |
| 05-10 19:34:02 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xe6ebe7… |
| 05-10 19:34:02 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x86faf8… |
| 05-10 19:34:00 | Angry-Anywhere 0x724f…a426 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xb25e36… |
| 05-10 19:33:21 | Royal-Hazelnut 0xa542…3f6c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x3917b3… |
| 05-10 15:04:47 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xd02b80… |
| 05-10 15:04:47 | Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0xb0918a… |
| 05-10 10:02:13 | Ripe-Loss-Advancement 0xe12c…def5 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x7a65e8… |
| 05-10 06:37:02 | Fearless-Bitter 0x012e…7a33 | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x0a46b3… |