Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on May 12?
open
Total volume
$157
$812 in 24h
Trades
30
Unique wallets
27
Liquidity
$489
Latest YES mid
30¢
Latest NO mid
70¢
End date
2026-05-12
First seen
2026-05-10
last 05-12 07:26
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🦐 Shrimp | 27 | $22 | $115 | $93 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $4 | $26 | $22 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $2 | $6 | $4 |
| Median | 8 | $3 | $29 | $26 |
| Below median | 4 | $2 | $3 | $1 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $10 | $38 | $28 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | $1 | $1 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $7 | $7 |
| unranked | 1 | — | $4 | $4 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Instructive-Countess 0x9aa6…610b | Yes | +42 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 05:18 |
| Vivacious-Manipulation 0x906f…371a | No | +32 | $26 | $26 | 2 | 05-11 21:04 |
| Agreeable-Birth 0x84c3…35d4 | No | +25 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-11 14:01 |
| Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | Yes | +24 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 05-11 14:03 |
| Pleasant-Stock 0xdca5…4342 | Yes | +20 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-11 14:28 |
| Spherical-Fringe 0x04b3…1b7e | No | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-11 14:02 |
| Hairy-Chives-Soy 0x4167…f99a | No | +11 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-11 03:39 |
| Awesome-Vengeance 0x5e2f…f9ba | No | +9 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-12 00:38 |
| Forceful-Nick 0x5695…60e9 | No | +8 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-11 23:47 |
| Angry-Nobody 0xf5dc…dec3 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 14:02 |
| Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 23:22 |
| Chubby-Biopsy 0x7f85…cf2d | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 14:37 |
| Ill-Fated-Stepgrandmother 0xe260…3f01 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 01:58 |
| Sugary-Boysenberry 0xc197…3099 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-11 18:14 |
| Esteemed-Trader 0x05e1…4c1e | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-11 10:46 |
| Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-12 00:38 |
| Valid-Deputy 0x2349…1646 | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-11 10:32 |
| Thankful-Irony 0xae47…638d | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-11 14:02 |
| Political-Nasal 0x5a1a…2983 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 14:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x9b72…a958 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 00:38 |
| Insidious-Stem 0xb7b1…ef08 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 10:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 21:04 |
| Misty-Reconsideration 0x97c3…d8f0 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 21:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x0642…a6f7 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 00:38 |
| Fatherly-Squirrel 0x325e…5308 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 00:38 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-12 07:26:25 | Teeming-Precedence 0xfd8e…aea4 | No | SELL | 10 | 76¢ | $8 | 0xd466d9… |
| 05-12 07:26:25 | Teeming-Precedence 0xfd8e…aea4 | No | SELL | 10 | 76¢ | $8 | 0x97bdbf… |
| 05-12 01:58:59 | Ill-Fated-Stepgrandmother 0xe260…3f01 | No | BUY | 6 | 83¢ | $5 | 0xc7c744… |
| 05-12 00:38:41 | (anonymous) 0x0642…a6f7 | No | BUY | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0xba842c… |
| 05-12 00:38:40 | Fatherly-Squirrel 0x325e…5308 | No | BUY | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0xae6701… |
| 05-12 00:38:38 | (anonymous) 0x9b72…a958 | No | BUY | 2 | 86¢ | $1 | 0x0b2723… |
| 05-12 00:38:36 | Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | No | BUY | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x2c8693… |
| 05-12 00:38:36 | Awesome-Vengeance 0x5e2f…f9ba | No | BUY | 9 | 86¢ | $7 | 0xff7a74… |
| 05-11 23:47:27 | Forceful-Nick 0x5695…60e9 | No | BUY | 8 | 86¢ | $7 | 0x9fcd7e… |
| 05-11 21:04:17 | (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | No | BUY | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0xd2de81… |
| 05-11 21:04:01 | Vivacious-Manipulation 0x906f…371a | No | BUY | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0xa46ac8… |
| 05-11 21:01:57 | Misty-Reconsideration 0x97c3…d8f0 | No | BUY | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0x5ecfc7… |
| 05-11 18:14:34 | Sugary-Boysenberry 0xc197…3099 | No | BUY | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0xde9442… |
| 05-11 14:28:17 | Pleasant-Stock 0xdca5…4342 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 17¢ | $3 | 0x57b895… |
| 05-11 14:03:40 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | Yes | BUY | 18 | 18¢ | $3 | 0xe06d35… |
| 05-11 14:03:21 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | Yes | BUY | 6 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x81392b… |
| 05-11 14:02:25 | Angry-Nobody 0xf5dc…dec3 | No | BUY | 6 | 83¢ | $5 | 0x4014c0… |
| 05-11 14:02:04 | Political-Nasal 0x5a1a…2983 | No | BUY | 2 | 80¢ | $2 | 0x5420bf… |
| 05-11 14:02:04 | Vivacious-Manipulation 0x906f…371a | No | BUY | 27 | 80¢ | $22 | 0x7548ac… |
| 05-11 14:02:04 | Thankful-Irony 0xae47…638d | No | BUY | 4 | 80¢ | $3 | 0x5beacc… |
| 05-11 14:02:04 | Spherical-Fringe 0x04b3…1b7e | No | BUY | 12 | 80¢ | $10 | 0xf76398… |
| 05-11 14:01:54 | Agreeable-Birth 0x84c3…35d4 | No | BUY | 25 | 80¢ | $20 | 0xc4b684… |
| 05-11 10:46:04 | Esteemed-Trader 0x05e1…4c1e | No | BUY | 5 | 78¢ | $4 | 0x038895… |
| 05-11 10:32:55 | Valid-Deputy 0x2349…1646 | No | BUY | 4 | 75¢ | $3 | 0xb6c9c7… |
| 05-11 10:07:22 | Insidious-Stem 0xb7b1…ef08 | No | BUY | 1 | 75¢ | $1 | 0x5b753b… |
| 05-11 03:39:04 | Hairy-Chives-Soy 0x4167…f99a | No | BUY | 11 | 71¢ | $8 | 0x5d6817… |
| 05-10 23:22:40 | Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 32¢ | $2 | 0x1a69f5… |
| 05-10 15:02:06 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | SELL | 6 | 75¢ | $4 | 0xbfc193… |
| 05-10 14:37:15 | Chubby-Biopsy 0x7f85…cf2d | Yes | BUY | 6 | 37¢ | $2 | 0xae2341… |
| 05-10 05:18:38 | Instructive-Countess 0x9aa6…610b | Yes | BUY | 42 | 24¢ | $10 | 0xd986ce… |