Realized P&L
-$2.79K
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
44.0%
Resolved
1,760
Trades
60,331
lifetime
Volume
$457.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$120
24 positions
First seen
2026-04-27
last 06-30 12:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 16 days
Categories
Sports
39% 57% +$116
Other
33% 43% $-130
Crypto
27% 52% $-2,767
Politics
0% 25% $-7
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
64 active days in 12wk • peak 6409 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +27 $25 82¢ $23 $-2 06-16 04:37
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +27 $21 80¢ $22 +$1 06-30 04:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +25 $9 64¢ $16 +$7 06-15 14:57
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +15 $14 94¢ $14 +$0 06-26 00:29
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $12 62¢ $12 +$0 06-30 13:34
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +24 $10 27¢ $7 $-3 06-15 14:58
Will Rihanna perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 06-29 23:32
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 $-0 06-16 04:38
Will Beyoncé perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +5 $5 93¢ $5 $-0 06-29 23:52
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $3 30¢ $3 +$0 06-29 13:46
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No +5 $2 38¢ $2 +$0 06-29 12:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -1 $-4 100¢ $-1 +$2 06-28 00:21
Will Billie Eilish perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 06-30 10:28
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +5 $1 20¢ $1 $-0 06-29 17:13
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay Yes +5 $1 15¢ $1 $-0 06-16 12:05
Will Kendrick Lamar perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +14 $1 $1 +$0 06-23 23:42
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -14 $-1 $-1 $-0 06-15 17:11
Will Bruno Mars perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +100 $1 $1 $-0 06-28 11:40
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +6 $1 $0 $-0 06-15 15:32
Will Lady Gaga perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +11 $1 $0 $-0 06-23 23:00
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? Yes +77 $2 $0 $-1 06-15 16:53
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? Yes -36 $1 $-0 $-1 06-16 08:00
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -11 $-2 $-0 +$2 06-16 12:06
Netanyahu out by June 30? Yes +25 $0 $0 $-0 06-15 15:54