Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on May 12?
open
Total volume
$868
$1,156 in 24h
Trades
56
Unique wallets
47
Liquidity
$499
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-12
First seen
2026-05-10
last 05-12 23:16
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+96.7¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $2
vs crowd: 3% YES on $710)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 7 | $2 | $343 | $341 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 40 | $22 | $344 | $323 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $3 | $110 | $106 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $8 | $180 | $172 |
| Median | 8 | $1 | $10 | $9 |
| Below median | 11 | $3 | $57 | $54 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 7 | $1 | $14 | $13 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 8 | $5 | $316 | $311 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Digital-Dungeon 0xd24b…187d | No | +209 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 05-12 20:01 |
| Intelligent-Tulip 0x51ff…cf90 | No | +165 | $163 | $163 | 1 | 05-12 20:05 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +60 | $57 | $57 | 2 | 05-12 20:07 |
| Delightful-Earthquake 0xf7f4…1e34 | No | +55 | $43 | $76 | 2 | 05-12 20:12 |
| Milky-Payment 0x8bbc…1d9e | No | +54 | $45 | $45 | 1 | 05-10 13:01 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +39 | $36 | $36 | 2 | 05-12 20:01 |
| Petty-Theft 0x5af2…5a5b | No | +38 | $38 | $38 | 1 | 05-12 23:16 |
| Shy-Somersault 0xf68e…a093 | Yes | +30 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-12 03:25 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | +27 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 23:09 |
| Known-Commotion 0xd43e…3604 | Yes | +15 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-12 04:05 |
| Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | No | +12 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 05-11 21:20 |
| Spherical-Fringe 0x04b3…1b7e | No | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-11 23:09 |
| Partial-Candidate 0xbbaa…88a2 | Yes | +10 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-11 15:16 |
| Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | +9 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 21:17 |
| Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | +8 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 18:56 |
| Thankful-Irony 0xae47…638d | No | +8 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-11 23:09 |
| Beneficial-Girlfriend 0xc120…a7e3 | No | +8 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-12 19:01 |
| Ironclad-Diamond 0x2869…527d | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 15:16 |
| Alert-Bribery 0x2598…17df | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 10:17 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +6 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-11 15:38 |
| Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 12:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 10:21 |
| Cheap-Blank 0x9977…7883 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 19:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xda63…8969 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 10:56 |
| Fancy-Overexertion 0x3940…9807 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 10:27 |
| Sunny-Debate 0x8971…809d | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-12 20:57 |
| Worrisome-Chinchilla 0x6854…67d0 | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-12 19:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xf021…245e | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-11 23:09 |
| Imperturbable-Schema 0x6753…b37d | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-12 19:21 |
| Instructive-Spec 0x6641…55d0 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 05:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x84b7…eeb5 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 08:28 |
| Political-Nasal 0x5a1a…2983 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 23:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c35…2aae | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 12:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x0642…a6f7 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 12:08 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-12 23:16:05 | Petty-Theft 0x5af2…5a5b | No | BUY | 38 | 100¢ | $38 | 0xee5352… |
| 05-12 21:11:32 | Sweet-Derrick 0x6409…9411 | No | SELL | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0x91c1fe… |
| 05-12 21:10:57 | Excited-Pill 0x1359…7e7b | No | SELL | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x998311… |
| 05-12 20:57:36 | Sunny-Debate 0x8971…809d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd278db… |
| 05-12 20:21:24 | Harmonious-Cartoon 0xdd8a…edf9 | No | SELL | 90 | 98¢ | $88 | 0x18c9be… |
| 05-12 20:12:44 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 0 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xac0d5f… |
| 05-12 20:12:44 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0a349e… |
| 05-12 20:12:44 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x714959… |
| 05-12 20:12:37 | Delightful-Earthquake 0xf7f4…1e34 | No | SELL | 17 | 99¢ | $16 | 0xb36351… |
| 05-12 20:10:43 | Low-Mail 0xbc13…5eb6 | No | SELL | 18 | 99¢ | $18 | 0xd49750… |
| 05-12 20:07:52 | Well-To-Do-Male 0x6d1d…953b | Yes | SELL | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc67edf… |
| 05-12 20:07:52 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x0aab83… |
| 05-12 20:07:41 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe08bc3… |
| 05-12 20:07:41 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb354db… |
| 05-12 20:05:55 | Odd-Saint 0x2e70…50eb | No | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x4d6373… |
| 05-12 20:05:30 | Intelligent-Tulip 0x51ff…cf90 | No | BUY | 165 | 99¢ | $163 | 0xc3ce06… |
| 05-12 20:01:02 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 30 | 98¢ | $29 | 0xb94f67… |
| 05-12 20:01:01 | Digital-Dungeon 0xd24b…187d | No | BUY | 209 | 96¢ | $200 | 0x61ce0d… |
| 05-12 20:00:15 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 9¢ | $3 | 0xd5bc98… |
| 05-12 20:00:12 | Well-To-Do-Male 0x6d1d…953b | Yes | SELL | 8 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x5c0977… |
| 05-12 19:36:20 | Cheap-Blank 0x9977…7883 | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x5a6646… |
| 05-12 19:21:24 | Imperturbable-Schema 0x6753…b37d | No | BUY | 3 | 93¢ | $3 | 0x0297e7… |
| 05-12 19:01:32 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 30 | 91¢ | $27 | 0x04dfd8… |
| 05-12 19:01:29 | Worrisome-Chinchilla 0x6854…67d0 | No | BUY | 4 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x7efcf3… |
| 05-12 19:01:29 | Beneficial-Girlfriend 0xc120…a7e3 | No | BUY | 8 | 89¢ | $7 | 0x8c7daf… |
| 05-12 19:01:25 | Well-To-Do-Male 0x6d1d…953b | Yes | SELL | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xf25f63… |
| 05-12 18:56:38 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 19¢ | $2 | 0xc611cd… |
| 05-12 17:42:14 | (anonymous) 0xb36c…7a98 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xd619bc… |
| 05-12 17:36:38 | Separate-Physiology 0xb545…589c | Yes | SELL | 3 | 13¢ | $0 | 0xc0a454… |
| 05-12 15:33:19 | Delightful-Earthquake 0xf7f4…1e34 | No | BUY | 72 | 83¢ | $60 | 0x247698… |
| 05-12 05:24:31 | Sweet-Derrick 0x6409…9411 | No | BUY | 9 | 81¢ | $7 | 0x1f5156… |
| 05-12 04:05:41 | Known-Commotion 0xd43e…3604 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 21¢ | $3 | 0x7d356a… |
| 05-12 03:25:40 | (anonymous) 0xd56e…9457 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0xed0c58… |
| 05-12 03:25:38 | Shy-Somersault 0xf68e…a093 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 23¢ | $7 | 0x38b68d… |
| 05-11 23:09:04 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | BUY | 27 | 18¢ | $5 | 0x621b2c… |
| 05-11 23:09:04 | Political-Nasal 0x5a1a…2983 | No | BUY | 2 | 83¢ | $1 | 0x771303… |
| 05-11 23:09:04 | Thankful-Irony 0xae47…638d | No | BUY | 8 | 84¢ | $7 | 0x2e795b… |
| 05-11 23:09:04 | Spherical-Fringe 0x04b3…1b7e | No | BUY | 12 | 83¢ | $10 | 0x3bcd9c… |
| 05-11 23:09:04 | (anonymous) 0xf021…245e | No | BUY | 4 | 83¢ | $3 | 0xf0d5d5… |
| 05-11 21:20:35 | Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | No | BUY | 6 | 85¢ | $5 | 0x33a314… |
| 05-11 21:17:28 | Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xca48a2… |
| 05-11 15:38:21 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 6 | 72¢ | $4 | 0x1bebff… |
| 05-11 15:16:53 | Ironclad-Diamond 0x2869…527d | No | BUY | 7 | 72¢ | $5 | 0xe7cbf4… |
| 05-11 15:16:34 | Partial-Candidate 0xbbaa…88a2 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 29¢ | $3 | 0x082966… |
| 05-11 14:09:29 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 9 | 72¢ | $6 | 0x7df6d1… |
| 05-11 12:08:52 | Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | No | BUY | 6 | 80¢ | $5 | 0x56ded6… |
| 05-11 12:08:44 | (anonymous) 0x4c35…2aae | No | BUY | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0x0550f1… |
| 05-11 12:08:44 | (anonymous) 0x0642…a6f7 | No | BUY | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0x83b963… |
| 05-11 10:27:35 | Fancy-Overexertion 0x3940…9807 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x87cccc… |
| 05-11 10:27:33 | Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | No | BUY | 6 | 82¢ | $5 | 0xd67bcb… |
| 05-11 10:21:50 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | BUY | 6 | 79¢ | $5 | 0x987136… |
| 05-11 10:17:59 | Alert-Bribery 0x2598…17df | No | BUY | 7 | 78¢ | $5 | 0x5feaab… |
| 05-11 05:17:11 | Instructive-Spec 0x6641…55d0 | No | BUY | 3 | 83¢ | $2 | 0xc245f8… |
| 05-10 13:01:55 | Milky-Payment 0x8bbc…1d9e | No | BUY | 54 | 84¢ | $45 | 0xdbe9f0… |
| 05-10 10:56:05 | (anonymous) 0xda63…8969 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 28¢ | $1 | 0xb59f47… |
| 05-10 08:28:30 | (anonymous) 0x84b7…eeb5 | No | BUY | 2 | 87¢ | $2 | 0x284179… |