Excited-Pill — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$454

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

85.6%

Resolved

4,569

Trades

7,796

lifetime

Volume

$48.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-10

last 10-27 05:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 139 days

Categories

Other

99% 80% -$403

Sports

1% 45% -$64

Politics

0% 100% +$14

Tech

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	2	$540	316	316	+0	Yes	-$60	05-28 12:57
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on August 30?	6	$120	131	98	+33	Yes	-$17	08-29 04:07
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 6?	2	$84	44	44	+0	No	+$4	05-06 14:31
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on July 10?	20	$80	94	0	+94	No	+$14	07-10 03:19
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 7?	4	$65	35	35	+0	No	+$6	05-08 00:01
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on July 3?	7	$64	34	34	+0	No	+$4	07-03 10:52
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 8?	12	$61	72	7	+65	No	+$18	07-08 11:08
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on April 27?	5	$61	34	34	+0	No	+$1	04-27 03:25
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on July 5?	6	$58	31	31	+0	No	+$4	07-05 08:12
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 52-53°F on May 1?	2	$55	30	30	+0	No	+$5	05-02 02:59
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on May 3?	2	$54	29	29	+0	No	+$3	05-03 03:15
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on May 4?	3	$54	29	29	+0	No	+$3	05-04 02:40
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 23°C on May 4?	2	$54	29	29	+0	No	+$4	05-04 02:40
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C or higher on May 2?	2	$54	29	29	+0	No	+$4	05-02 21:05
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on May 3?	2	$53	28	28	+0	No	+$3	05-03 13:52
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on May 2?	2	$53	28	28	+0	No	+$3	05-02 12:41
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on May 1?	2	$53	28	28	+0	No	+$3	05-01 14:41
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on May 3?	2	$53	28	28	+0	No	+$3	05-03 13:52
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on April 30?	4	$51	33	33	+0	No	+$1	04-30 12:47
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 3?	6	$48	28	28	+0	No	+$8	07-03 18:23
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 54-55°F on May 6?	4	$45	25	25	+0	No	+$5	05-06 20:15
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on July 5?	5	$45	27	27	+0	No	+$9	07-05 18:07
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on May 6?	3	$44	24	24	+0	No	+$4	05-07 01:37
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C or higher on May 2?	2	$44	24	24	+0	No	+$4	05-02 16:26
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on May 2?	2	$43	24	24	+0	No	+$3	05-02 04:03
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C or higher on May 8?	3	$43	23	23	+0	No	+$3	05-08 13:14
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C or higher on July 5?	6	$43	25	25	+0	No	+$7	07-05 09:02
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 5?	7	$43	25	25	+0	No	+$7	07-05 07:12
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on May 2?	2	$42	22	22	+0	No	+$2	05-02 19:01
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C or higher on May 8?	3	$42	22	22	+0	No	+$2	05-08 13:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 05:55:33	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on October 29?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x1b5c81…
10-27 05:47:39	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C or higher on October 29?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xd09cf4…
10-27 05:47:35	highest temperature in lucknow on october 29 2026 27c	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x095429…
10-27 04:10:17	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on October 28?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x397cb7…
10-27 02:29:14	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on October 28?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x782854…
10-27 01:57:21	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on October 28?	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x108000…
10-27 01:55:54	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on October 28?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x253216…
10-27 00:26:27	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 28?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x08ce39…
10-27 00:26:09	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on October 28?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xe5f0cc…
10-27 00:11:27	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on October 28?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xef1a2a…
10-26 22:12:54	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 28?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xdca91f…
10-26 22:10:48	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 28?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x854fda…
10-26 15:27:17	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 28?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xd07560…
10-26 09:25:18	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 28?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x2dc7e2…
10-26 08:54:57	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 28?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x263431…
10-26 07:56:30	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on October 27?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x6fc16e…
10-26 02:40:11	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 8°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x4c90df…
10-26 02:09:36	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x9d1d25…
10-26 00:25:30	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on October 27?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xafddd1…
10-25 23:57:12	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on October 27?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x98f8b4…
10-25 23:54:30	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on October 27?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xed2598…
10-25 23:54:26	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xbd7b40…
10-25 21:54:39	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x44454d…
10-25 21:28:00	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on October 27?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x23a97b…
10-25 20:54:30	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C or higher on October 27?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x6acd7e…
10-25 20:40:47	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xdf1e92…
10-25 20:23:50	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C or higher on October 27?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x69d52a…
10-25 19:24:38	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xdb866d…
10-25 16:24:29	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 12°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x694935…
10-25 16:03:35	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8cc1c6…
10-25 15:11:38	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xcd5de9…
10-25 14:54:38	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xc10086…
10-25 07:46:56	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on October 26?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xc6af67…
10-25 06:55:53	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on October 26?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x215b31…
10-25 06:09:17	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on October 26?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xc912fc…
10-25 05:11:53	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on October 26?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x88c8f8…
10-25 04:55:09	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on October 26?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x832927…
10-25 04:09:21	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on October 26?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x65d0bb…
10-25 03:31:45	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on October 26?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe4f597…
10-25 01:10:14	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on October 26?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xb1291d…
10-25 00:12:30	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 26?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xd30efc…
10-25 00:10:17	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on October 26?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x208204…
10-24 23:24:18	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on October 26?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xa351a2…
10-24 22:09:33	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on October 26?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x9324e7…
10-24 22:09:29	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 26?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xabebfe…
10-24 22:09:20	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on October 26?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xeca800…
10-24 21:33:17	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 26?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x3733d4…
10-24 21:23:42	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on October 26?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xf8fe7b…
10-24 21:09:27	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 26?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xead9ba…
10-24 19:24:24	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 26?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xded32b…
10-24 18:09:42	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on October 26?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xf1bf60…
10-24 14:39:05	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on October 26?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xbb6468…
10-24 14:24:11	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on October 26?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xef8e34…
10-24 14:09:20	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on October 26?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xd6c401…
10-24 13:55:48	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C on October 26?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x0a7d4c…
10-24 13:43:45	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 26?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x6e5be3…
10-24 12:23:44	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on October 26?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x10aebe…
10-24 12:08:54	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 26?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x6a12fd…
10-24 10:38:56	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on October 25?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xddb311…
10-24 10:24:00	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 26?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x3644b9…
10-24 10:23:54	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 50-51°F on October 25?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x9e3e32…
10-24 07:09:12	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on October 25?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xd7f433…
10-24 06:08:50	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on October 25?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xbb33f3…
10-24 02:42:54	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 25?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xfe5654…
10-24 02:24:06	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 25?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x56d326…
10-24 01:42:53	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 16°C on October 25?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xdf38ce…
10-24 01:39:08	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on October 25?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x40fd79…
10-24 00:54:00	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on October 25?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x78a589…
10-24 00:24:48	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 13°C on October 25?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x486104…
10-24 00:15:53	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 25?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xe89a99…
10-24 00:11:44	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on October 25?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x7f8354…
10-23 23:51:54	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on October 25?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x2de64f…
10-23 23:24:45	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on October 25?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x8cea4d…
10-23 22:23:45	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on October 25?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9db973…
10-23 22:09:15	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on October 25?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xb77a62…
10-23 22:09:09	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on October 25?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xd672b6…
10-23 21:08:54	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on October 25?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x4e2df0…
10-23 21:08:48	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 25?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x5b4313…
10-23 20:00:33	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 25?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x730659…
10-23 19:40:33	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on October 25?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x171b94…
10-23 16:41:57	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 25?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x62786a…
10-23 15:40:39	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on October 25?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x305f21…
10-23 14:11:59	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on October 25?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x71136c…
10-23 13:41:57	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on October 25?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xa72ae5…
10-23 12:56:21	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on October 25?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x0a1d9f…
10-23 12:41:29	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 25?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x7a0d6d…
10-23 11:23:00	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 25?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xb85fd4…
10-23 09:56:36	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on October 24?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x205e76…
10-23 08:41:26	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on October 24?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x080f96…
10-23 06:11:53	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on October 24?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x0db613…
10-23 02:57:27	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on October 24?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x977046…
10-23 02:07:24	highest temperature in buenos aires on october 24 2026 16c	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x280aae…
10-23 01:17:18	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on October 24?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xaef6c9…
10-23 01:11:50	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 24?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xfad8c5…
10-23 00:57:18	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 24?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x349ef1…
10-23 00:57:11	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 24?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xfea251…
10-23 00:42:14	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 24?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x557b77…
10-23 00:37:12	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 24?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x533cd4…
10-23 00:12:32	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on October 24?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xc5c94d…
10-23 00:02:12	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on October 24?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x7b4769…