Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$7
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
34
lifetime
Volume
$246
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$241
24 positions
First seen
2026-05-11
last 05-11 11:33
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
98%
Politics
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? Yes +625 $43 $57 +$14 05-11 07:39
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? No +58 $44 74¢ $43 $-1 05-11 10:12
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? Yes +525 $43 $39 $-3 05-11 10:26
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026? No -33 $-19 56¢ $-19 +$0 05-11 10:51
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C or higher on May 12? Yes +18 $10 55¢ $10 $-0 05-11 10:51
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 12? Yes +28 $10 29¢ $8 $-2 05-11 10:30
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on May 12? No +11 $7 64¢ $7 $-0 05-11 09:59
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on May 12? No -8 $-6 72¢ $-6 $-0 05-11 08:00
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? Yes +166 $6 $6 $-0 05-11 10:41
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026? Yes +22 $4 22¢ $5 +$1 05-11 10:30
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on May 12? No -7 $-5 74¢ $-5 +$0 05-11 09:58
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 12? No +6 $5 82¢ $5 $-0 05-11 11:01
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on May 12? No +5 $4 90¢ $4 +$0 05-11 10:41
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on May 12? No +4 $4 96¢ $4 +$0 05-11 10:37
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on May 12? Yes +10 $4 41¢ $4 +$0 05-11 10:12
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? Yes +28 $3 12¢ $4 +$1 05-11 11:33
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on May 12? No -5 $-4 66¢ $-3 +$0 05-11 08:00
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C or higher on May 12? Yes +6 $3 40¢ $2 $-0 05-11 10:46
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on May 12? Yes +9 $2 20¢ $2 $-0 05-11 11:33
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 12? Yes +3 $2 49¢ $2 +$0 05-11 10:51
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C or higher on May 12? No -2 $-1 64¢ $-2 $-0 05-11 10:25
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 12? No -3 $-1 45¢ $-1 $-0 05-11 11:33
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on May 12? Yes +9 $1 13¢ $1 $-0 05-11 10:50
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? Yes -14 $-1 $-1 $-1 05-11 10:26