Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on May 12?
open
Total volume
$153
$981 in 24h
Trades
31
Unique wallets
22
Liquidity
$1,670
Latest YES mid
20¢
Latest NO mid
80¢
End date
2026-05-12
First seen
2026-05-10
last 05-11 15:44
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+77.7¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $4
vs crowd: 22% YES on $133)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | $6 | — | +$6 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 20 | $24 | $104 | $79 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | $63 | $63 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $8 | $3 | +$5 |
| Median | 4 | $4 | $10 | $6 |
| Below median | 4 | $5 | $5 | $0 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $3 | $12 | $9 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | — | +— |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| unranked | 3 | $5 | $10 | $5 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Defensive-Academics 0xfd8d…038b | No | +78 | $63 | $63 | 1 | 05-11 15:44 |
| Dental-Effectiveness 0x1831…6c99 | Yes | +25 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-11 05:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x3a35…bc44 | Yes | +24 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-10 06:02 |
| Nimble-Evidence 0xdd0b…ad9e | Yes | +17 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-11 02:35 |
| (anonymous) 0xb664…b752 | Yes | +16 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 05-11 03:52 |
| Happy-Go-Lucky-Manicure 0xfe61…e9c2 | No | +14 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-10 06:03 |
| Polished-Runaway 0xa7f1…c062 | No | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-11 04:03 |
| Natural-Oak 0xf9f0…fa62 | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 13:14 |
| Vibrant-Vivo 0x4d2f…bad2 | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 09:34 |
| Petty-Fritter 0x514f…5d84 | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 20:11 |
| Different-Pride 0x04ee…0523 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 14:08 |
| Gigantic-Raid 0xba56…9b6b | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 07:19 |
| Wilted-Vision 0xd14d…b3cb | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-11 11:02 |
| Deserted-Menopause 0x6a49…59e0 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-10 05:08 |
| Immense-Supernatural 0xc1e5…c5df | Yes | +2 | $0 | $2 | 3 | 05-11 14:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x46f7…5b54 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 21:21 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-11 15:44:53 | Defensive-Academics 0xfd8d…038b | No | BUY | 78 | 81¢ | $63 | 0x05b159… |
| 05-11 14:08:15 | Different-Pride 0x04ee…0523 | No | BUY | 6 | 79¢ | $5 | 0xb2d222… |
| 05-11 14:07:38 | Kosher-Innocent 0xb166…0c07 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 21¢ | $0 | 0x76c363… |
| 05-11 14:07:35 | Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | Yes | SELL | 12 | 21¢ | $2 | 0x4dd234… |
| 05-11 14:07:33 | Teeming-Biplane 0x6a8d…50f9 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 21¢ | $4 | 0x95c214… |
| 05-11 14:07:33 | Immense-Supernatural 0xc1e5…c5df | Yes | SELL | 2 | 21¢ | $0 | 0xc08cc5… |
| 05-11 13:37:25 | Partial-Candidate 0xbbaa…88a2 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 23¢ | $2 | 0xdd45cf… |
| 05-11 13:37:25 | Immense-Supernatural 0xc1e5…c5df | Yes | SELL | 1 | 22¢ | $0 | 0xc6c4f0… |
| 05-11 13:14:21 | Natural-Oak 0xf9f0…fa62 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 20¢ | $2 | 0x137e70… |
| 05-11 13:14:09 | Teeming-Biplane 0x6a8d…50f9 | Yes | BUY | 44 | 17¢ | $7 | 0x7abdb0… |
| 05-11 13:14:09 | Immense-Supernatural 0xc1e5…c5df | Yes | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xa5f669… |
| 05-11 12:03:25 | Partial-Candidate 0xbbaa…88a2 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 17¢ | $2 | 0xf33cdd… |
| 05-11 11:02:28 | Wilted-Vision 0xd14d…b3cb | No | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0x6beaff… |
| 05-11 09:34:59 | Vibrant-Vivo 0x4d2f…bad2 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x76501b… |
| 05-11 07:19:59 | Gigantic-Raid 0xba56…9b6b | No | BUY | 6 | 83¢ | $5 | 0xe66020… |
| 05-11 05:03:27 | Dental-Effectiveness 0x1831…6c99 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 18¢ | $4 | 0x732e76… |
| 05-11 04:03:48 | Polished-Runaway 0xa7f1…c062 | No | BUY | 12 | 84¢ | $10 | 0xecd8e9… |
| 05-11 03:52:41 | (anonymous) 0xb664…b752 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xa85dc5… |
| 05-11 03:42:24 | Kooky-Scrap 0x4a52…baaf | Yes | SELL | 1 | 14¢ | $0 | 0x4b6ada… |
| 05-11 03:28:57 | Kooky-Scrap 0x4a52…baaf | Yes | SELL | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x7a25a4… |
| 05-11 03:28:46 | (anonymous) 0x4c35…2aae | Yes | SELL | 6 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xa58edb… |
| 05-11 03:28:41 | Kooky-Scrap 0x4a52…baaf | Yes | BUY | 6 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x28f5d4… |
| 05-11 03:28:10 | Kooky-Scrap 0x4a52…baaf | Yes | SELL | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x7c2215… |
| 05-11 03:27:57 | Teeming-Biplane 0x6a8d…50f9 | Yes | SELL | 44 | 19¢ | $8 | 0x855fb5… |
| 05-11 02:35:17 | Nimble-Evidence 0xdd0b…ad9e | Yes | BUY | 17 | 17¢ | $3 | 0xd1b9c3… |
| 05-10 21:21:22 | (anonymous) 0x46f7…5b54 | No | BUY | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0x9d6784… |
| 05-10 20:11:51 | Petty-Fritter 0x514f…5d84 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x8e4822… |
| 05-10 06:03:08 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Manicure 0xfe61…e9c2 | No | BUY | 14 | 85¢ | $12 | 0xe9eb35… |
| 05-10 06:02:30 | (anonymous) 0x3a35…bc44 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 16¢ | $4 | 0xcdd04a… |
| 05-10 05:32:52 | (anonymous) 0xb664…b752 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x9ac0c2… |
| 05-10 05:08:36 | Deserted-Menopause 0x6a49…59e0 | No | BUY | 3 | 87¢ | $3 | 0x6ef882… |