Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$303

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 05-15 13:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Politics

54% 80% +$25

Other

35% 33% $-9

Crypto

7% — —

Sports

3% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	4	$28	31	31	+0	Yes	+$8	05-09 04:41
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	4	$25	24	24	+0	Yes	+$5	05-09 04:36
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	4	$21	22	22	+0	open	—	05-09 18:12
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	4	$19	52	52	+0	open	—	05-08 08:03
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	3	$15	16	8	+8	open	—	05-15 06:47
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	2	$11	21	21	+0	open	—	05-07 19:13
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?	2	$11	10	10	+0	Yes	+$1	05-08 18:10
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	2	$11	8	8	+0	open	—	05-09 12:27
EWY (EWY) Up or Down on May 11?	2	$11	9	9	+0	Up	+$1	05-11 06:22
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?	2	$10	7	7	+0	open	—	05-12 15:27
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?	2	$10	7	7	+0	open	—	05-13 04:07
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	2	$10	8	8	+0	open	—	05-10 20:22
Will China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?	2	$10	7	7	+0	open	—	05-15 04:15
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?	2	$10	12	12	+0	open	—	05-11 08:22
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Francisco Giants	2	$10	10	10	+0	San Francisco Giants	+$0	05-10 21:57
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	1	$10	22	0	+22	Yes	+$12	05-08 18:06
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	2	$10	13	13	+0	open	—	05-15 13:10
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	2	$9	50	50	+0	No	$-1	05-09 05:11
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $390 in May?	2	$9	9	9	+0	open	—	05-14 14:35
Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$8	12	12	+0	open	—	05-14 02:11
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 15?	2	$8	9	9	+0	open	—	05-15 08:25
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May?	2	$8	8	8	+0	open	—	05-13 15:38
Internet Access restored in Iran by September 30, 2026?	2	$7	9	9	+0	open	—	05-14 05:51
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 14?	2	$6	16	16	+0	open	—	05-14 10:35
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	1	$5	11	0	+11	open	—	05-15 08:14
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 8?	1	$5	38	0	+38	Down	$-5	05-08 17:54
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on May 8?	1	$5	7	0	+7	No	$-5	05-08 18:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 13:10:50	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	Yes	SELL	13	37¢	$5	0xae6914…
05-15 08:25:45	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 15?	No	SELL	9	35¢	$3	0xc0009a…
05-15 08:14:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xc7e4e7…
05-15 08:13:46	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 15?	No	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x623d9f…
05-15 07:48:25	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x0075f1…
05-15 06:47:26	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x669ed1…
05-15 04:30:44	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	8	63¢	$5	0x687629…
05-15 04:15:44	Will China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?	No	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0xe9fe04…
05-14 14:35:45	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $390 in May?	Yes	SELL	9	40¢	$4	0xa723d5…
05-14 10:35:44	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 14?	No	SELL	16	6¢	$1	0x1bfca8…
05-14 05:51:11	Internet Access restored in Iran by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	9	28¢	$2	0x250fb0…
05-14 04:56:44	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 14?	No	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x6f8927…
05-14 04:26:43	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x8feccd…
05-14 04:15:29	Will China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?	No	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xfff9b5…
05-14 04:09:04	Internet Access restored in Iran by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x5d4c68…
05-14 02:11:04	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	12	28¢	$3	0x928a47…
05-13 16:22:39	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x6e36fc…
05-13 16:16:42	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $390 in May?	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xce9dda…
05-13 15:38:39	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May?	No	SELL	8	38¢	$3	0x72a83f…
05-13 04:07:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?	No	SELL	7	73¢	$5	0x5e8392…
05-12 15:30:38	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May?	No	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xc10717…
05-12 15:27:03	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?	No	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0xee0841…
05-12 04:05:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xff20bc…
05-11 08:22:03	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	12	43¢	$5	0x46be2a…
05-11 06:22:01	EWY (EWY) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	SELL	9	63¢	$6	0x56861a…
05-11 05:06:24	EWY (EWY) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x81aa5d…
05-10 21:57:00	Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Francisco Giants	San Francisco Giants	SELL	10	53¢	$5	0xf58bb2…
05-10 20:22:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	SELL	8	62¢	$5	0x80ce3f…
05-10 06:18:04	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?	No	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x4a24cb…
05-10 06:08:04	Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Francisco Giants	San Francisco Giants	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xcd9b9c…
05-09 18:12:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	75¢	$6	0xb04849…
05-09 12:27:02	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	68¢	$6	0x729c75…
05-09 05:11:59	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	Yes	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0x44fc6e…
05-09 05:09:24	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x2848f4…
05-09 04:41:59	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xd9a223…
05-09 04:36:59	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	96¢	$9	0xcbf5fd…
05-09 04:00:44	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xf9b543…
05-08 18:33:41	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x4eb69d…
05-08 18:33:11	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x518ff9…
05-08 18:31:01	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	40¢	$8	0xde0adc…
05-08 18:30:58	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	43¢	$6	0x308833…
05-08 18:14:20	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xf53aef…
05-08 18:11:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x0b83af…
05-08 18:10:57	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0xd62235…
05-08 18:08:41	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xd25a24…
05-08 18:07:01	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xcc2723…
05-08 18:06:40	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xfa9da8…
05-08 18:04:41	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xbe8b35…
05-08 18:03:22	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x6369ab…
05-08 18:01:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x1e63b4…
05-08 17:54:41	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 8?	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x7fc2f0…
05-08 08:03:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	21¢	$5	0xe12e91…
05-07 20:01:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x46b23d…
05-07 19:13:29	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	35¢	$5	0xdaebd1…
05-07 19:13:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	16¢	$4	0x6e1e60…
05-07 19:13:20	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	21	28¢	$6	0x4b4a2b…
05-07 19:10:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xc271b4…
05-07 19:03:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x9094d4…
05-07 16:53:06	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xeccb64…