Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $390 in May?
open
Total volume
$18,212
$408 in 24h
Trades
600
Unique wallets
120
Liquidity
$9,649
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-06-01
First seen
2026-05-01
last 05-29 22:47
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-3.7¢
(top1%: 43% YES on $6.1K
vs crowd: 47% YES on $12.9K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 16 | $4.1K | $5.5K | $1.5K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 27 | $524 | $427 | +$97 |
| 🐟 Fish | 29 | $1.1K | $500 | +$635 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 48 | $330 | $339 | $10 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 9 | $2.7K | $3.5K | $809 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 10 | $218 | $340 | $121 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 10 | $48 | $159 | $110 |
| Median | 18 | $48 | $141 | $93 |
| Below median | 19 | $146 | $99 | +$47 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 9 | $152 | $35 | +$117 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 18 | $1.2K | $430 | +$788 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 9 | $1.4K | $2.0K | $540 |
| unranked | 18 | $125 | $143 | $17 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | No | +5,413 | $3,162 | $3,162 | 31 | 05-22 13:36 |
| Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | Yes | +4,056 | $1,353 | $1,353 | 31 | 05-26 13:36 |
| Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | +896 | $894 | $1,294 | 2 | 05-29 22:47 |
| Squiggly-Signal 0x6364…8316 | Yes | +716 | $80 | $80 | 10 | 05-28 20:32 |
| Wobbly-Order 0xa540…0b43 | Yes | +693 | $286 | $286 | 10 | 05-01 13:35 |
| Masculine-Fault 0x81a6…762e | Yes | +500 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-29 19:19 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +283 | $93 | $413 | 18 | 05-29 03:36 |
| Private-Towtruck 0x936e…473f | No | +200 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 05-29 22:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | +185 | $70 | $150 | 9 | 05-29 19:19 |
| Double-Scrim 0x7804…7025 | No | +164 | $159 | $159 | 1 | 05-28 21:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | +153 | $108 | $224 | 9 | 05-20 16:24 |
| Deafening-Possible 0x75cb…1556 | Yes | +150 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-29 19:19 |
| Staid-Tire 0x3ddf…5c37 | Yes | +120 | $-1 | $7 | 4 | 05-29 19:19 |
| Suburban-Ecliptic 0x476c…ce52 | Yes | +114 | $22 | $22 | 3 | 05-18 08:25 |
| Fumbling-Training 0x88b0…b118 | No | +111 | $92 | $92 | 2 | 05-19 21:24 |
| Witty-Decadence 0xb307…9c25 | Yes | +110 | $58 | $127 | 16 | 05-24 07:53 |
| Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | +105 | $0 | $1 | 4 | 05-29 19:19 |
| andy29 0xa75c…895e | Yes | +100 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-29 19:19 |
| andy29 0xa75c…895e | No | +100 | $95 | $95 | 2 | 05-28 20:32 |
| Envious-Rudiment 0x85e5…fdd5 | No | +100 | $71 | $71 | 2 | 05-09 10:36 |
| Unhappy-Lynx 0x98a2…4bcd | Yes | +96 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-23 08:36 |
| Violent-Vegetarian 0x97ff…d970 | No | +96 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-14 00:02 |
| Scientific-Impala 0x07d1…8ffa | Yes | +65 | $5 | $7 | 4 | 05-23 23:01 |
| Rash-Caddy-Hurdle 0x7138…8c89 | Yes | +55 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 05-05 08:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xa4d2…a833 | No | +53 | $50 | $50 | 2 | 05-28 20:32 |
| Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | +45 | $18 | $18 | 2 | 05-18 17:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x1a4d…4c76 | Yes | +35 | $2 | $107 | 7 | 05-19 21:24 |
| Ornate-Tale 0x8544…bd34 | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 2 | 05-29 13:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | +25 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-19 14:33 |
| Frequent-Housing 0xb527…3b52 | Yes | +20 | $6 | $35 | 9 | 05-24 13:20 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +20 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-28 21:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x0683…4022 | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-26 15:36 |
| Wobbly-Order 0xa540…0b43 | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-19 12:07 |
| Mysterious-Jury 0xc8b2…7c84 | Yes | +18 | $10 | $28 | 2 | 05-06 14:50 |
| Spherical-Fringe 0x04b3…1b7e | No | +16 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-01 13:35 |
| Greedy-Railroad 0x6964…3c89 | No | +16 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-03 19:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x1904…b6de | No | +16 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 05-01 13:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x9895…3870 | Yes | +15 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-29 19:19 |
| Creamy-Valance 0xd975…5e9d | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-28 16:56 |
| Lucky-Pear 0x843c…4863 | Yes | +13 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-29 19:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xd2b8…7223 | Yes | +13 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-29 19:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xf450…9e45 | Yes | +13 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-29 19:19 |
| Memorable-Pool 0xa69f…f921 | Yes | +12 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-29 19:19 |
| Electric-Wok 0xa67c…842f | Yes | +12 | $1 | $9 | 4 | 05-18 17:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x6260…2974 | Yes | +11 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 14:24 |
| Crushing-Noodle 0x8ced…443a | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-22 02:51 |
| Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | +10 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-04 19:46 |
| Crushing-Noodle 0x8ced…443a | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 05-26 15:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x05e3…faaf | No | +9 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-10 20:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xf64b…92a1 | No | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-03 04:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xc45e…78de | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-24 13:02 |
| Liquid-Lip 0x115e…02b7 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-24 13:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x2fce…3eb5 | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-24 13:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x6677…3a56 | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-24 13:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xddd7…0827 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-01 13:35 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-29 22:47:12 | Private-Towtruck 0x936e…473f | No | BUY | 200 | 100¢ | $200 | 0x30f055… |
| 05-29 22:47:12 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 200 | 100¢ | $200 | 0x30f055… |
| 05-29 19:19:41 | (anonymous) 0xd2b8…7223 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xce129d… |
| 05-29 19:19:41 | Deafening-Possible 0x75cb…1556 | Yes | BUY | 150 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xce129d… |
| 05-29 19:19:41 | Lucky-Pear 0x843c…4863 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xce129d… |
| 05-29 19:19:41 | Past-Misrepresentation 0xba17…92b4 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xce129d… |
| 05-29 19:19:41 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | BUY | 59 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xce129d… |
| 05-29 19:19:41 | (anonymous) 0xa05c…6f9f | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xce129d… |
| 05-29 19:19:41 | (anonymous) 0x9895…3870 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xce129d… |
| 05-29 19:19:41 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xce129d… |
| 05-29 19:19:41 | (anonymous) 0x3424…5d5e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xce129d… |
| 05-29 19:19:41 | (anonymous) 0xf450…9e45 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xce129d… |
| 05-29 19:19:41 | Memorable-Pool 0xa69f…f921 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xce129d… |
| 05-29 19:19:41 | Staid-Tire 0x3ddf…5c37 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xce129d… |
| 05-29 19:19:41 | Masculine-Fault 0x81a6…762e | Yes | BUY | 500 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xce129d… |
| 05-29 19:19:41 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | BUY | 1,096 | 100¢ | $1,094 | 0xce129d… |
| 05-29 19:19:41 | andy29 0xa75c…895e | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xce129d… |
| 05-29 17:21:37 | Putrid-Penny-Shine 0xe60a…a633 | Yes | SELL | 35 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x651a83… |
| 05-29 17:21:37 | Unlucky-Begonia 0x01af…7bc2 | No | SELL | 35 | 99¢ | $35 | 0x651a83… |
| 05-29 17:15:31 | Unlucky-Begonia 0x01af…7bc2 | No | SELL | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0x98984f… |
| 05-29 17:15:31 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x98984f… |
| 05-29 13:58:07 | Staid-Tire 0x3ddf…5c37 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x25c392… |
| 05-29 13:58:07 | Ornate-Tale 0x8544…bd34 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x25c392… |
| 05-29 10:38:46 | Ornate-Tale 0x8544…bd34 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x6998c9… |
| 05-29 10:38:46 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6998c9… |
| 05-29 03:57:05 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1c0500… |
| 05-29 03:57:05 | Fumbling-Training 0x88b0…b118 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1c0500… |
| 05-29 03:36:12 | Unlucky-Begonia 0x01af…7bc2 | No | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0x3d521d… |
| 05-29 03:36:12 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x3d521d… |
| 05-28 21:21:09 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x758f4d… |
| 05-28 21:21:09 | Double-Scrim 0x7804…7025 | No | BUY | 164 | 97¢ | $159 | 0x758f4d… |
| 05-28 21:21:09 | Long-Hood 0x4867…a6f8 | No | SELL | 94 | 95¢ | $90 | 0x758f4d… |
| 05-28 21:21:09 | Putrid-Penny-Shine 0xe60a…a633 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x758f4d… |
| 05-28 20:32:49 | Long-Hood 0x4867…a6f8 | No | BUY | 94 | 95¢ | $90 | 0xff0422… |
| 05-28 20:32:49 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xff0422… |
| 05-28 20:32:49 | Squiggly-Signal 0x6364…8316 | Yes | BUY | 104 | 5¢ | $5 | 0xff0422… |
| 05-28 20:32:44 | (anonymous) 0xa4d2…a833 | No | BUY | 29 | 95¢ | $27 | 0x721c02… |
| 05-28 20:32:44 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | SELL | 75 | 5¢ | $4 | 0x721c02… |
| 05-28 20:32:44 | Squiggly-Signal 0x6364…8316 | Yes | BUY | 104 | 5¢ | $5 | 0x721c02… |
| 05-28 20:32:39 | andy29 0xa75c…895e | No | BUY | 80 | 95¢ | $76 | 0x4b35aa… |
| 05-28 20:32:39 | (anonymous) 0xa4d2…a833 | No | BUY | 24 | 95¢ | $23 | 0x4b35aa… |
| 05-28 20:32:39 | Squiggly-Signal 0x6364…8316 | Yes | BUY | 104 | 5¢ | $5 | 0x4b35aa… |
| 05-28 16:56:03 | Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8981e8… |
| 05-28 16:56:03 | Creamy-Valance 0xd975…5e9d | No | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0x8981e8… |
| 05-28 16:56:03 | Grandiose-Layer 0x26aa…9d4d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8981e8… |
| 05-26 15:36:23 | (anonymous) 0x0683…4022 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x57115a… |
| 05-26 15:36:23 | andy29 0xa75c…895e | No | BUY | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0x57115a… |
| 05-26 15:27:59 | Crushing-Noodle 0x8ced…443a | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xc9afde… |
| 05-26 15:27:59 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xc9afde… |
| 05-26 15:27:17 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x136007… |
| 05-26 15:27:17 | Crushing-Noodle 0x8ced…443a | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x136007… |
| 05-26 13:36:50 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xce64db… |
| 05-26 13:36:50 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | Yes | BUY | 18 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xce64db… |
| 05-24 13:20:07 | Frequent-Housing 0xb527…3b52 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x967f10… |
| 05-24 13:20:07 | Liquid-Lip 0x115e…02b7 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x967f10… |
| 05-24 13:18:27 | Frequent-Housing 0xb527…3b52 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x3bbccb… |
| 05-24 13:18:27 | (anonymous) 0x2fce…3eb5 | No | BUY | 4 | 97¢ | $4 | 0x3bbccb… |
| 05-24 13:18:27 | (anonymous) 0x6677…3a56 | No | BUY | 4 | 97¢ | $4 | 0x8e7f44… |
| 05-24 13:18:27 | Frequent-Housing 0xb527…3b52 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x8e7f44… |
| 05-24 13:02:10 | (anonymous) 0xc45e…78de | No | BUY | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x153b91… |
| 05-24 13:02:10 | Frequent-Housing 0xb527…3b52 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x153b91… |
| 05-24 07:53:32 | Witty-Decadence 0xb307…9c25 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x7dd34e… |
| 05-24 07:53:32 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x7dd34e… |
| 05-23 23:01:06 | Witty-Decadence 0xb307…9c25 | Yes | SELL | 35 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xcea3e6… |
| 05-23 23:01:06 | Scientific-Impala 0x07d1…8ffa | Yes | BUY | 35 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xcea3e6… |
| 05-23 08:36:39 | Unhappy-Lynx 0x98a2…4bcd | Yes | BUY | 96 | 3¢ | $3 | 0x73d132… |
| 05-23 08:36:39 | Witty-Decadence 0xb307…9c25 | Yes | SELL | 96 | 3¢ | $3 | 0x73d132… |
| 05-22 13:36:33 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | No | BUY | 3 | 90¢ | $3 | 0xa83c95… |
| 05-22 13:36:33 | Arid-Cinema 0x73d2…f9b7 | No | SELL | 3 | 90¢ | $3 | 0xa83c95… |
| 05-22 03:01:34 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x904524… |
| 05-22 03:01:34 | Sudden-Crisis 0x71a6…6fa0 | No | SELL | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0x904524… |
| 05-22 02:51:16 | Crushing-Noodle 0x8ced…443a | Yes | BUY | 10 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x9ec738… |
| 05-22 02:51:16 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x9ec738… |
| 05-21 18:55:18 | Frequent-Housing 0xb527…3b52 | Yes | SELL | 86 | 10¢ | $9 | 0x3caeac… |
| 05-21 18:55:18 | Arid-Cinema 0x73d2…f9b7 | No | SELL | 86 | 90¢ | $77 | 0x3caeac… |
| 05-21 14:19:48 | Polite-Developing 0x0b54…76ea | Yes | SELL | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x3ae4ee… |
| 05-21 14:19:48 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | Yes | BUY | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x3ae4ee… |
| 05-21 13:00:49 | Arid-Cinema 0x73d2…f9b7 | No | SELL | 6 | 90¢ | $5 | 0x3d9c13… |
| 05-21 13:00:49 | Shimmering-Corruption 0x5968…3fc4 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x3d9c13… |
| 05-21 13:00:22 | Arid-Cinema 0x73d2…f9b7 | No | SELL | 105 | 90¢ | $95 | 0xb1f6d5… |
| 05-21 13:00:22 | Impure-Township 0x38d8…ea7c | Yes | SELL | 105 | 10¢ | $11 | 0xb1f6d5… |
| 05-20 16:24:09 | Shimmering-Corruption 0x5968…3fc4 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x6ddeb1… |
| 05-20 16:24:09 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | SELL | 8 | 87¢ | $7 | 0x6ddeb1… |
| 05-20 16:22:31 | Frequent-Housing 0xb527…3b52 | Yes | BUY | 80 | 14¢ | $11 | 0xca0a0e… |
| 05-20 16:22:31 | Impure-Township 0x38d8…ea7c | Yes | SELL | 163 | 14¢ | $23 | 0xca0a0e… |
| 05-20 16:22:31 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 14¢ | $7 | 0xca0a0e… |
| 05-20 15:45:40 | All-Disguise 0x41d7…7c97 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x528075… |
| 05-20 15:45:40 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x528075… |
| 05-20 15:45:16 | All-Disguise 0x41d7…7c97 | No | SELL | 93 | 81¢ | $76 | 0xdfc715… |
| 05-20 15:45:16 | Sudden-Crisis 0x71a6…6fa0 | No | BUY | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0xdfc715… |
| 05-20 15:45:16 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | BUY | 88 | 81¢ | $71 | 0xdfc715… |
| 05-20 13:35:34 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | SELL | 342 | 21¢ | $72 | 0x8cedb7… |
| 05-20 13:35:34 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | Yes | BUY | 342 | 21¢ | $72 | 0x8cedb7… |
| 05-20 13:34:11 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | Yes | BUY | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x9e63a1… |
| 05-20 13:34:11 | Scientific-Impala 0x07d1…8ffa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x9e63a1… |
| 05-20 08:08:05 | Bleak-Deduction 0xf516…ac9f | Yes | SELL | 12 | 14¢ | $2 | 0xa881eb… |
| 05-20 08:08:05 | Sudden-Crisis 0x71a6…6fa0 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xa881eb… |
| 05-20 08:08:05 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xa881eb… |
| 05-19 21:32:32 | Frequent-Housing 0xb527…3b52 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x09431e… |
| 05-19 21:32:32 | Shimmering-Corruption 0x5968…3fc4 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x09431e… |