Naive-Lotion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11.6K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.5%

Resolved

227

Trades

74,869

lifetime

Volume

$7.65M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$102

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 07-20 19:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Other

88% 57% +$11,570

Sports

12% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 632 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba dal nop 2026 03 16	40	$236.0K	157,313	157,312	+0	open	—	03-16 22:16
nba gsw nyk 2026 03 15	377	$219.3K	251,665	0	+251,665	open	—	03-16 00:02
nba por ind 2026 03 18	1	$127.5K	150,003	0	+150,003	open	—	03-18 22:52
spx up or down on july 20 2026	361	$107.5K	139,775	0	+139,775	open	—	07-20 19:51
nfl la chi 2026 01 18 spread away 3pt5	5	$101.1K	198,538	0	+198,538	open	—	01-18 23:16
spx up or down on march 2 2026	392	$93.8K	198,346	0	+198,346	open	—	03-02 20:59
spx up or down on february 4 2026	263	$90.3K	171,330	0	+171,330	open	—	02-04 20:27
spx up or down on july 15 2026	437	$84.2K	104,030	0	+104,030	open	—	07-15 19:06
spx up or down on february 20 2026	180	$79.6K	125,418	0	+125,418	open	—	02-20 19:19
spx up or down on january 21 2026	194	$78.1K	161,224	0	+161,224	open	—	01-21 19:30
spx up or down on february 12 2026	89	$74.3K	139,649	0	+139,649	open	—	02-12 16:24
spx up or down on february 17 2026	170	$71.8K	143,203	0	+143,203	open	—	02-17 20:57
msft close above 410 on february 9 2026	58	$69.5K	117,686	0	+117,686	open	—	02-09 20:27
spx up or down on february 5 2026	65	$68.1K	91,221	0	+91,221	open	—	02-05 17:45
spx up or down on february 6 2026	49	$67.9K	81,909	0	+81,909	open	—	02-06 17:03
nba phx min 2026 03 17	1	$67.4K	112,307	0	+112,307	open	—	03-17 21:23
spx up or down on february 13 2026	167	$66.2K	136,911	0	+136,911	open	—	02-13 20:41
spx up or down on april 10 2026	197	$62.4K	104,095	0	+104,095	open	—	04-10 19:33
spx up or down on july 16 2026	252	$62.3K	84,334	0	+84,334	open	—	07-16 16:07
spx up or down on january 23 2026	308	$56.9K	109,776	0	+109,776	open	—	01-23 20:39
nba tor chi 2026 03 18	2	$53.1K	72,675	0	+72,675	open	—	03-18 22:32
spx up or down on march 5 2026	86	$52.7K	117,970	0	+117,970	open	—	03-05 17:23
spx up or down on february 11 2026	204	$50.2K	98,047	0	+98,047	open	—	02-11 20:59
nba ind phi 2026 01 19	15	$49.5K	150,000	0	+150,000	open	—	01-19 23:30
will open close between 4 and 5 week february 20 2026	59	$47.0K	61,665	0	+61,665	open	—	02-20 20:59
Will Opendoor reach $6 in April?	73	$45.4K	73,987	0	+73,987	open	—	04-23 16:56
spx up or down on january 30 2026	268	$41.8K	95,134	0	+95,134	open	—	01-30 19:58
nvda close above 195 on february 10 2026	28	$38.8K	70,436	0	+70,436	open	—	02-10 14:54
will sp 500 spx close over 6500 on the final trading day of march 2026	102	$34.4K	46,059	0	+46,059	open	—	03-31 19:36
spx up or down on april 21 2026	304	$34.4K	146,507	0	+146,507	open	—	04-21 19:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 19:51:24	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	4,995	90¢	$4,496	0x557265…
07-20 19:51:13	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	204	90¢	$184	0x6cc89d…
07-20 19:51:00	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	13	88¢	$11	0xdf8140…
07-20 19:50:52	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	4,925	88¢	$4,334	0xabc7cc…
07-20 19:50:48	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0xcfd579…
07-20 19:50:40	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	25	88¢	$22	0x34d37f…
07-20 19:50:36	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	4,870	89¢	$4,335	0xf41dda…
07-20 19:50:33	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	30	89¢	$26	0x2e3f74…
07-20 19:50:16	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0xb3ef6b…
07-20 19:50:09	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	400	89¢	$356	0x9a7978…
07-20 19:50:06	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	500	85¢	$425	0x0b0313…
07-20 19:49:39	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	16	66¢	$11	0x6ddac4…
07-20 19:48:57	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	200	77¢	$154	0x78a608…
07-20 19:48:28	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	737	81¢	$597	0x0e070d…
07-20 19:48:25	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	32	81¢	$26	0xa2c166…
07-20 19:48:25	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	50	81¢	$40	0x6651f1…
07-20 19:48:25	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	38	81¢	$31	0x5a0373…
07-20 19:48:25	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	50	81¢	$40	0x0110dc…
07-20 19:48:24	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	50	81¢	$40	0xa01842…
07-20 19:48:10	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0x16e747…
07-20 19:47:34	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	100	72¢	$72	0x2b2149…
07-20 19:47:33	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	15	72¢	$11	0x89e5a1…
07-20 19:46:37	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	50	77¢	$38	0x10defd…
07-20 19:46:36	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	50	77¢	$38	0x1f5eaa…
07-20 19:46:34	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	50	77¢	$38	0xd551ec…
07-20 19:46:34	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	50	77¢	$38	0xc0f05b…
07-20 19:46:33	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	50	77¢	$38	0x1b77c6…
07-20 19:46:33	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	50	79¢	$40	0x069200…
07-20 19:46:31	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	50	79¢	$40	0xc181d1…
07-20 19:46:30	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	50	79¢	$40	0xe79bcc…
07-20 19:46:30	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	50	77¢	$38	0x9be5ef…
07-20 19:46:30	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	50	79¢	$40	0x07f616…
07-20 19:46:28	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	50	77¢	$38	0xe77137…
07-20 19:46:28	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	50	77¢	$38	0x3a5e50…
07-20 19:46:27	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	50	77¢	$38	0xaa0c5d…
07-20 19:46:27	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	50	77¢	$38	0x7c653f…
07-20 19:46:25	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	50	77¢	$38	0xfd8b8f…
07-20 19:46:25	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	50	77¢	$38	0x1d431c…
07-20 19:46:16	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	31	73¢	$23	0x1976a4…
07-20 19:46:15	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	50	73¢	$36	0xec0f06…
07-20 19:46:15	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	50	73¢	$36	0x99fe1c…
07-20 19:46:13	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0xf30718…
07-20 19:46:13	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	50	73¢	$36	0xd03aa4…
07-20 19:46:13	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0x73cc29…
07-20 19:46:12	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0x74580b…
07-20 19:46:12	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0x232488…
07-20 19:46:10	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0xc97362…
07-20 19:46:10	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0x18bfa2…
07-20 19:46:09	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0x7eaec5…
07-20 19:46:09	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0x5e5091…
07-20 19:46:07	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0xf0d023…
07-20 19:46:07	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0xd79ccd…
07-20 19:46:07	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0x7426c4…
07-20 19:46:07	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0x28dd4f…
07-20 19:46:06	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0x9cb671…
07-20 19:46:06	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0x517414…
07-20 19:46:04	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0xe6c695…
07-20 19:46:04	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0x538a6e…
07-20 19:46:03	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0xd61403…
07-20 19:46:03	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0x30afc7…
07-20 19:46:03	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0x09ba33…
07-20 19:46:01	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0xa6c0cd…
07-20 19:46:01	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0x5266a0…
07-20 19:46:01	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0x470f04…
07-20 19:46:00	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0xf0b87e…
07-20 19:46:00	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0xde7de1…
07-20 19:46:00	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	264	75¢	$198	0x7fddd9…
07-20 19:46:00	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0x5e772f…
07-20 19:45:58	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0xea95c2…
07-20 19:45:58	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	100	73¢	$73	0x7dad9f…
07-20 19:45:57	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x55fe49…
07-20 19:45:55	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	13	66¢	$9	0xea0da8…
07-20 19:45:55	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	138	65¢	$89	0x5f6ea5…
07-20 19:45:48	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xf3adac…
07-20 19:45:07	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	30	59¢	$18	0x21a2f2…
07-20 19:42:09	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	472	50¢	$236	0x777e0a…
07-20 19:39:25	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0x557dc9…
07-20 19:38:12	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	23	81¢	$19	0xbcecfb…
07-20 19:38:07	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	9	81¢	$7	0x9c7979…
07-20 19:38:04	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x07a72d…
07-20 19:37:57	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xd0f90e…
07-20 19:35:55	msft above 435 on july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0xc719e9…
07-20 19:34:48	nvda up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	29	74¢	$21	0x02b12f…
07-20 19:34:30	nvda up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	18	74¢	$13	0xf80160…
07-20 19:34:09	nvda up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	40	74¢	$30	0xda46c5…
07-20 19:34:06	nvda up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	87	72¢	$63	0x618e15…
07-20 19:34:06	nvda up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0x29f85b…
07-20 19:33:03	nvda up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x035f03…
07-20 19:32:58	nvda up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x50c9ad…
07-20 19:29:07	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	12	87¢	$11	0x32f75c…
07-20 19:28:57	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x48af6c…
07-20 19:28:31	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0x7129f9…
07-20 19:28:27	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0x10f909…
07-20 19:28:24	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	9	88¢	$7	0x506007…
07-20 19:28:21	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0x95477d…
07-20 19:28:01	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	5,000	89¢	$4,450	0x92acf3…
07-20 19:27:36	nvda up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	100	74¢	$74	0x389e2d…
07-20 19:26:12	nvda up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x8a2c79…
07-20 19:26:12	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x5248fc…
07-20 19:25:25	mu up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	6	75¢	$5	0x667ac7…