Wobbly-Order — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$18.5K

Unrealized P&L

-$134

Hit rate

62.2%

Resolved

532

Trades

152,211

lifetime

Volume

$3.78M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-26

last 06-10 06:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Other

86% 43% +$18,504

Crypto

14% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

74 active days in 12wk • peak 3328 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.60 in May?	Yes		+1,000	$135	0¢	$1	$-134	05-01 13:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
crint gbr nzl 2026 02 27	625	$51.6K	103,320	0	+103,320	open	—	02-27 16:48
atp alcaraz zverev 2026 01 30	880	$49.1K	98,391	0	+98,391	open	—	01-30 09:14
crint gbr wst 2026 02 11	499	$37.2K	74,365	0	+74,365	open	—	02-11 17:05
wta sabalen rybakin 2026 01 31	719	$33.1K	65,731	0	+65,731	open	—	01-31 11:01
crint ind pak 2026 02 15	266	$26.6K	54,111	0	+54,111	open	—	02-15 16:14
crint can are 2026 02 13	277	$26.3K	52,272	0	+52,272	open	—	02-13 13:01
crint lka gbr 2026 02 01	380	$23.1K	46,545	0	+46,545	open	—	02-01 17:51
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 15?	176	$22.8K	32,621	8,023	+24,598	open	—	05-15 18:11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	246	$21.4K	42,199	718	+41,481	open	—	05-26 10:25
crint nam pak 2026 02 18	84	$21.2K	41,000	0	+41,000	open	—	02-18 07:06
crint ita npl 2026 02 12	296	$20.9K	42,893	0	+42,893	open	—	02-12 11:47
crint lka irl 2026 02 08	325	$20.5K	41,680	0	+41,680	open	—	02-08 17:05
crint lka pak 2026 02 28	239	$20.4K	42,316	0	+42,316	open	—	02-28 17:14
crint can ita 2026 02 02	251	$20.2K	39,492	0	+39,492	open	—	02-02 16:58
crint ind wst 2026 03 01	275	$20.2K	41,015	0	+41,015	open	—	03-01 16:47
cru19wc ind19 pak19 2026 02 01	378	$20.1K	39,386	0	+39,386	open	—	02-01 15:01
crint aus lka 2026 02 16	246	$20.0K	41,934	0	+41,934	open	—	02-16 16:39
atp musetti djokovi 2026 01 28	547	$19.1K	38,992	0	+38,992	open	—	01-28 06:44
crint afg nzl 2026 02 08	350	$19.1K	38,924	0	+38,924	open	—	02-08 08:47
atp alcaraz djokovi 2026 02 01	667	$18.6K	38,024	0	+38,024	open	—	02-01 11:47
crint afg are 2026 02 16	211	$18.4K	37,590	0	+37,590	open	—	02-16 09:02
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 8?	52	$17.4K	30,331	3,398	+26,933	Down	+$1,925	05-08 18:54
crint gbr pak 2026 02 24	192	$16.9K	34,153	0	+34,153	open	—	02-24 16:42
crint zaf wst 2026 02 01	269	$16.9K	34,230	0	+34,230	open	—	01-31 20:01
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 7?	130	$16.7K	32,809	1,897	+30,913	Up	+$2,812	05-07 20:52
crint lka nzl 2026 02 25	177	$16.5K	35,036	0	+35,036	open	—	02-25 16:06
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	236	$16.2K	32,986	0	+32,986	open	—	04-28 09:19
crint lka gbr 2026 02 03	381	$16.1K	33,119	0	+33,119	open	—	02-03 16:57
crint nzl zaf 2026 02 14	167	$14.8K	31,274	0	+31,274	open	—	02-14 16:05
crint nld usa 2026 02 13	194	$14.1K	29,681	0	+29,681	open	—	02-13 15:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 07:36:22	xauusd up or down on june 10 2026	Down	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0x687c20…
06-10 07:34:21	xauusd up or down on june 10 2026	Down	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x221602…
06-10 07:33:30	wti closes above 88 on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xe70396…
06-10 07:29:00	wti closes above 94 on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x2a8b08…
06-10 07:27:36	will ng reach 4 00 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	52	8¢	$4	0xbacb81…
06-10 07:23:28	wti closes above 89 on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	71	30¢	$21	0x4bd564…
06-10 07:22:58	will ng dip to 2 80 in june 2026	No	BUY	60	73¢	$44	0xc35bf7…
06-10 07:22:52	will ng dip to 2 60 in june 2026	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0x2d7ca4…
06-10 07:22:43	ng up or down on june 10 2026	Up	BUY	601	76¢	$457	0x752c71…
06-10 07:22:39	will ng reach 3 40 by june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0xbee06e…
06-10 07:22:37	ng up or down on june 10 2026	Up	BUY	50	63¢	$32	0xc54cc9…
06-10 07:22:37	wti closes above 89 on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	429	30¢	$129	0x769634…
06-10 07:22:37	ng up or down on june 10 2026	Up	BUY	1,000	76¢	$760	0x715d20…
06-10 07:21:46	ng up or down on june 10 2026	Up	BUY	14	75¢	$11	0xfd4e6f…
06-10 07:21:46	ng up or down on june 10 2026	Up	BUY	14	75¢	$11	0x221fb8…
06-10 07:21:45	ng up or down on june 10 2026	Up	BUY	14	75¢	$11	0x658013…
06-10 07:21:45	ng up or down on june 10 2026	Up	BUY	14	75¢	$11	0x572261…
06-10 07:21:43	ng up or down on june 10 2026	Up	BUY	159	70¢	$112	0xf8f5df…
06-10 07:21:43	ng up or down on june 10 2026	Up	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0x5c1980…
06-10 07:21:37	ng up or down on june 10 2026	Up	BUY	960	74¢	$710	0xda5fc4…
06-10 07:21:06	ng up or down on june 10 2026	Up	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x8a30de…
06-10 07:21:00	will ng reach 4 00 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x37d1ac…
06-10 07:20:58	will ng reach 4 00 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xe07778…
06-10 07:20:55	ng up or down on june 10 2026	Up	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x7f46ec…
06-10 07:20:43	ng up or down on june 10 2026	Up	BUY	97	58¢	$56	0x6405e1…
06-10 07:20:33	will ng reach 3 80 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	500	10¢	$50	0x52b76c…
06-10 07:20:33	will ng reach 3 80 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	67	9¢	$6	0x3de6ee…
06-10 07:20:31	ng up or down on june 10 2026	Up	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xf71918…
06-10 07:20:31	ng up or down on june 10 2026	Up	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0xd87137…
06-10 07:20:31	ng up or down on june 10 2026	Up	BUY	100	59¢	$59	0x599a22…
06-10 07:20:27	will ng reach 3 80 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	500	9¢	$45	0xfe2c90…
06-10 07:20:27	will ng reach 3 80 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	53	8¢	$4	0x1171aa…
06-10 07:20:00	will ng reach 3 60 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	278	22¢	$61	0xc31ed4…
06-10 07:20:00	will ng reach 3 60 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	448	23¢	$103	0xa5efd4…
06-10 07:20:00	will ng dip to 2 60 in june 2026	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x9c0210…
06-10 07:20:00	will ng dip to 2 60 in june 2026	No	BUY	36	87¢	$31	0x59c258…
06-10 07:20:00	will ng reach 3 60 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	300	24¢	$72	0x4c8009…
06-10 07:17:30	wti closes above 86 on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	500	84¢	$420	0xc95d26…
06-10 07:13:33	xagusd up or down on june 10 2026	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x812aab…
06-10 07:13:09	will nvda dip to 160 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	89	4¢	$4	0xc61af7…
06-10 07:11:51	will wti dip to 60 by june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	95	0¢	$0	0xe38aa8…
06-10 07:10:19	wti up or down on june 10 2026	Up	BUY	86	38¢	$33	0xe6311c…
06-10 07:09:15	ng up or down on june 10 2026	Down	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x9a918c…
06-10 07:08:43	xagusd up or down on june 10 2026	Down	BUY	14	62¢	$9	0x6e1b8f…
06-10 07:07:27	xauusd up or down on june 10 2026	Up	BUY	22	10¢	$2	0x99cd1e…
06-10 07:06:16	will wti dip to 60 by june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x06d21c…
06-10 07:06:03	will wti dip to 65 by june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xee4a26…
06-10 07:05:30	ng up or down on june 10 2026	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xcbdd06…
06-10 07:05:19	ng up or down on june 10 2026	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x054099…
06-10 07:04:18	ng up or down on june 10 2026	Down	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x34eb43…
06-10 07:04:07	ng up or down on june 10 2026	Down	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0xc1f94e…
06-10 07:03:45	ng up or down on june 10 2026	Down	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xfe7e5e…
06-10 07:03:34	ng up or down on june 10 2026	Down	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x5dab5c…
06-10 07:02:09	ng up or down on june 10 2026	Down	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xc402a1…
06-10 07:01:58	ng up or down on june 10 2026	Down	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xc1de03…
06-10 07:01:34	ng up or down on june 10 2026	Down	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xdbe14e…
06-10 07:01:24	ng up or down on june 10 2026	Down	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xbbbf28…
06-10 07:00:21	ng up or down on june 10 2026	Down	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x3269ba…
06-10 07:00:07	ng up or down on june 10 2026	Down	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x5cf4bb…
06-10 06:56:15	wti up or down on june 10 2026	Up	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x3af586…
06-10 06:51:48	wti up or down on june 10 2026	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x64dabc…
06-10 06:48:42	wti closes above 93 on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0xcd0a1e…
06-10 06:42:55	wti closes above 89 on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0xd8f455…
06-10 06:36:15	wti up or down on june 10 2026	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xbc275b…
06-10 06:36:09	wti up or down on june 10 2026	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x5d078b…
06-10 06:34:34	wti up or down on june 10 2026	Up	BUY	15	37¢	$6	0x93cada…
06-10 06:34:30	wti up or down on june 10 2026	Up	BUY	15	37¢	$6	0x116a39…
06-10 06:34:18	wti up or down on june 10 2026	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x1bb4e2…
06-10 06:34:13	wti up or down on june 10 2026	Up	BUY	12	37¢	$4	0x7a9d52…
06-10 06:33:51	wti up or down on june 10 2026	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xdd5cb0…
06-10 06:33:24	wti up or down on june 10 2026	Up	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0xf2acba…
06-10 06:32:12	wti closes above 84 on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	500	95¢	$475	0x6f62f2…
06-10 06:32:10	xauusd up or down on june 10 2026	Up	BUY	457	14¢	$64	0xacb5b2…
06-10 06:32:00	wti closes above 85 on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	500	91¢	$455	0xbc5d7e…
06-10 06:28:07	xagusd up or down on june 10 2026	Up	BUY	282	39¢	$110	0xdac34f…
06-10 06:20:18	wti up or down on june 10 2026	Down	BUY	1,000	62¢	$620	0x978b70…
06-10 06:15:10	ng up or down on june 10 2026	Down	BUY	621	85¢	$528	0x2c62af…
06-10 06:10:57	xauusd up or down on june 10 2026	Up	BUY	82	16¢	$13	0xc4a36f…
06-10 06:10:33	wti closes above 90 on june 10 2026	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xc625cf…
06-10 06:08:28	will ewy dip to 170 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	88	76¢	$67	0x017e68…
06-10 06:08:24	wti closes above 87 on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x5ba842…
06-10 05:57:31	xagusd up or down on june 10 2026	Up	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x566a57…
06-10 05:57:30	xagusd up or down on june 10 2026	Up	BUY	110	31¢	$34	0x614f8c…
06-10 05:53:25	wti closes above 89 on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	143	34¢	$48	0xc57769…
06-10 05:47:15	will spy reach 790 in june 2026	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xd5b5a0…
06-10 05:43:49	xagusd up or down on june 10 2026	Up	BUY	420	18¢	$76	0x3e898f…
06-10 05:42:33	wti up or down on june 10 2026	Down	BUY	110	58¢	$64	0x4ec218…
06-10 05:31:34	will tsla reach 435 in june 2026	No	BUY	100	63¢	$63	0xd0cc24…
06-10 05:31:00	will tsla reach 450 in june 2026	No	BUY	98	74¢	$73	0x6f2960…
06-10 05:28:33	wti closes above 89 on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	80	37¢	$30	0xf4fab1…
06-10 05:25:04	will ng reach 3 60 in june 2026	No	BUY	200	80¢	$160	0xe1ca1b…
06-10 05:22:10	xagusd up or down on june 10 2026	Down	BUY	995	83¢	$826	0x89570a…
06-10 05:19:03	wti up or down on june 10 2026	Up	BUY	250	45¢	$112	0x866dba…
06-10 05:11:45	will ng reach 3 60 in june 2026	No	BUY	250	79¢	$198	0x389568…
06-10 05:03:43	ng up or down on june 10 2026	Down	BUY	22	85¢	$19	0x1bba06…
06-10 05:02:24	ng up or down on june 10 2026	Down	BUY	276	85¢	$235	0x7fc0d2…
06-10 05:02:16	ng up or down on june 10 2026	Down	BUY	423	81¢	$342	0xa2c199…
06-10 04:57:54	xagusd up or down on june 10 2026	Down	BUY	38	86¢	$33	0xa56f6c…
06-10 04:57:30	xagusd up or down on june 10 2026	Down	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0xf9742d…
06-10 04:57:12	xagusd up or down on june 10 2026	Down	BUY	500	86¢	$430	0x924953…