Fumbling-Training — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11.5K

Unrealized P&L

-$35

Hit rate

74.5%

Resolved

2,811

Trades

14,075

lifetime

Volume

$849.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$60

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-14 07:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 228 days

Categories

Other

75% 58% +$9,949

Sports

20% 39% +$8,698

Politics

2% 78% +$1,055

Crypto

2% 38% -$8,635

Tech

1% 75% +$422

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 247 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?	No		+68	$39	5¢	$3	-$35	07-05 14:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?	2	$15.0K	10,000	10,000	+0	No	+$4,000	07-01 21:16
will peoples party pple win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	62	$12.9K	10,876	10,692	+184	No	+$299	01-29 10:30
atp dzumhur molcan 2026 07 17	17	$10.8K	17,222	1,456	+15,766	Damir Dzumhur	-$10,508	07-17 21:47
michael saylor federally charged by december 31 2026 20260625210239195	12	$10.5K	5,820	5,820	+0	open	—	08-19 22:41
will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt5t by june 30	35	$10.4K	5,688	5,688	+0	No	+$171	06-29 09:11
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 spread away 1pt5	4	$9.9K	13,101	0	+13,101	Norway	+$3,171	07-11 22:08
nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	57	$9.8K	9,000	9,000	+0	Spurs	+$210	06-06 20:54
nba orl det 2026 04 19 spread home 8pt5	14	$9.2K	10,000	6,000	+4,000	Magic	+$3,180	04-19 23:59
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04?	8	$9.0K	13,000	0	+13,000	Yes	+$4,030	05-04 15:08
mlb pit mil 2026 08 06	25	$8.6K	4,651	4,651	+0	Milwaukee Brewers	+$282	08-06 19:57
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Anastasia Potapova vs Karolina Muchova	9	$8.4K	6,000	6,000	+0	Anastasia Potapova	+$240	05-08 12:04
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?	1	$6.8K	10,000	0	+10,000	Yes	+$3,200	05-02 16:26
atp atmane mensik 2026 08 07	1	$6.7K	10,000	0	+10,000	Jakub Mensik	+$3,300	08-07 22:17
Lakers vs. Thunder	2	$5.4K	6,000	0	+6,000	Thunder	+$554	05-08 03:49
wta wa vandewi 2026 08 14	5	$5.1K	3,000	3,000	+0	Xinyu Wang	+$570	08-14 22:04
mlb det pit 2026 08 19	3	$4.8K	4,000	4,000	+0	Pittsburgh Pirates	+$1,560	08-19 18:33
nba 2025 26 pacific division winner los angeles lakers	51	$4.1K	3,763	3,763	+0	Yes	+$419	03-06 22:07
Will Bucheon FC 1995 win on 2026-07-26?	4	$4.1K	8,888	0	+8,888	No	-$4,088	07-26 11:31
spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	42	$3.9K	4,105	2,472	+1,633	Up	+$224	06-30 04:33
nba orl det 2026 04 22	1	$3.8K	5,000	0	+5,000	Pistons	+$1,200	04-22 23:58
cfb ore txtech 2026 01 01	28	$3.7K	4,500	2,000	+2,500	Oregon	+$1,700	01-01 19:39
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?	1	$3.6K	5,000	0	+5,000	No	-$3,650	06-29 17:43
will tsla dip to 338 in january	10	$3.6K	1,870	1,870	+0	No	+$16	01-22 21:16
Set Handicap: Djokovic (-1.5) vs Prizmic (+1.5)	4	$3.5K	6,000	0	+6,000	Prizmic	+$2,460	05-08 12:25
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)	1	$3.4K	7,000	0	+7,000	Pistons	+$3,640	05-15 21:16
Will Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?	45	$3.4K	6,000	6,000	+0	No	+$1,680	05-03 15:54
nfl ne den 2026 01 25	1	$3.4K	5,000	0	+5,000	Patriots	+$1,650	01-24 15:28
fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 goals harry kane gte1	21	$3.3K	5,222	1,904	+3,318	Yes	-$1,496	07-01 14:42
will bhumjaithai party bjt win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	12	$3.2K	2,300	2,300	+0	Yes	+$797	02-08 18:44
epl sun tot 2026 04 12 tot	16	$3.1K	5,000	0	+5,000	No	+$1,850	04-12 12:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-14 07:58:10	Will Texas A&M have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	U 8.5	SELL	25	94¢	$24	0xd63c54…
10-14 07:57:14	Will Cagliari qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Conference League?	No	SELL	27	91¢	$25	0x875af2…
10-14 07:56:44	Will Oklahoma have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	O 7.5	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0x5af327…
10-14 07:56:31	Will Indiana have more than 10.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	O 10.5	SELL	49	58¢	$28	0x3e3436…
10-14 07:56:04	Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $5.50T and $6.00T at the end of 2026?	No	SELL	37	91¢	$33	0x65ea72…
10-14 07:55:53	Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $5.00T and $5.50T at the end of 2026?	No	SELL	15	87¢	$13	0x28e313…
10-14 07:55:35	Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $5.00T and $5.50T at the end of 2026?	No	SELL	19	87¢	$17	0x7788df…
10-14 07:54:55	Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $3.00T and $3.50T at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	65	29¢	$19	0x5a57ab…
10-14 07:54:29	Will Troyes qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?	No	SELL	41	94¢	$39	0x1cfe97…
09-20 02:11:04	Will Kevin Cash win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year?	Yes	SELL	131	41¢	$54	0x4735f8…
09-19 11:57:45	Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $2.50T and $3.00T at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	120	38¢	$45	0x3244eb…
09-19 11:57:32	Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $2.00T and $2.50T at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	65	17¢	$11	0xa1c2b3…
09-02 06:23:34	Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $5.50T and $6.00T at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	67	15¢	$10	0xa3616b…
09-01 13:37:49	Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be at least $6.50T at the end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0x759bb9…
08-29 08:38:19	Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $5.50T and $6.00T at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	15¢	$2	0x95b3c4…
08-28 18:57:10	Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $5.00T and $5.50T at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0x8d8011…
08-28 02:21:13	Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.25T and $1.50T at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	102	53¢	$54	0x69dfb7…
08-27 16:07:15	Will Emily Engstler have the highest steals per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x445928…
08-27 16:07:01	Will Courtney Williams have the highest steals per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?	Yes	SELL	19	0¢	$0	0xca2419…
08-27 02:54:52	Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be at least $6.50T at the end of 2026?	No	SELL	52	81¢	$42	0x9dedec…
08-27 02:54:52	Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be at least $6.50T at the end of 2026?	No	SELL	40	81¢	$32	0x1122b8…
08-26 19:06:12	Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $5.50T and $6.00T at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x3c1ede…
08-24 15:37:24	Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be less than $4.00T at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	13¢	$6	0xa6058a…
08-21 09:07:16	Will Rhyne Howard have the highest steals per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?	Yes	SELL	97	77¢	$75	0x53e3a1…
08-21 09:04:42	will nvda dip to 192 in august 2026	No	SELL	104	88¢	$91	0x4d1faf…
08-21 09:03:09	will rklb dip to 60 in august 2026	No	SELL	100	91¢	$91	0x89c8b0…
08-21 09:02:09	will rklb reach 88 in august 2026	No	SELL	111	89¢	$99	0x970507…
08-21 09:00:34	will texas be ranked 1 during the 2026 27 cfb season 20260803152822084	No	SELL	154	62¢	$95	0xdfc8e8…
08-21 08:59:27	Will Nneka Ogwumike have the highest three point percentage in the WNBA 2026 regular season?	No	SELL	98	100¢	$98	0x615186…
08-21 08:57:24	Will Caitlin Clark have the highest assists per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?	No	SELL	31	41¢	$13	0x4f75f6…
08-21 08:55:54	Will Alyssa Thomas have the highest assists per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?	No	SELL	154	64¢	$99	0x5724da…
08-21 08:54:45	will meta reach 600 by august 17 2026	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xc9d1c4…
08-21 08:52:52	will utah be a top 4 seed in the 2027 college football playoffs 20260803204017390	No	SELL	111	95¢	$105	0xa71d02…
08-21 08:51:46	will smu be a top 4 seed in the 2027 college football playoffs 20260803204017381	No	SELL	100	95¢	$95	0xe24746…
08-21 08:50:15	Will Juan Soto lead the MLB in RBIs for the 2026 regular season?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xc1c93d…
08-21 08:48:13	will tennessee be a top 4 seed in the 2027 college football playoffs 20260803204017383	No	SELL	100	91¢	$91	0x3ba2a0…
08-21 08:47:12	will usc be a top 4 seed in the 2027 college football playoffs 20260803204017389	No	SELL	55	90¢	$50	0x65acd8…
08-21 08:46:09	will byu be a top 4 seed in the 2027 college football playoffs 20260803204017355	No	SELL	100	90¢	$90	0xe94a63…
08-21 08:44:57	will penn stpt be a top 4 seed in the 2027 college football playoffs 20260803204017379	No	SELL	100	90¢	$90	0xd3fc68…
08-21 08:44:01	will oklahoma be a top 4 seed in the 2027 college football playoffs 20260803204017374	No	SELL	50	89¢	$44	0x78f49b…
08-21 08:43:03	will ole miss be a top 4 seed in the 2027 college football playoffs 20260803204017348	No	SELL	55	90¢	$50	0x8d5726…
08-21 08:42:06	will alabama be a top 4 seed in the 2027 college football playoffs 20260803204017349	No	SELL	25	88¢	$22	0xcdbfcd…
08-21 08:41:01	will lsu be a top 4 seed in the 2027 college football playoffs 20260803204017367	No	SELL	30	87¢	$26	0xb996b6…
08-21 08:39:33	will pltr dip to 96 in august 2026	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xb60ab2…
08-21 08:39:15	will texas tech be a top 4 seed in the 2027 college football playoffs 20260803204017384	No	SELL	29	80¢	$23	0x57bf07…
08-21 08:37:58	will oregon be a top 4 seed in the 2027 college football playoffs 20260803204017376	No	SELL	50	79¢	$40	0x13dc40…
08-21 08:36:55	will texas be a top 4 seed in the 2027 college football playoffs 20260803204017347	No	SELL	137	75¢	$103	0xa35f4f…
08-21 08:35:55	will notre dame be a top 4 seed in the 2027 college football playoffs 20260803204017373	No	SELL	50	63¢	$31	0x134376…
08-21 08:35:03	will ohio stpt be a top 4 seed in the 2027 college football playoffs 20260803204017377	No	SELL	44	59¢	$26	0x05192c…
08-21 08:33:37	will baylor have more than 6pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260731193847019	U 6.5	SELL	180	61¢	$110	0x87017f…
08-21 08:30:39	will tsla dip to 285 in august 2026	No	SELL	130	99¢	$129	0x91c8cf…
08-21 08:29:18	will msft dip to 375 in august 2026	No	SELL	142	99¢	$140	0x1aece6…
08-21 08:27:21	Will A'ja Wilson win the 2026 WNBA Defensive Player of the Year award?	Yes	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x8de8b6…
08-21 08:26:07	Will Gabby Williams win the 2026 WNBA Defensive Player of the Year award?	Yes	SELL	200	58¢	$116	0xc881e9…
08-21 08:24:06	Will Paige Bueckers have the highest assists per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?	No	SELL	111	100¢	$111	0xdbafb1…
08-21 08:22:27	Will Caitlin Clark have the highest assists per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?	No	SELL	184	41¢	$76	0x234bf0…
08-21 08:17:33	Will Sabrina Ionescu have the highest three point percentage in the WNBA 2026 regular season?	No	SELL	120	99¢	$119	0xfc1ba8…
08-21 08:14:43	Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?	No	SELL	127	99¢	$126	0xab09d9…
08-21 08:13:16	will pltr dip to 96 in august 2026	No	SELL	134	100¢	$134	0xdb5d9c…
08-21 08:12:52	will pltr dip to 102 in august 2026	No	SELL	139	100¢	$138	0xce2437…
08-21 08:07:45	Will Corbin Carroll lead the MLB in runs for the 2026 regular season?	No	SELL	143	100¢	$143	0xe517f9…
08-21 08:03:18	will pltr reach 189 by august 17 2026	No	SELL	134	98¢	$131	0x1b9171…
08-21 08:01:54	will pltr dip to 162 by august 17 2026	No	SELL	30	90¢	$27	0xe9f3e8…
08-21 08:01:54	will pltr dip to 162 by august 17 2026	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xabe4d0…
08-21 08:01:54	will pltr dip to 162 by august 17 2026	No	SELL	117	97¢	$114	0x7fbd90…
08-20 03:57:28	will googl reach 365 by august 17 2026	No	SELL	164	96¢	$158	0xfe184f…
08-20 03:55:54	Will Yoshinobu Yamamoto win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?	No	SELL	161	99¢	$160	0xe72166…
08-20 03:54:30	will pltr dip to 159 by august 17 2026	No	SELL	184	95¢	$175	0x61d5cf…
08-20 03:47:57	will nvda reach 256 in august 2026	No	SELL	181	97¢	$175	0xec45f2…
08-20 03:46:30	Will JJ Wetherholt win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	SELL	300	58¢	$174	0x1ed86f…
08-20 03:45:22	will tsla dip to 255 in august 2026	No	SELL	205	99¢	$203	0x530539…
08-20 03:44:03	Will A'ja Wilson win the 2026 WNBA MVP award?	Yes	SELL	202	86¢	$173	0x30d254…
08-20 03:43:04	Will New York Liberty win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	2,722	8¢	$218	0x99b977…
08-20 03:42:12	Will the Texas Rangers clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	Yes	SELL	876	33¢	$289	0x17e636…
08-20 03:27:19	will msft dip to 472 50 by august 17 2026	No	SELL	222	84¢	$186	0x662493…
08-20 03:26:07	will msft dip to 465 by august 17 2026	No	SELL	211	92¢	$194	0x562c97…
08-20 03:24:16	will tsla reach 405 in august 2026	No	SELL	193	96¢	$186	0x127375…
08-20 03:22:43	will nflx reach 85 in august 2026	No	SELL	327	71¢	$232	0x17a3e6…
08-20 03:21:19	Will the St. Louis Cardinals clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	No	SELL	282	87¢	$245	0x1b2a5a…
08-20 03:16:10	Will Kiah Stokes have the highest blocks per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?	No	SELL	251	90¢	$226	0xce156b…
08-20 03:14:00	will notre dame be ranked 1 during the 2026 27 cfb season 20260803152822083	No	SELL	259	74¢	$192	0x2fa69f…
08-20 03:13:03	Will A'ja Wilson have the highest blocks per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?	Yes	SELL	303	72¢	$218	0xa505e5…
08-20 03:11:58	Will Detroit Tigers win the 2026 American League Championship Series?	No	SELL	315	96¢	$301	0xa863c2…
08-20 03:10:40	Will Houston Astros win the 2026 AL West title?	No	SELL	614	54¢	$333	0xa44fa0…
08-20 03:09:27	will bournemouth qualify for the 2027 28 uefa champions league	No	SELL	500	87¢	$435	0xb53743…
08-20 03:08:39	will aston villa qualify for the 2027 28 uefa champions league	Yes	SELL	40	23¢	$9	0x6f98a9…
08-20 03:08:22	will arsenal qualify for the 2027 28 uefa champions league	Yes	SELL	152	88¢	$133	0xc1eaa9…
08-20 03:06:37	Will Sabrina Ionescu have the highest points per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?	No	SELL	243	100¢	$242	0xb60612…
08-20 03:05:13	will miami fl be a top 4 seed in the 2027 college football playoffs 20260803204017368	No	SELL	358	78¢	$279	0x67239e…
08-20 03:03:57	will aapl dip to 288 in august 2026	No	SELL	307	95¢	$292	0x321769…
08-20 03:02:25	Will A'ja Wilson have the highest three point percentage in the WNBA 2026 regular season?	No	SELL	293	98¢	$288	0x4dfd93…
08-20 03:00:36	Will Paige Bueckers have the highest three point percentage in the WNBA 2026 regular season?	No	SELL	317	100¢	$316	0x33bdf9…
08-20 02:59:04	Will Sarah Ashlee Barker have the highest three point percentage in the WNBA 2026 regular season?	No	SELL	333	99¢	$329	0x7a3f94…
08-20 01:03:25	will pltr dip to 120 in august 2026	No	SELL	332	99¢	$329	0x10c5dd…
08-20 01:00:55	will meta reach 660 in august 2026	No	SELL	373	97¢	$362	0x935e4c…
08-20 00:58:57	will googl dip to 310 in august 2026	No	SELL	368	95¢	$350	0x9d4d66…
08-20 00:49:13	Will Nasim Nuñez lead the MLB in stolen bases for the 2026 regular season?	Yes	SELL	514	71¢	$365	0x616289…
08-20 00:46:40	will open dip to 3 00 by august 17 2026	No	SELL	427	99¢	$423	0x0f4e2b…
08-20 00:45:39	will open dip to 3 00 in august 2026	No	SELL	222	81¢	$180	0xd3586e…
08-20 00:44:34	will open dip to 2 50 in august 2026	No	SELL	467	96¢	$448	0x6b7e6b…