Sudden-Crisis — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.3%

Resolved

Trades

1,286

lifetime

Volume

$12.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-25 21:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

38% — —

Politics

36% 100% +$32

Sports

16% 0% $-27

Crypto

6% — —

Tech

2% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 117 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	7	$1.5K	992	992	+0	open	—	01-13 16:35
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	10	$944	677	677	+0	open	—	01-14 22:54
us strikes iran by january 11 2026 946	2	$916	485	485	+0	open	—	01-11 06:23
2026 wm phoenix open winner scottie scheffler win	14	$830	900	0	+900	open	—	02-07 19:26
atp vukic tiafoe 2026 01 03	5	$756	400	400	+0	open	—	01-04 07:59
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	6	$712	540	540	+0	open	—	01-10 21:24
nba bos sac 2026 01 01 spread away 8pt5	2	$550	353	353	+0	open	—	01-02 05:21
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	6	$496	326	326	+0	open	—	05-16 01:40
nba sas ind 2026 01 02 spread away 5pt5	3	$386	210	210	+0	open	—	01-03 02:32
nba sas ind 2026 01 02	2	$379	230	230	+0	open	—	01-03 02:28
will big ai be out as 1 free app in the us apple store by march 8	7	$369	626	0	+626	open	—	03-08 02:22
nba mia det 2026 01 01	2	$284	400	400	+0	open	—	01-02 01:34
over 80m committed to the ranger public sale 675 826 682 419	4	$221	321	80	+241	open	—	01-10 15:50
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	2	$186	119	119	+0	open	—	03-02 22:33
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	1	$173	244	0	+244	open	—	06-25 21:30
over 100m committed to the ranger public sale 221 979 762 217 192	2	$141	83	83	+0	open	—	01-10 15:58
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase december 30 january 5	4	$124	100	50	+50	open	—	01-04 03:00
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	2	$120	181	181	+0	open	—	05-15 01:18
over 40m committed to the ranger public sale 819 688	2	$118	80	80	+0	open	—	01-07 19:15
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	4	$111	153	20	+133	No	+$32	05-05 03:07
nba 2025 26 bpg leader victor wembanyama	1	$92	0	130	-130	open	—	01-01 02:45
will the san antonio spurs win more than 44pt5 regular season games in 202526	1	$90	0	96	-96	open	—	01-06 20:21
Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	2	$84	135	135	+0	open	—	05-28 11:53
will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be less than 400m by january 31	2	$84	100	100	+0	open	—	01-09 17:58
76ers vs. Celtics	7	$83	73	145	-72	open	—	05-03 01:40
will the florida panthers make the nhl playoffs	1	$78	0	152	-152	open	—	01-09 20:47
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	2	$73	96	96	+0	Cavaliers	$-27	05-14 02:50
will bitcoin dip to 85k in january 2026	2	$72	100	100	+0	open	—	01-06 20:22
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $380 in May?	28	$63	108	25	+83	open	—	05-29 18:25
over 60m committed to the ranger public sale 296 929 632	2	$59	50	50	+0	open	—	01-06 20:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-25 21:30:08	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	244	71¢	$173	0x0d13e1…
06-18 12:32:50	Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0xece03a…
06-13 19:28:58	Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x58d85f…
06-10 21:33:58	will meta dip to 500 in june 2026	No	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0xca972f…
06-06 13:10:13	will coin reach 210 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x3bc206…
06-06 08:22:13	will xauusd reach 4900 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x88be99…
06-04 19:50:09	Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0xa6aca8…
06-04 19:50:09	Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x89fa21…
06-04 19:50:09	Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x87c043…
06-04 19:40:09	Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0xa08d7d…
06-04 19:40:09	Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0x95bdea…
06-04 19:40:09	Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0x138e8b…
06-04 09:54:34	will spy dip to 730 in june 2026	No	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0xddd2f2…
06-04 06:37:37	will hyperliquid reach 76 in june	Yes	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x9e966c…
06-04 05:58:40	will xrp dip to 1pt1 june 1 7 2026	Yes	BUY	3	14¢	$0	0x59275b…
06-04 04:57:03	will spy dip to 740 by june 1 2026	No	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0xa9987f…
06-04 02:55:01	Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0xa55ad7…
06-04 01:48:12	will xrp dip to 1pt1 june 1 7 2026	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x7b0bca…
06-04 01:37:15	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03 points jalen brunson 24pt5	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x955a87…
06-04 01:36:45	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03 points jalen brunson 24pt5	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x1031c1…
06-04 01:10:13	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03 points jalen brunson 24pt5	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x52a28d…
06-04 01:09:37	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03 points jalen brunson 24pt5	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x68737f…
06-04 00:43:31	will solana dip to 70 june 1 7 2026	No	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xa5c0b3…
06-04 00:39:27	will solana dip to 70 june 1 7 2026	No	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xdbc539…
06-04 00:32:37	will xrp dip to 1pt1 june 1 7 2026	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x5912f3…
06-04 00:30:31	will solana dip to 70 june 1 7 2026	No	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x87a057…
06-04 00:27:01	will solana dip to 70 june 1 7 2026	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x842752…
06-04 00:20:01	will hood reach 100 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0xcd4997…
06-04 00:19:31	will solana dip to 70 june 1 7 2026	No	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xeb9c17…
06-03 21:20:30	will pltr reach 165 by june 1 2026	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x33baa4…
06-03 21:05:15	will spy dip to 745 by june 1 2026	Yes	BUY	4	16¢	$1	0xd7319c…
06-03 20:35:34	ethereum above 1800 on june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x51301f…
06-03 20:30:00	will nflx reach 87 50 by june 1 2026	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x31fcb6…
06-03 20:20:30	ethereum above 1800 on june 8 2026	Yes	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x230b3c…
06-03 20:19:55	will spy dip to 740 by june 1 2026	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x57bb82…
06-03 20:16:16	will spy dip to 740 by june 1 2026	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xb55ac6…
06-03 20:01:58	ethereum above 1900 on june 6 2026	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xed1ab5…
06-03 19:47:28	ethereum above 2000 on june 7 2026	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x5846ed…
06-03 19:46:30	ethereum above 1900 on june 7 2026	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x4bb205…
06-03 18:23:58	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 June 1-7?	No	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x032b94…
06-03 18:16:25	Will Solana dip to $70 June 1-7?	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x8b4ef0…
06-03 18:08:58	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of June 1 above $220?	Yes	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x34530b…
06-03 18:05:19	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of June 1 above $220?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x060bce…
06-03 17:57:49	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $745 Week of June 1 2026?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xea051f…
06-03 17:34:28	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of June 1 above $220?	Yes	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x98fb2c…
06-03 17:31:28	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $745 Week of June 1 2026?	No	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0xb643a4…
06-03 17:04:36	Will "Instagram" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 1?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xe4bd4c…
06-03 16:58:58	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,400 by end of June?	No	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0xcc8d60…
06-03 15:07:07	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 6?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xb80b90…
06-03 13:50:29	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xb12411…
06-03 13:49:19	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xf41596…
06-03 13:47:56	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 Week of June 1 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xd47b0c…
06-03 13:44:19	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 Week of June 1 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x18f6a6…
06-03 12:08:25	Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 4?	No	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x9cc0bd…
06-03 12:05:25	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 Week of June 1 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x0f025d…
06-03 12:03:54	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $472.50 Week of June 1 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x3855f3…
06-03 10:13:32	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $745 Week of June 1 2026?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x8a6316…
06-03 09:02:54	Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 June 1-7?	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xc5c8a9…
06-03 05:59:40	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in June?	No	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xff97e3…
06-03 05:51:18	Will XRP dip to $1.10 June 1-7?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x7dd476…
06-03 05:43:24	Will Solana dip to $70 June 1-7?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xe7ca61…
06-03 05:31:45	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 7?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xc6c020…
06-03 05:18:52	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 4?	Yes	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0xb1352f…
06-03 05:15:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 4?	No	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0xa84b6a…
06-03 05:15:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 4?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x97f97a…
06-03 05:08:52	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 5?	Yes	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0xc46c92…
06-03 05:04:20	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 4?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x095099…
06-03 04:18:21	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 4?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x10b876…
06-03 04:15:10	Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 June 1-7?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x32ecc9…
06-03 04:02:08	Will XRP dip to $1.10 June 1-7?	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x4537d6…
06-03 03:50:31	Will XRP dip to $1.10 June 1-7?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x6048c5…
06-03 03:50:12	Will XRP dip to $1.10 June 1-7?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xea70cd…
06-03 03:49:58	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 4?	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x5f6c9e…
06-03 03:49:51	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $735 Week of June 1 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x7718ef…
06-03 03:41:43	Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 4?	No	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x768c3a…
06-03 03:03:14	Will "Instagram" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 1?	No	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x623a59…
06-03 00:28:27	Will "Government" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 1?	No	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xc9f020…
06-02 23:08:43	Will XRP dip to $1.10 June 1-7?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xa507b4…
06-02 23:07:15	Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 4?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xf18026…
06-02 23:00:34	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 8?	Yes	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x4079f8…
06-02 23:00:26	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 8?	Yes	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xbaa4dc…
06-02 22:52:37	Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 5?	Yes	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x93965a…
06-02 22:52:33	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 5?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x8eda40…
06-02 22:48:32	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 4?	Yes	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x506248…
06-02 22:47:09	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 June 1-7?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x056f8f…
06-02 22:45:35	Will "Government" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 1?	Yes	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xb80018…
06-02 22:45:19	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 June 1-7?	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xa9d637…
06-02 22:27:32	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 4?	No	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x2eae84…
06-02 22:24:47	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 June 1-7?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x187af1…
06-02 22:22:52	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 June 1-7?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xfd70c5…
06-02 22:16:04	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 June 1-7?	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x0344b0…
06-02 22:11:59	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 June 1-7?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x325dc2…
06-02 22:03:33	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 June 1-7?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xf91e29…
06-02 22:03:00	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 June 1-7?	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x62bd0e…
06-02 20:48:51	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 8?	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x2e4e7e…
06-02 20:41:27	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 4?	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xba6d30…
06-02 20:30:48	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 4?	Yes	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0xf6b230…
06-02 20:28:49	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 4?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x3e30c6…
06-02 20:28:32	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 June 1-7?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x782af2…
06-02 20:28:23	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 7?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x2dc6a7…