Realized P&L
-$22.9K
Unrealized P&L
-$654
Hit rate
50.1%
Resolved
2,147
Trades
21,592
lifetime
Volume
$2.58M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$119
Open exposure
$1.02K
11 positions
First seen
2026-03-09
last 10-30 05:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 220 days
Categories
Politics
51% 44% -$6,094
Other
44% 30% -$15,645
Tech
5% 32% -$1,019
Crypto
1% 33% +$13
Pop-Culture
0% 40% -$145
Sports
0% 67% +$6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 293 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +1,623 $1,000 41¢ $668 -$332 10-30 04:12
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? No +401 $284 27¢ $110 -$175 10-20 10:55
Israeli election results in a hung parliament? Yes +120 $68 54¢ $64 -$4 10-29 15:42
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? No +238 $138 26¢ $61 -$77 10-30 00:26
next white house press secretary announced by november 30 2026 Yes +95 $60 36¢ $34 -$26 10-17 17:01
Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat? Yes +50 $30 60¢ $30 $0 10-29 12:18
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +30 $27 89¢ $27 $0 10-29 21:55
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +13 $33 92¢ $12 -$21 10-29 20:44
Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $12 34¢ $7 -$5 10-02 09:18
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? Yes +5 $5 82¢ $4 $0 10-29 20:26
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? Yes +43 $13 0¢ $0 -$13 09-18 20:13