Long-Hood — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.3%

Resolved

Trades

11,692

lifetime

Volume

$1.70M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$145

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-09

last 07-20 18:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Politics

54% 64% +$18

Other

42% 39% +$0

Tech

4% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 213 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	94	$48.0K	28,946	26,548	+2,399	open	—	05-11 09:28
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	101	$36.0K	36,134	36,134	+0	open	—	04-04 00:29
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	111	$33.0K	39,883	40,438	-555	open	—	05-31 10:09
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	73	$32.6K	17,014	17,014	+0	open	—	04-04 22:05
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	157	$30.4K	24,864	23,305	+1,559	open	—	03-30 20:25
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	112	$29.0K	25,129	25,129	+0	open	—	03-31 01:44
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	37	$23.9K	13,812	13,812	+0	open	—	04-28 20:16
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	34	$21.7K	14,649	14,649	+0	open	—	04-24 11:19
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	142	$20.9K	14,450	14,389	+62	open	—	03-29 14:46
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	90	$20.8K	18,215	18,653	-438	open	—	06-18 18:43
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	47	$20.4K	10,792	10,792	+0	No	+$21	05-10 13:07
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	53	$17.8K	9,519	9,519	+0	open	—	05-26 04:00
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	25	$17.8K	10,417	10,417	+0	open	—	04-16 05:50
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	33	$17.6K	10,682	10,682	+0	open	—	04-15 14:31
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	95	$16.4K	13,648	13,648	+0	open	—	04-06 13:40
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	32	$16.1K	9,915	9,915	+0	open	—	03-31 16:47
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	44	$15.8K	15,741	15,741	+0	open	—	06-03 19:35
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	43	$15.7K	8,072	8,566	-494	open	—	05-22 13:41
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	36	$15.3K	11,946	11,946	+0	open	—	04-28 15:27
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	57	$14.5K	13,271	13,271	+0	open	—	05-11 07:23
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	28	$13.8K	8,072	8,172	-100	open	—	05-25 12:25
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	29	$13.2K	9,458	9,458	+0	open	—	04-18 12:12
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	41	$13.1K	10,236	10,236	+0	open	—	05-22 12:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	52	$12.4K	7,031	6,628	+403	open	—	05-23 20:32
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	12	$12.1K	7,943	7,943	+0	open	—	06-15 08:31
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	35	$11.8K	9,413	9,413	+0	open	—	03-30 23:04
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	56	$11.7K	7,065	7,065	+0	open	—	04-25 08:05
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	26	$11.6K	6,365	6,365	+0	open	—	04-21 05:09
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	45	$11.5K	6,105	6,335	-230	No	$-23	05-03 20:36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	19	$11.5K	6,231	6,231	+0	open	—	04-13 05:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 21:31:28	will bridget phillipson be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533208	No	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x2ae162…
07-20 21:29:40	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	SELL	128	78¢	$100	0xf9616f…
07-20 21:29:03	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0x88bd6e…
07-20 19:53:07	spy up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	14	90¢	$13	0xd9238a…
07-20 19:50:48	spy up or down on july 20 2026	Up	SELL	9	20¢	$2	0x6c45b6…
07-20 19:50:36	spy up or down on july 20 2026	Up	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x118188…
07-20 19:50:25	spy up or down on july 20 2026	Up	SELL	9	19¢	$2	0xa2809f…
07-20 19:24:49	spy closes above 740 on july 20 2026	Yes	SELL	105	92¢	$97	0x833bd1…
07-20 19:14:06	spy closes above 740 on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	105	92¢	$97	0xf7a06a…
07-20 18:26:39	wti up or down on july 20 2026	Up	SELL	10	74¢	$7	0x702d77…
07-20 18:22:45	wti up or down on july 20 2026	Up	SELL	193	75¢	$145	0xce68f0…
07-20 18:21:36	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0x09c401…
07-20 18:02:55	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Up	SELL	150	86¢	$129	0x2ef9f9…
07-20 18:02:09	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	150	85¢	$128	0x09c5fe…
07-20 17:52:25	wti up or down on july 20 2026	Up	SELL	10	67¢	$7	0x7d6420…
07-20 17:34:46	wti closes above 81 on july 20 2026	Yes	SELL	104	92¢	$96	0xa01e01…
07-20 17:34:16	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Up	SELL	150	70¢	$105	0x37a850…
07-20 17:27:12	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	150	70¢	$105	0x70e80f…
07-20 17:24:04	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	Yes	SELL	80	6¢	$5	0x8efa27…
07-20 17:20:09	wti closes above 81 on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	104	92¢	$96	0x8d3fdb…
07-20 17:11:58	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	Yes	BUY	80	6¢	$5	0xeb903a…
07-20 16:48:40	will hood dip to 82 50 by july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	40	6¢	$2	0xeeb8bf…
07-20 16:48:33	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	SELL	125	80¢	$100	0x1db8eb…
07-20 16:41:28	spy up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	411	89¢	$366	0x89c686…
07-20 16:31:57	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	SELL	174	7¢	$12	0xc04bf9…
07-20 16:31:55	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	SELL	37	7¢	$3	0xadafca…
07-20 16:30:51	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	211	5¢	$11	0xf6136c…
07-20 16:29:10	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Up	SELL	211	90¢	$190	0x0c4644…
07-20 16:28:19	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	211	90¢	$190	0x395a7a…
07-20 16:24:51	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	SELL	108	5¢	$5	0x763415…
07-20 16:24:21	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	SELL	23	5¢	$1	0xf4054e…
07-20 16:24:21	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	SELL	18	5¢	$1	0xadfa78…
07-20 16:23:00	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	149	5¢	$7	0x4359a5…
07-20 16:15:34	spy up or down on july 20 2026	Down	SELL	200	7¢	$14	0xee9681…
07-20 16:13:33	spy up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	200	6¢	$12	0x26a310…
07-20 16:00:09	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0x665455…
07-20 15:59:43	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	No	SELL	104	7¢	$7	0xc89144…
07-20 15:57:37	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Up	SELL	107	91¢	$97	0x551315…
07-20 15:51:37	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	No	BUY	104	8¢	$8	0xfaf0b7…
07-20 15:12:28	spy up or down on july 20 2026	Up	SELL	50	72¢	$36	0xc6f201…
07-20 15:12:22	spy up or down on july 20 2026	Up	SELL	150	72¢	$108	0xd03bb9…
07-20 15:11:16	spy up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	200	72¢	$144	0x253d4c…
07-20 15:07:07	spy up or down on july 20 2026	Up	SELL	250	65¢	$162	0xb720f6…
07-20 15:05:48	spy up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	250	65¢	$162	0x520b10…
07-20 14:57:43	spy up or down on july 20 2026	Up	SELL	276	62¢	$171	0xf27846…
07-20 14:56:57	spy up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	276	62¢	$171	0xd2b513…
07-20 14:35:15	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	Yes	SELL	105	89¢	$94	0xb4fa97…
07-20 14:33:16	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	Yes	BUY	105	89¢	$94	0x939817…
07-20 14:29:58	spy up or down on july 20 2026	Up	SELL	17	77¢	$13	0xb184f6…
07-20 14:28:48	spy up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	17	73¢	$13	0x0047be…
07-20 14:15:01	wti closes above 81 on july 20 2026	Yes	SELL	61	87¢	$53	0x06dd6c…
07-20 14:13:57	wti closes above 80 on july 20 2026	Yes	SELL	61	93¢	$57	0x968521…
07-20 14:13:22	spy closes above 750 on july 20 2026	No	SELL	60	91¢	$55	0x7bd10c…
07-20 14:04:13	spy up or down on july 20 2026	Up	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0x990b6d…
07-20 14:04:09	spy up or down on july 20 2026	Up	SELL	2	79¢	$2	0x837d17…
07-20 13:56:22	spy up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	12	79¢	$9	0xeb8cbb…
07-20 13:49:27	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x6520ea…
07-20 13:49:27	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	95	91¢	$87	0x5b0124…
07-20 13:42:34	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Up	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0xc6b89f…
07-20 13:41:54	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xe8fddb…
07-20 13:30:06	will ewy reach 162 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x00b186…
07-20 13:11:22	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	No	SELL	391	85¢	$332	0xe13c6b…
07-20 13:10:42	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	No	BUY	391	85¢	$332	0xad491e…
07-20 13:00:54	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Up	SELL	90	76¢	$68	0x7f821a…
07-20 12:52:00	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	90	76¢	$68	0x776ce9…
07-20 12:48:27	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Up	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xbe4c2c…
07-20 12:48:21	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Up	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x4a2cbf…
07-20 12:43:43	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Up	SELL	13	80¢	$10	0x181b1f…
07-20 12:39:25	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Up	SELL	3	80¢	$3	0xe51cf8…
07-20 12:30:04	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Up	SELL	8	80¢	$6	0x6edb53…
07-20 12:28:31	spy up or down on july 20 2026	Up	SELL	104	77¢	$80	0x738e25…
07-20 12:09:52	spy up or down on july 20 2026	Up	SELL	72	77¢	$56	0x39cf0e…
07-20 12:09:51	spy up or down on july 20 2026	Up	SELL	24	77¢	$19	0xb6497b…
07-20 12:02:39	spy up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	200	77¢	$154	0xa1180c…
07-20 12:01:09	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Up	SELL	12	80¢	$10	0x7ba714…
07-20 11:56:46	will abnb reach 146 by july 20 2026	Yes	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0x19fd33…
07-20 11:56:39	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Up	SELL	40	80¢	$32	0x8365f9…
07-20 11:54:22	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	No	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0xd8eff1…
07-20 11:51:43	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	82	80¢	$66	0x7f0d73…
07-20 11:49:34	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	No	BUY	136	74¢	$100	0x00096d…
07-20 11:34:43	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	104	57¢	$59	0x010627…
07-20 11:32:51	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	71	57¢	$41	0x6a8653…
07-20 11:32:12	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	No	SELL	18	67¢	$12	0x93c8bf…
07-20 11:30:18	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	No	SELL	121	64¢	$77	0xd42c86…
07-20 11:30:18	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	104	57¢	$59	0x6c86fd…
07-20 11:30:18	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	71	57¢	$41	0x1715af…
07-20 11:04:36	will xagusd reach 64 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	82	9¢	$7	0x67b07e…
07-20 10:54:34	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Up	SELL	133	73¢	$97	0xd0e218…
07-20 10:54:33	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Up	SELL	10	73¢	$8	0x7b5f7c…
07-20 10:53:24	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	144	73¢	$105	0xf44f26…
07-20 10:39:34	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	No	SELL	104	89¢	$93	0xf1251c…
07-20 10:37:39	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	No	SELL	18	64¢	$12	0x6a7e11…
07-20 10:30:36	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Up	SELL	100	72¢	$72	0xa57c74…
07-20 10:24:27	spx opens up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0xc39829…
07-20 10:20:51	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	No	BUY	157	64¢	$100	0x075a77…
07-20 10:19:18	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	100	72¢	$72	0x703994…
07-20 10:16:46	will apple aapl q3 mac revenue be above 9pt5b 20260717034907915	No	SELL	21	82¢	$17	0x83c5bd…
07-20 10:16:12	will apple aapl q3 mac revenue be above 9pt5b 20260717034907915	No	SELL	29	82¢	$24	0x085c38…
07-20 10:14:06	will abnb reach 146 by july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0xea4ceb…
07-20 10:12:27	will xagusd reach 64 in july 2026	No	SELL	79	88¢	$69	0xb15f31…