Electric-Wok — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$180

Unrealized P&L

-$11

Hit rate

49.1%

Resolved

150

Trades

1,215

lifetime

Volume

$5.58K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$212

9 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 11-02 10:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 54 days

Categories

Politics

44% 58% -$54

Other

41% 41% -$268

Crypto

13% 83% +$147

Sports

1% 50% -$5

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 67 trades/day

Open positions (9) Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	+134	$126	94¢	$127	+$1	10-30 13:18
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	+85	$49	66¢	$56	+$7	10-20 12:00
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?	Yes	+10	$7	91¢	$10	+$3	10-13 19:30
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+10	$7	74¢	$7	+$0	10-31 23:39
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+48	$14	15¢	$7	-$7	09-21 18:55
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	+5	$4	98¢	$5	+$1	09-19 05:28
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by october 31 20260810151043583	Yes	+778	$7	0¢	$1	-$6	10-15 16:47
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+5	$4	2¢	$0	-$4	09-21 08:58
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	+0	$6	85¢	$0	-$6	10-19 18:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	88	$482	412	379	+33	Yes	-$46	10-20 01:34
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	49	$314	551	514	+37	No	-$18	06-01 12:24
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	28	$208	164	164	+0	open	—	10-28 10:08
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	21	$202	129	129	+0	open	—	09-21 08:58
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	21	$187	223	223	+0	No	-$37	09-30 13:14
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	33	$170	304	17	+287	Yes	+$140	06-01 04:32
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	18	$143	94	94	+0	Yes	+$15	05-29 14:34
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	24	$135	84	84	+0	open	—	09-13 02:57
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	39	$129	94	94	+0	No	+$9	10-02 00:33
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	18	$126	134	0	+134	open	—	10-30 13:18
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	39	$116	123	12	+111	No	+$17	09-25 15:55
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	10	$81	64	64	+0	open	—	09-21 08:58
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	10	$76	44	44	+0	No	+$6	09-09 11:43
Will Trump and Putin not meet?	15	$71	56	56	+0	open	—	08-16 09:57
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	13	$65	40	34	+6	No	+$1	05-29 15:16
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	10	$64	44	44	+0	open	—	10-19 18:22
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?	12	$62	88	88	+0	open	—	09-10 18:14
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	22	$58	52	52	+0	No	-$2	06-17 13:33
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?	7	$56	71	71	+0	Yes	-$4	09-21 08:58
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	9	$56	189	130	+59	No	-$12	10-24 09:04
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	8	$53	35	35	+0	Yes	+$4	05-23 14:10
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	7	$49	85	0	+85	open	—	10-20 12:00
Fed rate hike in 2026?	9	$45	51	0	+51	Yes	+$6	09-13 12:29
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	9	$45	51	0	+51	No	+$6	05-12 09:07
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	9	$44	43	14	+28	No	+$4	05-27 09:29
will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	17	$41	95	75	+20	No	+$1	06-27 05:37
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	6	$41	996	0	+996	No	-$41	10-12 07:06
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?	6	$41	31	31	+0	open	—	09-21 08:58
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in September?	11	$40	23	23	+0	No	+$0	09-21 08:58
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	5	$40	22	22	+0	No	+$1	05-31 09:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 10:08:30	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x0056be…
10-31 23:39:16	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x2c6acd…
10-30 13:18:25	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0xc05514…
10-30 13:12:03	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x51a855…
10-30 13:01:55	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0xb219ef…
10-30 12:54:09	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x82ba4e…
10-30 12:48:06	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x6e86f1…
10-30 12:45:49	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0xb82d19…
10-30 12:43:42	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x84c2f9…
10-30 12:42:28	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x0e80d0…
10-30 12:39:25	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x056c1c…
10-30 12:38:51	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x4a3bf6…
10-30 12:36:36	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0xdf492e…
10-30 12:35:48	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0xd1f53f…
10-30 12:25:43	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x5420dc…
10-30 12:19:48	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0xc0f294…
10-30 12:18:43	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x161c5b…
10-30 12:18:30	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x640cf3…
10-30 12:13:55	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x785e0c…
10-30 12:12:22	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x508f79…
10-29 17:52:11	Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	SELL	88	16¢	$14	0xe6e08d…
10-28 11:51:29	Another vessel struck in the Black Sea by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x16d1cb…
10-28 10:08:58	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	3	55¢	$2	0xb2f0af…
10-28 10:07:59	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0x7338ce…
10-28 10:07:29	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0xa9b00b…
10-28 10:06:44	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0x67ffc1…
10-28 10:06:40	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0x45e002…
10-28 10:06:23	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	28	55¢	$15	0xac13ff…
10-28 10:05:58	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0x888a97…
10-28 10:05:10	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	49	55¢	$27	0xa1ac79…
10-28 10:04:08	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0xcc6be8…
10-28 10:03:38	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	82	55¢	$45	0x9d14de…
10-25 09:43:32	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x969dcc…
10-24 09:04:23	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	2¢	$0	0x5add69…
10-24 08:56:33	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	96	2¢	$2	0xa782ea…
10-21 11:54:02	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xeaa24a…
10-21 11:46:30	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0xd61560…
10-21 11:25:36	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x61da42…
10-21 11:16:00	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0xd12198…
10-21 11:14:06	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0xa8a121…
10-21 11:13:20	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x03b59c…
10-21 11:10:15	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0xba49df…
10-21 11:02:23	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0xc7e02b…
10-21 10:59:18	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0xda7170…
10-21 10:46:30	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x6b69a8…
10-21 10:33:59	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x57a82b…
10-21 10:28:02	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x760ef1…
10-21 07:55:56	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0x4882be…
10-20 20:39:32	Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	44	16¢	$7	0xfe9714…
10-20 20:23:05	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0x651862…
10-20 18:53:30	Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	44	16¢	$7	0xf3be1f…
10-20 18:53:02	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0x1cf46d…
10-20 15:08:54	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xceb58d…
10-20 15:08:36	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x25d980…
10-20 15:07:42	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x761e6f…
10-20 15:01:27	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xb1abb7…
10-20 15:01:05	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x37a08e…
10-20 12:00:26	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0x0360d4…
10-20 10:24:27	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0xbf6e70…
10-20 10:05:29	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0x332a62…
10-20 10:05:29	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0x229439…
10-20 08:59:17	Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	No	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x42f790…
10-20 08:59:11	Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	No	SELL	14	6¢	$1	0x82f98d…
10-20 07:00:50	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0x09911d…
10-20 06:26:46	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	12	59¢	$7	0x5af278…
10-20 06:26:22	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0xaaf2e3…
10-20 01:34:47	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0x8234a0…
10-20 01:24:53	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	50	84¢	$42	0x037eba…
10-20 01:07:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x81ebaa…
10-20 00:46:23	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0xe7eb80…
10-20 00:11:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0xf6c060…
10-19 23:58:59	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	84¢	$0	0x9cccf4…
10-19 22:07:33	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0xc28b33…
10-19 21:58:33	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0xd17dff…
10-19 21:56:07	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xa3cbba…
10-19 21:55:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0x9fa2f5…
10-19 21:54:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xe3adf2…
10-19 20:44:47	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	78	9¢	$7	0x850bdc…
10-19 18:22:59	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	11	81¢	$9	0xd42296…
10-19 17:11:27	Paris curfew by October 19?	Yes	BUY	9	77¢	$7	0xd51e53…
10-19 15:59:57	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	12	42¢	$5	0x371226…
10-19 15:53:03	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	14	74¢	$11	0x1450e3…
10-19 15:52:51	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	4	74¢	$3	0xe1a5bb…
10-19 15:52:21	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	2	76¢	$2	0x09e894…
10-19 14:06:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0xa102f3…
10-19 13:58:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0xf8b741…
10-19 13:49:33	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0xe5b50e…
10-19 13:49:05	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0xe38e76…
10-19 13:45:08	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0x82c6bd…
10-19 13:44:44	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0xaf70d5…
10-19 13:43:23	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0x755723…
10-19 13:38:08	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0x81749f…
10-19 12:40:20	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0xf16158…
10-19 12:40:20	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0xb5864d…
10-19 12:40:20	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0x59af60…
10-17 11:38:20	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	9	80¢	$7	0x777bce…
10-17 10:56:38	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	9	80¢	$7	0xc2c854…
10-17 10:55:32	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	9	80¢	$7	0x30d368…
10-17 10:55:30	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	9	80¢	$7	0xd5ea40…
10-17 10:55:30	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	9	80¢	$7	0xa10315…