Grandiose-Layer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$331

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

4.5%

Resolved

81,537

Trades

123,646

lifetime

Volume

$5.49K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-13

last 08-28 09:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 137 days

Categories

Other

78% 1% +$226

Crypto

15% 1% -$33

Sports

4% 1% -$22

Politics

3% 2% +$143

Tech

0% 3% +$9

Pop-Culture

0% 3% +$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 561 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	Yes		+10	$0	1¢	$0	$0	06-05 18:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on May 23?	5	$10	20	10	+10	Yes	+$10	05-23 14:24
lol tt ig1 2026 08 28	1	$10	43	0	+43	Invictus Gaming	-$10	08-28 09:15
Will Claire Valdez win the NY-07 Democratic Primary by more than 15%?	3	$10	10	10	+0	Yes	+$10	07-15 05:51
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 4PM ET	3	$5	10	5	+5	Down	+$5	05-17 00:14
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 14?	3	$5	10	5	+5	Yes	+$5	05-14 23:58
highest temperature in chicago on april 16 2026 76 77f	3	$5	10	5	+5	No	+$5	04-17 05:57
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on May 15?	3	$5	10	5	+5	Yes	+$5	05-15 13:45
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 13?	3	$5	10	5	+5	Yes	+$5	05-14 00:00
will jim parillo win the legend trade series	3	$5	10	5	+5	Yes	+$5	04-17 12:16
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on May 14?	3	$5	10	5	+5	Yes	+$5	05-14 23:58
Will White House post 200+ posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	3	$5	10	5	+5	Yes	+$5	05-15 13:45
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?	3	$5	10	5	+5	Up	+$5	05-13 15:50
kmx quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 14 2026 0pt22	3	$5	10	5	+5	No	+$5	04-14 14:10
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 6AM ET	4	$5	10	5	+5	Up	+$5	05-17 11:21
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 16?	3	$5	10	5	+5	Yes	+$5	05-16 12:04
highest temperature in hong kong on april 14 2026 28c	3	$5	10	5	+5	No	+$5	04-14 11:21
Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?	3	$5	10	5	+5	No	+$5	05-11 07:08
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on May 14?	3	$5	10	5	+5	Yes	+$5	05-14 10:47
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on May 12?	3	$5	10	5	+5	Yes	+$5	05-12 11:59
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	4	$5	10	5	+5	Yes	+$5	05-12 05:40
Map Handicap: Gen.G (-1.5) vs ZETA DIVISION (+1.5)	2	$5	5	5	+0	Gen.G Esports	+$5	05-12 10:29
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	3	$5	10	5	+5	Yes	+$5	05-12 00:06
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	3	$5	5	5	+0	Yes	+$5	05-11 07:09
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?	2	$5	5	5	+0	Under	+$5	05-13 13:26
Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?	2	$5	5	5	+0	Yes	+$5	05-12 05:40
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 70% and 75%?	2	$5	5	5	+0	Yes	+$5	05-14 13:25
kbo kt sam 2026 05 20	3	$4	10	10	+0	KT Wiz	+$4	07-15 09:39
lol tt ig1 2026 08 28 game1	1	$3	12	0	+12	Invictus Gaming	-$3	08-28 09:16
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	-$1	07-16 03:22
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on June 6?	5	$0	25	0	+25	Yes	+$15	06-06 22:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-28 09:16:28	lol tt ig1 2026 08 28 game1	ThunderTalk Gaming	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x95a175…
08-28 09:15:24	lol tt ig1 2026 08 28	ThunderTalk Gaming	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xdd515f…
08-17 04:51:37	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x0babea…
08-17 04:38:42	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x9aa087…
08-17 04:38:42	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x77df53…
08-17 04:32:18	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xaf743b…
08-17 04:32:18	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x9ef5c4…
08-17 04:14:55	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x85c0e5…
08-17 04:08:57	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on August 17?	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x33fe7c…
08-17 04:04:09	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xcf21be…
08-17 04:00:04	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on August 17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x95d179…
08-17 03:59:34	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x1ac5dc…
08-17 03:57:42	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on August 17?	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x54766e…
08-17 03:57:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x5fdc71…
08-17 03:44:27	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x996b63…
08-17 03:41:43	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x23df90…
08-17 03:31:58	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on August 17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x79ef56…
08-17 03:31:28	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xbb6f26…
08-17 03:31:27	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xc0cd85…
08-17 03:22:19	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x3e6264…
08-17 03:20:51	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x8baa73…
08-17 03:06:09	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on August 16?	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x5c5c4c…
08-17 03:06:00	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x4befc7…
08-17 03:04:12	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x319912…
08-17 03:04:12	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x11038f…
08-17 02:59:54	Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 29°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x8c6575…
08-17 02:59:31	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x86b1af…
08-17 02:58:19	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xccffd0…
08-17 02:58:06	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on August 17?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x2825f2…
08-17 02:58:06	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on August 17?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x1b916d…
08-17 02:46:24	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x582e1d…
08-17 02:42:52	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on August 17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xeb737b…
08-17 02:27:24	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x44c279…
08-17 02:23:36	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xeeb190…
08-17 02:10:36	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xea58bc…
08-17 02:01:03	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x8095be…
08-17 02:00:43	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xccfbf9…
08-17 02:00:40	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xbb6c38…
08-17 01:51:04	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 27°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x8b63be…
08-17 01:41:57	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 17?	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x61b63e…
08-17 01:40:42	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on August 16?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb64727…
08-17 01:30:19	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x7aaf8b…
08-17 01:28:42	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x631bc7…
08-17 01:25:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x4cc415…
08-17 01:24:42	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0xa69450…
08-17 01:24:42	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x9e7c6f…
08-17 00:50:48	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf09bfe…
08-17 00:43:52	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x3cae3d…
08-17 00:43:43	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x9187f2…
08-17 00:43:07	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xdedf31…
08-17 00:42:46	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xdbf635…
08-17 00:30:57	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xd92d6a…
08-17 00:26:30	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf1abff…
08-17 00:21:16	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on August 16?	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xfdc697…
08-17 00:16:28	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x9fb782…
08-17 00:08:21	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C or below on August 18?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x5de06e…
08-17 00:07:24	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xc70de1…
08-16 23:57:52	Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 28°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x621b14…
08-16 23:55:49	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on August 16?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb5172b…
08-16 23:54:31	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on August 17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x876576…
08-16 23:53:12	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x798d0b…
08-16 23:47:15	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xdaf050…
08-16 23:31:52	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x77c4db…
08-16 23:24:40	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x361a8e…
08-16 23:15:22	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xc68dbb…
08-16 23:08:48	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on August 17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x2c97ae…
08-16 23:03:19	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 16?	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xfd2c9c…
08-16 22:57:09	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on August 16?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x5959d5…
08-16 22:55:22	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on August 16?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x5cd694…
08-16 22:55:22	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 16?	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x159fbb…
08-16 22:54:31	Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa2bcea…
08-16 22:54:31	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on August 16?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x29c78b…
08-16 22:41:09	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on August 16?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x6f7f91…
08-16 22:41:00	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on August 16?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x440cb5…
08-16 22:39:45	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on August 16?	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xee455f…
08-16 22:38:54	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 16?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x7d77c1…
08-16 22:38:33	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 16?	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa570bd…
08-16 22:31:31	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x9eb867…
08-16 22:27:00	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb6bfd1…
08-16 22:21:04	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb1c7af…
08-16 22:21:04	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C or below on August 17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x70b64d…
08-16 22:21:04	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x01fba8…
08-16 22:11:33	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa7cda3…
08-16 22:10:01	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on August 16?	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xd66449…
08-16 22:06:01	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on August 16?	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xfcbc68…
08-16 22:05:15	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x54714d…
08-16 22:05:13	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on August 16?	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x5f46a8…
08-16 22:05:06	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on August 17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x2c4c91…
08-16 22:02:27	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 27°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x259a4a…
08-16 22:00:19	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa1b8bf…
08-16 21:59:16	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x9869b1…
08-16 21:59:16	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x104694…
08-16 21:55:54	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 16?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb88bfc…
08-16 21:55:07	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on August 16?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x83c714…
08-16 21:55:03	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on August 16?	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x983b4d…
08-16 21:54:10	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 16?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x5f6281…
08-16 21:50:39	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x2e3bda…
08-16 21:47:24	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x99b389…
08-16 21:38:07	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 16?	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x5fd3c5…
08-16 21:34:07	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf72479…