All-Disguise — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$50

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.7%

Resolved

Trades

3,297

lifetime

Volume

$25.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 05-20 15:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Other

79% 59% +$50

Sports

13% — —

Crypto

4% — —

Politics

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 77 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	241	$1.7K	2,220	2,220	+0	open	—	03-14 22:09
lighter market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 332	1	$988	0	990	-990	open	—	01-01 17:15
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	106	$657	1,222	109	+1,114	open	—	02-28 21:04
nba gsw nyk 2026 03 15	15	$500	568	0	+568	open	—	03-15 20:59
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $435 in May?	19	$460	414	437	-22	open	—	05-20 15:45
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May?	25	$423	445	445	+0	open	—	05-20 15:45
spx up or down on april 10 2026	10	$340	828	0	+828	open	—	04-10 16:41
spx up or down on march 20 2026	8	$331	417	0	+417	open	—	03-20 14:22
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	55	$315	524	174	+350	open	—	02-28 21:06
spx up or down on april 17 2026	4	$300	322	0	+322	open	—	04-17 13:59
over 50m committed to the ranger public sale nd7b 655	58	$296	247	139	+107	open	—	01-10 15:45
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $248 in May?	6	$283	197	197	+0	open	—	05-20 15:45
will sp 500 spx hit 6400 low in march 2026	5	$275	675	0	+675	open	—	03-25 15:40
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $330 in May?	8	$269	151	151	+0	open	—	05-20 15:45
nvda up or down on april 16 2026	4	$266	337	0	+337	open	—	04-16 13:53
over 60m committed to the ranger public sale 296 929 632	47	$252	487	28	+459	open	—	01-10 15:43
Will Opendoor reach $6 in April?	7	$240	378	0	+378	open	—	04-23 16:07
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	10	$210	198	198	+0	open	—	05-20 15:45
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $240 in May?	2	$208	119	119	+0	open	—	05-20 15:45
will sp 500 spx hit 6300 low in march 2026	6	$204	293	0	+293	open	—	03-31 13:40
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of April 27 2026?	3	$196	333	0	+333	open	—	05-01 14:16
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $76 in May?	2	$187	102	102	+0	open	—	05-20 15:45
msft up or down on april 16 2026	2	$180	222	0	+222	open	—	04-16 13:34
nba sas det 2026 02 23	45	$168	288	0	+288	open	—	02-24 02:02
ucl juv gal 2026 02 25 gal	19	$163	440	0	+440	open	—	02-25 18:06
nba cle det 2026 02 27	24	$153	324	0	+324	open	—	02-28 02:04
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $465 in May?	9	$144	136	136	+0	open	—	05-20 15:45
over 40m committed to the ranger public sale 819 688	17	$144	248	18	+229	open	—	01-10 14:52
epl wol liv 2026 03 03 liv	1	$143	219	0	+219	open	—	03-03 12:13
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $390 in May?	11	$138	103	103	+0	open	—	05-20 15:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-20 15:45:42	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $480 in May?	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x89ecd2…
05-20 15:45:42	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $68 in May?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x504c1e…
05-20 15:45:40	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $72 in May?	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0xc52ee8…
05-20 15:45:40	Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of May 18 above $420?	No	SELL	3	68¢	$2	0x5431c0…
05-20 15:45:40	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $390 in May?	Yes	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0x528075…
05-20 15:45:39	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in May?	Yes	SELL	11	21¢	$2	0xef7cfb…
05-20 15:45:39	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0xcf5b80…
05-20 15:45:39	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $465 in May?	No	SELL	3	92¢	$3	0x57f249…
05-20 15:45:37	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $7.00 in May?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x8af25f…
05-20 15:45:37	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $288 in May?	Yes	SELL	21	6¢	$1	0x854be9…
05-20 15:45:37	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $95 in May?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x81197f…
05-20 15:45:37	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $300 in May?	No	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x75a686…
05-20 15:45:35	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xc2e924…
05-20 15:45:35	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $6.50 in May?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x6bfe20…
05-20 15:45:35	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $360 in May?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x030358…
05-20 15:45:33	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $370 in May?	No	SELL	10	61¢	$6	0x9d0bcc…
05-20 15:45:33	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $56 in May?	No	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0x859c2c…
05-20 15:45:33	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $390 in May?	No	SELL	13	56¢	$7	0x34508d…
05-20 15:45:32	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $216 in May?	No	SELL	9	98¢	$8	0xd3cee5…
05-20 15:45:32	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $304 in May?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$9	0xbeb44b…
05-20 15:45:32	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $465 in May?	Yes	SELL	93	7¢	$6	0x69f998…
05-20 15:45:32	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $380 Week of May 18 2026?	No	SELL	19	34¢	$7	0x0d2ea8…
05-20 15:45:30	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $8.00 in May?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xd35229…
05-20 15:45:30	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $296 in May?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$9	0x6904bd…
05-20 15:45:30	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $380 in May?	No	SELL	32	22¢	$7	0x00a6c6…
05-20 15:45:28	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $224 in May?	No	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0x5b989b…
05-20 15:45:28	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $232 in May?	No	SELL	12	94¢	$11	0x092013…
05-20 15:45:28	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.25 Week of May 18 2026?	No	SELL	14	95¢	$13	0x07a5ff…
05-20 15:45:26	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $450 in May?	No	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0xcd9442…
05-20 15:45:26	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $320 in May?	No	SELL	15	95¢	$14	0xa9ef53…
05-20 15:45:26	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in May?	No	SELL	18	77¢	$14	0x2f23e3…
05-20 15:45:25	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $7.50 in May?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$19	0xf6ca8c…
05-20 15:45:25	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.00 in May?	No	SELL	28	55¢	$15	0xd5ec30…
05-20 15:45:25	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	Yes	SELL	24	67¢	$16	0xaf3e66…
05-20 15:45:25	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.00 in May?	Yes	SELL	38	39¢	$15	0x29a109…
05-20 15:45:23	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 in May?	No	SELL	21	93¢	$19	0x883898…
05-20 15:45:23	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $68 in May?	No	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x3aeccf…
05-20 15:45:23	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $95 in May?	No	SELL	30	82¢	$24	0x1ce9c2…
05-20 15:45:21	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $64 in May?	No	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0xb0a4db…
05-20 15:45:21	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $108 in May?	No	SELL	38	74¢	$28	0x7d1b0c…
05-20 15:45:21	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $330 in May?	No	SELL	29	95¢	$27	0x6b362a…
05-20 15:45:19	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0xf61488…
05-20 15:45:19	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $450 in May?	No	SELL	45	84¢	$38	0xdc99c9…
05-20 15:45:19	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $465 in May?	No	SELL	44	90¢	$39	0xb3b0b1…
05-20 15:45:19	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $288 in May?	No	SELL	48	86¢	$42	0x4931bb…
05-20 15:45:18	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $315 in May?	No	SELL	59	96¢	$56	0xc8ffc4…
05-20 15:45:18	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $435 in May?	Yes	SELL	156	33¢	$51	0xb7dda8…
05-20 15:45:16	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $390 in May?	No	SELL	93	81¢	$76	0xdfc715…
05-20 15:45:16	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 in May?	No	SELL	90	89¢	$80	0x6a2b06…
05-20 15:45:16	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $345 in May?	No	SELL	78	94¢	$73	0x085cca…
05-20 15:45:14	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	193	44¢	$86	0xa5ea3c…
05-20 15:45:14	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May?	Yes	SELL	337	21¢	$70	0x9f90b7…
05-20 15:45:14	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $375 in May?	No	SELL	110	80¢	$87	0x9e71c3…
05-20 15:45:14	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May?	No	SELL	108	74¢	$80	0x2eaa53…
05-20 15:45:12	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $240 in May?	No	SELL	119	90¢	$107	0xd729fb…
05-20 15:45:12	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $76 in May?	No	SELL	102	97¢	$99	0xb529d5…
05-20 15:45:12	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $330 in May?	No	SELL	151	96¢	$145	0xa79e34…
05-20 15:45:11	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $435 in May?	No	SELL	281	61¢	$172	0x9fe005…
05-20 15:45:11	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $248 in May?	No	SELL	197	79¢	$156	0x4d13d8…
05-20 13:31:58	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $435 in May?	No	BUY	40	64¢	$26	0xbe2647…
05-20 13:31:39	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $240 in May?	No	BUY	119	85¢	$101	0x0855b2…
05-20 13:31:32	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $248 in May?	No	BUY	119	65¢	$77	0xc59b3a…
05-19 19:59:47	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x275d15…
05-19 19:01:01	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.25 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xf85951…
05-19 19:01:01	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.25 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xd61e77…
05-19 19:01:01	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.25 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x925739…
05-19 19:01:01	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.25 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x6e91bd…
05-19 19:01:01	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.25 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x287342…
05-19 18:55:11	Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of May 18 above $420?	No	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x712f62…
05-19 17:24:25	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $248 in May?	No	BUY	31	62¢	$19	0x75bb2d…
05-19 17:18:21	Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x2f483c…
05-19 16:44:55	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $108 in May?	No	BUY	30	56¢	$17	0xf55e95…
05-19 16:44:52	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $248 in May?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xb51d8e…
05-19 15:34:54	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x2145fc…
05-19 15:19:59	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.00 in May?	Yes	BUY	4	64¢	$3	0xeb00a3…
05-19 14:46:20	Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of May 18 above $420?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x66491a…
05-19 14:12:28	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $256 in May?	Yes	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0x5ef6d7…
05-19 13:50:20	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $116 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xfc2b9d…
05-19 13:49:19	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $435 in May?	Yes	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x8e7a04…
05-19 13:46:10	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x656451…
05-19 13:45:45	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $435 in May?	Yes	BUY	20	68¢	$13	0x711210…
05-19 13:41:09	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $397.50 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0x150ba4…
05-19 13:34:58	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x0f1ea3…
05-19 13:32:43	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $450 in May?	No	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0xbe6854…
05-18 19:40:17	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xccf782…
05-18 19:24:32	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xc131b3…
05-18 19:02:01	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $90 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xb5b4e4…
05-18 19:01:59	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	BUY	14	52¢	$7	0xea1ac9…
05-18 18:20:52	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in May?	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x26a718…
05-18 18:10:20	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $465 in May?	No	BUY	39	88¢	$35	0x7d10a5…
05-18 15:16:28	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $405 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	81¢	$4	0x63ecdb…
05-18 15:09:56	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.00 in May?	Yes	BUY	34	54¢	$18	0xfc8d00…
05-18 15:01:17	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	24	77¢	$19	0xb51ebb…
05-18 14:55:58	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0xf23cb5…
05-18 14:40:29	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	6	93¢	$5	0x052f8d…
05-18 14:33:43	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $465 in May?	No	BUY	4	85¢	$4	0x0f5d93…
05-18 14:20:06	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $435 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xf5c2db…
05-18 14:11:35	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $370 in May?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$9	0x7ef3c5…
05-18 14:11:31	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $248 in May?	No	BUY	18	82¢	$15	0xded1fa…
05-18 14:11:15	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	Yes	BUY	24	68¢	$16	0x2af813…