Mysterious-Jury — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$59

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

69.1%

Resolved

Trades

28,117

lifetime

Volume

$300.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-10 00:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

63% 52% $-45

Politics

32% 0% $-24

Crypto

2% — —

Tech

2% — —

Sports

1% 100% +$6

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 336 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Clavicular sentenced to prison?	Yes		-11	$-2	16¢	$-2	$-0	06-07 01:26
Will France be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes		+34	$4	0¢	$0	$-4	05-16 22:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	497	$12.0K	10,520	10,255	+265	open	—	03-16 02:35
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245	647	$8.2K	8,425	8,471	-46	open	—	01-04 17:40
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	369	$5.1K	5,041	5,006	+35	open	—	01-11 05:21
elon musk of tweets december 26 january 2 480 499	486	$5.1K	4,980	4,848	+132	open	—	01-02 11:11
us forces in venezuela by january 31 2026	376	$4.6K	4,672	4,983	-311	open	—	01-03 14:42
nicols maduro seen in public by january 5	333	$4.6K	4,874	4,720	+154	open	—	01-04 02:33
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 320 339	319	$4.5K	4,749	4,748	+2	open	—	03-10 12:58
elon musk of tweets march 7 march 9 115 139	274	$4.1K	4,306	4,285	+21	open	—	03-09 15:38
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 360 379	212	$3.6K	4,044	4,033	+11	open	—	03-10 17:00
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	97	$3.4K	3,560	3,200	+360	open	—	03-02 07:40
elon musk of tweets march 2 march 4 0 39	194	$3.2K	3,249	3,381	-132	open	—	03-04 10:45
elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 40 64	302	$3.2K	3,520	3,721	-202	open	—	03-16 13:09
gpt 5pt4 released by march 5	317	$3.1K	3,094	3,132	-39	open	—	03-05 19:33
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 200 219	206	$3.0K	2,962	2,891	+71	open	—	03-06 05:03
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	160	$2.7K	2,704	2,652	+52	open	—	06-10 02:19
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	200	$2.7K	2,747	2,676	+71	open	—	02-18 17:28
elon musk of tweets december 26 january 2 460 479	188	$2.6K	2,452	2,452	+0	open	—	01-02 06:11
will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	196	$2.5K	2,669	2,613	+56	open	—	01-03 08:27
over 40m committed to the ranger public sale 819 688	126	$2.5K	2,271	2,386	-115	open	—	01-06 16:50
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	183	$2.4K	3,551	3,423	+127	open	—	03-16 02:35
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 7	169	$2.3K	2,593	2,546	+47	open	—	03-01 12:31
will us or israel strike iran on march 3 2026	62	$2.3K	2,202	2,177	+25	open	—	03-01 20:53
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	122	$2.2K	2,281	2,252	+29	open	—	05-15 18:18
will zelenskyy attend the world economic forum	206	$2.1K	2,151	2,063	+88	open	—	01-21 17:58
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 280 299	159	$2.0K	1,986	2,002	-16	open	—	03-17 13:49
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	21	$1.9K	2,030	2,022	+8	open	—	03-02 02:36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	267	$1.9K	2,154	2,160	-6	open	—	05-18 01:33
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?	201	$1.9K	2,029	2,045	-16	open	—	01-11 05:38
elon musk of tweets january 12 january 14 65 89	232	$1.8K	1,863	1,787	+76	open	—	01-14 06:12
israel closes its airspace by june 8	253	$1.8K	1,933	1,894	+38	open	—	06-08 14:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 06:46:54	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0x899a71…
06-10 06:43:30	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	SELL	50	21¢	$10	0xf8cad4…
06-10 03:37:10	will iran close its airspace by december 31 20260609184136058	No	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xb30ab2…
06-10 03:36:48	will iran close its airspace by december 31 20260609184136058	No	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x9b82b3…
06-10 03:33:12	will iran close its airspace by december 31 20260609184136058	No	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xebd637…
06-10 03:32:27	will iran close its airspace by december 31 20260609184136058	No	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xdf1097…
06-10 03:30:19	will iran close its airspace by december 31 20260609184136058	No	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x5d0b0f…
06-10 03:29:00	will iran close its airspace by december 31 20260609184136058	No	SELL	15	22¢	$3	0xf36547…
06-10 03:09:07	will iran close its airspace by december 31 20260609184136058	No	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x68a47e…
06-10 02:53:42	will iran close its airspace by december 31 20260609184136058	No	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x4b2b1f…
06-10 02:49:51	will iran close its airspace by december 31 20260609184136058	No	SELL	19	22¢	$4	0x4461ad…
06-10 02:41:46	will iran close its airspace by december 31 20260609184136058	No	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x9ae683…
06-10 02:39:48	will iran close its airspace by december 31 20260609184136058	No	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0x62e3b5…
06-10 02:19:18	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	SELL	50	64¢	$32	0x1e1950…
06-10 02:18:55	will iran close its airspace by december 31 20260609184136058	No	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xdc1bd5…
06-10 02:18:46	will iran close its airspace by december 31 20260609184136058	No	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x1f96a8…
06-10 02:18:13	will iran close its airspace by december 31 20260609184136058	No	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0x8e1fda…
06-10 02:07:42	will iran close its airspace by december 31 20260609184136058	No	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x46228e…
06-10 02:05:22	will iran close its airspace by december 31 20260609184136058	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x10a6e9…
06-10 02:05:12	will iran close its airspace by december 31 20260609184136058	No	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0xc80cb2…
06-10 02:05:04	will iran close its airspace by december 31 20260609184136058	No	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0xb275eb…
06-10 01:57:16	will iran close its airspace by december 31 20260609184136058	No	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x49bb10…
06-10 01:54:25	will iran close its airspace by december 31 20260609184136058	No	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x164ca5…
06-10 01:48:07	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550	No	SELL	20	68¢	$14	0x987d26…
06-10 01:38:39	will iran close its airspace by december 31 20260609184136058	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x6e8063…
06-10 01:35:10	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x2d2472…
06-10 01:33:15	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520	No	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0xdb7270…
06-10 01:15:51	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	BUY	50	64¢	$32	0x4e41b1…
06-10 01:01:37	will xagusd dip to 64 in june 2026	No	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0xfadf52…
06-10 00:32:19	will xagusd dip to 64 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	50	77¢	$38	0x1a32d4…
06-10 00:27:22	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550	No	SELL	20	59¢	$12	0x8f4b1b…
06-10 00:08:57	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xe66fb0…
06-10 00:03:58	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550	No	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0x888e22…
06-09 23:46:48	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550	No	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x41ad4d…
06-09 23:37:40	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550	No	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x3b662a…
06-09 23:37:13	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x3f6731…
06-09 23:36:27	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xf4063f…
06-09 23:36:22	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550	No	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0x39d44c…
06-09 23:35:55	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550	No	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x9b342c…
06-09 23:34:54	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550	No	SELL	15	62¢	$9	0x51d114…
06-09 23:34:13	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550	No	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0xb37dfe…
06-09 23:30:13	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550	No	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0xa23e4d…
06-09 23:28:43	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550	No	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x5a75cc…
06-09 23:28:42	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	SELL	50	24¢	$12	0xb6cae6…
06-09 23:12:00	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xf2e34f…
06-09 23:11:13	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550	No	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x346533…
06-09 23:03:36	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550	No	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0x74180a…
06-09 23:03:15	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	BUY	50	29¢	$14	0xeb78ee…
06-09 22:59:01	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530	No	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0xfb93df…
06-09 22:57:48	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x92b5f3…
06-09 22:55:24	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x986453…
06-09 22:48:33	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	BUY	18	25¢	$4	0x4ffb7f…
06-09 22:47:28	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550	Yes	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0x42f5f8…
06-09 22:47:00	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	32	57¢	$18	0x58e4a9…
06-09 22:38:16	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	18	57¢	$10	0x094a22…
06-09 22:29:54	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	50	63¢	$32	0xc285fd…
06-09 21:55:12	will xagusd dip to 64 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0xe96803…
06-09 20:45:13	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xac637c…
06-09 20:17:48	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	SELL	50	65¢	$32	0x26034e…
06-09 20:08:06	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	No	SELL	18	36¢	$7	0xd30179…
06-09 20:02:06	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530	No	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x5572ce…
06-09 19:53:49	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0xe26c1e…
06-09 19:46:06	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	SELL	50	67¢	$34	0x368487…
06-09 19:31:48	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530	Yes	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0x24d005…
06-09 19:29:36	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530	Yes	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0xf7c9a8…
06-09 19:14:39	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	BUY	50	65¢	$32	0x32edff…
06-09 19:05:03	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	No	SELL	50	54¢	$27	0x52f0d1…
06-09 19:04:43	will xagusd dip to 64 in june 2026	No	SELL	50	25¢	$12	0xabae71…
06-09 17:58:52	will xagusd dip to 64 in june 2026	No	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0xe6871e…
06-09 17:49:01	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530	Yes	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0x661699…
06-09 17:48:09	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550	Yes	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0xbf2d20…
06-09 17:41:34	will spy dip to 700 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	25	35¢	$9	0xa413ca…
06-09 17:34:54	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530	Yes	SELL	16	82¢	$13	0x86df4c…
06-09 17:16:42	will wti dip to 85 by june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	46	15¢	$7	0x6b6090…
06-09 17:02:07	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	No	BUY	11	34¢	$4	0xc56f70…
06-09 16:52:48	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	SELL	50	66¢	$33	0xb836d7…
06-09 16:38:51	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0x6a695b…
06-09 16:19:54	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	SELL	50	66¢	$33	0xe1dc24…
06-09 16:19:45	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530	Yes	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x4c533b…
06-09 16:15:13	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	BUY	50	65¢	$32	0xa18e65…
06-09 15:59:13	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x6cd5e4…
06-09 15:59:04	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	SELL	22	67¢	$15	0x52bc8b…
06-09 15:59:04	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	SELL	23	67¢	$15	0x3d6937…
06-09 15:37:40	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	No	SELL	17	35¢	$6	0x89056d…
06-09 15:37:15	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x737e25…
06-09 15:35:34	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530	No	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x70ee93…
06-09 15:27:00	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	BUY	50	65¢	$32	0xd7a15b…
06-09 15:20:22	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550	Yes	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0x7b2353…
06-09 15:10:28	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	No	SELL	17	33¢	$6	0x9b1fdb…
06-09 15:10:28	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	No	SELL	33	33¢	$11	0x805c88…
06-09 15:08:13	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x39efde…
06-09 15:07:22	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0xff9678…
06-09 15:03:25	will xauusd reach 4600 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	31	22¢	$7	0x5aa888…
06-09 14:51:58	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	No	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0x5a7c17…
06-09 14:51:22	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	No	BUY	25	34¢	$9	0x87be83…
06-09 14:49:51	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	No	SELL	50	35¢	$18	0x4de9cf…
06-09 14:42:45	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	No	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0xcb14d9…
06-09 14:39:12	will xagusd dip to 64 in june 2026	No	SELL	50	37¢	$18	0x36698f…
06-09 14:36:07	will xagusd dip to 64 in june 2026	No	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0x7a7617…
06-09 14:13:28	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	No	BUY	23	34¢	$8	0x8090b6…