Realized P&L
-$2.81K
Unrealized P&L
-$11
Hit rate
49.5%
Resolved
1,808
Trades
35,808
lifetime
Volume
$393.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$386
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 23:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 196 days
Categories
Other
63% 38% -$2,722
Politics
31% 45% -$115
Tech
2% 46% -$43
Crypto
2% 64% +$31
Sports
1% 50% +$135
Pop-Culture
1% 47% -$94
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
iran charges hormuz fees by october 31 No +45 $20 98¢ $44 +$25 07-11 18:36
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? No +38 $30 96¢ $37 +$7 07-07 14:18
will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026 No +34 $36 100¢ $34 -$2 07-07 18:51
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +25 $6 96¢ $24 +$18 05-20 16:44
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +22 $14 100¢ $22 +$8 07-08 06:46
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No +20 $16 100¢ $20 +$4 07-04 15:55
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +20 $17 97¢ $19 +$2 05-06 18:07
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +20 $8 94¢ $19 +$11 05-24 19:56
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? Yes +20 $16 88¢ $18 +$2 07-15 16:52
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? No +20 $22 85¢ $17 -$5 05-31 22:07
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +20 $13 82¢ $16 +$4 05-13 22:28
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? No +17 $8 96¢ $16 +$8 04-29 19:35
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +27 $14 60¢ $16 +$3 06-25 19:49
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027? No +20 $10 73¢ $15 +$4 05-13 21:42
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? Yes +15 $11 96¢ $14 +$3 05-21 19:14
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? No +20 $16 64¢ $13 -$3 05-20 04:22
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +34 $14 33¢ $11 -$2 06-24 13:35
Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026? No +16 $4 48¢ $8 +$3 05-05 22:03
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +9 $4 67¢ $6 +$2 06-24 14:15
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $8 16¢ $3 -$5 06-13 21:45
Clavicular sentenced to prison? Yes +39 $12 6¢ $3 -$10 06-07 01:26
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? No +20 $4 12¢ $2 -$1 07-15 02:43
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? Yes +20 $6 8¢ $2 -$4 05-19 09:59
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +37 $13 4¢ $1 -$12 07-07 14:52
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +20 $9 6¢ $1 -$8 05-24 11:38
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +36 $16 3¢ $1 -$15 06-23 15:59
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? Yes +6 $2 15¢ $1 -$1 05-19 12:46
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? Yes +20 $9 4¢ $1 -$8 04-29 19:33
iran charges hormuz fees by october 31 Yes +32 $19 2¢ $1 -$18 07-15 09:45
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No +51 $20 0¢ $0 -$20 07-17 15:28