Mysterious-Jury — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$59

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

69.1%

Resolved

Trades

29,106

lifetime

Volume

$310.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

$57

8 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-30 23:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

62% 52% $-45

Politics

33% 0% $-24

Tech

2% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Sports

1% 100% +$6

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 336 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	No	+23	$17	100¢	$22	+$5	06-23 12:22
Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026?	No	+20	$16	71¢	$14	$-2	06-24 14:06
Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	+18	$10	32¢	$6	$-4	06-11 21:19
Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026?	Yes	+20	$3	29¢	$6	+$3	06-24 13:14
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	+20	$6	20¢	$4	$-2	06-12 10:09
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026?	Yes	+20	$5	16¢	$3	$-1	06-24 12:53
Clavicular sentenced to prison?	Yes	-11	$-2	16¢	$-2	+$0	06-07 01:26
Will France be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	+34	$4	0¢	$0	$-4	05-16 22:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	497	$12.0K	10,520	10,255	+265	open	—	03-16 02:35
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245	647	$8.2K	8,425	8,471	-46	open	—	01-04 17:40
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	369	$5.1K	5,041	5,006	+35	open	—	01-11 05:21
elon musk of tweets december 26 january 2 480 499	486	$5.1K	4,980	4,848	+132	open	—	01-02 11:11
us forces in venezuela by january 31 2026	376	$4.6K	4,672	4,983	-311	open	—	01-03 14:42
nicols maduro seen in public by january 5	333	$4.6K	4,874	4,720	+154	open	—	01-04 02:33
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 320 339	319	$4.5K	4,749	4,748	+2	open	—	03-10 12:58
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	265	$4.4K	4,473	4,441	+31	open	—	06-11 19:51
elon musk of tweets march 7 march 9 115 139	274	$4.1K	4,306	4,285	+21	open	—	03-09 15:38
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 360 379	212	$3.6K	4,044	4,033	+11	open	—	03-10 17:00
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	97	$3.4K	3,560	3,200	+360	open	—	03-02 07:40
elon musk of tweets march 2 march 4 0 39	194	$3.2K	3,249	3,381	-132	open	—	03-04 10:45
elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 40 64	302	$3.2K	3,520	3,721	-202	open	—	03-16 13:09
gpt 5pt4 released by march 5	317	$3.1K	3,094	3,132	-39	open	—	03-05 19:33
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 200 219	206	$3.0K	2,962	2,891	+71	open	—	03-06 05:03
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	200	$2.7K	2,747	2,676	+71	open	—	02-18 17:28
elon musk of tweets december 26 january 2 460 479	188	$2.6K	2,452	2,452	+0	open	—	01-02 06:11
will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	196	$2.5K	2,669	2,613	+56	open	—	01-03 08:27
over 40m committed to the ranger public sale 819 688	126	$2.5K	2,271	2,386	-115	open	—	01-06 16:50
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	183	$2.4K	3,551	3,423	+127	open	—	03-16 02:35
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 7	169	$2.3K	2,593	2,546	+47	open	—	03-01 12:31
will us or israel strike iran on march 3 2026	62	$2.3K	2,202	2,177	+25	open	—	03-01 20:53
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	122	$2.2K	2,281	2,252	+29	open	—	05-15 18:18
will zelenskyy attend the world economic forum	206	$2.1K	2,151	2,063	+88	open	—	01-21 17:58
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 280 299	159	$2.0K	1,986	2,002	-16	open	—	03-17 13:49
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	21	$1.9K	2,030	2,022	+8	open	—	03-02 02:36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	267	$1.9K	2,154	2,160	-6	open	—	05-18 01:33
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?	201	$1.9K	2,029	2,045	-16	open	—	01-11 05:38
elon musk of tweets january 12 january 14 65 89	232	$1.8K	1,863	1,787	+76	open	—	01-14 06:12
israel closes its airspace by june 8	253	$1.8K	1,933	1,894	+38	open	—	06-08 14:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 01:03:34	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by august 31 668 138 771 819 232	No	SELL	44	0¢	$0	0x0c2a4d…
06-30 23:58:22	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17 371 741 936	No	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x91d7fa…
06-30 23:56:43	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17 371 741 936	No	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xa47b57…
06-30 23:28:04	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138 872 385 636	Yes	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0xd7b280…
06-30 23:19:49	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138 872 385 636	No	SELL	1	9¢	$0	0xb82bb9…
06-30 23:19:41	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138 872 385 636	Yes	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x7c3716…
06-30 23:19:26	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138 872 385 636	No	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x65dd5b…
06-30 23:08:53	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138 872 385 636	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x0cda5b…
06-30 23:02:19	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17 371 741 936	No	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x7d56fd…
06-30 23:01:16	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17 371 741 936	No	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x967e16…
06-30 23:00:11	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17 371 741 936	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x342a50…
06-30 22:57:58	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by august 31 668 138 771 819 232	No	BUY	38	4¢	$1	0xb0b6e2…
06-30 22:57:41	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138 872 385 636	No	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0xadc8a3…
06-30 22:51:41	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by august 31 668 138 771 819 232	No	SELL	19	4¢	$1	0x3e8106…
06-30 22:51:37	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17 371 741 936	No	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0xd29311…
06-30 22:51:35	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by august 31 668 138 771 819 232	No	SELL	31	4¢	$1	0x42b508…
06-30 22:49:35	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17 371 741 936	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xabfa93…
06-30 22:46:13	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138 872 385 636	No	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xe82a3e…
06-30 22:46:13	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17 371 741 936	No	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xbae7d5…
06-30 22:41:17	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17 371 741 936	No	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0xd8a140…
06-30 22:41:17	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138 872 385 636	No	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0x68d75e…
06-30 22:38:14	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17 371 741 936	No	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x1fec42…
06-30 22:36:34	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by august 31 668 138 771 819 232	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xb544e9…
06-30 22:29:16	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17 371 741 936	No	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xb1cbc5…
06-30 22:25:46	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17 371 741 936	No	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x4ceb2d…
06-30 22:24:31	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17 371 741 936	No	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xe55398…
06-30 22:23:32	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138 872 385 636	No	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x56351d…
06-30 20:23:01	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138 872 385 636	No	SELL	17	13¢	$2	0x1e80ee…
06-30 20:21:38	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138 872 385 636	No	SELL	17	13¢	$2	0xe9f289…
06-30 20:21:35	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138 872 385 636	No	SELL	4	13¢	$1	0x6f5a83…
06-30 19:53:43	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138 872 385 636	No	BUY	3	13¢	$0	0x1dd375…
06-30 19:48:25	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138 872 385 636	No	BUY	29	13¢	$4	0xa3d350…
06-30 19:46:53	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138 872 385 636	No	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0xe226d6…
06-30 19:46:53	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138 872 385 636	No	BUY	17	13¢	$2	0x614d76…
06-30 18:30:38	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138 872 385 636	No	SELL	50	15¢	$7	0x55722b…
06-30 18:20:16	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17 371 741 936	No	SELL	3	15¢	$0	0x9817e0…
06-30 18:20:02	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17 371 741 936	No	SELL	17	15¢	$3	0xe7e2b9…
06-30 18:15:07	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17 371 741 936	No	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x2d5f1a…
06-30 18:11:58	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17 371 741 936	No	SELL	3	16¢	$0	0xd093bb…
06-30 18:10:13	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17 371 741 936	No	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0xe91196…
06-30 18:09:59	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17 371 741 936	No	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x97de05…
06-30 18:01:49	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by august 31 668 138 771 819 232	No	BUY	17	5¢	$1	0xdd85c4…
06-30 18:01:19	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by august 31 668 138 771 819 232	No	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x1940cd…
06-30 18:00:50	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138 872 385 636	No	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0x57cfda…
06-30 18:00:50	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17 371 741 936	No	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x156496…
06-30 13:32:25	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	Yes	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0x92e2ef…
06-30 12:07:49	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	Yes	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0xceec82…
06-30 05:57:04	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138	No	BUY	15	11¢	$2	0x4581ff…
06-30 03:34:02	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138	No	SELL	30	14¢	$4	0x51027c…
06-30 02:26:50	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xe7d9b4…
06-30 02:01:29	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062	No	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0xf32b42…
06-30 01:15:35	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062	No	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x3459df…
06-30 01:06:25	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062	No	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0x1a6acc…
06-30 01:06:02	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062	No	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xd47bb8…
06-30 01:04:25	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xc88b4b…
06-30 00:17:35	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x81b24f…
06-29 23:48:50	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x6c9530…
06-29 23:37:13	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062	Yes	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0xc4edbb…
06-29 22:13:14	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xaac47e…
06-29 20:50:23	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062	Yes	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0x2e6bf2…
06-29 19:17:46	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x503b5b…
06-29 16:58:11	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	Yes	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x51259b…
06-29 16:34:25	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	No	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0x964969…
06-29 16:33:56	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	No	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x9d6e8d…
06-29 16:17:53	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138	No	BUY	50	17¢	$8	0x1dae92…
06-29 15:56:28	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138	Yes	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0xee0790…
06-29 15:28:35	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138	Yes	SELL	50	82¢	$41	0x05a78e…
06-29 14:46:01	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	No	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x495bd5…
06-29 14:44:31	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	No	SELL	13	25¢	$3	0x446061…
06-29 14:41:10	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x30e729…
06-29 14:37:41	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	No	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xea1286…
06-29 14:36:26	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138	Yes	BUY	50	81¢	$41	0x12df77…
06-29 14:34:23	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138	Yes	BUY	0	82¢	$0	0x53408e…
06-29 13:58:43	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x19f822…
06-29 13:52:52	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x65326a…
06-29 13:44:37	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x8d5ff4…
06-29 13:42:10	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x3e7694…
06-29 00:17:14	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0xd85ce5…
06-28 07:02:02	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	No	SELL	72	42¢	$30	0x319f7a…
06-28 06:40:25	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	No	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0x8a3918…
06-28 06:39:08	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	SELL	50	48¢	$24	0x1dbafe…
06-28 06:39:01	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0xd2b32c…
06-28 06:37:44	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	SELL	50	47¢	$24	0xe4405c…
06-27 22:46:28	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xeeef3c…
06-27 22:41:08	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	SELL	50	49¢	$24	0x421f9e…
06-27 22:39:46	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0xc34ce1…
06-27 22:38:08	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	No	SELL	50	51¢	$26	0xe0035a…
06-27 22:36:47	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	No	BUY	22	53¢	$12	0x0a31b0…
06-27 21:19:07	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	No	SELL	50	55¢	$28	0xd14b29…
06-27 19:16:32	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	No	BUY	50	55¢	$28	0x4e52c6…
06-27 14:15:17	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	SELL	50	42¢	$21	0x25ddce…
06-27 08:33:02	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	BUY	50	41¢	$20	0x2882b7…
06-27 06:25:08	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	No	BUY	22	57¢	$13	0x00a8ef…
06-27 05:46:02	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	No	SELL	50	61¢	$30	0x075cb3…
06-27 05:40:05	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	No	BUY	50	64¢	$32	0xd90da0…
06-27 00:45:37	will mishal al ahmad al jaber al sabah sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950083	Yes	SELL	50	9¢	$4	0x7b9172…
06-26 17:06:41	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	17	6¢	$1	0xd1b171…
06-26 10:50:13	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	No	SELL	57	21¢	$12	0xd5ccfb…
06-26 10:35:11	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	No	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0xb5a882…
06-26 09:38:49	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	No	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x1a7e0f…