Realized P&L
-$205
Unrealized P&L
+$24
Hit rate
53.1%
Resolved
39,286
Trades
171,282
lifetime
Volume
$11.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$0
Open exposure
$15
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-26 23:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 299 days
Categories
Other
64% 8% -$234
Politics
15% 14% +$292
Sports
13% 7% -$9
Crypto
7% 6% -$229
Tech
1% 13% +$13
Pop-Culture
1% 4% -$37
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1598 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bogdan Guskov be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes +150 $0 1¢ $2 +$1 07-26 03:45
Will Munetaka Murakami win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? Yes +144 $0 1¢ $1 +$1 10-24 12:43
Will Jiří Procházka be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes +137 $0 1¢ $1 +$1 09-09 18:47
Will Khalil Rountree Jr. be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes +150 $0 1¢ $1 +$1 08-01 09:40
Will Team Liquid win Worlds 2026? Yes +150 -$1 1¢ $1 +$2 10-24 08:12
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)? Yes +150 -$1 1¢ $1 +$2 10-26 16:36
Will Israel strike 15 or more countries in 2026? Yes -75 -$2 1¢ $-1 +$1 09-15 22:16
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +150 $0 0¢ $1 +$1 09-06 19:47
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +150 $0 0¢ $1 +$1 09-23 22:22
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day? Yes +150 $0 0¢ $1 +$0 09-13 01:04
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -14 -$1 3¢ $-0 +$0 04-30 16:47
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? Yes +150 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-19 17:51
Will Freddy Peralta win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award? Yes +300 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 05-20 13:28
Will Mainz 05 be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? Yes +97 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-25 00:54
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +150 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-21 21:47
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? Yes +150 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-07 06:08
Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +150 -$2 0¢ $0 +$2 10-12 13:31
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +150 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-15 16:12
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +242 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-21 13:02
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH? Yes +59 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 10-26 18:28
Will Newcastle United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +150 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-22 20:45
Will Alexandre Pantoja be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026? Yes +114 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 08-24 00:20
Will Israel strike 12 countries in 2026? Yes +136 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-24 15:15
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +171 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-21 18:51
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower? Yes +150 -$2 0¢ $0 +$2 10-06 15:18
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus? Yes +150 -$3 0¢ $0 +$3 09-23 01:23
Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +150 -$1 0¢ $0 +$2 09-02 12:49
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October? Yes +150 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-12 20:39
Will Brentford win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +150 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 07-24 21:03
Will Yolanda Díaz be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +150 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-05 11:51