Lucky-Pear — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5.73K

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

10.3%

Resolved

7,705

Trades

11,628

lifetime

Volume

$521.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$45

Open exposure

4 positions

First seen

2026-02-07

last 10-20 16:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 100 days

Categories

Politics

90% 0% -$11

Other

7% 0% +$5,559

Crypto

3% 0% +$179

Sports

0% 6% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$1

Tech

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	-10	-$1	9¢	$-1	$0	06-26 18:38
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 1.0% and 2.0%?	Yes	+20	$0	1¢	$0	+$0	07-15 07:10
Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	Yes	+18	$0	1¢	$0	+$0	08-12 19:03
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be 9% or higher?	Yes	+15	$0	0¢	$0	+$0	06-05 11:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	53	$292.4K	0	584,870	-584,870	Yes	-$2	06-05 09:58
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	37	$127.2K	0	254,400	-254,400	Yes	-$2	06-02 02:45
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	8	$47.5K	0	95,000	-95,000	Yes	-$6	05-28 05:22
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	866	$24.5K	2,941,042	2,989,267	-48,225	No	+$1,744	03-17 13:04
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	1	$15.7K	15,900	0	+15,900	No	+$191	06-02 11:19
Will "Hope" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 6m?	5	$13.1K	17,514	0	+17,514	Yes	+$4,375	09-11 01:05
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	159	$715	143,077	0	+143,077	Yes	-$715	03-17 11:33
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	23	$102	0	102,029	-102,029	No	+$102	03-18 08:37
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$52	26	26	+0	open	—	05-28 05:34
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$28	0	28,067	-28,067	No	+$28	03-17 12:39
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$18	20	8	+12	Yes	-$23	06-05 04:56
Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election?	2	$7	13	13	+0	Yes	+$7	06-07 07:43
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$6	0	38	-38	No	+$6	06-05 04:46
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	7	$3	0	32	-32	No	+$3	06-05 04:56
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$3	0	32	-32	No	+$3	06-05 04:45
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$2	0	36	-36	No	+$2	06-05 04:37
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$2	0	20	-20	No	+$2	06-05 04:43
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$1	0	8	-8	No	+$1	06-05 04:06
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$1	0	27	-27	No	+$1	06-05 04:41
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	1	$1	0	10	-10	open	—	06-26 18:38
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$1	0	28	-28	No	+$1	06-05 04:31
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$0	0	19	-19	No	+$0	06-05 04:14
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$0	0	8	-8	No	+$0	06-05 04:41
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$0	0	17	-17	No	+$0	06-05 04:31
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$0	0	24	-24	No	+$0	06-05 04:28
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$0	0	16	-16	No	+$0	06-05 04:33
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$0	0	15	-15	No	+$0	06-05 03:45
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$0	0	20	-20	No	+$0	06-05 04:28
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$0	0	8	-8	No	+$0	06-05 03:41
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$0	0	9	-9	No	+$0	06-05 03:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-20 16:23:11	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include AUR?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x00fe06…
10-20 16:23:09	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include UDMR?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xd08f5f…
10-20 16:16:21	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL + USR?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x28763c…
10-20 16:15:20	Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of AUR?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x259713…
10-20 16:08:32	Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of USR?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x7e1d15…
10-20 16:08:05	Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x51ad5f…
10-20 16:07:24	Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x88c4de…
10-20 14:21:24	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include USR + UDMR + AUR?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x161150…
10-20 13:33:03	Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xcbd1af…
10-20 13:22:51	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include USR + UDMR + AUR?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x569f2a…
10-20 13:22:50	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include USR + UDMR + AUR?	Yes	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0x6b497c…
10-20 13:11:33	Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0xb4e164…
10-19 15:51:44	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include UDMR?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x924c22…
10-19 15:44:12	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include UDMR?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xb80b8e…
10-19 15:37:00	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include UDMR?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xc48f53…
10-19 15:37:00	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL + UDMR?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x80bbcc…
10-19 15:36:57	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PNL + AUR?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xf1f6c6…
10-19 15:36:57	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL + UDMR?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0xe6c627…
10-19 15:36:57	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include UDMR?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xaa2139…
10-19 15:36:18	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PNL + AUR?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x6fde8e…
10-19 15:36:18	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL + AUR?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x35b155…
10-19 15:36:18	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + UDMR + AUR?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x2943c0…
10-19 15:36:18	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + USR + UDMR?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x13abda…
10-19 15:35:02	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + UDMR + AUR?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xf73a7b…
10-19 15:35:02	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include AUR?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0xc1b175…
10-19 15:35:02	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PNL + UDMR + AUR?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x60f783…
10-19 15:34:21	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include AUR?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xe5f524…
10-19 15:34:03	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL + UDMR?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xc33496…
10-19 15:34:03	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include USR?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x3e8d1d…
10-19 15:34:00	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + USR?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x378943…
10-18 19:29:35	Will Iwaki FC vs. Ventforet Kōfu end in a draw?	No	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x3f441c…
10-18 17:47:03	Will Iwaki FC win on 2026-03-08?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x461847…
10-18 16:29:20	Will Ventforet Kōfu win on 2026-03-08?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x910151…
10-16 06:45:33	Counter-Strike: FURIA fe vs METANOIA WOLVES - Map 2 Winner	METANOIA WOLVES	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x81403e…
10-16 06:45:16	Counter-Strike: FURIA fe vs METANOIA WOLVES - Map 1 Winner	FURIA fe	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x98d223…
10-16 05:49:13	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + USR?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xda685d…
10-16 05:48:58	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + USR?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x2d99b6…
10-16 05:48:58	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PNL + UDMR?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x2022cd…
10-16 04:41:12	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL + USR + UDMR + AUR?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xc2ea32…
10-16 04:41:12	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL + UDMR?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xa16abe…
10-16 04:41:12	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include UDMR + AUR?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x275171…
10-16 04:41:10	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PNL + AUR?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0xe718e5…
10-16 04:41:10	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include UDMR + AUR?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xbe1010…
10-16 04:41:10	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PNL + UDMR + AUR?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0xa1818e…
10-16 04:41:07	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PNL + UDMR + AUR?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xca94bb…
10-16 04:41:07	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PNL + AUR?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x46e397…
10-16 04:41:07	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL + USR + UDMR + AUR?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x01df31…
10-16 04:40:58	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PNL + USR + AUR?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xaf8ce7…
10-16 04:40:57	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + UDMR + AUR?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0xac90a3…
10-16 04:40:57	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + USR + UDMR?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0xa4cc99…
10-16 04:40:57	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL + AUR?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x9d835f…
10-16 04:40:57	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL + USR + AUR?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x66853a…
10-16 04:40:57	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL + UDMR + AUR?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x4ecd57…
10-16 04:40:57	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include USR + AUR?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x21ba3b…
10-16 04:40:57	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PNL + USR + UDMR + AUR?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x116200…
10-16 04:40:40	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include USR + AUR?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xb8ebd4…
10-16 04:40:40	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PNL + USR + AUR?	Yes	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0x9b64dd…
10-16 04:40:40	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PNL + UDMR?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x3b3b9a…
10-16 04:40:40	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + USR?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x39b4e8…
10-16 04:40:40	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL + USR + AUR?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x33f6e5…
10-16 04:40:40	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + USR + UDMR + AUR?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x1e154c…
10-16 04:40:39	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL + AUR?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xf5a1ec…
10-16 04:40:39	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + UDMR + AUR?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xd8088f…
10-16 04:40:39	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + USR + UDMR?	Yes	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0xa0a587…
10-14 19:28:58	Counter-Strike: Alzon vs paiN Academy - Map 1 Winner	Alzon	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xe50a6c…
10-14 19:28:58	Counter-Strike: Alzon vs paiN Academy - Map 2 Winner	paiN Academy	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xaf8b2f…
10-14 17:28:55	Will Chennaiyin FC win on 2026-03-22?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xaa70e2…
10-14 17:19:33	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PNL + USR + UDMR + AUR?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0xd31c82…
10-14 17:19:33	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PNL + UDMR?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xcf4eb3…
10-14 17:19:33	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include USR + UDMR + AUR?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xad4b9f…
10-14 17:19:33	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL + UDMR + AUR?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x85050d…
10-14 17:19:33	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PNL + USR?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x5fa9c9…
10-14 17:19:33	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include USR?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x4c3ef9…
10-14 17:19:33	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL + USR?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x3be3b0…
10-14 17:19:33	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + AUR?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x2f1980…
10-14 17:19:33	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + USR + AUR?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x27b2a9…
10-14 17:19:33	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include USR + AUR?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x1b1bd1…
10-14 17:19:33	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL + USR + AUR?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x19accf…
10-14 17:19:33	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL + USR + UDMR + AUR?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x010e19…
10-14 17:19:31	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + USR + UDMR + AUR?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xfde1d8…
10-14 17:19:31	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + USR?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xc649a3…
10-14 17:19:31	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PNL + USR + AUR?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0xa5e301…
10-14 17:19:31	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include UDMR + AUR?	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0x62c270…
10-14 17:19:31	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include USR + UDMR?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x08dbff…
10-14 11:57:02	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + USR + AUR?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x753089…
10-14 11:56:52	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PNL + USR?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x6cd2c1…
10-14 11:48:04	Will Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x5d2c28…
10-14 11:47:47	Will Radu Burnete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x30dac9…
10-14 09:25:43	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PNL + USR?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xbf5292…
10-14 09:25:43	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include USR + UDMR?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x468494…
10-14 09:25:41	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include USR + UDMR?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0xcb5854…
10-14 05:31:59	Will Dan Motreanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x11ec66…
10-11 03:35:32	Map 1: Odd/Even Total Rounds?	Even	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x431b9f…
10-11 03:35:30	Map 1: Odd/Even Total Rounds?	Even	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xcc1580…
10-11 03:35:30	Map 2: Odd/Even Total Rounds?	Even	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xaea8aa…
10-10 18:26:24	Map 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Even	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x21af67…
10-10 18:24:22	Map 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Odd	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x36ac08…
10-10 06:47:55	Overwatch: Solus Victorem vs Naive Piggy - Game 2 Winner	Naive Piggy	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x776989…
10-10 06:47:37	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xee75e3…
10-09 18:41:05	KBO: Samsung Lions vs. SSG Landers	Samsung Lions	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xbfa5a9…