Scientific-Impala 0x07d126…3e8ffa
bot hot 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$2.37K
Unrealized P&L
-$132
Hit rate
64.6%
Resolved
218
Trades
12,607
lifetime
Volume
$50.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$600
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-20
last 06-10 02:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 19 days
Categories
Other
59% 32% +$1,085
Politics
24% 27% +$1,300
Crypto
15% — —
Tech
3% — —
Sports
0% 0% $-16
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 1085 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will any AI model reach 1530 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026? Yes +200 $115 76¢ $153 +$38 06-09 20:07
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes +1,232 $166 11¢ $129 $-37 06-09 19:20
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +405 $51 12¢ $47 $-4 06-09 21:17
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in June? Yes +1,529 $109 3¢ $41 $-69 06-08 11:22
Will any AI model reach 1540 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026? Yes +160 $23 23¢ $38 +$14 06-09 20:19
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? Yes +730 $25 2¢ $18 $-7 06-09 21:14
Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026? Yes +241 $25 7¢ $18 $-7 05-31 17:45
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +40 $16 38¢ $15 $-1 06-04 18:42
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Yes -15 $-6 100¢ $-15 $-9 06-07 17:51
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes -70 $-8 18¢ $-13 $-5 06-09 21:14
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? Yes +87 $12 14¢ $12 +$0 06-04 19:53
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? Yes +205 $13 6¢ $11 $-2 06-09 19:18
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30? Yes +420 $12 3¢ $11 $-1 06-06 21:06
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June? Yes +60 $11 16¢ $10 $-1 06-09 18:59
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,850 (HIGH) in June? Yes +126 $30 6¢ $8 $-22 06-06 21:28
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December? Yes -50 $-9 16¢ $-8 +$1 06-03 23:09
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? Yes -26 $-7 26¢ $-7 $-0 06-08 05:25
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of June? Yes +549 $14 1¢ $7 $-7 06-04 20:57
Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam? Yes -7 $-6 80¢ $-6 $-0 06-09 18:50
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,100 by end of June? Yes +240 $11 2¢ $5 $-6 06-04 20:57
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June? No +5 $1 84¢ $4 +$3 06-05 14:02
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? Yes -11 $-5 38¢ $-4 +$1 06-08 17:30
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June? Yes -55 $-13 7¢ $-4 +$9 06-10 01:03
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June? Yes +205 $15 2¢ $3 $-11 06-04 18:58
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June? Yes +200 $2 2¢ $3 +$1 06-06 21:03
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,200 by end of June? Yes +200 $6 2¢ $3 $-3 06-05 11:47
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026? Yes +124 $5 2¢ $2 $-2 06-04 19:53
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? Yes +30 $2 6¢ $2 $-0 05-30 14:50
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? Yes +90 $3 2¢ $2 $-1 06-08 21:26
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $2 36¢ $2 $-0 06-08 16:54