Scientific-Impala 0x07d126…3e8ffa
bot cold 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$1.00K
Unrealized P&L
+$43
Hit rate
55.1%
Resolved
3,841
Trades
20,259
lifetime
Volume
$75.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$164
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-20
last 10-27 18:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 170 days
Categories
Other
67% 26% -$1,449
Politics
19% 37% +$1,142
Crypto
10% 38% -$701
Tech
4% 44% +$86
Sports
0% 29% -$78
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
61 active days in 12wk • peak 146 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +765 $165 6¢ $42 -$123 09-30 23:06
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes +142 -$136 20¢ $28 +$165 10-27 11:50
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +100 $20 13¢ $13 -$8 08-10 20:54
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes -236 -$28 3¢ $-8 +$21 06-13 11:17
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -11 -$6 66¢ $-8 -$2 05-04 10:40
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes +121 $13 6¢ $8 -$6 08-10 17:07
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -15 -$1 29¢ $-4 -$3 06-20 14:45
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -640 -$9 1¢ $-4 +$5 05-18 18:38
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes -4 -$3 95¢ $-4 -$1 05-02 21:05
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -20 -$5 18¢ $-4 +$1 04-28 20:25
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -68 -$3 5¢ $-3 -$1 04-28 16:52
US recession by end of 2026? Yes -41 -$10 8¢ $-3 +$7 05-04 18:51
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? Yes -3 -$1 88¢ $-3 -$2 04-30 11:26
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +200 $7 1¢ $3 -$4 10-15 11:27
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -71 -$3 4¢ $-3 +$0 05-13 18:44
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? Yes -53 -$13 4¢ $-2 +$10 07-27 16:34
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -20 -$2 12¢ $-2 -$1 05-04 11:05
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -24 -$1 9¢ $-2 -$1 04-28 17:46
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes -2 -$2 98¢ $-2 $0 10-22 12:40
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -818 -$5 0¢ $-2 +$3 07-21 18:19
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -14 -$1 15¢ $-2 -$1 05-04 18:53
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -125 -$1 2¢ $-2 $0 05-04 18:52
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -10 -$3 18¢ $-2 +$1 04-28 20:00
will wti dip to 75 in october 2026 Yes +240 $16 1¢ $2 -$14 10-19 13:57
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -12 -$2 14¢ $-2 +$0 07-09 15:06
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026? Yes -11 -$1 14¢ $-2 $0 08-03 16:43
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes -48 -$2 3¢ $-2 +$0 10-23 17:32
Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027? Yes -14 -$1 11¢ $-2 -$1 07-07 12:24
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes -28 -$3 6¢ $-2 +$2 05-04 19:10
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October? Yes +175 $7 1¢ $1 -$6 10-22 12:40