Realized P&L
+$2.37K
Unrealized P&L
-$105
Hit rate
64.6%
Resolved
218
Trades
13,259
lifetime
Volume
$52.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$822
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-20
last 06-13 03:03
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 19 days
Categories
Other
59% 32% +$1,085
Politics
24% 27% +$1,300
Crypto
14%
Tech
3%
Sports
0% 0% $-16
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 1085 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes +2,267 $235 $147 $-88 06-11 22:06
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June? Yes +438 $84 20¢ $86 +$1 06-12 23:46
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,850 (HIGH) in June? Yes +983 $92 $80 $-12 06-12 23:39
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in June? Yes +2,119 $128 $78 $-50 06-12 23:42
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +198 $66 38¢ $75 +$10 06-13 11:35
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes -365 $-61 16¢ $-60 +$1 06-13 11:17
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes -210 $-72 21¢ $-44 +$27 06-13 11:16
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? Yes +340 $22 10¢ $33 +$10 06-12 11:23
Will any AI model reach 1530 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026? Yes -35 $-55 66¢ $-23 +$32 06-10 12:00
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? Yes -26 $-7 86¢ $-22 $-16 06-08 05:25
Will any AI model reach 1540 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026? Yes +160 $23 13¢ $21 $-2 06-09 20:19
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? Yes +880 $29 $19 $-9 06-11 22:05
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? Yes +147 $21 13¢ $19 $-1 06-12 23:33
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June? Yes -330 $-51 $-18 +$32 06-11 03:25
Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026? Yes +261 $28 $17 $-11 06-12 15:23
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +30 $14 42¢ $13 $-1 06-12 11:29
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30? Yes -130 $-8 $-8 $-1 06-11 00:45
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30? Yes +770 $19 $8 $-11 06-11 20:02
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December? Yes -50 $-9 16¢ $-8 +$1 06-03 23:09
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June? Yes +620 $10 $7 $-2 06-10 23:35
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes +16 $7 38¢ $6 $-1 06-11 22:39
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026? Yes +159 $5 $4 $-1 06-11 23:09
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June? No +5 $1 80¢ $4 +$3 06-05 14:02
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of June? Yes +549 $14 $4 $-10 06-04 20:57
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? Yes -11 $-5 36¢ $-4 +$1 06-08 17:30
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? Yes -20 $-15 18¢ $-3 +$11 06-12 13:08
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June? Yes +75 $2 $2 +$0 06-10 14:30
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June? Yes +205 $15 $2 $-13 06-04 18:58
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of June? Yes +185 $7 $2 $-5 06-10 14:28
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $2 39¢ $2 $-0 06-08 16:54