Scientific-Impala 0x07d126…3e8ffa
bot hot 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$2.37K
Unrealized P&L
-$65
Hit rate
64.6%
Resolved
218
Trades
14,670
lifetime
Volume
$57.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$227
23 positions
First seen
2026-03-20
last 07-03 16:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 19 days
Categories
Other
62% 32% +$1,085
Politics
23% 27% +$1,300
Crypto
13% — —
Tech
2% — —
Sports
0% 0% $-16
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 650 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +510 $152 16¢ $84 $-68 06-29 21:54
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes -365 $-61 12¢ $-46 +$15 06-13 11:17
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? Yes -26 $-7 80¢ $-21 $-14 06-08 05:25
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? Yes +177 $24 12¢ $20 $-3 06-23 19:09
Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes +25 $12 48¢ $12 $-0 07-03 14:20
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +25 $5 30¢ $7 +$3 06-21 10:29
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December? Yes -50 $-9 11¢ $-6 +$3 06-22 19:44
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? Yes -11 $-5 42¢ $-4 +$0 06-08 17:30
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $6 38¢ $4 $-2 06-20 14:36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +15 $7 24¢ $4 $-3 06-25 14:09
Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026? Yes -30 $-3 9¢ $-3 +$0 06-20 14:46
Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $2 12¢ $2 +$0 07-03 14:20
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? Yes -17 $-5 13¢ $-2 +$2 06-24 10:51
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? Yes -7 $-4 30¢ $-2 +$1 06-20 14:32
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? Yes -8 $-4 26¢ $-2 +$2 06-22 09:01
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? Yes -17 $-7 9¢ $-1 +$6 06-20 14:32
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? Yes -5 $-1 26¢ $-1 $-0 06-20 14:37
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay Yes -10 $-2 14¢ $-1 +$0 06-20 21:10
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July? Yes -18 $-2 7¢ $-1 +$1 06-07 07:01
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $9,300 (HIGH) in December? Yes +18 $1 5¢ $1 $-0 06-23 09:10
Will Plasma reach $2.20 by December 31, 2026? Yes -20 $-1 3¢ $-1 +$0 05-28 16:27
Will Dogecoin reach $0.52 by December 31, 2026? Yes -6 $-1 5¢ $-0 +$1 05-29 15:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +120 $10 0¢ $0 $-9 06-26 15:16