Scientific-Impala 0x07d126…3e8ffa
bot hot 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$2.37K
Unrealized P&L
+$13
Hit rate
64.6%
Resolved
218
Trades
15,020
lifetime
Volume
$58.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$435
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-20
last 07-23 17:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 19 days
Categories
Other
62% 32% +$1,085
Politics
22% 27% +$1,300
Crypto
13% — —
Tech
2% — —
Sports
0% 0% $-16
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 603 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes +523 $114 23¢ $119 +$5 07-20 16:39
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes +222 $-3 40¢ $90 +$92 07-20 13:59
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +520 $154 14¢ $70 $-84 07-09 15:03
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes -365 $-61 14¢ $-49 +$12 06-13 11:17
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? Yes -26 $-7 87¢ $-23 $-16 06-08 05:25
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? Yes +194 $25 6¢ $13 $-12 07-13 21:00
Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026? Yes -30 $-3 39¢ $-12 $-9 06-20 14:46
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? Yes -11 $-5 68¢ $-7 $-3 06-08 17:30
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +25 $5 22¢ $6 +$1 06-21 10:29
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December? Yes -50 $-9 11¢ $-6 +$3 06-22 19:44
Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes -18 $-3 29¢ $-5 $-3 07-09 15:11
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? Yes -7 $-4 61¢ $-4 $-1 06-20 14:32
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? Yes -17 $-7 25¢ $-4 +$3 06-20 14:32
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31? Yes -20 $-3 18¢ $-4 $-0 07-09 15:10
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -12 $-2 28¢ $-3 $-1 07-09 15:06
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31? Yes -27 $-3 11¢ $-3 $-0 07-09 15:10
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? Yes -8 $-4 36¢ $-3 +$1 06-22 09:01
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes -6 $-2 30¢ $-2 $-0 07-09 15:11
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? Yes -17 $-5 11¢ $-2 +$3 06-24 10:51
Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes +2 $-19 83¢ $2 +$21 07-14 14:22
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1700 by December 31? Yes -45 $-2 3¢ $-1 +$0 07-09 15:10
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay Yes -10 $-2 12¢ $-1 +$0 06-20 21:10
Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child? Yes -20 $-1 6¢ $-1 $-0 07-23 16:17
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026? Yes -12 $-1 8¢ $-1 $-0 07-23 16:17
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $9,300 (HIGH) in December? Yes +18 $1 5¢ $1 $-0 06-23 09:10
Will Plasma reach $2.20 by December 31, 2026? Yes -20 $-1 4¢ $-1 +$0 05-28 16:27
Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027? Yes -14 $-1 6¢ $-1 +$0 07-07 12:24
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? Yes -5 $-1 16¢ $-1 +$0 06-20 14:37
Will Dogecoin dip to $0.02 by December 31, 2026? Yes -6 $-1 10¢ $-1 +$1 07-09 23:27
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31? Yes -6 $-1 8¢ $-0 +$0 07-09 15:10