Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December?
open
Total volume
$5,067
$50 in 24h
Trades
195
Unique wallets
61
Liquidity
$947
Latest YES mid
12¢
Latest NO mid
88¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-02 17:53
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-4.2¢
(top1%: 16% YES on $94
vs crowd: 20% YES on $4.2K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 6 | $134 | $253 | $119 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 15 | $304 | $1.3K | $1.0K |
| 🐟 Fish | 23 | $197 | $1.6K | $1.4K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 17 | $204 | $122 | +$81 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $15 | $79 | $64 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $206 | — | +$206 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $44 | $100 | $56 |
| Median | 5 | $13 | $457 | $444 |
| Below median | 9 | $4 | $514 | $511 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $8 | $100 | $92 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 10 | $15 | $949 | $934 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $375 | $85 | +$290 |
| unranked | 18 | $159 | $1.1K | $896 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stable-Conversation 0xc399…53ab | Yes | +1,411 | $267 | $267 | 3 | 06-30 23:39 |
| lexswitz 0x460a…e696 | No | +503 | $395 | $907 | 6 | 06-30 23:39 |
| Astonishing-Radio 0xc752…62e1 | No | +500 | $400 | $400 | 3 | 06-24 12:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xba57…5513 | No | +469 | $400 | $400 | 1 | 06-06 16:56 |
| Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | Yes | +453 | $109 | $109 | 2 | 06-05 23:46 |
| Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | +371 | $313 | $539 | 10 | 07-02 09:14 |
| Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | +315 | $48 | $48 | 20 | 07-02 17:53 |
| Hasty-Saucer 0xe60f…f4b4 | No | +304 | $227 | $227 | 4 | 06-19 08:47 |
| Worldly-Dump 0xc18b…3917 | Yes | +283 | $41 | $193 | 13 | 07-01 04:52 |
| Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | No | +260 | $213 | $213 | 17 | 07-01 04:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xe3af…c5f4 | Yes | +221 | $56 | $124 | 9 | 06-23 21:34 |
| Active-Loft 0x0a24…f55d | Yes | +212 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 06-29 19:32 |
| Experienced-Carpeting 0xbdcb…e811 | No | +203 | $174 | $174 | 2 | 06-30 23:35 |
| (anonymous) 0xa8da…d488 | Yes | +200 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 06-23 09:01 |
| Suburban-Ecliptic 0x476c…ce52 | Yes | +141 | $25 | $25 | 3 | 06-16 08:52 |
| Tiny-Audit 0xac38…c565 | Yes | +136 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 05-30 15:59 |
| Proud-Homework 0x9e45…3662 | No | +114 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 07-02 17:53 |
| Jaded-Mail 0xa696…1d24 | No | +113 | $102 | $102 | 1 | 06-24 19:37 |
| Writhing-Talk 0xd32f…8387 | No | +100 | $85 | $85 | 2 | 06-06 07:18 |
| Meaty-Rubric 0x9e9a…a9a8 | No | +100 | $85 | $85 | 1 | 06-29 19:32 |
| Previous-Seafood 0xf9ac…806e | No | +100 | $83 | $83 | 2 | 06-22 19:45 |
| Those-Supervision 0x074f…6abf | No | +50 | $37 | $37 | 1 | 05-31 01:08 |
| Concerned-Wing 0x5874…05f7 | No | +40 | $33 | $33 | 4 | 06-30 23:39 |
| Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | No | +37 | $31 | $127 | 3 | 06-01 13:26 |
| Advanced-Airmail 0x94d7…868b | No | +28 | $23 | $23 | 2 | 07-01 16:19 |
| Elegant-Guacamole 0x7dd1…a7f6 | No | +20 | $17 | $17 | 2 | 06-20 16:19 |
| Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | +20 | $16 | $16 | 2 | 07-01 04:52 |
| Safe-Corruption 0x3e57…84a5 | No | +20 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 07-01 20:54 |
| Big-Hearted-Shaker 0xe5c2…2b81 | No | +20 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 07-01 10:53 |
| Agreeable-Courthouse 0x5678…e468 | No | +16 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 06-19 17:49 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +16 | $-1 | $32 | 3 | 06-05 16:10 |
| Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | +13 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-24 19:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x962b…ab02 | Yes | +12 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-25 07:55 |
| Lopsided-Strength 0xdac1…7249 | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-09 19:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | +6 | $1 | $2 | 2 | 07-02 00:28 |
| Whole-Pineapple 0x4534…323e | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-28 10:10 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-02 17:53:19 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | SELL | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0xf925d8… |
| 07-02 17:53:19 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 30 | 88¢ | $26 | 0xf925d8… |
| 07-02 17:53:19 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | SELL | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0xf925d8… |
| 07-02 17:53:19 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 4 | 11¢ | $0 | 0xf925d8… |
| 07-02 17:53:19 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0xf925d8… |
| 07-02 17:53:19 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0xf925d8… |
| 07-02 17:53:19 | Proud-Homework 0x9e45…3662 | No | BUY | 114 | 87¢ | $100 | 0xf925d8… |
| 07-02 09:14:07 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | BUY | 20 | 86¢ | $18 | 0xe489d5… |
| 07-02 09:14:07 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 6 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xe489d5… |
| 07-02 04:07:41 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 40 | 85¢ | $34 | 0xa6fa69… |
| 07-02 04:07:41 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | BUY | 30 | 85¢ | $25 | 0xa6fa69… |
| 07-02 04:07:41 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 15¢ | $2 | 0xa6fa69… |
| 07-02 00:28:37 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | SELL | 6 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xa10e4d… |
| 07-02 00:28:37 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 6 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xa10e4d… |
| 07-02 00:26:52 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | BUY | 56 | 85¢ | $48 | 0x1f1332… |
| 07-02 00:26:52 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 20 | 15¢ | $3 | 0x1f1332… |
| 07-02 00:26:52 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 15¢ | $4 | 0x1f1332… |
| 07-02 00:26:52 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | BUY | 11 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x1f1332… |
| 07-01 20:54:55 | Safe-Corruption 0x3e57…84a5 | No | BUY | 20 | 81¢ | $16 | 0x6bb98c… |
| 07-01 20:54:55 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 20 | 19¢ | $4 | 0x6bb98c… |
| 07-01 16:19:14 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | No | SELL | 8 | 80¢ | $6 | 0x5d11f7… |
| 07-01 16:19:14 | Advanced-Airmail 0x94d7…868b | No | BUY | 8 | 80¢ | $6 | 0x5d11f7… |
| 07-01 10:53:32 | Big-Hearted-Shaker 0xe5c2…2b81 | No | BUY | 20 | 83¢ | $17 | 0xb53cdf… |
| 07-01 10:53:32 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 20 | 17¢ | $3 | 0xb53cdf… |
| 07-01 04:52:46 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | SELL | 80 | 20¢ | $16 | 0x0cb9ee… |
| 07-01 04:52:46 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | No | BUY | 20 | 79¢ | $16 | 0x0cb9ee… |
| 07-01 04:52:46 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | No | BUY | 8 | 80¢ | $6 | 0x0cb9ee… |
| 07-01 04:52:46 | Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | BUY | 10 | 79¢ | $8 | 0x0cb9ee… |
| 07-01 04:52:46 | Worldly-Dump 0xc18b…3917 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 22¢ | $4 | 0x0cb9ee… |
| 07-01 04:52:46 | (anonymous) 0xf385…aa41 | No | SELL | 165 | 80¢ | $132 | 0x0cb9ee… |
| 06-30 23:39:41 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0x321aa4… |
| 06-30 23:39:41 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 40 | 82¢ | $33 | 0x321aa4… |
| 06-30 23:39:41 | Stable-Conversation 0xc399…53ab | Yes | BUY | 824 | 19¢ | $153 | 0x321aa4… |
| 06-30 23:39:41 | Concerned-Wing 0x5874…05f7 | No | BUY | 10 | 83¢ | $8 | 0x321aa4… |
| 06-30 23:39:41 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0x321aa4… |
| 06-30 23:39:41 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 82¢ | $4 | 0x321aa4… |
| 06-30 23:39:41 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | No | BUY | 20 | 81¢ | $16 | 0x321aa4… |
| 06-30 23:39:41 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 82¢ | $4 | 0x321aa4… |
| 06-30 23:39:41 | lexswitz 0x460a…e696 | No | BUY | 500 | 81¢ | $405 | 0x321aa4… |
| 06-30 23:35:07 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 20 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x625004… |
| 06-30 23:35:07 | Experienced-Carpeting 0xbdcb…e811 | No | BUY | 20 | 87¢ | $17 | 0x625004… |
| 06-29 19:32:35 | Meaty-Rubric 0x9e9a…a9a8 | No | BUY | 100 | 85¢ | $85 | 0x3ef5f8… |
| 06-29 19:32:35 | lexswitz 0x460a…e696 | No | BUY | 106 | 82¢ | $87 | 0x3ef5f8… |
| 06-29 19:32:35 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x3ef5f8… |
| 06-29 19:32:35 | Active-Loft 0x0a24…f55d | Yes | BUY | 212 | 16¢ | $35 | 0x3ef5f8… |
| 06-28 15:07:47 | (anonymous) 0xd706…fac2 | No | SELL | 6 | 85¢ | $5 | 0x34e5a9… |
| 06-28 15:07:47 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x34e5a9… |
| 06-25 23:13:04 | Considerate-Commandment 0xdd3b…9f3a | Yes | SELL | 35 | 12¢ | $4 | 0x64f836… |
| 06-25 23:13:04 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 35 | 88¢ | $31 | 0x64f836… |
| 06-25 07:55:44 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x806048… |
| 06-25 07:55:44 | (anonymous) 0x962b…ab02 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x806048… |
| 06-24 19:37:49 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0xbf1496… |
| 06-24 19:37:49 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0xbf1496… |
| 06-24 19:37:49 | Considerate-Commandment 0xdd3b…9f3a | Yes | BUY | 35 | 10¢ | $4 | 0xbf1496… |
| 06-24 19:37:49 | Jaded-Mail 0xa696…1d24 | No | BUY | 113 | 90¢ | $102 | 0xbf1496… |
| 06-24 19:37:49 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | SELL | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0xbf1496… |
| 06-24 19:37:49 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xbf1496… |
| 06-24 19:37:49 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xbf1496… |
| 06-24 19:37:49 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | BUY | 13 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xbf1496… |
| 06-24 12:18:19 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 82¢ | $4 | 0x4f7f5f… |
| 06-24 12:18:19 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 82¢ | $4 | 0x4f7f5f… |
| 06-24 12:18:19 | (anonymous) 0x59b3…a039 | Yes | SELL | 60 | 19¢ | $11 | 0x4f7f5f… |
| 06-24 12:18:19 | (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 16¢ | $3 | 0x4f7f5f… |
| 06-24 12:18:19 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | No | BUY | 20 | 81¢ | $16 | 0x4f7f5f… |
| 06-24 12:18:19 | Astonishing-Radio 0xc752…62e1 | No | BUY | 347 | 80¢ | $278 | 0x4f7f5f… |
| 06-24 12:18:19 | Stable-Conversation 0xc399…53ab | Yes | BUY | 508 | 19¢ | $99 | 0x4f7f5f… |
| 06-24 12:18:19 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | SELL | 10 | 20¢ | $2 | 0x4f7f5f… |
| 06-24 12:18:19 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 20 | 82¢ | $16 | 0x4f7f5f… |
| 06-23 21:34:44 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0xe36f39… |
| 06-23 21:34:44 | (anonymous) 0xe3af…c5f4 | Yes | SELL | 300 | 11¢ | $34 | 0xe36f39… |
| 06-23 21:34:44 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 20 | 15¢ | $3 | 0xe36f39… |
| 06-23 21:34:44 | Scholarly-Dock 0x3e6a…e86d | No | SELL | 110 | 88¢ | $97 | 0xe36f39… |
| 06-23 21:34:44 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | SELL | 10 | 86¢ | $9 | 0xe36f39… |
| 06-23 21:34:44 | (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xe36f39… |
| 06-23 21:34:44 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | SELL | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0xe36f39… |
| 06-23 21:34:44 | (anonymous) 0x59b3…a039 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 9¢ | $5 | 0xe36f39… |
| 06-23 21:34:44 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xe36f39… |
| 06-23 09:08:53 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | No | BUY | 20 | 81¢ | $16 | 0x416ead… |
| 06-23 09:08:53 | Stable-Conversation 0xc399…53ab | Yes | BUY | 79 | 19¢ | $15 | 0x416ead… |
| 06-23 09:08:53 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | BUY | 49 | 81¢ | $40 | 0x416ead… |
| 06-23 09:08:53 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 82¢ | $4 | 0x416ead… |
| 06-23 09:08:53 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0x416ead… |
| 06-23 09:01:16 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | BUY | 230 | 86¢ | $197 | 0xaa9626… |
| 06-23 09:01:16 | (anonymous) 0xa8da…d488 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 14¢ | $28 | 0xaa9626… |
| 06-23 09:01:16 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | SELL | 10 | 85¢ | $8 | 0xaa9626… |
| 06-23 09:01:16 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 20 | 15¢ | $3 | 0xaa9626… |
| 06-23 08:59:53 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 20 | 16¢ | $3 | 0xf55246… |
| 06-23 08:59:53 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | BUY | 20 | 84¢ | $17 | 0xf55246… |
| 06-22 20:35:31 | Astonishing-Radio 0xc752…62e1 | No | BUY | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0xfe2fd9… |
| 06-22 20:35:31 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | BUY | 10 | 81¢ | $8 | 0xfe2fd9… |
| 06-22 20:35:31 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | No | BUY | 20 | 81¢ | $16 | 0xfe2fd9… |
| 06-22 20:35:31 | (anonymous) 0xe3af…c5f4 | Yes | BUY | 42 | 19¢ | $8 | 0xfe2fd9… |
| 06-22 20:35:31 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 10 | 81¢ | $8 | 0xfe2fd9… |
| 06-22 19:46:56 | (anonymous) 0xe3af…c5f4 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 18¢ | $3 | 0x96685c… |
| 06-22 19:46:56 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | No | BUY | 17 | 82¢ | $14 | 0x96685c… |
| 06-22 19:46:29 | (anonymous) 0xe3af…c5f4 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 18¢ | $5 | 0x181758… |
| 06-22 19:46:29 | Worldly-Dump 0xc18b…3917 | Yes | SELL | 26 | 18¢ | $5 | 0x181758… |
| 06-22 19:46:29 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | No | BUY | 2 | 82¢ | $1 | 0x181758… |
| 06-22 19:45:52 | Worldly-Dump 0xc18b…3917 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x2933bb… |
| 06-22 19:45:52 | Previous-Seafood 0xf9ac…806e | No | BUY | 54 | 83¢ | $45 | 0x2933bb… |