Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December?
open
Total volume
$11,433
$50 in 24h
Trades
252
Unique wallets
68
Liquidity
$947
Latest YES mid
12¢
Latest NO mid
88¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-22 08:00
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+4.6¢
(top1%: 20% YES on $99
vs crowd: 15% YES on $10.2K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 10 | $138 | $4.8K | $4.7K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 15 | $969 | $1.5K | $555 |
| 🐟 Fish | 28 | $228 | $2.2K | $1.9K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 15 | $228 | $103 | +$125 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 4 | $20 | $79 | $59 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 7 | $235 | $4.6K | $4.3K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $47 | $100 | $53 |
| Median | 8 | $13 | $528 | $515 |
| Below median | 9 | $4 | $514 | $511 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $10 | $100 | $90 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 11 | $939 | $1.3K | $392 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $109 | $85 | +$24 |
| unranked | 18 | $185 | $1.3K | $1.1K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stable-Conversation 0xc399…53ab | Yes | +6,476 | $924 | $924 | 4 | 07-21 18:28 |
| Worn-Tanker 0xc97b…47e5 | No | +5,000 | $4,350 | $4,350 | 2 | 07-21 18:28 |
| lexswitz 0x460a…e696 | No | +678 | $556 | $1,068 | 7 | 07-17 18:13 |
| Active-Loft 0x0a24…f55d | Yes | +512 | $59 | $59 | 3 | 07-19 13:15 |
| Astonishing-Radio 0xc752…62e1 | No | +500 | $400 | $400 | 3 | 06-24 12:18 |
| Hasty-Saucer 0xe60f…f4b4 | No | +488 | $392 | $392 | 7 | 07-07 22:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xba57…5513 | No | +469 | $400 | $400 | 1 | 06-06 16:56 |
| Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | Yes | +453 | $109 | $109 | 2 | 06-05 23:46 |
| Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | +411 | $57 | $57 | 25 | 07-22 08:00 |
| Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | No | +400 | $335 | $335 | 24 | 07-21 22:50 |
| Jaded-Mail 0xa696…1d24 | No | +330 | $302 | $302 | 2 | 07-19 13:15 |
| Worldly-Dump 0xc18b…3917 | Yes | +283 | $41 | $193 | 13 | 07-01 04:52 |
| Corrupt-Lark 0x74b4…6bea | No | +228 | $205 | $205 | 3 | 07-20 15:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xe3af…c5f4 | Yes | +221 | $56 | $124 | 9 | 06-23 21:34 |
| Experienced-Carpeting 0xbdcb…e811 | No | +203 | $174 | $174 | 2 | 06-30 23:35 |
| (anonymous) 0xa8da…d488 | Yes | +200 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 06-23 09:01 |
| Suburban-Ecliptic 0x476c…ce52 | Yes | +181 | $30 | $30 | 4 | 07-09 21:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xc7fb…8eb0 | Yes | +120 | $16 | $16 | 3 | 07-22 08:00 |
| Proud-Homework 0x9e45…3662 | No | +114 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 07-02 17:53 |
| Writhing-Talk 0xd32f…8387 | No | +100 | $85 | $85 | 2 | 06-06 07:18 |
| Meaty-Rubric 0x9e9a…a9a8 | No | +100 | $85 | $85 | 1 | 06-29 19:32 |
| Previous-Seafood 0xf9ac…806e | No | +100 | $83 | $83 | 2 | 06-22 19:45 |
| Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | +90 | $60 | $792 | 16 | 07-20 15:30 |
| Those-Supervision 0x074f…6abf | No | +50 | $37 | $37 | 1 | 05-31 01:08 |
| Concerned-Wing 0x5874…05f7 | No | +40 | $33 | $33 | 4 | 06-30 23:39 |
| Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | +40 | $33 | $33 | 5 | 07-12 10:18 |
| Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | No | +37 | $31 | $127 | 3 | 06-01 13:26 |
| Tiny-Audit 0xac38…c565 | Yes | +36 | $16 | $42 | 2 | 07-22 08:00 |
| Advanced-Airmail 0x94d7…868b | No | +28 | $23 | $23 | 2 | 07-01 16:19 |
| Safe-Corruption 0x3e57…84a5 | No | +20 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 07-01 20:54 |
| Elegant-Guacamole 0x7dd1…a7f6 | No | +20 | $17 | $17 | 2 | 06-20 16:19 |
| Big-Hearted-Shaker 0xe5c2…2b81 | No | +20 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 07-01 10:53 |
| Agreeable-Courthouse 0x5678…e468 | No | +16 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 06-19 17:49 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +16 | $-1 | $32 | 3 | 06-05 16:10 |
| Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | +13 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-24 19:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x962b…ab02 | Yes | +12 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-25 07:55 |
| Lopsided-Strength 0xdac1…7249 | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-09 19:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | +6 | $1 | $2 | 2 | 07-02 00:28 |
| Whole-Pineapple 0x4534…323e | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-28 10:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | +5 | $3 | $47 | 9 | 07-21 18:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | +5 | $4 | $22 | 5 | 07-21 18:28 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +1 | $-1 | $7 | 3 | 07-17 10:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x5aa1…37eb | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-17 10:17 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-22 08:00:52 | Tiny-Audit 0xac38…c565 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 13¢ | $13 | 0x09a730… |
| 07-22 08:00:52 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 20 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x09a730… |
| 07-22 08:00:52 | (anonymous) 0xc7fb…8eb0 | Yes | BUY | 80 | 13¢ | $10 | 0x09a730… |
| 07-21 22:50:52 | (anonymous) 0xc7fb…8eb0 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 14¢ | $3 | 0xe629b5… |
| 07-21 22:50:52 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | No | BUY | 20 | 86¢ | $17 | 0xe629b5… |
| 07-21 22:41:58 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | No | BUY | 20 | 87¢ | $17 | 0xee0a73… |
| 07-21 22:41:58 | (anonymous) 0xc7fb…8eb0 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 13¢ | $3 | 0xee0a73… |
| 07-21 18:28:46 | Worn-Tanker 0xc97b…47e5 | No | BUY | 4,995 | 87¢ | $4,346 | 0xa06059… |
| 07-21 18:28:46 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0xa06059… |
| 07-21 18:28:46 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0xa06059… |
| 07-21 18:28:46 | Stable-Conversation 0xc399…53ab | Yes | BUY | 5,065 | 13¢ | $658 | 0xa06059… |
| 07-21 18:28:46 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | No | BUY | 20 | 87¢ | $17 | 0xa06059… |
| 07-20 15:30:48 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 22 | 91¢ | $20 | 0x99861c… |
| 07-20 15:30:48 | Corrupt-Lark 0x74b4…6bea | No | BUY | 22 | 91¢ | $20 | 0x99861c… |
| 07-19 13:15:55 | Jaded-Mail 0xa696…1d24 | No | BUY | 217 | 92¢ | $200 | 0x0bf386… |
| 07-19 13:15:55 | Active-Loft 0x0a24…f55d | Yes | BUY | 125 | 8¢ | $10 | 0x0bf386… |
| 07-19 13:15:55 | (anonymous) 0x9cc9…e95d | No | SELL | 72 | 93¢ | $67 | 0x0bf386… |
| 07-19 13:15:55 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x0bf386… |
| 07-17 18:13:03 | lexswitz 0x460a…e696 | No | BUY | 175 | 92¢ | $161 | 0x1eed4a… |
| 07-17 18:13:03 | Active-Loft 0x0a24…f55d | Yes | BUY | 175 | 8¢ | $14 | 0x1eed4a… |
| 07-17 10:17:49 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x1b99ed… |
| 07-17 10:17:49 | (anonymous) 0x5aa1…37eb | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x1b99ed… |
| 07-17 10:17:46 | Corrupt-Lark 0x74b4…6bea | No | BUY | 132 | 91¢ | $120 | 0xa7091c… |
| 07-17 10:17:46 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 112 | 91¢ | $102 | 0xa7091c… |
| 07-17 10:17:46 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xa7091c… |
| 07-15 13:31:40 | Growling-Styling 0xdf37…8b49 | No | SELL | 74 | 88¢ | $65 | 0xc2206d… |
| 07-15 13:31:40 | Corrupt-Lark 0x74b4…6bea | No | BUY | 74 | 88¢ | $65 | 0xc2206d… |
| 07-15 08:25:34 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0x37c21c… |
| 07-15 08:25:34 | Worn-Tanker 0xc97b…47e5 | No | BUY | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0x37c21c… |
| 07-12 10:18:07 | Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | BUY | 10 | 86¢ | $9 | 0x15ee23… |
| 07-12 10:18:07 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 10 | 86¢ | $9 | 0x15ee23… |
| 07-12 07:25:32 | Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | BUY | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x2cfc3e… |
| 07-12 07:25:32 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x2cfc3e… |
| 07-11 13:00:56 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | SELL | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x4ab570… |
| 07-11 13:00:56 | Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | BUY | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x4ab570… |
| 07-09 21:39:55 | Suburban-Ecliptic 0x476c…ce52 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 13¢ | $5 | 0x9dbab3… |
| 07-09 21:39:55 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 10 | 87¢ | $9 | 0x9dbab3… |
| 07-09 21:39:55 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x9dbab3… |
| 07-09 21:39:55 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0x9dbab3… |
| 07-09 14:34:53 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0xfc074f… |
| 07-09 14:34:53 | Greedy-Neighbourhood 0x6ffd…a637 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 12¢ | $5 | 0xfc074f… |
| 07-09 14:34:53 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0xfc074f… |
| 07-09 14:34:53 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 12¢ | $4 | 0xfc074f… |
| 07-07 22:31:26 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x636d1f… |
| 07-07 22:31:26 | Hasty-Saucer 0xe60f…f4b4 | No | BUY | 55 | 90¢ | $50 | 0x636d1f… |
| 07-07 22:31:26 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 10¢ | $3 | 0x636d1f… |
| 07-06 21:32:16 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 20 | 87¢ | $17 | 0x4b3fbb… |
| 07-06 21:32:16 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | No | BUY | 20 | 87¢ | $17 | 0x4b3fbb… |
| 07-06 21:32:04 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x0a2b70… |
| 07-06 21:32:04 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0x0a2b70… |
| 07-06 21:31:55 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 30 | 88¢ | $26 | 0xf01c00… |
| 07-06 21:31:55 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xf01c00… |
| 07-06 21:31:55 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | No | BUY | 20 | 88¢ | $18 | 0xf01c00… |
| 07-04 09:53:34 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 93 | 90¢ | $83 | 0xce9ae2… |
| 07-04 09:53:34 | Hasty-Saucer 0xe60f…f4b4 | No | BUY | 93 | 90¢ | $83 | 0xce9ae2… |
| 07-03 12:18:37 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x7f93a6… |
| 07-03 12:18:37 | Hasty-Saucer 0xe60f…f4b4 | No | BUY | 36 | 90¢ | $32 | 0x7f93a6… |
| 07-02 17:53:19 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 30 | 88¢ | $26 | 0xf925d8… |
| 07-02 17:53:19 | Proud-Homework 0x9e45…3662 | No | BUY | 114 | 87¢ | $100 | 0xf925d8… |
| 07-02 17:53:19 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 4 | 11¢ | $0 | 0xf925d8… |
| 07-02 17:53:19 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | SELL | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0xf925d8… |
| 07-02 17:53:19 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0xf925d8… |
| 07-02 17:53:19 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0xf925d8… |
| 07-02 17:53:19 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | SELL | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0xf925d8… |
| 07-02 09:14:07 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | BUY | 20 | 86¢ | $18 | 0xe489d5… |
| 07-02 09:14:07 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 6 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xe489d5… |
| 07-02 04:07:41 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | BUY | 30 | 85¢ | $25 | 0xa6fa69… |
| 07-02 04:07:41 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 15¢ | $2 | 0xa6fa69… |
| 07-02 04:07:41 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 40 | 85¢ | $34 | 0xa6fa69… |
| 07-02 00:28:37 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 6 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xa10e4d… |
| 07-02 00:28:37 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | SELL | 6 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xa10e4d… |
| 07-02 00:26:52 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 15¢ | $4 | 0x1f1332… |
| 07-02 00:26:52 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 20 | 15¢ | $3 | 0x1f1332… |
| 07-02 00:26:52 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | BUY | 11 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x1f1332… |
| 07-02 00:26:52 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | BUY | 56 | 85¢ | $48 | 0x1f1332… |
| 07-01 20:54:55 | Safe-Corruption 0x3e57…84a5 | No | BUY | 20 | 81¢ | $16 | 0x6bb98c… |
| 07-01 20:54:55 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 20 | 19¢ | $4 | 0x6bb98c… |
| 07-01 16:19:14 | Advanced-Airmail 0x94d7…868b | No | BUY | 8 | 80¢ | $6 | 0x5d11f7… |
| 07-01 16:19:14 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | No | SELL | 8 | 80¢ | $6 | 0x5d11f7… |
| 07-01 10:53:32 | Big-Hearted-Shaker 0xe5c2…2b81 | No | BUY | 20 | 83¢ | $17 | 0xb53cdf… |
| 07-01 10:53:32 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 20 | 17¢ | $3 | 0xb53cdf… |
| 07-01 04:52:46 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | No | BUY | 8 | 80¢ | $6 | 0x0cb9ee… |
| 07-01 04:52:46 | Worldly-Dump 0xc18b…3917 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 22¢ | $4 | 0x0cb9ee… |
| 07-01 04:52:46 | (anonymous) 0xf385…aa41 | No | SELL | 165 | 80¢ | $132 | 0x0cb9ee… |
| 07-01 04:52:46 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | SELL | 80 | 20¢ | $16 | 0x0cb9ee… |
| 07-01 04:52:46 | Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | BUY | 10 | 79¢ | $8 | 0x0cb9ee… |
| 07-01 04:52:46 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | No | BUY | 20 | 79¢ | $16 | 0x0cb9ee… |
| 06-30 23:39:41 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 40 | 82¢ | $33 | 0x321aa4… |
| 06-30 23:39:41 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | No | BUY | 20 | 81¢ | $16 | 0x321aa4… |
| 06-30 23:39:41 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0x321aa4… |
| 06-30 23:39:41 | lexswitz 0x460a…e696 | No | BUY | 500 | 81¢ | $405 | 0x321aa4… |
| 06-30 23:39:41 | Stable-Conversation 0xc399…53ab | Yes | BUY | 824 | 19¢ | $153 | 0x321aa4… |
| 06-30 23:39:41 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 82¢ | $4 | 0x321aa4… |
| 06-30 23:39:41 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 82¢ | $4 | 0x321aa4… |
| 06-30 23:39:41 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0x321aa4… |
| 06-30 23:39:41 | Concerned-Wing 0x5874…05f7 | No | BUY | 10 | 83¢ | $8 | 0x321aa4… |
| 06-30 23:35:07 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 20 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x625004… |
| 06-30 23:35:07 | Experienced-Carpeting 0xbdcb…e811 | No | BUY | 20 | 87¢ | $17 | 0x625004… |
| 06-29 19:32:35 | Active-Loft 0x0a24…f55d | Yes | BUY | 212 | 16¢ | $35 | 0x3ef5f8… |
| 06-29 19:32:35 | lexswitz 0x460a…e696 | No | BUY | 106 | 82¢ | $87 | 0x3ef5f8… |