Realized P&L
+$682
Unrealized P&L
+$13.3K
Hit rate
99.9%
Resolved
3
Trades
57,780
lifetime
Volume
$8.05M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$139
Open exposure
$1.00M
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-02
last 06-30 12:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
53%
50%
+$645
Other
42%
100%
+$37
Crypto
5%
—
—
Tech
0%
—
—
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
66 active days in 12wk
• peak 4760 trades/day
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | No | -151,799 | $-151,076 | 100¢ | $-151648 | $-571 | 06-14 04:34 | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | +159,071 | $148,996 | 95¢ | $150.7K | +$1,723 | 06-29 14:06 | |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? | No | -83,589 | $-83,173 | 100¢ | $-83505 | $-332 | 06-22 00:51 | |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? | No | +74,193 | $72,850 | 100¢ | $74.1K | +$1,269 | 06-29 16:00 | |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? | No | +62,075 | $61,098 | 100¢ | $62.0K | +$915 | 06-27 10:35 | |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? | No | +50,591 | $49,366 | 100¢ | $50.5K | +$1,175 | 06-29 19:38 | |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June? | No | -48,317 | $-48,905 | 100¢ | $-48269 | +$636 | 06-27 21:45 | |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? | No | +42,955 | $42,686 | 100¢ | $42.9K | +$204 | 06-24 14:41 | |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? | No | +38,989 | $37,424 | 100¢ | $39.0K | +$1,526 | 06-27 11:18 | |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? | No | +20,576 | $18,922 | 100¢ | $20.6K | +$1,634 | 06-29 00:52 | |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? | No | +19,957 | $19,701 | 100¢ | $19.9K | +$216 | 06-27 10:34 | |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June? | No | +19,944 | $19,611 | 100¢ | $19.9K | +$284 | 06-30 02:05 | |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? | No | -19,393 | $-19,464 | 100¢ | $-19354 | +$110 | 06-26 04:47 | |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June? | No | +17,220 | $16,949 | 100¢ | $17.2K | +$220 | 06-26 19:36 | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | No | +17,099 | $16,635 | 98¢ | $16.7K | +$71 | 06-30 15:33 | |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June? | No | +16,677 | $16,237 | 100¢ | $16.7K | +$423 | 06-27 00:21 | |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? | No | -16,000 | $-15,968 | 100¢ | $-15984 | $-16 | 06-24 23:56 | |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? | No | -15,153 | $-15,065 | 100¢ | $-15122 | $-58 | 06-13 15:32 | |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | No | +16,346 | $14,288 | 92¢ | $15.0K | +$668 | 06-29 06:42 | |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June? | No | +14,885 | $14,592 | 100¢ | $14.9K | +$279 | 06-20 22:19 | |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30? | No | +14,567 | $14,030 | 100¢ | $14.6K | +$523 | 06-11 07:17 | |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June? | No | -13,532 | $-13,478 | 100¢ | $-13518 | $-41 | 06-05 12:11 | |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June? | No | +13,341 | $13,214 | 100¢ | $13.3K | +$100 | 06-27 04:25 | |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June? | No | -13,123 | $-13,168 | 100¢ | $-13110 | +$58 | 06-24 17:08 | |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of June? | No | +11,943 | $11,719 | 100¢ | $11.9K | +$212 | 06-22 11:21 | |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June? | No | +11,878 | $11,006 | 100¢ | $11.9K | +$854 | 06-21 23:16 | |
| Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? | No | -10,000 | $-9,925 | 100¢ | $-9990 | $-65 | 06-11 12:12 | |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $52 by end of June? | No | -7,309 | $-7,262 | 100¢ | $-7302 | $-40 | 06-27 11:23 | |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? | No | -7,230 | $-8,527 | 100¢ | $-7223 | +$1,304 | 06-18 01:54 | |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June? | No | -6,000 | $-5,982 | 100¢ | $-5994 | $-12 | 06-09 11:43 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026 | 575 | $372.7K | 166,811 | 209,320 | -42,509 | open | — | 03-25 04:59 |
| will the us next strike iran on february 27 2026 et | 3,759 | $255.3K | 344,851 | 74,978 | +269,873 | open | — | 02-28 04:58 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | 97 | $228.3K | 116,148 | 120,745 | -4,597 | open | — | 03-11 18:21 |
| will the us next strike iran on february 20 2026 et | 2,216 | $216.1K | 200,902 | 87,826 | +113,076 | open | — | 02-21 03:31 |
| will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et | 3,112 | $202.4K | 238,219 | 162,374 | +75,845 | open | — | 02-28 07:52 |
| will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in june 2026 352 | 249 | $195.7K | 129,569 | 69,589 | +59,980 | open | — | 06-28 11:41 |
| will the us next strike iran on february 19 2026 et | 1,912 | $193.6K | 177,224 | 68,573 | +108,651 | open | — | 02-20 04:42 |
| us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519 | 13 | $192.1K | 192,900 | 0 | +192,900 | open | — | 04-01 09:00 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | 136 | $183.5K | 13,236 | 171,439 | -158,203 | open | — | 06-14 04:34 |
| will the us next strike iran on february 26 2026 et | 2,231 | $169.9K | 273,166 | 95,477 | +177,689 | open | — | 02-27 04:58 |
| will the us next strike iran on february 17 2026 et | 719 | $168.5K | 79,170 | 91,324 | -12,154 | open | — | 02-18 04:58 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June? | 207 | $164.7K | 58,968 | 107,285 | -48,317 | open | — | 06-27 21:45 |
| will the us next strike iran on february 24 2026 et | 1,497 | $164.6K | 176,289 | 47,605 | +128,684 | open | — | 02-25 04:57 |
| will the us next strike iran on february 25 2026 et | 1,364 | $160.3K | 153,009 | 35,112 | +117,897 | open | — | 02-25 22:25 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? | 117 | $153.0K | 75,156 | 80,514 | -5,358 | open | — | 06-18 01:54 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | 331 | $149.0K | 159,071 | 0 | +159,071 | open | — | 06-29 14:06 |
| will the us next strike iran on february 18 2026 et | 1,516 | $140.8K | 128,938 | 20,790 | +108,148 | open | — | 02-19 04:59 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? | 144 | $137.5K | 80,065 | 59,488 | +20,576 | open | — | 06-29 00:52 |
| will the us next strike iran on february 22 2026 et | 1,302 | $130.7K | 143,781 | 28,009 | +115,772 | open | — | 02-23 04:53 |
| us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368 | 958 | $129.1K | 160,823 | 61,646 | +99,177 | open | — | 02-27 02:34 |
| us strikes iran by february 27 2026 | 982 | $120.7K | 135,541 | 57,138 | +78,403 | open | — | 02-28 03:20 |
| will the us next strike iran on february 21 2026 et | 1,365 | $119.5K | 125,758 | 43,734 | +82,023 | open | — | 02-22 04:32 |
| will the us next strike iran on february 23 2026 et | 1,333 | $115.5K | 127,084 | 42,391 | +84,693 | open | — | 02-24 03:40 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | 30 | $112.8K | 58,341 | 58,341 | +0 | open | — | 04-25 14:30 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? | 98 | $108.3K | 12,750 | 96,338 | -83,589 | open | — | 06-22 00:51 |
| will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926 | 106 | $104.1K | 52,642 | 53,646 | -1,004 | open | — | 03-26 23:20 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? | 140 | $98.6K | 70,285 | 30,300 | +39,984 | open | — | 06-27 11:18 |
| will the iranian regime fall by march 31 | 134 | $89.8K | 46,683 | 46,683 | +0 | open | — | 03-27 19:27 |
| will the us next strike iran on march 1 2026 et | 2,132 | $85.9K | 96,263 | 13,551 | +82,712 | open | — | 02-28 07:42 |
| us x iran ceasefire by march 31 | 98 | $85.4K | 53,805 | 46,026 | +7,779 | open | — | 03-24 08:03 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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