Realized P&L
+$682
Unrealized P&L
+$10.7K
Hit rate
99.9%
Resolved
3
Trades
60,352
lifetime
Volume
$9.47M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$157
Open exposure
$813.5K
24 positions
First seen
2026-02-02
last 07-20 18:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
47% 100% +$37
Politics
45% 50% +$645
Crypto
8%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 4760 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +320,303 $302,601 96¢ $306.4K +$3,769 07-20 12:27
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +194,117 $186,346 98¢ $189.6K +$3,210 07-17 00:12
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? No +94,534 $85,507 92¢ $87.4K +$1,937 07-20 11:25
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +59,057 $54,678 94¢ $55.8K +$1,130 07-17 10:10
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No +34,430 $30,823 92¢ $31.5K +$680 07-20 00:16
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? No +30,160 $28,333 94¢ $28.5K +$168 07-19 22:21
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +30,000 $27,000 90¢ $26.9K $-150 07-13 18:50
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No +27,088 $26,444 99¢ $26.7K +$251 07-20 08:36
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +14,014 $12,472 86¢ $12.0K $-490 07-08 21:47
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No +9,291 $8,826 92¢ $8.6K $-241 07-15 14:36
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No +9,680 $7,937 82¢ $8.0K +$50 07-07 17:36
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? No +7,906 $7,280 94¢ $7.4K +$112 07-15 02:13
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? No +6,606 $6,176 96¢ $6.3K +$133 07-20 07:09
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December? No +5,000 $4,750 97¢ $4.8K +$98 07-11 18:31
US x China Military clash before 2027? No +5,070 $4,816 95¢ $4.8K +$8 07-20 16:18
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December? No +4,010 $3,048 74¢ $3.0K $-60 07-19 05:14
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? No +2,008 $1,988 99¢ $2.0K +$0 07-06 17:04
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? No +1,299 $1,221 95¢ $1.2K +$17 07-16 17:08
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December? No +767 $730 97¢ $745 +$15 07-03 20:34
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? No +762 $687 94¢ $720 +$33 07-20 12:57
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? No +712 $676 96¢ $684 +$7 07-06 07:32
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? No +432 $423 98¢ $425 +$2 07-01 11:56
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? Yes +531 $20 $12 $-8 07-04 01:27
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December? No +5 $4 92¢ $5 +$0 07-15 08:25