Realized P&L
+$682
Unrealized P&L
+$2.79K
Hit rate
99.9%
Resolved
3
Trades
49,834
lifetime
Volume
$6.16M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$124
Open exposure
$390.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-02
last 06-10 06:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
67%
50%
+$645
Other
32%
100%
+$37
Crypto
1%
—
—
Tech
0%
—
—
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
65 active days in 12wk
• peak 1373 trades/day
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026 | 575 | $372.7K | 166,811 | 209,320 | -42,509 | open | — | 03-25 04:59 |
| will the us next strike iran on february 27 2026 et | 3,759 | $255.3K | 344,851 | 74,978 | +269,873 | open | — | 02-28 04:58 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | 97 | $228.3K | 116,148 | 120,745 | -4,597 | open | — | 03-11 18:21 |
| will the us next strike iran on february 20 2026 et | 2,216 | $216.1K | 200,902 | 87,826 | +113,076 | open | — | 02-21 03:31 |
| will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et | 3,112 | $202.4K | 238,219 | 162,374 | +75,845 | open | — | 02-28 07:52 |
| will the us next strike iran on february 19 2026 et | 1,912 | $193.6K | 177,224 | 68,573 | +108,651 | open | — | 02-20 04:42 |
| us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519 | 13 | $192.1K | 192,900 | 0 | +192,900 | open | — | 04-01 09:00 |
| will the us next strike iran on february 26 2026 et | 2,231 | $169.9K | 273,166 | 95,477 | +177,689 | open | — | 02-27 04:58 |
| will the us next strike iran on february 17 2026 et | 719 | $168.5K | 79,170 | 91,324 | -12,154 | open | — | 02-18 04:58 |
| will the us next strike iran on february 24 2026 et | 1,497 | $164.6K | 176,289 | 47,605 | +128,684 | open | — | 02-25 04:57 |
| will the us next strike iran on february 25 2026 et | 1,364 | $160.3K | 153,009 | 35,112 | +117,897 | open | — | 02-25 22:25 |
| will the us next strike iran on february 18 2026 et | 1,516 | $140.8K | 128,938 | 20,790 | +108,148 | open | — | 02-19 04:59 |
| will the us next strike iran on february 22 2026 et | 1,302 | $130.7K | 143,781 | 28,009 | +115,772 | open | — | 02-23 04:53 |
| us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368 | 958 | $129.1K | 160,823 | 61,646 | +99,177 | open | — | 02-27 02:34 |
| us strikes iran by february 27 2026 | 982 | $120.7K | 135,541 | 57,138 | +78,403 | open | — | 02-28 03:20 |
| will the us next strike iran on february 21 2026 et | 1,365 | $119.5K | 125,758 | 43,734 | +82,023 | open | — | 02-22 04:32 |
| will the us next strike iran on february 23 2026 et | 1,333 | $115.5K | 127,084 | 42,391 | +84,693 | open | — | 02-24 03:40 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | 30 | $112.8K | 58,341 | 58,341 | +0 | open | — | 04-25 14:30 |
| will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926 | 106 | $104.1K | 52,642 | 53,646 | -1,004 | open | — | 03-26 23:20 |
| will the iranian regime fall by march 31 | 134 | $89.8K | 46,683 | 46,683 | +0 | open | — | 03-27 19:27 |
| will the us next strike iran on march 1 2026 et | 2,132 | $85.9K | 96,263 | 13,551 | +82,712 | open | — | 02-28 07:42 |
| us x iran ceasefire by march 31 | 98 | $85.4K | 53,805 | 46,026 | +7,779 | open | — | 03-24 08:03 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31? | 54 | $85.0K | 45,000 | 40,518 | +4,482 | open | — | 03-27 16:55 |
| will the us next strike iran on february 13 2026 et | 271 | $84.5K | 79,913 | 5,234 | +74,680 | open | — | 02-14 03:01 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? | 74 | $74.3K | 74,936 | 1,136 | +73,801 | open | — | 06-10 01:36 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | 115 | $73.8K | 13,236 | 61,213 | -47,977 | open | — | 06-10 00:35 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | 141 | $71.6K | 40,000 | 40,000 | +0 | open | — | 04-27 09:57 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May? | 38 | $67.1K | 35,285 | 35,285 | +0 | open | — | 05-27 12:53 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May? | 19 | $63.9K | 32,282 | 32,282 | +0 | open | — | 05-28 21:54 |
| will the us next strike iran on february 14 2026 et | 184 | $63.0K | 44,311 | 26,064 | +18,246 | open | — | 02-15 03:59 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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