Realized P&L
+$682
Unrealized P&L
+$13.3K
Hit rate
99.9%
Resolved
3
Trades
57,780
lifetime
Volume
$8.05M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$139
Open exposure
$1.00M
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-02
last 06-30 12:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
53% 50% +$645
Other
42% 100% +$37
Crypto
5%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
66 active days in 12wk • peak 4760 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No -151,799 $-151,076 100¢ $-151648 $-571 06-14 04:34
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +159,071 $148,996 95¢ $150.7K +$1,723 06-29 14:06
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? No -83,589 $-83,173 100¢ $-83505 $-332 06-22 00:51
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? No +74,193 $72,850 100¢ $74.1K +$1,269 06-29 16:00
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? No +62,075 $61,098 100¢ $62.0K +$915 06-27 10:35
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? No +50,591 $49,366 100¢ $50.5K +$1,175 06-29 19:38
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June? No -48,317 $-48,905 100¢ $-48269 +$636 06-27 21:45
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? No +42,955 $42,686 100¢ $42.9K +$204 06-24 14:41
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? No +38,989 $37,424 100¢ $39.0K +$1,526 06-27 11:18
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? No +20,576 $18,922 100¢ $20.6K +$1,634 06-29 00:52
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? No +19,957 $19,701 100¢ $19.9K +$216 06-27 10:34
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June? No +19,944 $19,611 100¢ $19.9K +$284 06-30 02:05
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? No -19,393 $-19,464 100¢ $-19354 +$110 06-26 04:47
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June? No +17,220 $16,949 100¢ $17.2K +$220 06-26 19:36
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No +17,099 $16,635 98¢ $16.7K +$71 06-30 15:33
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June? No +16,677 $16,237 100¢ $16.7K +$423 06-27 00:21
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No -16,000 $-15,968 100¢ $-15984 $-16 06-24 23:56
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? No -15,153 $-15,065 100¢ $-15122 $-58 06-13 15:32
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? No +16,346 $14,288 92¢ $15.0K +$668 06-29 06:42
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June? No +14,885 $14,592 100¢ $14.9K +$279 06-20 22:19
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30? No +14,567 $14,030 100¢ $14.6K +$523 06-11 07:17
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June? No -13,532 $-13,478 100¢ $-13518 $-41 06-05 12:11
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June? No +13,341 $13,214 100¢ $13.3K +$100 06-27 04:25
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June? No -13,123 $-13,168 100¢ $-13110 +$58 06-24 17:08
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of June? No +11,943 $11,719 100¢ $11.9K +$212 06-22 11:21
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June? No +11,878 $11,006 100¢ $11.9K +$854 06-21 23:16
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? No -10,000 $-9,925 100¢ $-9990 $-65 06-11 12:12
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $52 by end of June? No -7,309 $-7,262 100¢ $-7302 $-40 06-27 11:23
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? No -7,230 $-8,527 100¢ $-7223 +$1,304 06-18 01:54
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June? No -6,000 $-5,982 100¢ $-5994 $-12 06-09 11:43