Realized P&L
+$10.1K
Unrealized P&L
+$12.7K
Hit rate
86.5%
Resolved
610
Trades
70,157
lifetime
Volume
$16.2M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$231
Open exposure
$998.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-02
last 10-28 02:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 119 days
Categories
Other
62% 89% +$73,477
Politics
27% 67% -$10,872
Crypto
11% 62% -$53,172
Tech
1% 92% +$709
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 353 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +400,411 $376,652 98¢ $392.2K +$15,551 10-27 23:55
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? No +131,975 $122,534 97¢ $128.6K +$6,076 10-26 01:27
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +103,818 $89,654 87¢ $90.3K +$667 10-24 15:37
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? No +60,419 $58,932 99¢ $60.1K +$1,154 10-27 05:52
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +55,891 $50,408 90¢ $50.6K +$173 10-26 14:30
will gold gc hit high 5000 by end of december 2026 No +40,916 $38,792 94¢ $38.3K -$536 10-27 15:05
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +31,865 $28,905 94¢ $29.8K +$889 10-21 12:27
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +25,252 $34,971 96¢ $24.3K -$10,704 10-28 02:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in October? No +21,868 $21,431 100¢ $21.8K +$383 10-27 14:34
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? No +17,750 $16,141 94¢ $16.8K +$633 10-22 13:13
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? No +13,738 $12,911 98¢ $13.4K +$539 10-21 18:54
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October? No +12,755 $12,394 99¢ $12.6K +$196 10-26 14:53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October? No +10,975 $10,779 99¢ $10.9K +$136 10-27 17:52
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in October? No +10,776 $10,566 100¢ $10.7K +$178 10-26 20:59
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +10,000 $9,830 98¢ $9.8K -$20 10-11 09:36
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October? No +8,433 $8,129 100¢ $8.4K +$284 10-21 19:45
Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in October? No +8,247 $8,127 100¢ $8.2K +$107 10-25 13:39
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December? No +8,374 $7,925 98¢ $8.2K +$240 07-25 18:54
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +7,029 $6,681 96¢ $6.8K +$87 10-23 19:16
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No +6,400 $6,125 96¢ $6.1K +$22 10-23 11:18
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? No +6,401 $6,070 92¢ $5.9K -$213 10-07 03:19
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? No +6,000 $5,630 97¢ $5.8K +$175 08-21 11:45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in October? No +5,324 $5,167 100¢ $5.3K +$147 10-26 01:09
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +5,375 $5,291 94¢ $5.1K -$212 10-19 03:41
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No +5,000 $4,845 97¢ $4.8K +$2 10-08 19:26
US x China Military clash before 2027? No +4,927 $4,582 98¢ $4.8K +$223 10-04 23:59
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +5,000 $4,150 95¢ $4.8K +$600 10-07 09:22
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes -4,724 -$590 98¢ $-4650 -$4,060 05-01 23:22
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +5,625 $4,644 82¢ $4.6K -$59 10-27 10:40
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +5,000 $4,500 92¢ $4.6K +$75 10-08 18:21