Realized P&L
+$682
Unrealized P&L
+$2.79K
Hit rate
99.9%
Resolved
3
Trades
49,834
lifetime
Volume
$6.16M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$124
Open exposure
$390.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-02
last 06-10 06:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
67% 50% +$645
Other
32% 100% +$37
Crypto
1%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
65 active days in 12wk • peak 1373 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? No +73,801 $72,060 99¢ $72.8K +$744 06-10 01:36
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June? No +55,079 $54,039 99¢ $54.6K +$517 06-10 01:03
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No -47,977 $-47,760 99¢ $-47617 +$143 06-10 00:35
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? No +33,516 $32,453 98¢ $33.0K +$544 06-10 01:39
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? No +33,545 $32,412 98¢ $32.8K +$378 06-10 06:53
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +15,603 $14,581 93¢ $14.5K $-94 06-09 03:36
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June? No -13,532 $-13,478 100¢ $-13512 $-34 06-05 12:11
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? No -13,126 $-13,083 99¢ $-13015 +$68 06-10 06:47
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30? No +13,170 $12,675 97¢ $12.8K +$160 06-10 05:03
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? No +9,583 $9,448 99¢ $9.5K +$53 06-09 12:39
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? No +7,436 $6,964 96¢ $7.1K +$137 06-09 22:00
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? No +7,263 $6,651 92¢ $6.7K +$27 06-10 07:14
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No +6,278 $6,130 99¢ $6.2K +$101 06-09 15:20
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June? No -6,000 $-5,982 100¢ $-5985 $-3 06-09 11:43
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June? No +5,980 $5,906 99¢ $5.9K +$26 06-06 08:22
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? No -5,087 $-5,046 99¢ $-5044 +$3 06-09 20:44
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $52 by end of June? No -5,026 $-4,991 99¢ $-4991 +$0 06-09 13:54
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? No -4,888 $-4,444 99¢ $-4824 $-380 06-05 10:44
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June? No +4,705 $4,595 99¢ $4.7K +$79 06-10 05:24
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June? No -4,244 $-4,212 99¢ $-4220 $-8 06-09 13:57
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? No +5,000 $4,000 80¢ $4.0K $-25 06-03 04:04
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of June? No +3,441 $3,369 99¢ $3.4K +$29 06-09 18:25
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June? No +3,402 $3,259 99¢ $3.4K +$94 06-06 00:56
Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,400 on the final trading day of June 2026? No +3,241 $3,148 99¢ $3.2K +$48 06-04 07:45
Will Silver (SI) settle over $140 on the final trading day of June 2026? No +3,224 $3,181 99¢ $3.2K +$13 06-01 02:46
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No +3,000 $2,898 97¢ $2.9K +$16 06-06 22:20
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June? No +2,876 $2,768 98¢ $2.8K +$60 06-10 06:52
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June? No +2,701 $2,644 99¢ $2.7K +$34 06-10 06:00
Will Silver (SI) settle over $95 on the final trading day of June 2026? No +2,421 $2,293 97¢ $2.4K +$64 06-09 00:59
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? No -2,299 $-2,274 99¢ $-2278 $-5 06-01 09:22