Stable-Conversation 0xc39969…4f53ab
whale cold 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$15.1K
Unrealized P&L
+$96
Hit rate
47.4%
Resolved
3,281
Trades
26,390
lifetime
Volume
$560.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$21
Open exposure
$825
21 positions
First seen
2026-02-14
last 10-19 13:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 111 days
Categories
Other
81% 46% -$10,812
Crypto
7% 53% -$2,613
Politics
7% 47% -$1,870
Sports
4% 40% -$61
Tech
1% 33% +$266
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
12 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +600 $384 87¢ $522 +$138 10-19 13:45
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,100 $73 6¢ $66 -$7 06-26 04:31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +55 $33 84¢ $47 +$13 05-13 11:38
Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027? No -46 -$41 97¢ $-45 -$4 05-13 11:37
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +45 $42 98¢ $44 +$3 05-14 19:56
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? Yes -195 -$78 14¢ $-27 +$51 05-13 11:32
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election? Yes +21 $10 72¢ $15 +$5 06-04 01:34
nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512 No +13 $9 94¢ $12 +$3 07-07 13:28
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +55 $29 16¢ $9 -$21 05-13 05:18
will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026 No +7 $3 100¢ $7 +$4 06-11 10:56
nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512 Yes +100 $21 6¢ $6 -$14 07-07 13:28
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +7 $3 98¢ $6 +$3 07-04 14:19
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election? No +20 $14 29¢ $6 -$8 06-04 01:29
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +4 $3 94¢ $3 +$0 05-13 10:50
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? Yes +5 $2 67¢ $3 +$1 06-08 16:09
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -52 -$9 6¢ $-3 +$6 05-13 11:34
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? No +5 $1 33¢ $2 +$1 06-03 07:42
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +45 $3 2¢ $1 -$3 05-14 21:47
US imports Russian diesel by October 31? Yes +90 $62 1¢ $1 -$62 10-11 13:54
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +20 $10 2¢ $0 -$10 07-04 13:19
will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026 Yes +7 $5 0¢ $0 -$5 06-11 10:56