Realized P&L
+$3.90K
Unrealized P&L
+$303
Hit rate
78.4%
Resolved
1,087
Trades
4,096
lifetime
Volume
$407.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$99
Open exposure
$6.92K
29 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-20 14:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 195 days
Categories
Other
53% 77% +$221
Politics
35% 86% +$3,333
Crypto
7% 86% +$418
Sports
3% 84% +$7
Tech
2% 83% -$105
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$28
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
39 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No +720 $533 92¢ $666 +$133 08-19 21:10
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -633 -$533 94¢ $-592 -$59 05-26 05:12
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +919 $520 64¢ $588 +$68 08-27 02:15
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? No +510 $357 76¢ $390 +$33 09-02 20:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +370 $300 88¢ $328 +$28 10-05 04:02
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31? No +353 $300 90¢ $318 +$18 10-05 04:02
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No +357 $300 87¢ $311 +$11 10-05 04:01
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? No +360 $223 86¢ $309 +$86 09-13 02:47
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No +469 $163 62¢ $288 +$126 05-13 16:01
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +353 $300 82¢ $288 -$12 10-05 04:01
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +659 $220 44¢ $287 +$67 08-27 23:00
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +330 $300 86¢ $285 -$15 10-05 04:03
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? No +300 $270 94¢ $284 +$14 10-02 04:05
will openais valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 882 628 No +271 $165 93¢ $252 +$87 06-05 18:21
iran full airspace closure by december 31 20260727170429885 No +411 $300 58¢ $240 -$60 08-05 03:22
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? No +215 $200 95¢ $204 +$4 07-07 00:20
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +224 $150 88¢ $198 +$48 08-20 20:38
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No +188 $148 95¢ $179 +$30 08-19 02:44
will openais valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 937 533 No +178 $160 93¢ $166 +$6 07-17 18:49
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No +163 $147 94¢ $153 +$6 08-29 00:44
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 328 No +876 $400 16¢ $145 -$255 08-11 10:08
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +143 $85 74¢ $106 +$21 05-01 10:32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October? No +110 $100 88¢ $97 -$3 10-20 14:42
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? No +141 $100 68¢ $96 -$4 08-19 02:43
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +73 $60 97¢ $71 +$11 07-21 07:30
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +62 $60 86¢ $53 -$7 06-14 10:31
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797 No +341 $107 4¢ $12 -$95 07-18 08:16
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? Yes +11 $6 82¢ $9 +$3 08-26 03:26
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? No +0 -$12 90¢ $0 +$12 07-21 00:53