Realized P&L
-$121
Unrealized P&L
+$630
Hit rate
71.9%
Resolved
27
Trades
3,315
lifetime
Volume
$313.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$95
Open exposure
$3.29K
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-29 23:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Other
48% 44% $-268
Politics
43% 70% +$139
Crypto
7%
Tech
1%
Sports
1% 100% +$9
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
72 active days in 12wk • peak 105 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June? No +692 $256 100¢ $690 +$434 06-15 00:19
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +543 $440 88¢ $475 +$35 06-04 20:28
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +336 $291 99¢ $333 +$42 06-09 13:55
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,800 (HIGH) in December? No +672 $173 46¢ $313 +$140 06-05 16:53
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No -308 $-249 88¢ $-269 $-20 06-05 18:20
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -267 $-266 100¢ $-267 $-1 06-19 21:02
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +266 $250 100¢ $265 +$15 06-14 10:25
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No -220 $-212 100¢ $-219 $-7 06-14 07:23
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in June? No +153 $141 100¢ $152 +$11 06-04 13:14
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,850 (HIGH) in June? No +123 $96 100¢ $122 +$26 06-05 15:45
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30? No +53 $50 98¢ $52 +$2 06-14 10:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +44 $92 100¢ $44 $-48 06-19 18:34
Iran leadership change by June 30? No -35 $-34 100¢ $-35 $-1 06-05 15:45
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No -29 $-29 100¢ $-29 $-0 06-05 14:50
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? Yes -14 $-12 90¢ $-13 $-0 06-05 15:47
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? No +11 $10 100¢ $11 +$1 06-01 12:25