Realized P&L
-$5
Unrealized P&L
+$1.69K
Hit rate
70.0%
Resolved
426
Trades
2,205
lifetime
Volume
$65.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$30
Open exposure
$12.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-03
last 10-26 17:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 89 days
Categories
Other
68% 65% +$409
Politics
13% 73% -$454
Tech
11% 73% +$7
Crypto
6% 87% +$135
Sports
3% 35% -$102
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
65 active days in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +1,187 $1,045 94¢ $1.1K +$65 09-30 03:20
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +1,010 $780 90¢ $904 +$124 09-18 14:18
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No +809 $636 96¢ $772 +$136 09-17 13:05
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +1,110 $648 66¢ $738 +$91 10-26 17:12
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +709 $621 92¢ $656 +$35 09-04 20:24
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +670 $556 97¢ $651 +$95 08-26 12:55
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +605 $437 99¢ $599 +$161 09-13 13:30
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No +589 $491 97¢ $569 +$78 09-14 12:48
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +708 $418 62¢ $442 +$24 10-01 21:30
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797 Yes +440 $304 96¢ $423 +$119 08-21 12:41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +466 $291 88¢ $413 +$121 09-17 23:56
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? No +400 $342 92¢ $370 +$28 10-02 22:45
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? Yes +412 $276 85¢ $350 +$73 09-21 13:52
will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128 Yes +369 $270 94¢ $349 +$79 07-22 18:53
US recession by end of 2026? No +353 $318 93¢ $329 +$11 07-28 15:39
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +380 $232 84¢ $321 +$89 07-05 18:58
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +663 $332 48¢ $321 -$11 10-02 14:10
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic +300 $254 98¢ $294 +$40 08-16 01:03
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? Yes +407 $235 72¢ $293 +$58 09-04 20:25
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +300 $203 94¢ $282 +$79 08-04 12:55
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No +302 $257 92¢ $279 +$21 09-17 13:05
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +290 $244 95¢ $275 +$30 09-13 13:30
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? Yes +284 $236 96¢ $274 +$38 09-04 20:16
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +250 $205 96¢ $240 +$35 07-28 14:23
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +225 $192 94¢ $213 +$21 08-21 16:17
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +515 $223 40¢ $207 -$16 08-26 12:56
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? No +300 $246 67¢ $201 -$45 10-02 14:23
Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October? No +200 $182 100¢ $200 +$18 10-02 14:22
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes +200 $170 100¢ $200 +$30 07-11 18:17
will wti dip to 80 in october 2026 No +200 $136 100¢ $199 +$63 09-28 05:00