Realized P&L
-$13
Unrealized P&L
+$13
Hit rate
85.5%
Resolved
9
Trades
931
lifetime
Volume
$16.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$310
22 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-01 10:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Sports
47% 0% $-3
Other
40% 75% $-10
Politics
9%
Crypto
3%
Tech
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
62 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -30 $-28 97¢ $-29 $-1 06-05 21:27
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +30 $26 86¢ $26 +$0 07-01 20:10
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? No +20 $19 97¢ $19 $-0 07-01 10:55
2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion? Yes +20 $15 94¢ $19 +$4 06-17 16:56
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No +20 $19 94¢ $19 $-0 07-01 10:56
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,800 (HIGH) in December? Yes +27 $20 68¢ $18 $-2 06-09 16:50
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No +20 $18 90¢ $18 $-0 07-01 10:55
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +20 $16 88¢ $18 +$2 06-01 09:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +20 $15 82¢ $16 +$1 06-05 17:07
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December? No +20 $17 82¢ $16 $-0 07-01 10:53
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No +18 $13 86¢ $15 +$2 06-05 21:27
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? No +20 $16 76¢ $15 $-1 06-26 12:50
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? No +15 $14 94¢ $14 +$0 07-01 10:57
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $9,300 (HIGH) in December? No +15 $14 95¢ $14 $-0 07-01 10:54
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? No +13 $11 93¢ $12 +$1 06-05 21:31
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +13 $10 86¢ $11 +$1 06-20 11:27
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No +10 $10 96¢ $10 $-0 07-01 10:57
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? No +10 $9 83¢ $8 $-0 06-26 12:50
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? No +10 $7 70¢ $7 $-0 06-23 21:25
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December? Yes -10 $-4 26¢ $-3 +$2 06-19 10:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +8 $4 30¢ $2 $-2 06-12 17:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -48 $-6 $-0 +$6 06-20 06:57