Realized P&L
-$34
Unrealized P&L
+$28
Hit rate
91.2%
Resolved
844
Trades
1,611
lifetime
Volume
$29.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$760
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 07:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 176 days
Categories
Other
60% 91% +$110
Sports
30% 78% -$68
Politics
6% 79% -$105
Crypto
3% 68% +$25
Tech
1% 80% +$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
49 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No +66 $61 97¢ $63 +$3 07-23 20:49
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026 No +60 $53 97¢ $58 +$5 07-14 20:37
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +50 $40 80¢ $40 +$0 08-04 08:19
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -33 -$31 98¢ $-32 -$1 05-08 17:03
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in October? No +30 $30 100¢ $30 +$0 10-19 20:05
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? No +30 $27 98¢ $29 +$2 07-08 12:35
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? No +30 $28 97¢ $29 +$1 07-07 20:29
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +30 $26 94¢ $28 +$3 07-01 20:10
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +30 $27 94¢ $28 +$1 07-23 20:51
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? No -29 -$27 97¢ $-28 $0 07-11 21:55
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +30 $23 90¢ $27 +$4 08-06 14:24
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -27 -$25 95¢ $-26 -$1 05-08 17:54
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +26 $25 97¢ $26 +$0 10-27 22:46
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? No -25 -$23 97¢ $-24 -$1 09-21 20:54
Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026? No +27 $24 84¢ $23 -$1 07-16 19:31
France declares state of siege (martial law) by November 15, 2026? No +21 $21 99¢ $21 +$0 10-21 11:46
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in October? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 10-19 20:04
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +22 $20 92¢ $20 $0 10-27 22:49
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? No +20 $19 98¢ $20 +$0 07-01 10:55
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December? No +20 $19 98¢ $20 +$1 07-16 19:34
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027? No +20 $18 96¢ $19 +$2 08-06 23:00
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +20 $17 94¢ $19 +$2 08-04 11:34
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? No +20 $16 93¢ $19 +$3 06-26 12:50
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +20 $16 90¢ $18 +$2 06-01 09:30
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No +18 $13 98¢ $17 +$4 06-05 21:27
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No +20 $18 82¢ $16 -$2 07-01 10:55
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? No +17 $16 96¢ $16 +$0 08-16 12:56
Iran leadership change by November 30? No +16 $15 92¢ $15 +$0 10-20 20:59
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? No +15 $14 93¢ $14 +$0 07-01 10:57
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December? No +13 $13 99¢ $13 +$0 07-16 19:35