Big-Hearted-Shaker — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

85.5%

Resolved

Trades

1,025

lifetime

Volume

$18.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-10 13:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Sports

45% 0% $-3

Other

41% 75% $-10

Politics

8% — —

Crypto

4% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
2026 winter olympics winter olympics 2026 speed skating mens 10000m vladimir semirunniy pol	9	$525	312	312	+0	open	—	02-13 18:18
nhl ott tb 2026 03 28 total 6pt5	7	$412	273	273	+0	open	—	03-28 20:12
2026 winter olympics winter olympics 2026 speed skating mens 10000m metodej jilek cze	13	$353	199	199	+0	open	—	02-13 19:28
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	3	$298	200	98	+102	open	—	04-02 10:22
nhl ana edm 2026 03 28 total 4pt5	21	$240	506	100	+406	open	—	03-28 21:25
nhl ana edm 2026 03 28 total 6pt5	6	$236	205	200	+5	open	—	03-28 22:07
Will no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?	7	$211	111	111	+0	open	—	01-31 15:39
2026 winter olympics winter olympics 2026 skeleton mens matt weston gbr	7	$210	108	108	+0	open	—	02-13 21:55
2026 winter olympics winter olympics 2026 xc womens cross country interval start free frida karlsson swe	3	$199	320	320	+0	open	—	02-12 18:23
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	5	$197	120	120	+0	open	—	02-15 15:26
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	7	$193	114	114	+0	open	—	03-27 21:18
will norway win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	7	$192	131	131	+0	open	—	02-11 20:06
2026 winter olympics winter olympics 2026 speed skating mens team pursuit norway	3	$188	95	95	+0	open	—	02-15 16:48
f1 hungarian grand prix driver podium perez 2026 07 26	1	$185	185	0	+185	open	—	07-26 07:07
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	7	$180	88	99	-11	open	—	04-22 20:58
will great britain record a medal at the 2026 winter olympics 612	5	$172	87	87	+0	open	—	02-14 22:57
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	6	$155	81	81	+0	open	—	03-21 21:30
2026 winter olympics winter olympics 2026 speed skating mens 5000m sander eitrem nor	2	$153	103	51	+51	open	—	02-08 18:05
es2 hue leo 2026 04 01 spread home 2pt5	1	$151	151	0	+151	open	—	04-01 19:52
will slovakia record a medal at the 2026 winter olympics 252	9	$150	160	72	+88	open	—	02-21 20:41
will germany win the second most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	7	$148	84	84	+0	open	—	02-20 17:21
atp kolar callejo 2026 04 02 first set total 8pt5	3	$139	139	0	+139	open	—	04-02 10:24
will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on january 9	6	$137	94	50	+44	open	—	01-08 09:19
mlb laa chc 2026 04 01 total 6pt5	2	$135	90	45	+45	open	—	04-01 22:13
will france record a medal at the 2026 winter olympics 344	3	$133	67	67	+0	open	—	02-08 15:46
2026 winter olympics winter olympics 2026 bobsled 2 woman driver melanie hasler sui	4	$129	65	65	+0	open	—	02-21 23:20
nato x russia military clash by march 31 2026	6	$129	51	85	-34	open	—	02-05 15:19
will gold gc hit high 6000 by end of february 957 635 788 121 773 745 586	7	$127	65	65	+0	open	—	02-26 19:39
will mrbeast hit 480 million subscribers by march 31 385 949 751 549 325 327 411 863 793	7	$124	76	76	+0	open	—	02-28 14:58
US strike on Mexico by March 31?	7	$123	68	68	+0	open	—	03-03 11:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 13:56:24	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?	Yes	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x92fd0c…
08-09 12:41:39	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0x3a3998…
08-09 07:47:57	will arthur fils make the top 10 in the 2026 atp end of year rankings 20260728185850915	Yes	BUY	45	18¢	$8	0xa63f1b…
08-08 19:50:37	will mohammed bin salman attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630264	No	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x51195f…
08-08 15:22:31	will lionel messi attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630254	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xec4954…
08-07 22:35:48	will leonardo bonucci attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630267	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x47d91c…
08-07 22:34:57	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x6dd4eb…
08-07 22:34:37	will lionel messi attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630254	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xacfafd…
08-07 16:14:48	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?	Yes	SELL	19	44¢	$8	0x5e0f47…
08-07 14:46:40	will bitcoin reach 75k in august 2026	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xaa44a6…
08-06 23:10:00	will wti dip to 55 in august 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xe317a9…
08-06 23:09:30	will wti reach 115 in august 2026	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xa7284b…
08-06 23:07:29	will tommy paul make the top 10 in the 2026 atp end of year rankings 20260728185850914	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0xf8e490…
08-06 23:01:57	Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x6ed2d5…
08-06 23:00:23	Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xfcd616…
08-06 14:24:59	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	30	77¢	$23	0x145cdd…
08-06 08:55:51	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,800 (HIGH) in December?	Yes	BUY	45	80¢	$36	0x8aa0eb…
08-05 10:28:59	will flavio cobolli qualify for the nitto atp finals 2026 20260728191143797	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x4771b2…
08-05 10:28:00	will ben shelton qualify for the nitto atp finals 2026 20260728191143802	Yes	BUY	30	34¢	$10	0xdc987a…
08-04 22:28:59	US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x85de03…
08-04 20:29:09	will trump say bitcoin crypto or cryptocurrency during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421460	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xd7263e…
08-04 20:28:05	will trump say warren buffett during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421453	No	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0xfa554e…
08-04 17:22:42	will frances tiafoe make the top 10 in the 2026 atp end of year rankings 20260728185850912	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x2ae621…
08-04 11:40:56	Vesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026?	No	BUY	30	93¢	$28	0xf789b8…
08-04 11:35:44	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x68bdb9…
08-04 11:34:21	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x199bde…
08-04 08:19:59	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	50	79¢	$40	0x0dfe5d…
07-28 11:11:19	will wti reach 115 in july 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xed7eec…
07-28 11:11:10	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026 367	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x3aeddc…
07-26 07:07:18	f1 hungarian grand prix driver podium perez 2026 07 26	No	BUY	185	100¢	$185	0x374a3f…
07-25 15:51:12	f1 hungarian grand prix driver podium bottas 2026 07 26	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xcf5265…
07-24 20:02:39	will iran recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x0ec33b…
07-24 19:22:51	will wti dip to 75 in july 2026 from july 20	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xf93d37…
07-24 19:22:34	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026 367	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xc4019f…
07-23 20:52:03	will wti reach 115 in july 2026	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x81c030…
07-23 20:51:51	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xa4743a…
07-23 20:51:03	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0x031c89…
07-23 20:49:00	9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	30	91¢	$27	0xf513fb…
07-21 08:33:16	9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x8a43ee…
07-20 20:52:13	will wti reach 110 in july 2026 829	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x4d4c73…
07-20 20:52:04	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x3301b3…
07-20 16:11:16	Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x8736a3…
07-20 16:06:01	will msft reach 465 in july 2026	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x83c2a6…
07-20 16:05:15	btc updown 5m 1784563500	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x606df6…
07-20 16:01:54	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	33	96¢	$32	0xcb5063…
07-19 22:30:12	btc updown 5m 1784500200	Down	BUY	60	51¢	$31	0x20173e…
07-19 22:26:45	btc updown 5m 1784499900	Down	BUY	35	42¢	$15	0xc363f9…
07-19 22:18:21	btc updown 5m 1784499600	Down	BUY	144	55¢	$79	0x83ce6e…
07-19 22:13:15	btc updown 5m 1784499300	Down	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x316197…
07-19 22:10:42	btc updown 5m 1784499000	Down	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0x643761…
07-19 14:37:36	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 shots enzo fernandez gte1	Yes	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xca73e1…
07-19 14:37:21	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 shots lionel messi gte1	Yes	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x05b187…
07-17 13:24:18	Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xe47e91…
07-16 19:35:28	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0x20f66e…
07-16 19:34:44	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x46eb56…
07-16 19:33:01	will wti dip to 55 in july 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xf062fa…
07-16 19:32:47	will wti reach 110 in july 2026 829	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xf539ec…
07-16 19:32:35	will wti reach 130 in july 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xd94d40…
07-16 19:31:13	Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026?	No	BUY	27	88¢	$24	0x62c3f1…
07-16 19:27:58	Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x7abfba…
07-15 13:47:02	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 shots lionel messi gte1	Yes	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xaf6cad…
07-14 20:39:05	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x0d0e34…
07-14 20:38:55	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	94¢	$57	0xf5cf16…
07-14 20:37:52	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0xf0bf8e…
07-14 20:37:19	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x992eb2…
07-14 20:33:58	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $9,300 (HIGH) in December?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xea1b1e…
07-13 19:15:53	will there be 20 missed penalties during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610205750576	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x0ac4de…
07-11 21:55:13	Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x27cc74…
07-08 12:35:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	91¢	$27	0x1368b5…
07-07 21:11:28	will there be 10 missed penalties during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610205750574	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x2ae326…
07-07 20:29:23	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	30	93¢	$28	0x7f9a36…
07-07 18:03:08	will there be 10 missed penalties during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610205750574	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x1a5259…
07-07 17:35:49	will there be 10 missed penalties during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610205750574	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xf96565…
07-07 17:35:35	will there be 10 missed penalties during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610205750574	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x57cce9…
07-07 16:31:49	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x80371a…
07-07 16:29:40	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 goals mostafa zico gte1	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xf68d07…
07-07 16:24:32	will there be 5 missed penalties during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610205750573	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x9f0d49…
07-07 07:29:29	atp lehecka zverev 2026 07 06	Alexander Zverev	BUY	30	93¢	$28	0x43a163…
07-07 07:18:38	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by july 31 2026	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x5ae1bc…
07-07 07:17:43	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x09bba6…
07-07 07:14:46	will omar marmoush score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x834614…
07-06 22:12:10	will there be 10 missed penalties during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610205750574	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xdeb772…
07-03 20:30:29	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 shots lautaro martinez gte1	Yes	BUY	9	76¢	$7	0x25f40e…
07-03 20:08:32	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 shots lautaro martinez gte1	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xe82796…
07-03 20:08:11	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 shots lautaro martinez gte1	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x751b51…
07-03 19:07:58	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 shots lautaro martinez gte1	Yes	BUY	12	78¢	$9	0x2e17fb…
07-03 13:16:14	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 first corner	Argentina	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x9cc373…
07-03 10:38:41	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x0ca626…
07-01 20:10:28	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xbc7548…
07-01 20:06:11	world cup will argentina play portugal 20260623182251496	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x87b16b…
07-01 20:05:41	will messi and ronaldo shake hands during world cup 20260609221211643	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x81e8fe…
07-01 20:05:20	will messi and ronaldo shake hands during world cup 20260609221211643	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x43e48c…
07-01 20:01:43	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x82fc77…
07-01 10:58:22	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0xcaaf7d…
07-01 10:57:59	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x5ccbfe…
07-01 10:57:22	Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0x50c41b…
07-01 10:56:25	9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x7b9157…
07-01 10:55:41	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x1f80e9…
07-01 10:55:26	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x70b151…
07-01 10:54:17	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $9,300 (HIGH) in December?	No	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0x3c1a93…