Big-Hearted-Shaker 0xe5c20f…772b81
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$13
Unrealized P&L
-$7
Hit rate
85.5%
Resolved
9
Trades
987
lifetime
Volume
$17.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$509
29 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-21 08:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Sports
46% 0% $-3
Other
40% 75% $-10
Politics
8% — —
Crypto
4% — —
Tech
2% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
59 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +90 $85 90¢ $81 $-4 07-14 20:38
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No +36 $33 91¢ $32 $-1 07-21 08:33
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? No +30 $27 92¢ $27 +$0 07-08 12:35
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? No +30 $28 90¢ $27 $-1 07-07 20:29
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +30 $26 86¢ $26 +$0 07-01 20:10
Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026? No +27 $24 89¢ $24 +$0 07-16 19:31
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,800 (HIGH) in December? Yes +27 $20 76¢ $21 +$1 06-09 16:50
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? No +20 $19 97¢ $19 $-0 07-01 10:55
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December? No +20 $19 97¢ $19 +$0 07-16 19:34
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? No +20 $19 94¢ $19 $-0 07-16 19:27
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $9,300 (HIGH) in December? No +20 $19 95¢ $19 $-0 07-14 20:33
Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026? No +20 $18 90¢ $18 $-0 07-20 16:11
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No +20 $18 90¢ $18 $-0 07-01 10:55
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December? No +20 $17 88¢ $18 +$1 07-01 10:53
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +20 $16 86¢ $17 +$1 06-01 09:30
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? No +20 $16 83¢ $17 +$1 06-26 12:50
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No +18 $13 90¢ $16 +$3 06-05 21:27
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? No +15 $14 95¢ $14 +$0 07-01 10:57
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December? No +13 $13 97¢ $13 +$0 07-16 19:35
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? No +13 $11 94¢ $12 +$1 06-05 21:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +20 $15 52¢ $10 $-5 06-05 17:07
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No +10 $10 97¢ $10 +$0 07-01 10:57
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? No +10 $9 84¢ $8 $-0 06-26 12:50
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? No +10 $7 82¢ $8 +$1 06-23 21:25
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +10 $9 74¢ $7 $-1 07-14 20:39
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? No +5 $4 70¢ $3 $-1 07-11 21:55
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +3 $4 96¢ $3 $-1 07-20 16:01
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December? Yes -10 $-4 29¢ $-3 +$1 06-19 10:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +8 $4 1¢ $0 $-4 06-12 17:16