Safe-Corruption — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$361

Unrealized P&L

+$133

Hit rate

82.3%

Resolved

Trades

259

lifetime

Volume

$79.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$308

Open exposure

$2.58K

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 09-10 23:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 35 days

Categories

Other

84% 84% +$648

Politics

16% 67% -$286

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?	No	+1,027	$889	97¢	$994	+$104	09-09 22:13
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?	No	+1,060	$893	92¢	$975	+$82	07-31 02:03
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	+450	$395	86¢	$389	-$6	08-31 16:08
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	+250	$198	60¢	$149	-$49	07-27 23:40
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	No	+85	$74	87¢	$74	+$0	08-30 14:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	5	$6.5K	3,575	3,575	+0	No	+$220	09-04 02:39
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	5	$6.4K	2,849	3,684	-834	No	+$26	06-01 00:17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	8	$6.2K	3,141	3,138	+3	No	+$24	04-23 09:13
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	8	$6.0K	3,145	3,145	+0	No	+$82	07-17 17:03
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	1	$4.5K	4,479	0	+4,479	Yes	+$13	02-01 03:37
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?	13	$4.0K	1,501	2,501	-1,000	No	+$40	06-26 09:45
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	37	$3.4K	3,452	0	+3,452	Yes	+$63	01-23 23:46
odds trump acquires greenland before 2027 hit 50 by march 31 794	4	$3.0K	1,500	1,500	+0	No	+$29	03-24 03:50
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	9	$2.9K	2,190	2,190	+0	Yes	-$88	02-18 18:52
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	1	$2.7K	0	2,704	-2,704	No	-$27	06-09 05:14
Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	1	$2.4K	2,421	0	+2,421	No	+$19	04-27 22:23
gc above 4400 jan 2026	1	$2.4K	2,470	0	+2,470	Yes	+$72	01-22 22:40
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	3	$2.2K	1,144	1,144	+0	No	+$45	06-26 05:43
Trump out as President by June 30?	1	$2.0K	0	2,000	-2,000	No	-$36	05-11 09:41
will mrbeast hit 470 million subscribers by january 31 634 222 492 335	4	$1.6K	1,639	0	+1,639	No	+$12	01-22 13:42
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	5	$1.5K	870	850	+20	No	-$108	06-03 21:07
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	7	$1.4K	900	600	+300	No	-$15	06-08 00:51
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?	4	$1.2K	658	658	+0	No	+$15	06-01 13:28
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September?	2	$1.2K	659	659	+0	No	-$57	09-10 23:07
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?	4	$1.2K	1,184	156	+1,027	open	—	09-09 22:13
Will MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30?	2	$1.0K	1,049	0	+1,049	Yes	+$30	06-03 21:06
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	2	$915	500	500	+0	open	—	07-17 12:44
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?	3	$893	1,060	0	+1,060	open	—	07-31 02:03
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	4	$862	785	335	+450	open	—	08-31 16:08
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	2	$845	430	430	+0	No	+$14	06-01 00:19
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	2	$820	500	352	+148	No	+$28	08-29 11:07
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	6	$690	400	400	+0	open	—	07-17 21:11
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	3	$664	400	400	+0	open	—	06-10 12:24
will mrbeast hit 115 billion views by january 31 262	2	$620	624	0	+624	No	+$5	01-19 20:59
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	3	$588	300	300	+0	No	+$3	06-10 12:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-10 23:07:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September?	No	SELL	659	89¢	$588	0xcd3881…
09-10 23:07:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?	No	SELL	300	70¢	$211	0x61cd4d…
09-09 22:14:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September?	No	BUY	659	98¢	$644	0x6c1d31…
09-09 22:14:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?	No	BUY	300	96¢	$288	0x1e9ad9…
09-09 22:13:43	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December?	No	SELL	119	96¢	$115	0xc3b1a5…
09-09 22:13:36	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?	No	SELL	156	94¢	$147	0x8de826…
09-04 02:39:55	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	SELL	2,800	99¢	$2,775	0xd41c9d…
08-31 16:08:37	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	BUY	450	88¢	$396	0x165fa0…
08-30 14:43:40	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	No	BUY	85	87¢	$74	0x531e99…
08-30 14:43:28	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December?	No	SELL	53	97¢	$51	0x9bc216…
08-29 11:11:16	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in August?	No	SELL	82	100¢	$82	0x97d6af…
08-29 11:07:30	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?	No	SELL	352	100¢	$350	0x339fe2…
08-16 23:59:52	will xauusd dip to 3900 in august 2026	No	BUY	82	99¢	$81	0x871a94…
08-16 23:59:48	will xauusd dip to 4000 in august 2026	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x22d45f…
08-16 23:59:34	will xauusd reach 4600 in august 2026	No	SELL	105	76¢	$80	0x059559…
08-01 19:52:32	will us crude oil reserves fall to 325m by may 1 20260714141931930	No	BUY	150	94¢	$141	0x64a64e…
07-31 02:03:48	Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?	No	BUY	60	88¢	$53	0xa10cd5…
07-31 02:03:27	will russia enter orikhiv by september 30	No	BUY	223	94¢	$209	0xa2a74c…
07-31 02:02:56	Will Russia enter Orikhiv by July 31?	No	SELL	115	100¢	$115	0xe3912c…
07-31 02:02:47	pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by july 31 20260616200232527	No	SELL	150	100¢	$150	0x45a4b4…
07-28 16:59:40	will us crude oil reserves fall to 250m by may 1 20260714141931932	No	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0x113f6c…
07-28 16:59:20	will us crude oil reserves fall to 300m by may 1 20260714141931931	No	BUY	215	97¢	$208	0xc4b736…
07-28 01:00:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	136	17¢	$23	0x91b6a5…
07-28 01:00:15	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	BUY	500	94¢	$470	0x9fa1cc…
07-27 23:41:18	will xauusd reach 4600 in august 2026	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xd64bd9…
07-27 23:40:45	will xauusd reach 4500 in july 2026	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xa4cf05…
07-27 23:40:12	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	BUY	50	79¢	$40	0x7fad92…
07-27 23:40:06	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	BUY	200	79¢	$158	0x30b9b5…
07-27 23:39:40	will elon musk tweet about hyperliquid by september 30 2026	No	BUY	400	94¢	$376	0x77a72e…
07-27 23:39:18	will elon musk tweet about hyperliquid by august 31 2026	No	BUY	162	97¢	$157	0xaa1f73…
07-27 23:38:51	will russia capture lyman by september 30 2026	No	BUY	400	86¢	$343	0xecf2e4…
07-17 21:11:45	Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Yes	SELL	248	87¢	$216	0xce1ffb…
07-17 17:03:37	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	847	97¢	$818	0x7dc8a4…
07-17 17:01:42	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	16	97¢	$15	0x8bab01…
07-17 16:39:49	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	39	97¢	$38	0x6d82be…
07-17 15:19:54	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	126	97¢	$122	0x70b21f…
07-17 14:45:30	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	56	97¢	$54	0xdcf7c8…
07-17 13:55:28	Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	87¢	$87	0x7e54a0…
07-17 12:57:10	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x533668…
07-17 12:45:51	will russia capture all of drobysheve by july 31	No	SELL	87	100¢	$87	0x72c405…
07-17 12:45:30	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	2,051	97¢	$1,981	0xaca624…
07-17 12:45:13	Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Yes	SELL	52	87¢	$45	0xc449e6…
07-17 12:44:19	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	500	93¢	$465	0x2bfe13…
07-14 15:42:37	atp makk wild 2026 07 14 set handicap away 1pt5	Wild	SELL	110	48¢	$53	0x23d05e…
07-14 15:40:43	atp makk wild 2026 07 14 set handicap away 1pt5	Wild	BUY	110	55¢	$61	0xcc11dd…
07-02 17:24:05	will russia capture lyman by september 30 2026	No	BUY	104	72¢	$75	0x2eb91b…
07-02 17:22:52	will xauusd reach 4500 in july 2026	No	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0xddb1a0…
07-02 17:20:31	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	BUY	50	69¢	$34	0x9e08fb…
07-02 17:19:55	Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0x90de6c…
07-02 17:19:43	Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0xfc0fdd…
07-02 17:19:07	Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0x87b53e…
07-02 17:13:19	Will Russia enter Orikhiv by July 31?	No	BUY	115	95¢	$109	0x495549…
07-02 17:12:38	will russia capture all of drobysheve by july 31	No	BUY	87	98¢	$85	0xd6ff8a…
07-02 17:12:22	will elon musk tweet about hyperliquid by july 31 2026	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xc000c1…
07-02 17:09:13	iran charges hormuz fees by july 15 20260625175039061	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x28de47…
07-02 17:08:49	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0xcee5c0…
07-02 17:08:34	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x5f8265…
07-02 17:06:44	pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by july 31 20260616200232527	No	BUY	150	97¢	$146	0xb49f9f…
07-01 20:54:55	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December?	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x6bb98c…
06-28 20:53:59	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	BUY	2,800	90¢	$2,520	0x4c7955…
06-28 16:46:46	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?	No	BUY	250	86¢	$215	0x437cdf…
06-28 16:41:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	136	29¢	$39	0x8f3290…
06-28 13:59:55	will mrbeast hit 134pt5 billion views by july 31 20260623145506501	Yes	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x81953c…
06-28 13:59:50	will mrbeast hit 134pt5 billion views by july 31 20260623145506501	Yes	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x9b6eb6…
06-28 11:55:08	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?	No	BUY	36	86¢	$31	0x0deaec…
06-28 11:11:58	will mrbeast hit 134pt5 billion views by july 31 20260623145506501	Yes	BUY	29	96¢	$28	0x8f91b8…
06-28 11:11:05	will mrbeast hit 133pt5 billion views by july 31 20260623145506499	Yes	BUY	84	97¢	$82	0x10676a…
06-28 11:10:02	will mrbeast hit 510 million subscribers by july 31 20260623145858515	Yes	BUY	33	95¢	$31	0xdc77d6…
06-26 19:01:17	will ng reach 4 00 in june 2026	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x7b6b39…
06-26 19:01:10	will ng reach 4 20 in june 2026	No	BUY	244	100¢	$243	0x3b672d…
06-26 19:01:01	will ng reach 4 20 in june 2026	No	BUY	200	99¢	$199	0xc6ff9c…
06-26 19:00:49	will ng reach 4 40 in june 2026	No	BUY	68	99¢	$68	0xaa4778…
06-26 09:45:22	Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x58d2d9…
06-26 09:45:20	Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?	No	SELL	58	100¢	$57	0x3440ef…
06-26 09:45:19	Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?	No	SELL	84	100¢	$83	0x326cf7…
06-26 09:45:17	Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?	No	SELL	58	100¢	$58	0x4e88a7…
06-26 07:57:01	Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?	No	SELL	1,977	100¢	$1,973	0x42dc3e…
06-26 07:26:17	Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x8b6bf2…
06-26 07:10:20	Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x25b453…
06-26 07:04:35	Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?	No	SELL	90	100¢	$89	0x1d79b5…
06-26 06:51:25	Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x72e37d…
06-26 06:14:23	Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?	No	SELL	143	100¢	$143	0x904b37…
06-26 05:44:01	Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x53ad89…
06-26 05:43:47	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	No	SELL	1,144	100¢	$1,142	0xdfde7f…
06-15 00:55:40	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?	No	BUY	898	88¢	$790	0xc9c66a…
06-15 00:55:16	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December?	No	BUY	172	93¢	$160	0x193a62…
06-15 00:54:54	Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?	No	BUY	500	84¢	$420	0xb8d4bd…
06-15 00:54:37	Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?	No	BUY	500	84¢	$420	0x2232e3…
06-14 23:54:48	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	SELL	85	83¢	$71	0x43b4da…
06-10 12:25:00	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	300	98¢	$295	0x30045f…
06-10 12:24:45	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	400	82¢	$328	0x95cabb…
06-09 05:15:43	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	3,145	94¢	$2,957	0x1d3dbb…
06-09 05:14:58	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	2,704	99¢	$2,677	0xc56864…
06-08 00:51:03	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	300	93¢	$279	0x59ab86…
06-05 13:18:01	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	300	88¢	$264	0x7a85ee…
06-05 06:59:04	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	300	90¢	$270	0x1e91aa…
06-04 01:43:28	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0xfef5a3…
06-04 01:42:40	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x5c3879…
06-04 01:42:34	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0xbce029…
06-04 01:42:30	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x75afb2…