Those-Supervision — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$97

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

88.5%

Resolved

1,035

Trades

2,795

lifetime

Volume

$94.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$34

Open exposure

$340

13 positions

First seen

2026-02-27

last 10-29 17:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 204 days

Categories

Other

76% 91% +$301

Politics

23% 68% -$167

Crypto

1% 71% -$39

Sports

0% 100% +$2

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

76 active days in 12wk • peak 90 trades/day

Open positions (13) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	-200	-$118	80¢	$-159	-$41	06-15 21:00
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	-230	-$118	44¢	$-102	+$15	06-22 18:21
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+20	$11	96¢	$19	+$8	05-11 19:35
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?	No	-20	-$17	92¢	$-18	-$1	06-24 15:38
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?	No	-11	-$10	97¢	$-11	-$1	05-01 22:11
will clavicular wear a yarmulke in 2026 20260710172344899	Yes	+20	$10	50¢	$10	+$0	07-11 16:49
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?	No	+20	-$7	50¢	$10	+$17	09-21 16:41
Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?	Yes	-11	-$5	36¢	$-4	+$1	07-27 13:54
Kash Patel out by December 31?	No	-5	-$2	76¢	$-4	-$2	04-30 23:58
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	+20	$5	5¢	$1	-$4	10-05 07:42
Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+500	$1	0¢	$1	$0	08-21 15:31
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+20	-$4	4¢	$1	+$5	05-15 02:16
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	+0	-$3	98¢	$0	+$3	05-12 17:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	13	$1.7K	860	860	+0	Yes	+$32	08-02 04:25
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	30	$1.6K	1,494	1,494	+0	Yes	-$17	03-14 16:35
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 21?	59	$1.4K	862	783	+79	No	+$83	09-21 14:20
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 23?	9	$1.2K	812	451	+360	Yes	+$12	09-23 15:26
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?	21	$1.2K	855	855	+0	open	—	10-19 23:28
will iran strike israel on march 6	28	$1.1K	769	433	+336	No	+$54	03-11 10:47
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 27	7	$988	680	380	+300	Yes	+$21	07-27 15:55
will israel strike gaza on march 9 2026	20	$898	845	110	+735	No	+$37	03-12 21:34
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 28?	22	$807	431	431	+0	Yes	+$27	09-28 13:27
will israel take military action in gaza on march 18 2026	43	$802	4,410	286	+4,124	Yes	-$379	03-20 11:06
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	7	$785	420	420	+0	Yes	+$13	07-25 18:52
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 13?	15	$774	756	85	+671	Yes	+$48	06-13 11:16
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December?	7	$762	432	432	+0	open	—	10-01 01:12
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 26	5	$718	380	380	+0	Yes	+$20	07-26 12:51
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	19	$682	460	460	+0	open	—	09-13 00:48
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	10	$671	400	400	+0	open	—	09-20 04:23
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 28	6	$635	515	330	+185	Yes	-$1	07-28 05:29
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	34	$622	620	850	-230	open	—	10-10 04:04
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 18?	17	$618	340	340	+0	Yes	+$26	10-18 13:16
will israel take military action in lebanon on march 20 2026	36	$599	404	359	+45	Yes	+$4	03-24 23:34
will israel take military action in lebanon on march 28 2026	11	$559	310	260	+50	Yes	+$2	03-28 09:14
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	18	$512	389	389	+0	No	-$21	05-14 20:02
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on September 27?	3	$459	466	0	+466	No	+$7	09-27 09:21
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 14?	2	$430	216	216	+0	No	+$2	10-14 10:51
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 21?	16	$421	451	451	+0	Yes	-$33	09-21 14:49
will israel take military action in gaza on march 28 2026	17	$419	230	230	+0	No	+$31	04-03 07:36
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 3, 2026?	2	$399	200	200	+0	Yes	$0	04-03 14:48
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on October 8?	4	$399	200	200	+0	No	+$1	10-08 09:05
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on October 7?	2	$398	200	200	+0	No	+$2	10-07 11:50
Will the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on October 10?	2	$398	200	200	+0	No	+$2	10-10 10:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 19:00:42	Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 15°C on October 30?	No	BUY	170	99¢	$168	0x6c6b6c…
10-29 19:00:40	Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 15°C on October 30?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x31748b…
10-29 17:54:26	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0xbad5b5…
10-29 16:52:23	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on October 29?	No	BUY	74	99¢	$73	0x787c0b…
10-29 16:52:23	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on October 29?	No	BUY	126	99¢	$125	0x32cd2e…
10-29 09:55:28	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 29?	No	BUY	183	99¢	$181	0xebadc9…
10-29 09:30:20	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 29?	No	BUY	132	99¢	$130	0x4d0ec5…
10-29 09:20:55	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x11e9bd…
10-29 07:51:16	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 29?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe5f578…
10-29 06:03:23	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 29?	No	BUY	148	99¢	$146	0xf9a39d…
10-29 06:03:23	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 29?	No	BUY	52	99¢	$52	0xeac278…
10-29 05:00:41	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 16°C on October 29?	No	BUY	169	99¢	$167	0x446592…
10-29 05:00:37	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 16°C on October 29?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$15	0x653b02…
10-29 05:00:37	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 16°C on October 29?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$15	0x5fb3b9…
10-29 02:31:14	Will the lowest temperature in Karachi be 22°C on October 29?	No	BUY	56	99¢	$56	0xd6d9f5…
10-29 02:31:13	Will the lowest temperature in Karachi be 22°C on October 29?	No	BUY	144	99¢	$142	0x6b19fb…
10-29 00:44:46	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on October 29?	No	BUY	48	99¢	$47	0xb831c7…
10-28 11:41:52	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 28?	No	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x240fc0…
10-28 11:12:43	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on October 28?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xd0147d…
10-28 11:12:41	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on October 28?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x12c7b1…
10-28 04:01:20	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on October 28?	No	BUY	36	99¢	$36	0x27516b…
10-28 02:03:56	Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 10°C on October 27?	No	BUY	92	99¢	$91	0xded092…
10-28 02:03:56	Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 10°C on October 27?	No	BUY	108	99¢	$107	0x186e46…
10-27 23:28:41	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 28?	No	BUY	181	99¢	$179	0xa8edfc…
10-27 23:28:41	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 28?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x92e89c…
10-27 20:17:05	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	50	20¢	$10	0xb6ddf4…
10-27 20:07:09	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	50	17¢	$8	0xa67a0f…
10-27 13:28:35	Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on October 28?	No	BUY	38	99¢	$38	0x075914…
10-27 11:00:20	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 27?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0xf35de1…
10-27 10:00:21	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on October 27?	No	BUY	192	99¢	$190	0xb25700…
10-27 10:00:17	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on October 27?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xc8b8ed…
10-27 09:32:09	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C on October 27?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4245c7…
10-27 09:30:18	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on October 27?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x1ae5bd…
10-27 08:52:17	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C or higher on October 27?	No	BUY	32	99¢	$31	0x4c3e16…
10-27 08:50:56	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 27?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x719569…
10-27 08:50:53	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 27?	No	BUY	36	99¢	$36	0xb7c968…
10-27 08:50:53	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 27?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$13	0x848c09…
10-27 08:09:47	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on October 27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb185e1…
10-27 05:50:35	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on October 27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x375ee3…
10-27 05:05:24	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on October 27?	No	BUY	180	99¢	$178	0x305c9c…
10-27 05:05:17	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x86cf2b…
10-27 02:00:36	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on October 27?	No	BUY	65	99¢	$64	0x124ad5…
10-26 22:54:29	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 26?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xc49af0…
10-26 19:01:14	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C or higher on October 26?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x88c90e…
10-26 18:55:21	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on October 26?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x8703a8…
10-26 10:51:39	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on October 26?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xdbbba7…
10-26 10:51:39	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on October 26?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xc124a7…
10-26 09:47:08	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 26?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x950efc…
10-26 08:21:14	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C or below on October 26?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x75e067…
10-26 07:00:45	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 26?	No	BUY	28	99¢	$27	0x0aa799…
10-26 06:59:27	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on October 26?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb76f36…
10-26 05:04:42	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 26?	No	BUY	112	99¢	$110	0x166302…
10-26 04:31:00	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on October 26?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x69d914…
10-26 02:31:29	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 9°C on October 26?	No	BUY	37	99¢	$37	0x01e65c…
10-26 02:31:24	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 9°C on October 26?	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0xabbb1d…
10-26 00:53:42	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0x191b5c…
10-25 22:54:57	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on October 25?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd54fa5…
10-25 22:33:29	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 26?	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x670442…
10-25 22:28:44	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 26?	No	BUY	149	99¢	$148	0xc41ed6…
10-25 22:28:39	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 26?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xb76fe9…
10-25 22:28:39	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 26?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x2e97be…
10-25 22:20:47	Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on October 26?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x328d8f…
10-25 22:06:59	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	30	11¢	$3	0xc2171d…
10-25 19:50:05	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 25?	No	BUY	118	99¢	$117	0xd2774b…
10-25 19:46:42	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on October 25?	No	BUY	53	99¢	$52	0x55e78b…
10-25 19:46:35	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on October 25?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x438831…
10-25 18:41:51	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 18°C on October 25?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x4b7ea1…
10-25 16:08:03	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 25?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf7743a…
10-25 14:28:42	Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 26?	No	BUY	52	99¢	$51	0x540df0…
10-25 14:28:38	Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 26?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe31fa8…
10-25 13:27:21	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xefc6aa…
10-25 13:22:50	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	93	99¢	$92	0xb3603d…
10-25 13:22:17	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0x19d509…
10-25 13:20:36	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	32	98¢	$32	0xf21298…
10-25 13:02:23	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 25?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x02801f…
10-25 12:52:17	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 25?	No	SELL	109	100¢	$109	0x82dd36…
10-25 12:20:50	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb34b28…
10-25 12:20:44	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	85	97¢	$83	0x0ae6be…
10-25 12:20:27	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 25?	No	SELL	15	3¢	$0	0xe0a439…
10-25 11:50:47	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 25?	No	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x300a32…
10-25 11:50:33	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	18	93¢	$17	0xac32fb…
10-25 11:27:23	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	55	90¢	$49	0xfcf28e…
10-25 11:09:21	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	7	83¢	$6	0x8cc8d2…
10-25 11:08:35	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0xdc274b…
10-25 10:56:56	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 25?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xfe7645…
10-25 10:56:53	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 25?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x22dc45…
10-25 10:56:51	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 25?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb91975…
10-25 10:56:51	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 25?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa4db8d…
10-25 10:56:51	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 25?	No	BUY	104	99¢	$103	0x126313…
10-25 10:56:51	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 25?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x06d86e…
10-25 10:53:17	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x2983a0…
10-25 10:24:11	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x9e5895…
10-25 10:22:45	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x28ad0a…
10-25 10:22:09	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0x0fdff7…
10-25 10:21:36	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	48	88¢	$42	0x80275f…
10-25 10:20:54	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xfc0888…
10-25 09:31:29	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on October 25?	No	BUY	31	99¢	$30	0x4b3c41…
10-25 09:31:27	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on October 25?	No	BUY	169	99¢	$167	0x68e1c2…
10-25 08:30:14	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 25?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x12f5ae…
10-25 08:30:12	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 25?	No	BUY	133	99¢	$132	0xf31237…