Concerned-Wing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$50

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

10.6%

Resolved

Trades

3,618

lifetime

Volume

$17.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-11 03:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Politics

41% 67% +$17

Crypto

30% 0% $-13

Other

27% 14% $-54

Sports

3% — —

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

74 active days in 12wk • peak 92 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will iran strike cyprus in march	24	$523	434	502	-68	open	—	03-02 00:00
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	19	$455	530	430	+100	open	—	08-11 09:12
will bitcoin reach 65000 by december 31 2026 from june 29	16	$359	200	200	+0	open	—	07-14 22:20
will bitcoin reach 105k in january 2026	28	$347	200	200	+0	open	—	01-21 14:24
will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	29	$341	210	220	-10	open	—	03-26 08:50
will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	30	$317	210	210	+0	open	—	01-23 13:53
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	19	$268	170	170	+0	open	—	04-05 03:59
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	11	$265	120	170	-50	open	—	06-29 18:59
will mitch mcconnell vote to confirm todd blanche as attorney general 20260609155821977	28	$262	201	115	+86	open	—	08-07 22:07
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by May 31?	22	$258	161	116	+45	open	—	05-31 20:38
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	16	$253	455	455	+0	open	—	04-01 02:27
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	4	$249	0	258	-258	open	—	07-25 22:17
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	9	$248	0	264	-264	open	—	07-08 03:52
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	15	$240	140	140	+0	open	—	04-05 02:07
will bitcoin dip to 65k in february 2026 372 697	24	$222	190	98	+92	open	—	02-05 20:06
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	8	$221	120	120	+0	open	—	04-03 17:41
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	11	$204	110	120	-10	open	—	03-30 06:57
will ethereum dip to 1800 in february 2026	15	$203	120	120	+0	open	—	02-06 00:23
will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	14	$199	70	154	-84	open	—	03-29 22:45
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?	7	$196	103	103	+0	open	—	07-01 19:26
will bitcoin reach 85k in february 2026	19	$188	105	105	+0	open	—	02-17 01:04
maduro trial scheduled by january 31	16	$178	100	159	-59	open	—	01-08 02:35
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	12	$175	105	105	+0	open	—	07-30 00:48
us iran nuclear deal by march 31	9	$165	88	88	+0	open	—	03-19 00:21
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	15	$164	90	93	-3	open	—	05-31 14:44
will bitcoin dip to 80k in january 2026	14	$153	80	120	-40	open	—	01-31 17:09
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	8	$152	110	75	+35	open	—	05-31 07:01
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	5	$151	80	80	+0	open	—	06-30 05:38
will bitcoin dip to 60k in february 2026 394 616	12	$123	90	90	+0	open	—	02-06 00:30
will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	10	$116	60	70	-10	open	—	03-20 20:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 09:12:33	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	205	8¢	$16	0x30b16b…
08-11 08:25:34	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	No	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0xcbc59d…
08-11 08:10:58	will farsi hengam hormuz or kharg island no longer be under iranian control by september 30 2026 20260804165426111	Yes	BUY	19	4¢	$1	0x0b8cf2…
08-11 08:00:46	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	No	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0xa46b3a…
08-11 03:12:54	will any uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201636	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x823de4…
08-11 03:12:54	will any uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201636	No	BUY	1	80¢	$0	0x72a412…
08-11 03:12:54	will any uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201636	No	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x3755b6…
08-11 01:59:46	will over 68 senators vote for the clarity act 20260729193533314	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x2df77d…
08-11 00:19:37	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	SELL	10	26¢	$3	0xf2e0fd…
08-11 00:15:40	Will Solana reach $200 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x5122b4…
08-11 00:15:13	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0xf8d1e1…
08-11 00:14:40	Will UNI reach $14.00 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x3c00b5…
08-10 23:34:19	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x86de40…
08-10 23:27:06	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xae98a7…
08-10 16:07:10	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	200	6¢	$12	0x6323df…
08-10 14:28:48	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xa2aacd…
08-10 13:57:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0x97386e…
08-09 09:02:24	Will Dogecoin reach $0.40 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x553433…
08-09 04:36:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	10	94¢	$10	0xa3e8e8…
08-08 12:39:27	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	14	90¢	$13	0x99a470…
08-07 22:07:37	will mitch mcconnell vote to confirm todd blanche as attorney general 20260609155821977	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x2ee3e1…
08-07 20:56:43	will mitch mcconnell vote to confirm todd blanche as attorney general 20260609155821977	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x029c0b…
08-07 15:12:04	will darline graham vote to confirm todd blanche as attorney general 20260731184253253	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x8c95a0…
08-07 15:02:31	will mitch mcconnell vote to confirm todd blanche as attorney general 20260609155821977	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x216267…
08-07 14:55:43	todd blanche confirmed as attorney general by october 31 20260608213258432	Yes	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0xa8ee2f…
08-07 14:53:07	will darline graham vote to confirm todd blanche as attorney general 20260731184253253	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x4e35cb…
08-07 14:42:42	will mitch mcconnell vote to confirm todd blanche as attorney general 20260609155821977	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x4fc9bd…
08-07 14:04:57	will darline graham vote to confirm todd blanche as attorney general 20260731184253253	Yes	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x4b65c3…
08-07 12:52:55	will gas hit 4pt75 high by august 31 20260728213741794	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x068870…
08-07 02:45:27	will john curtis vote to confirm todd blanche as attorney general 20260609155821984	Yes	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0x4c32b0…
08-07 02:32:34	will mitch mcconnell vote to confirm todd blanche as attorney general 20260609155821977	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x127987…
08-07 01:55:52	todd blanche confirmed as attorney general by august 30 20260608213258431	No	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0x0fb70e…
08-07 01:53:07	todd blanche confirmed as attorney general by august 30 20260608213258431	No	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0x30edbf…
08-06 18:37:47	will iran target ukraine by september 30 2026 20260727234956918	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xdd2046…
08-05 17:28:12	will john fetterman vote to confirm todd blanche as attorney general 20260609155821982	Yes	BUY	0	6¢	$0	0xb98583…
08-05 16:56:26	will john fetterman vote to confirm todd blanche as attorney general 20260609155821982	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x58cf51…
08-05 15:10:32	will iran target ukraine by august 31 2026 20260727234956917	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x53bc71…
08-05 08:46:03	Will Dogecoin reach $0.48 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0x193ac9…
08-04 21:33:41	will susan collins vote to confirm todd blanche as attorney general 20260609155821980	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x124d49…
08-04 19:24:09	GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	7¢	$0	0xdff5ee…
08-04 16:46:08	will hyperliquid reach 90 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0xbaf41b…
08-04 12:34:44	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by august 31 2026 20260728213742051	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xb8a9ff…
08-04 10:50:23	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xb61447…
08-04 10:39:06	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x610072…
08-04 10:14:15	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x4d095b…
08-04 08:41:14	will gas hit 4pt75 high by august 31 20260728213741794	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x9dedac…
08-04 06:44:33	todd blanche confirmed as attorney general by october 31 20260608213258432	Yes	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x4b9d90…
08-04 05:18:30	will iran target a arab country on august 4 2026 20260801004719121	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x5ddb09…
08-04 03:27:23	will a european country take military action on iran by august 31 20260720005529606	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x0964e1…
08-04 03:10:20	will iran target a arab country on august 4 2026 20260801004719121	Yes	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x3f893e…
08-04 03:10:17	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x1ca45e…
08-04 03:07:23	will iran target a arab country on august 4 2026 20260801004719121	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x74dd5a…
08-04 03:04:14	will iran target a arab country on august 4 2026 20260801004719121	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x8b3ec0…
08-04 03:03:26	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xf12efc…
08-04 03:03:12	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x97ece0…
08-04 03:02:27	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x44c0f7…
08-04 03:00:33	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x69cbb1…
08-04 03:00:12	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0xeabf9d…
08-04 02:59:59	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x6962dc…
08-04 02:58:45	will iran target a arab country on august 4 2026 20260801004719121	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa4e779…
08-04 02:57:45	will iran target a arab country on august 4 2026 20260801004719121	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x8c0d0a…
08-04 02:04:59	will darline graham vote to confirm todd blanche as attorney general 20260731184253253	Yes	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0xabd52d…
08-04 01:57:11	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x7e9a6d…
08-04 01:55:00	will darline graham vote to confirm todd blanche as attorney general 20260731184253253	Yes	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x952488…
08-04 01:54:41	will darline graham vote to confirm todd blanche as attorney general 20260731184253253	Yes	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xf19ad9…
08-04 01:47:06	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	40	52¢	$21	0xbb2678…
08-04 00:11:24	will a european country take military action on iran by august 31 20260720005529606	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xe8fca1…
08-03 22:57:47	will bill cassidy vote to confirm todd blanche as attorney general 20260609155821979	No	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x900a38…
08-03 20:56:45	will a european country take military action on iran by july 31 20260720005529605	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xb7c67f…
08-03 20:53:57	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0xcfa594…
08-03 19:45:17	will rand paul vote to confirm todd blanche as attorney general 20260609155821978	No	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xa7fafe…
08-03 19:35:18	will bill cassidy vote to confirm todd blanche as attorney general 20260609155821979	No	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xc10471…
08-03 18:48:59	will susan collins vote to confirm todd blanche as attorney general 20260609155821980	No	BUY	0	59¢	$0	0xf0547a…
08-03 18:17:38	Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?	Yes	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0x2be369…
08-03 17:49:56	will susan collins vote to confirm todd blanche as attorney general 20260609155821980	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x0602c4…
08-03 15:57:09	will mitch mcconnell vote to confirm todd blanche as attorney general 20260609155821977	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x563291…
08-03 15:57:03	will mitch mcconnell vote to confirm todd blanche as attorney general 20260609155821977	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x5969a1…
08-03 15:07:02	will mitch mcconnell vote to confirm todd blanche as attorney general 20260609155821977	No	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0xdd6444…
08-03 14:47:59	Will Zcash reach $900 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x999c44…
08-03 14:46:56	Will Zcash reach $800 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	81¢	$7	0x4fdd6d…
08-03 14:46:32	Will Zcash reach $900 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xb1990e…
08-03 14:45:53	Will Zcash reach $900 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x112948…
08-03 14:27:54	will thom tillis vote to confirm todd blanche as attorney general 20260609155821981	No	BUY	9	7¢	$1	0x329b57…
08-03 14:26:54	todd blanche confirmed as attorney general by december 31 20260608213258433	Yes	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xb012e8…
08-03 14:26:47	will thom tillis vote to confirm todd blanche as attorney general 20260609155821981	No	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xe5de38…
08-03 14:24:57	todd blanche confirmed as attorney general by december 31 20260608213258433	Yes	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x8bdd0a…
08-03 14:24:48	todd blanche confirmed as attorney general by october 31 20260608213258432	Yes	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x27c9ab…
08-03 14:23:02	todd blanche confirmed as attorney general by august 30 20260608213258431	No	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x96f497…
08-03 14:19:47	todd blanche confirmed as attorney general by october 31 20260608213258432	Yes	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x71f2bd…
08-03 14:19:38	todd blanche confirmed as attorney general by october 31 20260608213258432	Yes	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0x8b9190…
08-03 14:17:48	will thom tillis vote to confirm todd blanche as attorney general 20260609155821981	No	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0xd019fb…
08-03 14:17:47	will thom tillis vote to confirm todd blanche as attorney general 20260609155821981	Yes	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0x6be45f…
08-03 06:11:39	Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	25¢	$0	0xee0acf…
08-03 04:14:42	will rand paul vote to confirm todd blanche as attorney general 20260609155821978	No	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x23f8e2…
08-03 04:14:15	will dan sullivan vote to confirm todd blanche as attorney general 20260609155821976	No	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xbfea52…
08-03 04:11:09	todd blanche confirmed as attorney general by october 31 20260608213258432	Yes	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0x4bf0a3…
08-03 04:07:51	will thom tillis vote to confirm todd blanche as attorney general 20260609155821981	Yes	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x3f559e…
08-03 03:30:27	todd blanche confirmed as attorney general by december 31 20260608213258433	Yes	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0xa90e2f…
08-03 03:30:26	todd blanche confirmed as attorney general by october 31 20260608213258432	Yes	SELL	1	52¢	$0	0xf7924f…
08-03 03:30:26	todd blanche confirmed as attorney general by october 31 20260608213258432	Yes	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x3b6f4a…